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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 507

capatillistpiglet | Posted 10/3/2007 9:05:33 AM | message detail
"Good to see I was right in calling Ike a piece of trash. Shame I didn't think Duke had it in him to win this. Oh well, even with 2 points, I'll still be beating out a good chunk of the guru brackets ahead of me."

I seem to remember you saying that Gordon > Duke was one of the picks you regretted.
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I lied
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/3/2007 9:06:45 AM | message detail
Monkey Island is Point&Click adventure, not RPG!

And huzzah stalling!
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Mustache...and green...
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sitter_san | Posted 10/3/2007 9:08:35 AM | message detail
bah!! gordon still has it in him to win!!
crowbar>>duke's kicks of fury
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2007 9:09:09 AM | message detail
Actually, it was Sub-Zero > Gordon I was feeling bad about. Not so much anymore.

TuRtLe
~~~
95/120 in the contest. Next pick: Gordon > Duke
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/3/2007 9:10:34 AM | message detail
HM is going to kill me. Anyway, Duke is looking safer and safer. Even if Gordon somehow manages to stall out the next three hours, he'd still have a hard time cutting 700 votes. If Duke pushes it to 1000, goodnight.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 9:26:01 AM | message detail
Meh, what happened? Gordon just went on a tear of patheticness.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/3/2007 9:27:49 AM | message detail
Time .| Milkem .| Ike ........| Failman | The GT
01:00 | 30.60% | 28.82% | 30.07% | 10.50%
02:00 | 31.47% | 26.65% | 29.90% | 11.98%
03:00 | 32.07% | 24.87% | 30.36% | 12.71%
04:00 | 30.75% | 25.36% | 28.40% | 15.49%
05:00 | 29.68% | 24.16% | 27.26% | 18.90%
06:00 | 30.17% | 24.12% | 29.00% | 16.72%
07:00 | 27.13% | 31.93% | 27.78% | 13.17%
08:00 | 28.71% | 30.17% | 28.24% | 12.88%
09:00 | 30.12% | 27.60% | 29.13% | 13.15%
10:00 | 29.14% | 26.71% | 30.70% | 13.45%
11:00 | 31.59% | 25.28% | 29.75% | 13.39%
12:00 | 32.14% | 25.94% | 29.52% | 12.40%

I wouldn't call it patheticness. Duke has just had 2 of his best hours of the match
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 9:33:04 AM | message detail
It's Gordon. If something's going wrong, blame him.

Duke's a cool guy, he probably just said "alright Gordon, I'll make you look less pathetic - gimme some of those votes."
Weakened!Gordon: *cough* O...k...
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/3/2007 9:36:28 AM | message detail
At this point I'd say both leads are too big to overcome. I mean, if Gordon does beat Nukem with the ASV it can't be by that significant of an amount. By the time school lets out Nukem'll be up by nearly 1000 votes if Gordon doesn't do something
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/3/2007 9:41:52 AM | message detail
The best part about this, is even if Duke wins, I still have a crack at the leaderboard because so many people had faith in Ike.

TuRtLe
~~~
95/120 in the contest. Next pick: Gordon > Duke
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2007 9:42:34 AM | message detail
Yeah, it's pretty much gonna be Duke > Gordon. I'd call Duke > Ike the most likely alternative, but even that's pretty unlikely.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
BDawg | Posted 10/3/2007 9:55:06 AM | message detail
Heh maybe I'm delusional but I think barely anybody at the top is gonna have Duke>Gordon, so it's mostly just gonna be 2 points versus 1 point.
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Should I start running now?
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/3/2007 9:57:29 AM | message detail
Heh maybe I'm delusional but I think barely anybody at the top is gonna have Duke>Gordon, so it's mostly just gonna be 2 points versus 1 point.

*looks at Guru*

Yep. I don't expect to be dropping at all on the leaderboard unless Ike manages to make something happen.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 10:00:57 AM | message detail
God dammit, I was waiting for the Gordon comeback, but it's not going to happen now. He really is pathetic - Duke is making some atrocious gains.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/3/2007 10:04:32 AM | message detail
I won't be back until we're well into the ASV. As long as Freeman stays above 1000 I still think he has a chance.
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Match 31: Gordon Freeman > Ike Points: 90/120
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2007 10:06:06 AM | message detail
Freemans back to small cuts. I'm not counting him out of this yet.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/3/2007 10:08:57 AM | message detail
Duke Nukem just ripped off his head and **** down his neck
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2007 10:09:52 AM | message detail
And just as I say that, Duke gets a huge gain.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/3/2007 10:11:49 AM | message detail
Woo for picking the Duke. Maybe I'll actually make up some significant ground here.
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Ngamer64 | Posted 10/3/2007 10:14:41 AM | message detail
Assuming no comeback, looking at the 183 Guru entries...

only 7 took Duke > Gordon to score 4

43 reversed it at Gordon > Duke to score 2

48 took Ike > Gordon to score 2

But the good news for Freeman>Dukers like myself is

75 took Gordon > Ike and will only score 1

7 took Ike > Duke and will only score 1

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creativename | Posted 10/3/2007 10:15:47 AM | message detail
Question: What is this "final boss of Resident Evil: Gaiden" meme all about? Why is this supposed to be funny/how did it originate?


As time goes by, I'm beginning to think that the Big Boss/Magus match next round is almost a toss-up. I don't think that should really be considered a big upset anymore if Magus loses.

Also I wonder if Bidoof will outdo Zelda.
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BDawg | Posted 10/3/2007 10:16:46 AM | message detail
It's too bad Ike let the during school vote violate him, I might've at least held out some hope if he had kept it around 1000 or something. And even though Gordon has half the deficit he doesn't seem to have much more of a chance. But it does seem like Duke is setting himself up for a fall with this during school domination.
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Should I start running now?
HotPoontang | Posted 10/3/2007 10:22:49 AM | message detail
I'm pretty sure the whole Resident Evil: Gaiden thing started up with the Villains contest... I could be wrong though. People were tired of everyone asking where x character was from and there being a million topics already about it, with actual answers, so people just started responding with "secret boss of resident evil gaiden" because no one has actually ever played resident evil gaiden, and on the off chance that they have, that's why he's a secret boss.

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Explicit Content
Cheer Up Emo Kids.
Xuxon | Posted 10/3/2007 10:23:03 AM | message detail
Bidoof > Zelda is all but guaranteed, I'd say. It'd be pretty hilarious if Zelda's round 1 pack was all fodder and Bidoof prevented her from advancing.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Childproof | Posted 10/3/2007 10:36:38 AM | message detail
Gordon stalling Duke
Epic comeback begin... now!


... not
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*warned grapefruitking*
Oracle prediction: Gordie 35.39% - Ike Broflovski 28.50% - Milk 26.05% - Some Guy's Brush 10.06%
Master Moltar | Posted 10/3/2007 10:41:48 AM | message detail
So Duke gains at Ike's expense. Interesting if Ike ends up taking the after school vote and Duke ends up hurting so much he falls below Gordon.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Duke/Ike/Gordon/Guybrush - Bracket: Gordon > Duke - Vote: Duke (101/120)
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2007 10:59:20 AM | message detail
... I think Gordon's finally decided to do something.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
Draco1214 | Posted 10/3/2007 11:01:42 AM | message detail
Hell, even Ike cut into Duke Nukem...

I hope Ike somehow pulls a Marcus Fenix <_<
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:03:30 AM | message detail
Ooh a 20 vote cut, we'll see if Gordon can do it consistently. If he does, this could make tonight VERY interesting...and I wanted to watch Valencia/Chelsea...dammit!

*waits for update*

Oh god dammit. The 887 barrier is up
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/3/2007 11:04:10 AM | message detail
Every time Gordon gets anything going, Duke takes it all back in like one update.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:25:38 AM | message detail
Alright, I just went away for like 15 minutes and now Duke is primed to get that 1000 lead in the next two updates.

...God dammit.

Well, in Fenix/Kefka, Fenix started making cuts...sometime in the next twenty minutes or something.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:27:30 AM | message detail
Oh ****. I have Gordon > Ike?! I thought I had Gordon > Duke!

Dammit! Gordon, you have to win! 1 point is ****, but 2 is decent!
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2007 11:28:33 AM | message detail
BALLS OF STEEEL
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Crimson Dragoon | Posted 10/3/2007 11:28:47 AM | message detail
Well, in Fenix/Kefka, Fenix started making cuts...sometime in the next twenty minutes or something.

Well, in Fenix/Kefka, Fenix started making cuts...

Well, in Fenix/Kefka...

...Fenix/Kefka...

...Kefka...

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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:30:41 AM | message detail
I was just pointing out when I figured the ASV would start. Nothing too ridiculous, no need to try some attempt at cynicism.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:31:29 AM | message detail
And actually no I do have Gordon > Duke, it's fine
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Lopen | Posted 10/3/2007 11:33:21 AM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION: The after school vote favors Duke > Gordon > Ike, giving one more example towards ASV != Morning vote.

Not that I think Ike can turn this around even if he takes that ASV. He's just too far back right now.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2007 11:35:00 AM | message detail
BOLD PREDICTION:

Duke wins
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RPGuy96 | Posted 10/3/2007 11:36:09 AM | message detail
At the eve of the after school vote:

1st Comeback (Gordon)
Votes needed (5m): 8.43

2nd Comeback (Ike)
Votes needed (5m): 17.68
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:36:29 AM | message detail
Yeah, Ike is done. Gordon can still make this - and holy muffins, Ike just lost so much ground there. That's one of his biggest lead losses in a while.

He dropped off by a few votes.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2007 11:37:29 AM | message detail
If the morning was any indication, the ASV will favour Ike, but crazier things have happened so far this contest...
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/3/2007 11:39:01 AM | message detail
Chances out of 10 of those two happening:

1st Comeback (Gordon)
Votes needed (5m): 8.43


4.5/10. Favours Duke, but I give Gordon a chance.

2nd Comeback (Ike)
Votes needed (5m): 17.68


1.5/10. Ike would have to be Axel, basically.

Let's see what happens in this update - I'm not sure if we're quite into the ASV yet, but we're close.

...lol. Everything stays almost the same - Duke gains 1, Ike loses 6.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2007 11:42:03 AM | message detail
Yeah this match is going to be pretty consistent for awhile. I doubt this supposed ASV will really affect it at all.
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2007 11:42:05 AM | message detail
Ike cut 200 in one hour... Assuming he takes the ASV, things are going to get fun...
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/3/2007 11:45:08 AM | message detail
Ike will show that he will not roll over and die! His comeback will be legendary.

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Lopen | Posted 10/3/2007 11:46:05 AM | message detail
XIII said it the best.

If freakin Axel was back only 1900 votes at this point, and he barely got past Frog once he started losing ASV steam, Ike's finished here.

It's gonna be amusing when the Duke starts taking the ASV though. Kiddies love the Duke, having their afterschool milk and cookies.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2007 11:47:36 AM | message detail
Well, at least we know that Ike has potential. I can see him being quite the force next year, with FE10 AND Brawl out. Assuming Gordon is consistent with last year, he could reach as high as beating Sub-Zero.
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/3/2007 11:48:04 AM | message detail
Yeah, truth be told I don't even expect Gordon to gain much on Duke with the ASV. I figured it would just be like the opening hours and the morning where they tied. I thought it was possible if Gordon could hold the lead to 500 or so but twice that? No sir
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/3/2007 11:48:12 AM | message detail
ASV is officially a myth and I denounce it ever existing
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GSB International Champion
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/3/2007 11:48:34 AM | message detail
Ike'll probably make up about 1000 votes. Enough to close it up quite a bit, but not a full comeback.
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
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