GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 510
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/5/2007 12:47:27 PM | message detail |
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Round 2- Division 1 Semifinal B Previous Results: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2865 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2866 Characters Involved Samus Last round, Samus did as expected by beating the crap out of her fourpack. She hopes to do the same this round, but will likely fall closer to 40% due to stiffer competition. Frog Frog completely bombed last round. He took an easily winnable match, blew a huge lead against Axel, and required a last minute ralyl to squeak out the win. He was looking to be a favourite for this match pre-contest, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's nowhere close to advancing. Scorpion Unlike Frog, Scorpion impressed last round by crushing the overrated Midna, and putting near-elite numbers on Kratos A. Given how great Sub-Zero ended up doing against Sonic, that was not a fluke, and I'll be shocked if Scorpion doesn't advance here. Midna She couldn't come close to Scorpion last round, she's guarenteed to to worse with Samus in the poll. lol overrated busts Predictions: There isn't much to say that hasn't been said by the first round matches. Frog completely disappointed, as did Magus. Scorpion advancing here is looking like a damn near lock. TuRtLe's Prediction: Samus 42%, Scorpion 25%, Frog 20%, Midna 13% TuRtLe's Bracket: Samus > Frog TuRtLe's Vote: Frog TuRtLe ~~~ 101/128 in the contest. Next pick: Mega Man > Knuckles BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Xuxon | Posted 10/5/2007 12:48:46 PM | message detail |
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Hmm, I wonder if this is the real trend of the ASV? Knux doesn't seem
different at all (if anything he seems to be gaining slower), Yoshi got
a bit stronger, and Mega Man and KOS-MOS dropped a bit. --- FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan) |
| Keno316 | Posted 10/5/2007 12:54:44 PM | message detail |
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Its almost an hour in, so this should be the ASV from here out. Looks like Yoshi will take it. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| voltch | Posted 10/5/2007 1:00:14 PM | message detail |
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once this contest is over new terms will be added to MMX site right? --- Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest. |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2007 1:07:56 PM | message detail |
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I wish MM would've stayed in the 39-40 percent range, but 37 is pretty good too. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
| FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/5/2007 1:10:13 PM | message detail |
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People seemed to be really impressed by Mega Man earlier, but I thought
this was a great performance from Yoshi. Clearly I'm not biased, but
still, pushing 30% in a match Knux could have taken second in? I'm
quite pleased. --- One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. ~ Lemony Snicket |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2007 1:16:55 PM | message detail |
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Oh of course, Yoshi is doing really awesome. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
| Cecil XIX | Posted 10/5/2007 1:21:48 PM | message detail |
| Now that the first round is finished, I've looked
at my prospects for Round 2. The way I see it the best I can hope for
is 210 points, and the worst is 172. I'm thinking 192 is the most
likely. --- Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1 |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/5/2007 1:35:33 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php Is there any reason to keep this in the first post? http://www.sc2k4.com This can probably go too, since it's obsolete, and the important parts are found in other first post links. Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html This doesn't have any content. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| swirIdude | Posted 10/5/2007 1:47:16 PM | message detail |
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Stats Topics past 491 haven't been saved? --- http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 10/5/2007 1:48:58 PM | message detail |
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Whoa, I forgot all about the ASV because I forgot today was a school day because I have no school today because because. --- caps |
| Draco1214 | Posted 10/5/2007 2:45:51 PM | message detail |
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I changed some things now. Lemme know what you think and have fun predicting! Division 1: (1) Master Chief (8) Arthas Menethil (4) Kefka (5) Phoenix Wright (3) Tidus (6) Liquid Snake (2) Midna (7) Alucard Division 2: (1) Kirby (8) Tingle (4) Gordon Freeman (5) Balthier Bunansa (3) Dante (6) Knuckles the Echidna (2) Leon Kennedy (7) Sub-Zero Division 3: (1) Sonic the Hedgehog (8) Mudkip (4) Akuma (5) L-Block (3) Frog (6) Ness (2) Marcus Fenix (7) Diablo Division 4: (1) Mega Man (8) Vyse (4) Magus (5) Shadow the Hedgehog (3) Zelda (6) Bowser (2) Vincent Valentine (7) Tommy Vercetti Division 5: (1) Solid Snake (8) Laharl (4) Mewtwo (5) Fox McCloud (3) Luigi (6) Ryu (Street Fighter) (2) Sora (7) Yoshi Division 6: (1) Tifa Lockheart (8) CATS (4) Revolver Ocelot (5) Axel (3) Aeris Gainsborough (6) Yuna (2) Kratos (God of War) (7) Zero Division 7: (1) Crono (8) Duke Nukem (4) Donkey Kong (5) Ryu Hayabusa (3) Pikachu (6) Scorpion (2) Riku (7) Vivi Ornitier Division 8: (1) Ganondorf (8) Ada Wong (4) Roxas (5) Jill Valentine (3) Auron (6) Ike (2) Squall Leonhart (7) KOS-MOS --- Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3 |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 10/5/2007 3:22:54 PM | message detail |
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I'm going to go ahead and say it: Scorpion would either beat Frog in a
1-on-1 match or make it really damn close. So, yes, I agree, he is a
lock for second in this four-pack. (Even though I picked Frog as second, damn it) --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2007 3:30:22 PM | message detail |
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I would have picked Scorpion over Frog heads-up pre-contest. the
question was whether or not Scorpion had a fanbase that would vote him
over anything. that doubt has been answered, as has any hope for Frog in this match. --- xyzzy "And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2007 3:33:28 PM | message detail |
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Soooo... will Midna be SFFed by Samus? Yes or no? Samus could SFF Sam Fisher, Lara Croft, and Ada Wong... --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 10/5/2007 3:39:38 PM | message detail |
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The claims that ANY of those matches were SFF is dubious at best
(perhaps 'overperforming' on characters who relied on a more casual
fanbase, but even that is doubtful - Samus just seemed different in
2k4, and I'm not sold on Ada yet). But SFFing Midna would be a case of
her SFFing a Zelda character... not impossible, but not at ALL in line
with what you're suggesting. --- Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package. |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2007 3:50:04 PM | message detail |
| Overperforming on casual characters = SFF. It just
means casual voters prefer Samus, clearly indicating a fanbase overlap.
Midna does have one thing in common with two characters Samus supposed
overperformed on: Midna is female. Zelda even SFFed Terra (more than
likely, anyway), despite it being Nintendo vs. Square. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2007 3:52:35 PM | message detail |
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argh can we stop using the term "sff" Samus overperformed on Ganondorf -- I expect Midna to hold up a lot worse than him. --- xyzzy "And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy |
| ZFS | Posted 10/5/2007 3:59:06 PM | message detail |
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I'm not expecting Midna to hold up, anyway. Don't know if I'd
necessarily blame it on SFF, though there's reason to believe it might
be there with them both being Nintendo characters. --- let's mosey |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/5/2007 4:05:21 PM | message detail |
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The topics are saved swirl, TRE just hasn't gotten around to uploading them yet. I'm sure he will if you ask him nicely. --- The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats |
| Keno316 | Posted 10/5/2007 4:47:35 PM | message detail |
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Well, at least KOS MOS didn't fall too much... --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| Ngamer64 | Posted 10/5/2007 5:36:56 PM | message detail |
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Good news gang! The (very preliminary) 2007 x-stats are now online! You can check them out over at http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38686576 --- The 2007 Guru Rankings! thengamer.com/guru thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats |
| Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2007 6:43:20 PM | message detail |
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Scorpion looks awesome. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 7:06:45 PM | message detail |
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Holy crap Scorpion flat out DOMINATES the pic. Overperformance confirmed. --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Yoshi/Knuckles/Mega Man/KOS-MOS - Bracket: MM > Yoshi - Vote: Yoshi (107/128) |
| trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2007 7:09:28 PM | message detail |
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you think? I think he's fairly boring and unrecognizable -- Samus and Frog win that picture. the whole thing is bad, though. --- xyzzy "And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 7:15:52 PM | message detail |
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I don't like it either, but Scorps was the first thing I saw. He's right in the center, which helps. Samus doesn't look bad herself. Frog's bright, but I wouldn't say he stands out too much. --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Yoshi/Knuckles/Mega Man/KOS-MOS - Bracket: MM > Yoshi - Vote: Yoshi (107/128) |
| Keno316 | Posted 10/5/2007 7:17:09 PM | message detail |
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Is it just me, or do Midna and Samus a little hard to make out? --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| Keno316 | Posted 10/5/2007 7:18:43 PM | message detail |
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That should be are* not do. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| wavedash101 | Posted 10/5/2007 7:19:13 PM | message detail |
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Wow Yoshi has stayed at 28% all day...oddly consistent --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru] |
| BDawg | Posted 10/5/2007 7:42:35 PM | message detail |
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Eh four way face pics ain't gonna be but so exciting, I really don't
see a lot of pic factors in this round. And it was nice of KOS to
donate half a percent to Knux (since Yoshi and Mega Man proved
immovable) so he could break 20%. --- Should I start running now? |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/5/2007 7:43:35 PM | message detail |
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So Yoshi won the day over Knuckles? I wouldn't have expected that. --- Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155 to Takfloyd_mkII__ |
| charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2007 7:43:55 PM | message detail |
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Match XXXIV: Samus vs Frog vs Scorpion vs Midna Past Matches Round 1 Samus Aran - 51.75% Frog - 18.64% Axel - 18.55% Sarah Kerrigan - 11.06% Scorpion - 36.64% Midna - 24.71% Kratos Aurion - 21.09% Agent 47 - 17.56% Analysis Last round we saw Samus breaking 50% with ease and with Metroid Prime 3 being released for about five weeks now she could have had some sort of boost since the last time we saw her. Frog on the other hand needed to make a questionable comeback in order to beat Axel and while he is still the favorite to beat Midna he’s not the favorite to come in second. Scorpion on the other hand surprised many by destroying everyone and proving that he is as strong as Sub-Zero and is far from what he was in 2k4. Midna was over-hyped and coupled with Scorpion’s jump Midna was destroyed in the poll. Samus should have no problems taking first in this match and doesn’t really have to worry until next round and even then she is still the favorite. Since her last appearance Metroid Prime 3 has been out for a few more weeks which mean more people have played it. We’ll probably know if the extra weeks have helped her depending on what she got against Frog. Scorpion’s performance last round was good enough to put him as the favorite for second. Using Kratos Scorpion is expected to beat Frog 57/43 and looking at Lloyd’s performance it doesn’t look like ToS have fallen too much since 2k5. It is kind of surprising that Scorpion has rebounded so much since the last time we saw him. While I have Frog winning this match I thought his main competitor was going to be Midna and while he is going to beat Midna I don’t see how he can beat Scorpion. Frog needed massive rallying just for him to beat Axel. If Frog wins by a lot I have to say that it would probably be the shock of the round. Midna will come in last, if this was a one on one match against Scorpion she would’ve lost to him 60/40. The only thing that I’m wondering is if Samus could SFF Midna. She wasn’t able to in the match against Ganondorf, but Midna is only from one game so maybe she isn’t regarded highly on the Nintendo hierarchy. Simple match Samus takes names and Scorpion comes in second. Frog does have a small chance, but I don’t think he has it in him to beat Scorpion. Looks like round 2 of this contest won’t be so kind to my brackets. charmander6000’s Bracket: Samus > Frog charmander6000’s Prediction: Samus - 39.48%, Scorpion - 23.44%, Frog - 20.73%, Midna - 16.35% --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 33: Mega Man > Knuckles Points: 95/128 |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 7:44:52 PM | message detail |
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Division 1: Round 2 - Match 34 – Samus vs. Frog vs. Scorpion vs. Midna Moltar’s Analysis Samus Round 1 – 51.75% vs. Frog, Axel and Kerrigan Frog Round 1 – 18.64% vs. Samus, Axel and Kerrigan Scorpion Round 1 – 36.64% vs. Midna, Kratos and Agent 47 Midna Round 1 – 24.71% vs. Scorpion, Kratos and Agent 47 Samus take first. Graaahh Samus smash! Other than Scorpion, her competition here isn’t much, and in fact, almost comparable to Sonic’s group, with this one being a bit stronger. However, Samus is a stronger character. Pre-contest, you could make a case for Midna, Scorpion and Frog to take second here, but now? Not so much. First you have Frog giving everything in him to get past Axel. Not Sora, not Riku, not Roxas, not Kairi, not Ansem, not DANCE WATER DANCE, Axel. Okay, so Axel’s stronger than about half of those other characters, but still, Frog’s weak. Midna? Well, she’s who I got in my bracket, but she stunk it up hard last round. Either that, or Scorps is just good with this format (Subby kinda fuels this). Either way, it’s hard to see him lose this one now. Moltar’s Bracket Says: Samus > Midna Moltar’s Prediction is: Samus: 39% - Scorpion: 30% - Midna: 16% - Frog: 15% Ultimaterializer’s Analysis Thanks to Midna's collapse in the first round, the widespread Samus > Midna prediction for round two seems all but dead. Unless Midna SFFs the hell out of Samus and both Frog and Scorpion utterly bomb, Midna is toast. Hard to fathom, too, given that she only had to be twice as strong as 2006 Tingle to get through two matches. This brings it down to Frog and Scorpion for second place, and this could be every bit as close as the first round between Frog and Axel was. Given Board 8's extreme lack of any social life (which is true of most hardcore gamers, but I digress), Frog will pull away at the end again if it's close in the final hour. That said, Scorpion looks a bit stronger than Frog, if only because he would never give up a 1900 vote lead to Axel in a four-way match. Ulti's Prediction: Samus [32.00%] Scorpion [25.00%] Frog [22.00%] Midma [21.00%] Heroic Mario’s Analysis Question of the match: does Samus outdo Mega Man’s percentage? I say no -- but she doesn’t need to. Samus has some pretty stiff competition as a whole in this match, I think. Without looking, I think she has the hardest competition of any noble niner in the second round -- maybe Mario says otherwise -- so she doesn’t necessarily need to be making a killing here. I’m thinking people are still going to undoubtedly make the comparison, though. The Mega Man hype train seems to be at an all-time high right now. Before we got a chance to see more fighting game characters, second place seemed like it was up for grabs between Scorpion and Frog, but at the this point, I think it’s safe to say that Scorpion is good for second. Frog had to pull some voodoo out of his ass last round in order to just slip by Axel, which isn’t as impressive as it might seem after seeing a few Kingdom Hearts characters perform. Frog isn’t out of it, I don’t think, but this is almost a Knuckles-esque situation. He can win, but the odds of him doing so aren’t so high. I’m rooting for him to pull it off, though! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 7:45:37 PM | message detail |
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And Midna? Yeah, Midna’s a non-factor in this match. She’s got nothing going for her here. She was closer last round to Kratos Aurion
than she was Scorpion, and she has to worry about the Nintendo vote
going to Samus before her. I think she’s looking to end up struggling
to maintain 15% here. She definitely doesn’t have the strength some
expected her to have, and if that wasn’t apparent last round, I think
it will be this round. Samus – 35% Scorpion – 26% Frog – 24% Midna – 15% Bracket: Samus > Scorpion Vote: Frog Yoblazer’s Analysis Unlike yesterday's match, this one really, really don't need any analysis, so let's make it quick and painless. Samus dominated her Round 1 match, and she'll almost certainly do the same here. Likewise, Scorpion thrilled many bracket makers (while simultaneously thrashing the hopes of others) with his first round ass kicking of Midna. Now that she's in a poll with a Noble 9 Nintendo character, the new Zelda star will probably look even worse. Frog, who only made it this far due to an incredible last hour rally, will probably also look like crap, but at least he stands an excellent chance to finish ahead of Midna, who is, in my opinion, the most disappointing entrant in the bracket. I did read some debate as to whether or not Frog had a chance to beat Scorpion, but I think Sub-Zero's awesome performance a few days ago put the final nail in that upset's coffin. Samus > Scorpion, and that's all she wrote. Samus Aran - 45% Scorpion - 25% Frog - 16% Midna - 14% Lopen’s Analysis GET OVER HERE! Baked Frog is back on the menu boys! Mmmm, toasty. Scorpion's return to fame, right here. Remember the good old days when he got to final 8, taking down upper midcarders like Kazuya and Max Payne, and elites like Pac-Man, fighting every step of the way, like a true champion? Aw yeah. And now it's back. I've had high expectations for every fighting game character in this contest, thinking they'd flourish in this environment. And I'm pleased to say, none have truly disappointed as of yet. It's a bit tough to say whether Scorp's round 1 was undeniably better than Frog's, but 15% is 15%, even without a stronger Samus to rob Scorpion of his votes. And considering I'd pick Kratos Aurion to give Frog a reasonably close match, I'm feeling pretty good here. Scorp takes second without much fuss. Now you guys saw how Sonic had some trouble with his four pack? Samus is now going to feel his pain. Feel the wrath of the midcarders! Booyah! Course Samus is gonna be too busy unloading missiles into that woodland animal to care much. Midna is some part squirrel, right? I'm still a bit unsure, but I learned from the match pic last round that she was not a George Foreman Grill at least. KILL HER WITH FIRE. Mmmm, baked squirrels and baked frogs, where would our society be without them? (I do not recommend the baked scorpion) Lopen's prediction: Samus - 39.17% Scorpion - 27.33% Baked Amphibious Creature - 20.05% Baked Woodland Creature - 13.45% Karma Hunter’s Analysis Hmm. I think I'm starting to get the hang of this, at last. Can I keep it up? - Round 2... FIGHT! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 7:46:00 PM | message detail |
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Samus Aran A pretty good performance in the first round is going to be followed up with high expectations from some here - Samus has had Metroid Prime 3 in the interim. However, as more and more time passes I feel she's going to get nothing but a small bump from it a la MP2, and now we've got to see her against MUCH stronger competition, including one of those things from that oft-cited weakness: Nintendo. Coupled with the fact that her fanbase is perhaps the most fickle of the NNers... could she disappoint? Frog Squeaking out a match against friggin' Axel in a way that hardly seemed legitimate, Frog has a lot of uphill to go here if people think he's gonna take this. Of course, if he keeps it close - well, honestly, how could he lose? Scorpion Fighting games have looked friggin' beautiful this contest, and Mortal Kombat is no exception. After Sub-Zero performing like an upper-midcarder/near-elite against Sonic, Scorpion is looking primed to place second here. Exactly how much of that magic is gonna rub off with the threat of Frog shenanigans here, though? Midna Ouch. Once a great pick if not the favorite to reach the third round, that's basically dead in the water after being smashed by Scorpion last round. Midna looks to show she's not fodder or anything here, but not much more. So what will it take to get the Mega Man > Samus rumblings happening? Not sure on the percentages, but anyone coming near to SMAUS or Midna capitalizing (due to a supposed weakness) would really get the bandwagon churning. Outside of that, the match is one of our more straightforward I think - sure Frog could finish ahead of Scorpion if things go wonky, but Midna could finish ahead of Frog as well. I feel it'll go to expectations for the most part, but don't be surprised if things don't pan out exactly. Not that I needed to tell you that. Samus could even impress and shut down Mega Man upset theorizing !! Karma Hunter's Vote: Scorpion. FROG MUST DIE Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Samus Aran with 39%, Scorpion with 26%, Frog with 20%, Midna with 15% I'll go with right on the money for Samus, Scorpion comfortably taking second, Frog comfortably taking third. SHENANIGANS Upset Probability: 60% Second place is just so odd here. It wouldn't be the first time we've seen Frog rise above where he 'should' be to place (hint: in case you don't want me to mince words, the technical term is CHEATING), and I even give something of a shot to Midna. Not that a side-character from TP should rSFF freaking Samus, but you never know. Let's see if Samus can impress on Zelda for a change... Transience’s Analysis pre-contest, this was a fairly debated and split match. everyone knew Samus would take first with ease, but who gets second? Midna, Frog and Scorpion all had good arguments for second place, but now the result seems pretty clear. we can start by eliminating Midna. she's already shown to be a board creation. she got beat pretty good by Scorpion and she's looking at some potential SFF with Samus here. some people thought she would be strong enough to resist it, but she'd need a lot more than that in order to beat Scorpion out here. Midna's going to be lucky to finish in third place. she's not as weak as people want to make her seem, but she might look it after Samus is done with her. the argument for Frog is that he has a 'hardcore fanbase' -- ie, people will vote for him no matter what, and it's not like he needs a ton of votes here to advance. I mean, who cares about past-their-prime fighting game characters? but when Frog needs the rally of his life in order to beat Axel, you know his chances aren't very good vs. Scorpion. he could get the same percentage and still lose badly. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 7:46:44 PM | message detail |
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Scorpion has to be the favourite here, and it'd be a shocker if he
lost. fighting game characters have been the #1 winner of this format
so far -- moreso than xbox, Master Chief, Nintendo, Square, you name
it. they've thrived bigtime. the only way that Scorpion loses this
match is if he wilts in the presence of a more iconic Samus, but given
that Sub-Zero just got 30%+ vs. Sonic, it's safe to say that that won't
be happening. Samus is stronger than Sonic and more relevant to fans
these days, but I don't think that'll be enough to even put Scorpion
close to Frog in this match. this match is more of a barometer for
Samus than it is a competitive match, I'd say. she needs to outdo Mega
Man's percentage in order to maintain her favourite status, and I think
she will. GET OVER HERE, Frog bombing to Axel makes you a lock not to place transience's prediction: Samus with 44.48%, Scorpion with 25.55%, Frog with 16.34%, Midna with 13.63% Guest’s Analysis - BeTheMan As we've seen with a number of matches already in this contest, the intriguing race here is not for first place, but for second. Samus Aran is among the strongest half-dozen characters in the bracket. While I suspect that multi-option polls hurt her more than her fellow elite characters, there's no one present here that can pose any kind of threat to her. She'll lose a few percentage points off of her first round performance thanks to Scorpion, but should still land in the mid-40s, well ahead of everyone else. Midna entered this contest with a good deal of board hype behind her, but after crashing and burning in the first round, she can't be considered a viable pick for this match. Competitively, Samus and Frog represent a significant upgrade over Agent 47 and Kratos Aurion, especially with Samus eating away at the Nintendo vote. I hesitate to shoot low with any Zelda character, but it would be an achievement for Midna to hit the low teens here. That leaves us with Scorpion and Frog battling it out for second. Based on their first round performances and contest trends (with fighting game characters excelling and Square/CT characters struggling in this format), Scorpion appears to have the edge coming in here. But is it decisive enough to call him an "obvious" pick? I would say no. Scorpion lucked into a great first-round draw, as his three competitors were weaker and considerably less casual friendly than him. Samus should eat away at much of Scorpion's casual support here, and the introduction of a viable Square character won't do him any favors either. Still, Scorpion will have the support of the fighting game fanbase firmly in his corner, which should be enough to place him in the low 20s. Frog, meanwhile, barely escaped his first round tangle with Axel, and the waning CT support on GameFAQs isn't going to do him any favors here. Still, of the four characters in this match, Frog is the only one with any logical reason to improve upon his first round performance. The Frog/Axel duo combined for 37% with Samus present in round one. Chances are that a fair number of Axel's voters will throw their support to the amphibian this time around, which should be enough to push Frog into the 20s. So, who will take second: Scorpion or Frog? It should be a close match (would you expect any less from Frog?), but I'm going to buck contest trends and say that Frog will escape again. Of the two, Frog has the better contest history, and quite frankly, Scorpion simply isn't that strong, especially without the advantage of being the most well-known, casual-friendly character in a match. Prediction: Samus Aran with 43.30% Frog with 23.00% Scorpion with 22.50% Midna with 11.20% Crew Consensus: Samus > Scorpion, oh how things change. |
| creativename | Posted 10/5/2007 8:10:03 PM | message detail |
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Midna seems a lot less ugly when you can't see her body. I think she might get SFFed bad here though. Samus kinda fades into the background. Overall though I don't really like this 2nd round picture style. Too much of a clusterbleep. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| ZFS | Posted 10/5/2007 8:11:51 PM | message detail |
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Yeah. This theme ain't doing it for me either. --- let's mosey |
| creativename | Posted 10/5/2007 8:18:55 PM | message detail |
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This style is probably more time consuming for SBAllen anyway (or
whoever is making the pics). He probably wouldn't abandon it mid-round
but it shouldn't be brought back. Plain old normal pics are better. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| creativename | Posted 10/5/2007 8:21:54 PM | message detail |
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I wonder how long Frog can stay above 20% here. Probably until morning.
I don't think he'll be winning except with the board vote though,
Scorpion's overnight vote should be good, even if not as good as Frog's. Come on Frog, shatter my Oracle prediction of 18.50% for you...! Some sort of Axel/Frog fanbase overlap might be Frog's best hope of doing well here, because otherwise Scorpion will have this easily. That overlap seems highly unlikely, but I have hope! --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 10/5/2007 8:25:54 PM | message detail |
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Whoa...Samus predictions all over the place. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/5/2007 8:26:01 PM | message detail |
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These pictures are really bizarre... --- Masa/Hiko/HeroicTronBonne/Cory/Buddha |
| BDawg | Posted 10/5/2007 8:34:00 PM | message detail |
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Personally I wouldn't like the look of Samus under 40%, but eh it
probably doesn't matter. I guess I don't respect this pack as much as
some people, but hey if Scorpion put up some huge number at least Sonic
could salvage a little dignity. --- Should I start running now? |
| Majin Lou | Posted 10/5/2007 8:56:50 PM | message detail |
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*waits for the next poll to start* --- http://danceandstomp.net/forum/ Desert Rose, why do you live alone? If you are sad, I'll make you leave this life. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 10/5/2007 9:00:14 PM | message detail |
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Samus Aran 33.33% 3 Frog 55.56% 5 Scorpion 11.11% 1 Midna 0% 0 TOTAL VOTES 9 SMAUS --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Samus/Frog/Scorpion/Midna - Bracket: Samus > Midna - Vote: Samus (115/136) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/5/2007 9:00:24 PM | message detail |
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Samus Aran 30% 3 Frog 50% 5 Scorpion 10% 1 Midna 10% 1 TOTAL VOTES 10 --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Gaddswell | Posted 10/5/2007 9:00:27 PM | message detail |
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Samus Aran 25.53% 12 Frog 42.55% 20 Scorpion 8.51% 4 Midna 23.4% 11 TOTAL VOTES 47 There's Frog's board vote! --- Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155 to Takfloyd_mkII__ |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 10/5/2007 9:00:37 PM | message detail |
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ONE VOTE GAAAAHHHHH --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| entropyx | Posted 10/5/2007 9:00:47 PM | message detail |
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Samus Aran 28.57% 4 Frog 50% 7 Scorpion 7.14% 1 Midna 14.29% 2 TOTAL VOTES 14 Go, Frog, GO! --- Philadelphia Phillies [89 - 73] ; ~**2007 NL East Champions!**~ Philadelphia Eagles [1 - 3] ; Philadelphia Flyers [1 - 0 - 0] Points: 2 |
| creativename | Posted 10/5/2007 9:01:13 PM | message detail |
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Go Frog! :) Scorpion seems to have a pretty bad board vote. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
