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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 513

voltch | Posted 10/8/2007 10:11:21 AM | message detail
Did People always have to put in a quote of some sort here?


*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

RPguy's Hourly Poll Updates:
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/contest.html

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
Draco1214 | Posted 10/8/2007 10:12:52 AM | message detail
How is Bowser somehow still in this?
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/8/2007 11:09:21 AM | message detail
A voltch Stats Topic is about as EPIC as one can get. One step behind solarshadow, I'd say.
Draco1214 | Posted 10/8/2007 11:13:30 AM | message detail
Kick ass 500 post there.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 11:16:03 AM | message detail
Is there even gonna be a ASV with Columbus Day?
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
BDawg | Posted 10/8/2007 11:23:49 AM | message detail
Bowser's only hope would be to rip some percentage off Auron, and Auron is just too cool for that.
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Should I start running now?
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 11:33:01 AM | message detail
Well Ryu's only gained 43 in like 35 minutes. Starting to swing back to Bowser perhaps?

He'd still need a huge push to come back though.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 11:35:03 AM | message detail
I knew as soon as I posted that I jinxed Bowser >_>
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 11:40:53 AM | message detail
20 minutes before a supposed ASV and Ryu kicking Bowser's ass more than ever. I don't know if that's good or bad
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 11:41:52 AM | message detail
He was kicking Bowser's ass far harder last night.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
smitelf | Posted 10/8/2007 11:42:08 AM | message detail
So far Ryu is succeeding in keeping Bowser a healthy 2% away from him.

ASV coming soon.
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 11:45:40 AM | message detail
Well not far harder. In those 10 minutes Ryu was beating him by 6% as opposed to the 8% in the night.

Of course Bowser recovered so all is well
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/8/2007 11:49:23 AM | message detail
Feeling a lot better about Ryu now then I was last night... wasn't thinking about it being a holiday for the majority of schools in America, so if anything we would have more of a weekend trend. I sucked it up in Round 1, thanks to the fodderfest matches... I seriously could not get one right, other than Bidoof. Thankfully my Round 2 has been kicking ass so far, my only screw up was MM > Knux.

---
Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/8/2007 11:50:53 AM | message detail
Isn't Columbus Day more or less a holiday for east coast schools only? It won't affect the outcome of this match, but god damn those lucky bastards.
smitelf | Posted 10/8/2007 11:51:17 AM | message detail
Yeah, I don't see Bowser coming back from this. The ASV will be weaker today (though maybe a little more than weekend levels), and Auron's not shabby with the ASV anyway, so Bowser's not going to be able to make up much ground.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
transience | Posted 10/8/2007 12:03:46 PM | message detail
voltch topix

man, gotta love that SF morning vote. Bowser still has a slight chance here, but he'd need to be Axel-like in the daytime.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/8/2007 12:04:21 PM | message detail
I hope this works.

AFTERSCHOOL VOTE: GO!

C'mon...
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Ask Heroic Mario about your bracket.
I am a ToS fanboy and I love Kratos/Lloyd yaoi
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 12:04:35 PM | message detail
It's all about making the loss look more respectable at this point
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/8/2007 12:05:03 PM | message detail
Lol, ASV right on time.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 36: Bowser > Auron Points: 111/152
Warsola | Posted 10/8/2007 12:05:05 PM | message detail
YOU'RE DOING IT WRONG!


Kiddies are....






GO!

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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/8/2007 12:05:29 PM | message detail

man, gotta love that SF morning vote. Bowser still has a slight chance here, but he'd need to be Axel-like in the daytime.


now he has a chance but last night he had the ability of a 5,000 vote lead. augh

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
transience | Posted 10/8/2007 12:07:19 PM | message detail
I was wrong. :(
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 12:08:08 PM | message detail
5 bucks says that was just an anomaly.

I hope it wasn't though. Come on Koopa King!
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 10/8/2007 12:08:59 PM | message detail
it wasn't really directed at you but the entire stats topic... seriously i had no idea why people were calling it last night like that, it's as if people forget how horrible Ryu is. He could still potentially win this one easily, but I have no idea why people were feeling good about a 1,000 vote lead from Ryu.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/8/2007 12:09:12 PM | message detail
Just a thought, Axel would beat Frog one on one, right? The thing about his comeback was that Samus was there, soaking up a lot of the day vote action...
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Ask Heroic Mario about your bracket.
I am a ToS fanboy and I love Kratos/Lloyd yaoi
transience | Posted 10/8/2007 12:09:57 PM | message detail
nah, this is definitely the start of an afterschool vote. right on time, with a slight stall beforehand.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 12:10:15 PM | message detail
Hell, Axel would win in this format if Frog didn't get obscene cheating right at the end.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
transience | Posted 10/8/2007 12:11:18 PM | message detail
well, it wasn't so much Ryu as the fact that Bowser isn't your typical Nintendo character. he's not the type to make up 2,000 votes, and I thought Ryu would stretch the lead out more in the dead hours after the morning vote wore off.
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SERIOUS REMINDER: vote for Vivi.
"All I can do... is just sit with them."
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 12:12:45 PM | message detail
Bowser's chances are still terribly slim. If he comes back I'll be shocked. I thought it was over after 1 AM last night too and I still haven't changed my thoughts on it.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
Warsola | Posted 10/8/2007 12:12:52 PM | message detail
I'd take Frog > Axel in a heartbeat. Frog's only bad matches have been with Samus in there.
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 12:14:18 PM | message detail
Going from beating Riku to losing to Axel is something I will not accept from Frog.
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/8/2007 12:19:31 PM | message detail
Just a few thoughts on this match assuming Ryu advances:

1) There goes my bracket. I have Bowser to round 4, and I have Mega Man advancing with Cloud there due to Nintendo SFF between King Koopa and Smaus. Whoops

2) Auron dominating this hard means he could potentially advance to round 4. What if he and Cloud SFF eachother enough that Samus takes first, or even both Samus and Mega Man advancing?

3) With no Cloud to hold him back, and the possibility of both Samus AND Mario in the poll, could Link come second to Sephiroth in that round?

TuRtLe
~~~
115/152 in the contest. Next pick: Auron > King Koopa
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/8/2007 12:28:15 PM | message detail
Oh, nevermind. Mario would be out by then, but my question stands

TuRtLe
~~~
115/152 in the contest. Next pick: Auron > King Koopa
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Xuxon | Posted 10/8/2007 12:30:18 PM | message detail
That would be Mega Man and Samus with Link, not Mario. But as awesome as that outcome would be, I'd see Ryu or Auron taking second over MM + Samus before I see Cloud not taking first in that match.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Keno316 | Posted 10/8/2007 12:32:41 PM | message detail
Is this really the ASV? Its gone no where.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 12:33:34 PM | message detail
Ryu isn't gaining anymore. that's enough of a success
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Xuxon | Posted 10/8/2007 12:36:08 PM | message detail
It's Columbus Day, so no school today for a lot of people. The votals were a lot higher than a normal weekday before 3pm. If Columbus Day is more of an east coast thing as was suspected (I really have no clue), expect the ASV to start in a couple hours.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
voltch | Posted 10/8/2007 12:42:10 PM | message detail
whatsup with the mentioning of me being epic?

urgh anyone else here dreading the matches where you lose over 16 points in one go?
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
swirIdude | Posted 10/8/2007 12:44:10 PM | message detail
Yeah, but at least I didn't pick Cloud > Link for the final. Losing 64 points would suck.

But frankly, I'm out of the running to win this contest unless I get a miracle on my side.
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Jesus never had co-op adventure mode. Brawl is a little bit better. ~McMoogle
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 10/8/2007 12:49:54 PM | message detail
Well Ryu is sucking, trouble is Bowser isn't doing anything. Auron and Shadow are.
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SC2k7: 88/128, tied for 1364th
Today's Pick: Mega Man > Knux (whoops)
smitelf | Posted 10/8/2007 12:54:23 PM | message detail
The way I see it, here is the worst-case scenario for Cloud, assuming a strong Auron:

Cloud/Marcus/Auron/(Bowser/Ryu): Cloud > Auron
Samus/Mega Man/Cloud/Auron: Samus > Cloud

And from there on, everything goes back to normal with Link > Cloud. So even a strong Auron can't mess Cloud up except for one unlikely upset.
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
smitelf | Posted 10/8/2007 12:57:34 PM | message detail
So, ASV-wise, looks like Auron > Shadow > Bowser > Ryu. With two other ASV characters in the poll, can Bowser benefit enough to bounce back?
---
Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 1:00:46 PM | message detail
Time .| Auron ...| Shadow | Ryu ......| Bowser
01:00 | 34.51% | 12.06% | 27.83% | 25.61%
02:00 | 34.98% | 11.21% | 30.00% | 23.82%
03:00 | 34.46% | 11.40% | 30.79% | 23.34%
04:00 | 36.83% | 10.21% | 30.31% | 22.65%
05:00 | 37.28% | 11.66% | 29.64% | 21.42%
06:00 | 37.78% | 10.86% | 29.26% | 22.10%
07:00 | 38.32% | 13.15% | 23.68% | 24.85%
08:00 | 37.29% | 13.61% | 23.65% | 25.45%
09:00 | 35.21% | 14.77% | 23.79% | 26.23%
10:00 | 35.14% | 13.57% | 24.99% | 26.30%
11:00 | 35.56% | 13.54% | 24.02% | 26.87%
12:00 | 35.32% | 14.69% | 24.81% | 25.18%
13:00 | 36.54% | 14.13% | 26.25% | 23.07%
14:00 | 35.87% | 14.58% | 25.31% | 24.23%
15:00 | 35.39% | 13.55% | 26.59% | 24.48%
16:00 | 36.33% | 15.12% | 23.95% | 24.60%

Maybe if Shadow learned to share Bowser would be doing better
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/8/2007 1:01:20 PM | message detail
Shadow is doing great. Man look at him rise!

And uh, go Ryu
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Auron/Shadow/Ryu/Bowser - Bracket: Auron > Ryu - Vote: Shadow (127/152)
BDawg | Posted 10/8/2007 1:01:58 PM | message detail
I think Columbus day was pretty irrelevant, Shadow is boosting and Ryu is dropping. Bowser just can't do anything as usual and Auron isn't giving him an inch either.
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Should I start running now?
Forceful Dragon | Posted 10/8/2007 1:07:08 PM | message detail
Woooo, go ryu!

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Eff Dee
voltch | Posted 10/8/2007 1:07:27 PM | message detail
so what are the holidays in america?

apart from columbus/thanksgiving,christmas/easter summer and half terms.
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/8/2007 1:10:10 PM | message detail
Ryu doesn't really care about the ASV anymore it seems
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/8/2007 1:29:40 PM | message detail
The most important thing here is Auron's percentage going up. Nobody cares about those other guys. <_<
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
Haste_2 | Posted 10/8/2007 1:30:57 PM | message detail
Let's talk about tomorrow's match... how well willl Meta Knight do, hm?

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
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