GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 511
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2007 2:01:14 AM | message detail |
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There is a second night vote on weekends. Remember Alucard made his comeback on Liquid with it. --- Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 10/7/2007 2:10:08 AM | message detail |
| I don't know if that'll really apply to Xbox characters. Granted they were weekday matches, but both Marcus and Master Chief were rising significantly all the way to the end of their matches. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 2:12:07 AM | message detail |
| Ocelot dropped pretty much from now until the end
of the match, a full 2%, and that was on a weekend. it's pretty bleak,
but it's possible. --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/7/2007 2:13:58 AM | message detail |
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I still think Marcus is going to win, but there's a lot in favor of Ocelot. 1) Firstly Cloud will help take the edge off Marcus's day vote. 2) Next, Ocelot while he isn't good during the day, he isn't trash either. The Boss for example held up quite well against a strong day voter Tails. 3) It's a weekend, much more consistent vote all day 4) 1000 votes is a lot to turnaround in this format. I know he did 6 times that against Kefka, but he didnt have to deal with the 3 above points. --- Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism I eat wang |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 10/7/2007 2:42:01 AM | message detail |
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When Link breaks 45% against Vincent/Crono/Zero and Cloud fails to
break 45% on Auron/Bowser/Marcus, I think hochi will be singing a
different tune. I want Link to put up such numbers, but that's a tall, tall order. --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2007 2:42:48 AM | message detail |
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I want Link to put up such numbers, but that's a tall, tall order. It's not at all. The guy put up 42% against Sephiroth, Cloud, and Solid Snake. --- Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 3:10:02 AM | message detail |
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I agree with Smurf's post, and will add that because there's a lot less
votes to go around thanks to Cloud, he's not going to turn as many
votes as he did vs. Kefka. that said, that just means that the turnaround might be 1500-2000 votes instead of 6000. Ocelot's looking at a 1000 vote lead, maaaaaaybe a little more when 7am rolls around. Marcus has to be looked at as the favourite, but Ocelot's got a good chance too. --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2007 3:15:46 AM | message detail |
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Hmmm...in the Jill match, Ocelot pretty much spent the entire time
bleeding percentage, but here, he's been remarkably consistent. --- Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/7/2007 4:48:27 AM | message detail |
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Kefka starts dropping off now but Ocelot is still able to hold himself. --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. The cream of Chocobo fanboyism. |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2007 4:56:49 AM | message detail |
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As someone who has Cloud > Ocelot for this match in his bracket, I'm
amazed Ocelot is still gaining with such ease. And Kefka's bombing now,
so you know the day has arrived. --- Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| greatone10 | Posted 10/7/2007 4:58:52 AM | message detail |
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Well, so much for Lettuce Kefka being a detriment to Kefka in these
contests. He's facing Marcus Fenix again, and there doesn't seem to be
any noticable difference from the last time he faced him. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 5:04:34 AM | message detail |
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okay I've never done this before so who knows if I'm doing it right Time . . . Marcus . Kefka .. . Cloud . . Ocelot 01:00 | 15.57% | 16.00% | 51.28% | 17.15% 02:00 | 14.53% | 16.23% | 53.38% | 15.86% 03:00 | 14.29% | 15.90% | 52.41% | 17.39% 04:00 | 13.67% | 15.29% | 54.71% | 16.33% 05:00 | 12.99% | 14.53% | 56.17% | 16.31% 06:00 | 12.04% | 13.51% | 57.79% | 16.66% 07:00 | 12.68% | 12.65% | 56.43% | 18.25% 08:00 | 13.44% | 11.27% | 57.78% | 17.51% --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/7/2007 5:10:49 AM | message detail |
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Good God, Kefka... It takes serious skill to suck that bad with the day vote. --- Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/7/2007 5:13:11 AM | message detail |
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So far Marcus's heroics last round seem to be down to Kefka's blatant sucking, rather than anything amazing on his part. --- Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism I eat wang |
| voltch | Posted 10/7/2007 5:32:08 AM | message detail |
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Cloud is pretty much trying to establish himself as the undisputed number 2 of these contests. --- Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest. |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/7/2007 5:49:33 AM | message detail |
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Ocelot is holding his own when compared to Kefka. Marcus has been coming closer to him for a while now. --- 108/144. Today : Cloud > Marcus. Tomorrow : Auron > Bowser *One_Winged_Ange* |
| Who Cares? | Posted 10/7/2007 5:54:41 AM | message detail |
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Nice to wake up seeing Ocelot leading, but I also notice Marcus is
trying to mount a comeback. Thankfully Cloud's in the match so the
comeback attempt is going to be much slower this time around...C'mon
HANDGESTURE! --- Current Points: 107 Maximum Possible Points: 731/768 |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/7/2007 5:56:16 AM | message detail |
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Geez 61% update from Cloud. --- Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism I eat wang |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/7/2007 6:00:19 AM | message detail |
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Time . . . Marcus . Kefka .. . Cloud . . Ocelot 01:00 | 15.57% | 16.00% | 51.28% | 17.15% 02:00 | 14.53% | 16.23% | 53.38% | 15.86% 03:00 | 14.29% | 15.90% | 52.41% | 17.39% 04:00 | 13.67% | 15.29% | 54.71% | 16.33% 05:00 | 12.99% | 14.53% | 56.17% | 16.31% 06:00 | 12.04% | 13.51% | 57.79% | 16.66% 07:00 | 12.68% | 12.65% | 56.43% | 18.25% 08:00 | 13.44% | 11.27% | 57.78% | 17.51% Where did you get your numbers? Because the 1st hour looks a little different on gamefaqscontests.com. Another number that I calculated (since it looked so low) was Marcus' 6th hour and I got 12.53%. Then I did Cloud's 8th hour (since it looked a little high) and I actually got 58.07%. Maybe I'm doing something wrong? Are you just looking at the numbers on gamefaqscontests.com and going from there? Whatever, I'm sure the general trends are correct and that the margin of error is neglectable :p --- 108/144. Today : Cloud > Marcus. Tomorrow : Auron > Bowser *One_Winged_Ange* |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/7/2007 6:02:34 AM | message detail |
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Slow comeback is slow. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/7/2007 6:08:04 AM | message detail |
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Has the morning vote started yet? If so Ocelot is looking pretty good. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 6:21:17 AM | message detail |
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uhh.. maybe the day vote will kick in later? xbox characters are traditionally afternoon guys, not morning guys.. whatever. so far, this is a straight up stall. --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/7/2007 6:25:50 AM | message detail |
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It's a weekend. Mornin=ASV, or someone similar to it. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 10/7/2007 6:29:51 AM | message detail |
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What're the chances of Fenix making a comeback, guys? *isn't looking back through the topic* --- It's difficult sometimes to distinguish between existentialism and a bad mood. |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/7/2007 6:37:08 AM | message detail |
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^ He's doing it right now. I'd give him about a 70% chance to finish second. --- 108/144. Today : Cloud > Marcus. Tomorrow : Auron > Bowser *One_Winged_Ange* |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2007 6:39:12 AM | message detail |
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Fenix will finish above Kefka, but I think Ocelot is safe. He's still
1200 votes ahead of Fenix, a lead that only Phoenix Wright has managed
to drop in this format. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/7/2007 6:40:21 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/7/2007 6:41:25 AM | message detail |
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Fenix will finish above Kefka, but I think Ocelot is safe. He's
still 1200 votes ahead of Fenix, a lead that only Phoenix Wright has
managed to drop in this format. Yeah, to Bomberman. Marcus will be decreasing Ocelot's lead as he is doing now for hours upon hours, and he will start making bigger cuts soon. --- 108/144. Today : Cloud > Marcus. Tomorrow : Auron > Bowser *One_Winged_Ange* |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2007 6:43:47 AM | message detail |
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I'm not saying that Fenix won't be able to pull a comeback, I'm just saying that I think that Ocelot won't lose a 1200 lead. BTW Fenix hasn't cut that much on Ocelot, it's just Kefka who sucks at the dayvote while Cloud improves a lot. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2007 6:44:37 AM | message detail |
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950 lead. Not 1200. 950 is the lead that Ocelot has over Kefka, he has about 1200 above Fenix. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/7/2007 6:46:11 AM | message detail |
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^ Yeah, not by a lot, you're right. But he is drawing in. And I believe
the afternoon Xbox vote is a lot stronger than the morning vote? Well
we'll see. I may have overdone it with the 70%, but I would certainly
consider Marcus the favourite. --- 108/144. Today : Cloud > Marcus. Tomorrow : Auron > Bowser *One_Winged_Ange* |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/7/2007 6:48:07 AM | message detail |
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Cloud stealing all of the morning votes, I'm starting to worry if Marcus can come back against Ocelot. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 35: Cloud > Marcus Fenix Points: 103/144 |
| __Smurf__ | Posted 10/7/2007 6:51:41 AM | message detail |
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How many times have characters made large 1000+ comebacks on weekends in the past? --- Smurf The cream of Sonic Fanboyism I eat wang |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2007 6:53:05 AM | message detail |
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How many times have characters made large 1000+ comebacks on weekends in the past? I think that Starcraft VS Wind Waker and Masterchief VS Donkey Kong were on weekends... --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 6:57:44 AM | message detail |
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I think DK vs. MC was on a weekend. --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/7/2007 6:57:59 AM | message detail |
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Well it doesn't look like Marcus slowed down during the last few hours
of his match last round, but if he isn't close to Ocelot by 12 which is
when the morning vote is done he'll have to rely on the day vote to get
him the win. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 35: Cloud > Marcus Fenix Points: 103/144 |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/7/2007 6:58:46 AM | message detail |
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MC/DK was on a Sunday. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 35: Cloud > Marcus Fenix Points: 103/144 |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/7/2007 7:01:16 AM | message detail |
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Time .| Marcus .| Kefka ...| Cloud ...| Ocelot 01:00 | 15.67% | 16.24% | 51.16% | 16.93% 02:00 | 14.51% | 15.98% | 53.31% | 16.21% 03:00 | 14.02% | 16.12% | 52.32% | 17.54% 04:00 | 13.95% | 14.81% | 55.13% | 16.11% 05:00 | 12.67% | 14.85% | 56.35% | 16.13% 06:00 | 12.14% | 13.47% | 57.42% | 16.97% 07:00 | 12.76% | 12.73% | 56.54% | 17.97% 08:00 | 13.70% | 10.90% | 57.94% | 17.45% 09:00 | 15.44% | 13.52% | 56.06% | 14.98% 10:00 | 14.84% | 12.65% | 58.53% | 13.98% Not too impressed by Marcus's morning vote here. --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| consolefreak | Posted 10/7/2007 7:03:15 AM | message detail |
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I remember MC taking over DK when it was 3-4 PM. So if Marcus has to rely on the day vote, that really shouldn't be a problem. --- 108/144. Today : Cloud > Marcus. Tomorrow : Auron > Bowser *One_Winged_Ange* |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/7/2007 7:05:55 AM | message detail |
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Yeah... even though it's a bit unfair to compare since Nintendo
characters tend to excel the most at mornings, it's hard to ignore that
the 7-9 hours were Master Chief's WORST time against Donkey Kong --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/7/2007 7:07:19 AM | message detail |
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Also, Master Chief didn't start stealing votes from DK's lead until noon --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/7/2007 7:07:32 AM | message detail |
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Let's keep up with those kinds of updates, shall we? ;o ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 7:09:30 AM | message detail |
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yeah, that one was pretty good. --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2007 7:11:32 AM | message detail |
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You really can't compare comebacks in the past years with this year.
Now there are four different characters. I'm not saying that Fenix is
chanceless, but I would be surprised to see someone as Ocelot to drop
that much in this format. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 7:24:36 AM | message detail |
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looks like he's getting into gear now. --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 10/7/2007 7:26:39 AM | message detail |
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Oh tranny, you and your wit. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg |
| transience | Posted 10/7/2007 7:27:44 AM | message detail |
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..augh --- ZFStix: nin nin nin ima ninja!!! nin nin nin XD ZFStix: kill it |
| Zylo the wolf | Posted 10/7/2007 7:30:45 AM | message detail |
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If Fenix can keep this updates up, then he will get in second.. --- Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/7/2007 7:30:48 AM | message detail |
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Marcus did alot worse than I expected to overnight. He's got quite the
uphill battle for him now. Kefka's going to fall any minute now, but
Ocelot's going to be a bigger task. And Cloud rising to heaven total now. I even went high for him and it was still to low! --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Marcus/Kefka/Cloud/Ocelot - Bracket: Cloud > Marcus - Vote: Ocelot (119/144) |
| yoshifan823 | Posted 10/7/2007 7:32:37 AM | message detail |
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I don't see how you people are calling what Marcus is doing a comeback. Ocelot's still gaining. Not as much, but still. GO MARCUS! --- Quis custodiet ipsos custodes... |
