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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 506

wavedash101 | Posted 10/2/2007 5:40:36 PM | message detail
Latest WW shipment numbers for RE4 Wii are 750,000 according to Capcom

I wouldnt really trust VGChartz software numbers post DC...alot of it is guesstimated and no one has accurate European numbers
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/2/2007 5:47:50 PM | message detail
Holy moly, 800K? This game is going to more than double Capcom's expectations. If Umbrella Chronicles sells well, I say the prospect of other RE projects on Wii looks very promising.
wavedash101 | Posted 10/2/2007 5:50:31 PM | message detail
620,000 are the expectations on UC...previews have not been kind though

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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2007 5:56:42 PM | message detail
Capcom often overestimates sales, though.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/2/2007 6:20:36 PM | message detail
If a 2.5-year-old port (granted, it's arguably one of the best games ever) is on pace for a million, I think UC can easily hit its goal, especially since it will be pushed as one of the must-get games for the stupid Wii Zapper.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 6:53:37 PM | message detail
bubububut LINK'S CROSSBOW TRAINING
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Moltar Status: 2007 GotY...believe
Wesker/Daxter/Lara/Sora - Bracket: Sora > Lara - Vote: Wesker (97/116)
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/2/2007 7:36:39 PM | message detail
Aw yeah Wesker comeback. 2300 votes is nothing
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/2/2007 7:38:18 PM | message detail
Match XXXI: Duke Nukem vs Ike vs Gordon Freeman vs Guybrush

Information

Name: Duke Nukem
Game/Series From: Duke Nukem series
Past Contests: CB2k2, CB2k3, CB2k4
Wins: Iori Yagami (2k2)
Losses: Alucard (2k2), Ryu (2k3), Cloud (2k4)

Name: Ike
Game/Series From: Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
Past Contests: None
Wins: N/A
Losses: N/A

Name: Gordon Freeman
Game/Series From: Half-Life series
Past Contests: CB2k2, CB2k3, CB2k4, CB2k5, CB2k6
Wins: Phoenix Wright (2k6)
Losses: Tina Armstrong (2k2), Max Payne (2k3), Sam Fisher (2k4), Leon Kennedy (2k5), Sora (2k6)

Name: Guybrush Threepwood
Game/Series From: Monkey Island series
Past Contests: CB2k2, CB2k4
Wins: None
Losses: Ryo (2k2), Bowser (2k4)

Analysis

I really hate this match, three out of the four characters have been to past contests and on average they have been to three contests, but all together they only managed two wins. What’s worse is that the character that was a total joke until last year is the favorite to take the match. Hopefully there is a close match between second, but even that is doubtful.

Freeman will take first in this sad excuse of a poll. Half-Life is a popular game and ever since HL2 came out and he started to get pictures with him wearing the Half-Life symbol Freeman has been able to get out of the fodder line. Also with this format Freeman is one of those characters that will do better had this been a one on one match. However I should point out that three of the characters in this poll are from series that come from the PC. Unlike most sites the PC community isn’t that big and while there is some overlap between PC and consoles they mostly keep to themselves. Given that the non-PC character is weak Freeman shouldn’t worry, but it could tilt the favorite for second to Ike.

Before the contest Ike was the huge favorite at taking second and had a strong following for first, but now there is some discussion on whether or not he still can. Ike was probably the luckiest character because the day when the nominations went up Ike was announced to be in SSBB. Ike is a little different than the other SSBB characters in this contest. While the others were announced during a Nintendo press conference Ike was announced on a SSBB fansite, though it was made by Nintendo. So how much does not being in a movie trailer but being announced on a fansite will affect his strength? SSBB is the most wanted game on GameFAQs right now so all it would take is one trip to the SSBB boards over the past two months to see that he is in the game, and with the type of opponents Ike has just knowing his existence will probably make you vote for him. Ike also has the advantage of being in a game that people have played in North America and still remember it. It isn’t a popular game though Ike needs everything he can get to be able to beat Duke.

Duke has been gaining support throughout the round and should be called the favorite to take second going into the match. Duke hasn’t had anything since 2k4 though looking at his opponent all he really needs to do is match his strength from three years ago. However I don’t think he’ll be able to do that; first while being very popular back in his day Duke is starting to disappear into gaming history and second with Freeman in the poll Duke’s PC fanbase now has to choose between two popular PC characters and Guybrush.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/2/2007 7:38:39 PM | message detail
Guybrush will take last, making to the first contest was easy but no one expected him to show his face in 2k4. While Guybrush does have a loud cult following it is rather small and they’ll probably keep him from failing to break 10% in this match, but if he was in 90% of the other matches he’ll probably fail to break double digits.

I’ll be surprised if this match somehow does not get the lowest vote total, which as of now is 112k. PC characters have been long forgotten on GameFAQs and in the past they haven’t done well getting high vote totals. I like most users here on the board have Ike and second and while the support for Duke getting second is there the Ike supporters are still trying to find a way to justify Ike’s strength without relying on huge SSBB support. I still think he can win, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Duke was to destroy Ike.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Gordon Freeman > Ike

charmander6000’s Prediction: Gordon - 37.26%, Ike - 25.74%, Duke - 24.27%, Guybrush - 12.73%

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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 30: Sora > Lara Croft Points: 86/116
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:10:00 PM | message detail
Division 8: Round 1 - Match 31 – Duke Nukem vs. Ike vs. Gordon Freeman vs. Guybrush Threepwood

Moltar’s Analysis

Duke
Game/Series Known From: Duke Nukem
Seed in 2002: 3
Seed in 2003: 12
Seed in 2004: 16
Lost in 2002 to Alucard in Round 2
Lost in 2003 to Ryu in Round 1
Lost in 2004 to Cloud in Round 1

Still waiting for Duke Nukem Forever!

Ike
Game/Series Known From: Fire Emblem

BRAWLFEAR

Gordon
Game/Series Known From: Half-Life
Seed in 2002: 3
Seed in 2003: 7
Seed in 2004: 10
Seed in 2005: 4
Seed in 2006: 5
Lost in 2002 to Tina in Round 1
Lost in 2003 to Max in Round 1
Lost in 2004 to Sam in Round 1
Lost in 2005 to Leon in Round 1
Lost in 2006 to Sora in Round 2

The universe doesn’t exist anymore.

Guybrush
Game/Series Known From: Monkey Island
Seed in 2002: 9
Seed in 2004: 10
Lost in 2002 to Ryo in Round 1
Lost in 2004 to Bowser in Round 1

Rounds out this four-pack of disappointment.

Seriously, does this fourpack make anyone else depressed just looking at it? This is, without a doubt, the weakest fourpack in this Contest. I mean, these guys weren’t worth anything in 2002, and that hasn’t changed 5 years later.

“But Moltar!” You yell, “What about Gordon?” What about Gordon? Sure, he actually won a match last year, but he still isn’t worth a whole lot. Half-Life 2 made him into a midcarder, break out the damn streamers.

Anyway, Guybrush takes fourth with ease. There is a bit of debate between Duke and Ike, and like always, Gordon doubting. Well, here’s what I think. Ike was just announced for Brawl at the perfect time, right around the start of nominations. Now, if Pit is any sign, he shouldn’t do too badly for himself. However, Ike was literally just announced a month ago, while Pit’s been known for over a year. Ike also didn’t even get SSBB art in his pic. Ike’s really only got a chance if the SSBB site gets pounded by GameFAQs voters (not farfetched). That’s right, we aren’t even bringing in FE9. No one plays those Fire Emblem games. The only reason they’re made these days is for some character to get lucky and get into a Smash Bros. game so the three people who bought the game can fangasm and then they become ALMIGHTY TOP TEAR and wait gotta get back on subject. Anyway, I believe the odds are against Ike here.

Then there’s Milk, who got 20% against Cloud a couple years back for whatever its worth. He’s weak, but he’s known, and hopefully shouldn’t have too much trouble taking second in this miserable bunch of weaklings.

So Gordon wins another match. The universe means nothing these days.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Gordon > Duke > Ike > Guybrush

Moltar’s Prediction is: Gordon: 38% - Duke: 25% - Ike: 24% - Guyrbush: 13%



Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

The first round nears an end with one of the hardest matches in the entire bracket to call. The only thing I'm personally sure of is Guybrush coming in last place, but even that's not certain. And yes, my FE9/Ike fanboyism gets in the way. For those who haven't ever played an FE, you don't know what you've missed. And for those who have, stop complaining about how some characters become godlike. Ike is ridiculous in battle. It's as if he were designed as a safety blanket.

As for the match, I have no theories outside of guesswork and fanboyism. My bracket says that Gordon Freeman will SFF Duke Nukem to a Gordon > Ike finish. That's my story, and I'm sticking to it.

Ulti's Prediction:

Gordon [27.00%]
Ike [26.00%]
Duke [25.00%]
Guybrush [22.00%]
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:10:48 PM | message detail
Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Guybrush – 100%
Gordon Freeman – 0%
Ike – 0%
Duke Nukem – 0%


We're a band of vicious pirates
A-sailin' out to sea.
When you hear our gentle singing...
You'll be sure to turn and flee!
(Oh, this is just ridiculous.)
Come on, men! We've got to recover that map!
That pirate will be done for,
when he falls into our trap!
We're a club of tuneful rovers!
We can sing in every clef!
We can even hit the high notes!
It's just too bad we're tone deaf!
A pirate I was meant to be!
Trim the sails and roam the sea!
Let's go defeat that evil pirate!
We know he's sure to lose,
'cause we know just where to fire at!
We're thieving balladeers.
A gang of cutthroat mugs.
To fight us off ye don't need guns!
Just jolly good ear-plugs.
A pirate I was meant to be!
Trim the sails and roam the sea!
All right, crew, let's get to work!
Our vocation's a thing we love
A thing we'd never shirk!
We'll fight you in the harbor.
We'll battle you on land.
But when you meet singing pirates...
They'll be more than you can stand.
Oh! That was a good one!
No, it wasn't.
No time for song! We've got to move!
The battle will be long,
But our courage we will prove!
We're a pack of scurvy seadogs
Have we pity? Not a dram
We all eat roasted garlic
Then sing from the diaphragm.
A pirate I was meant to be!
Trim the sails and roam the sea!
Less singing, more sailing.
When we defeat our wicked foe,
His ship he will be bailing!
If ye try ta fight us
You will get a nasty whackin'!
If ya disrespect our singin'
We will feed ya to a kraken!
A pirate I was meant to be!
Trim the sails and roam the sea!
I'm getting so sick of you guys and your rhyming.
We're ready to set sail,
though the cannons need a-priming.
We're troublesome corsairs!
And we've come to steal your treasures!
We would shoot you on the downbeat
But we have to rest five measures.
A pirate I was meant to be!
Trim the sails and roam the sea!
Stop! Stop! Stop!
The brass is what we'll polish
And the deck is what we'll mop.
You say you're nasty pirates...
Scheming, thieving, bad bushwhackers?
From what I've seen I tell you
You're not pirates! You're just slackers!
A pirate I was meant to be!
Trim the sails and roam the sea!

Enough said.

Bracket: Gordon Freeman > Ike

Vote: GUYBRUSH



Yoblazer’s Analysis

My, my, my. We've come a long way, haven't we, Mr. Freeman? Once, you were the star of Board 8's most beloved fad. We kept you in our hopes. We kept you in our dreams. We kept you held close against our collective bosom, and you, in return, kept the universe whole. Alas, it seems you're now nothing more than another midcarder. Was it really so long ago? Was it all just a wonderful dream? If so, why did we have to wake up, Gordon? Why did we have to wake up...

Yes, my friends, GFNW is dead and buried, but the gaming icon who spawned the fad is still here, and he's now very capable of actually winning matches. Thus, it seems all too fitting that he be put in a match with three weaklings. It's as if this new universe that spawned after Gordon's first win wants to show us that it's here to stay.

Our supreme holiest's three competitors today are none other than Ike from Fire Emblem, Guybrush Threepwood from Monkey Island, and Duke Nukem from When It's Done. It still seems strange to say this, but I have a tough time picturing Gordon losing to any of these three. He should have first placed wrapped up without too much of a struggle (although I doubt it will be by more than a few percentage points), leaving the others to battle for second. Let's see who has the best shot of accompanying Gordon in the next round.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:11:06 PM | message detail
Guybrush Threepwood is one of the most pitifully weak characters we've ever seen. Not only is he fodder, but he has the dubious distinction of being fodder that was blown out by other fodder. Yikes. Take a seat next to Mr. Driller, Guybrush; you may as well just sit this one out. The main debate here, which is also one of the most debated choices of the first round as a whole, is the one between Duke Nukem and Ike.

Duke Nukem certainly has an advantage when it comes to name recognition and industry status, but the man is the very definition of "dying icon." Only relevant for a few years in the mid-90's, Duke hasn't had a game in years, and his ill fated Duke Nukem Forever, gaming's most infamous example of internal mismanagement and delays, is an industry-wide joke. Ike, on the other hand, is an obscure RPG character. He's the star of Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance, a game in a series that has traditionally flown under the radar in the United States and even on GameFAQs. Much to his chagrin, cult characters in general have suffered through one poor contest performance after another this year, and there's really nothing that distinguishes Ike from the same fate. Or is there...?

Enter: Super Smash Bros. Brawl. Yes, Ike is in the game. Yes, he was announced as a playable character a couple months ago. No, I don't think this guarantees him second place. Don't get me wrong: if Smash was released last week, Ike would kill this fourpack. Unfortunately, the game is still two months away, and unlike fellow Smash newcomers Pit and Meta Knight (who both kicked some butt in their matches), Ike has never been a part of an Internet-wide hype trailer. The only way voters would even be aware of his inclusion in Brawl is if they regularly visit the Smash Bros. Dojo website. Granted, he could still beat out Duke, but I'd attribute that result more to Ike's being the only appealing non-FPS poll option rather than a Smash boost. As it stands, I have Gordon > Duke > Ike, and I guess I'll be sticking with it. Hail to the king, baby. When it's done, honey.

Gordon Freeman - 33%
Duke Nukem - 27%
Ike - 27%
Guybrush Threepwood - 13%



Lopen’s Analysis

Hail to the king, baby.

The Duke is going to clean up this poll, boy. You know why?

1. The Duke is backed by milk, and much like Master Chief will get the vote of people who like to drink things. (That is, the living.)
2. The Duke is the only character here that most people on GameFAQs actually know.
3. The Duke gets votes from people who haven't even played his games. Lopen votes The Duke here. Why? Lopen likes hearing him talk about bubble gum and kicking ass and some other stuff.

Now I think that's most of what Ike has going for him in this match. Why Ike has become the favorite to take second here? I don't know. What, the Duke is suddenly some sort of low fodder, boy? Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance? The Duke is amused thinking that this game will get this boy the win. It won't.

Oh Smash Brothers Brawl? Boy, the Duke has been in some brawls, and the Duke knows that Smash fans would rather see him in the game. Seriously though... you put those two together... I think you've got a guy that's slightly stronger than Pit. And sorry, that's not gonna cut it here. Duke's weak, but not that weak.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:11:59 PM | message detail
Now... I took Duke Nukem over not just Ike... but Gordon Freeman as well. You're asking me... was I drunk? Drunk by ordering Duke approved milk at the bar like ol' Buttpants Beoulve? Eh. It's possible. Phoenix Wright might have validated Gordon's strength in a way, but I still think this is a much stronger PW than last year. I mean, check it... earlier this month, I went to some Gamestops... and found Phoenix Wright for sale at most of them. I'd been looking for it for many months with no results! If that ain't a testament to the power being on the rise, I dunno what is, since sales were what was holding him back. PW beats Gordon this year, I'm sure.

Point of this is that I don't buy Gordon's strength. I still don't buy his strength. He inflates when he goes up against stronger opponents (and now more than ever I'm convinced Sora gets anti-voted... look at Tingle), and he's gonna lose. A mini Master Chief just won't cut it in this format.

(You know, Duke Nukem probably doesn't even refer to himself as "The Duke," but he does in my world! *grins and nods*)

Lopen's Prediction:
Duke Nukem - 36.43%
Gordon Freeman - 32.56%
Ike - 25.00%
I'm sick of seeing you you jobbing bastard - 6.01%



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

...wild fourpack, right here. *sigh*

Duke Nukem

Part old school FPS protagonist, part running contest joke, Duke Nukem and his constantly soon-to-be-released sequel continue to entertain us all. While the Dukester has been around the fodder line in the past, he's been slipping ever since, turning into a full-fledged joke when Milk Nukem graced our presence in 2004 before Duke took a two year hiatus. He did pretty well, though!

...and hardly anyone thinks that's legit. Can he place today?

Ike

With Ike, we're seeing either

1.) the power of the pure FE representation

or

2.) the power of the SSBB site alone, without the trailer

Seeing as how Ike is graced with a Brawl pic here, most people counting on him to place are betting on the former. It's a risky thing, but not a bad bet. Of course, if people are wrong, he could very well be squabbling with Guybrush for the remaining peanuts left...

Gordon Freeman

Part old-school FPS protagonist, part running contest joke, Freeman fans finally got their vindication last year as Gordon triumphed in a match over Phoenix Wright. And in another horrid placement... Gordon is again tasked with a match so weak that he is the overwhelming favorite. The question is if Gordon can lose... and that seems VERY unlikely.

Guybrush Threepwood

Once a staple of returning fodder, Guybrush is pretty much an example of the weakest you can be and still muster up enough support to make the contest more than once. Pretty much the one lock not to place here.

So... how does it go? A lot of ways, potentially. Gordon is as nonlinear as ever, but he's most likely the strongest and has that dedicated fanbase going for him. I say he takes first without too much trouble. Putting Guybrush aside, that leaves Ike and Duke. Duke is tested, and everyone knows Duke, but Ike has the appeal that GameFAQs goes for (see: Marth), and SSBB hype. If he were in the trailer like Meta Knight and Pit, he'd be the heavy favorite. As it is... can the Smash fanbase come through for him here?

I'm hardly confident, but I'm gonna say yes. The man exudes Smash, and we have yet to see a rep from that disappoint completely. For Duke to win, Ike would need to do just that. It doesn't hurt that he's the one character independent from PC gaming here... </reaching>

Karma Hunter's Vote: Guybrush Threepwood. How appropriate. You vote like a cow.
Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Gordon Freeman with 37%, Ike with 26%, Duke Nukem with 23%, Guybrush Threepwood with 14%

Upset Probability: 85%
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:12:26 PM | message detail
Man, is this ever a crapshoot. If Ike bombs, Duke could easily place. If Gordon's fanbase doesn't come through and Duke's recognizability trumps more than people expect, he could theoretically upend Freeman. Though I'd expect the rabidness of the Smash fanbase before that, resulting in Ike > Freeman. Almost definitely won't see Ike > Duke, but...

...yeah, a crapshoot.



Transience’s Analysis

god, this match rules. that picture is just killing me. who knew Guybrush could be outdone? but oh, he has -- check out the Duke.

then again, Guybrush has won my vote with this video: http://youtube.com/watch?v=1-9my0tsutw -- HM and I demand that we nominate Midget With Huge Belt for 2k8. someone find me his name, because he's just amazing.

anyway, uh, Gordon wins. he's definitely stronger than Duke, has a core audience that actually cares about him, and *might* be one of those non-linear guys who has a sizable dedicated fanbase like Master Chief. he always seems to underperform against weak competition (Phoenix) but overperform against strong guys (Leon, Sora). the only guy I'd consider taking over him is Ike, and that's just because he has such a huge range.

second place comes down to Duke vs. Ike. Duke's got the name recognition, and you know he won't bomb. he's fodder, but not fodder of the worst kind. plus, that picture of his is just screaming "time to vote Duke and chew gum, *****es." if it wasn't for the above youtube video, I'd vote him.

Ike.. who knows? for one, we have no idea how big that website is, which is simply the only reason he made the contest. if somebody else was announced before him, we have a new participant in this match. Ike is taking Pit to the next level when it comes to "how many people will blindly vote you over three other guys based on seeing your picture in a Nintendo game?"

Ike's far more known than Pit though. Fire Emblem is a legit series on this website, and while FE9 is not the most popular one in the series, people at least know who he is. sprite picture or not (and Fire Emblem's was worse), it *did* get 35% against Metal Gear. that's better than Soul Calibur did. in a weird way, Ike feels like the safe pick to me. he might bomb, he might beat Gordon, or he might end up second. I like his chances for second place the best.

pirate's life for me
Guybrush is so god damn cool
check out his sword skills

transience's prediction: Gordon Freeman with 36.53%, Ike with 29.44%, Duke with 23.49%, Guybrush "God" Threepwood with 10.54%



Guest’s Analysis - Biolizard28

(I'd like to take this opportunity to apologize for stealing a number of gimmicks in the following write up)

From the website that brought you "Square Falls Flat" and "Bidoof and Mudkip Advance", GameFAQs.com presents... FODDER FESTIVAL!

Well, maybe I'm being a little rash, but look at this! We've got a guy whose only win was against pre-JFA Phoenix Wright, one of the biggest jokes in recent gaming history, a scrawny would-be pirate who gets stomped on come match time, and a character from a just recently stateside series whose ONLY reason for being here is a Brawl announcement two days before the nominations opened. A bunch of winners they are. But enough about that. Let's analyze.

Let's make two things perfectly clear right now: Gordon's going to advance, Guybrush won't. There's no way in hell Gordon is weaker than both Ike and Duke, and Guybrush's microscopic fanbase will do nothing to help him. And now for the stars of the show, Ike and Duke "Done when it's Done" Nukem.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:13:20 PM | message detail
I have Ike advancing over Dukey boy, which seems like a safe call, but Dukey may very well pull the upset thanks to his "Kick ass and chew gum" image. But being badass only gets you so far unless you have something, anything, to fall back on. Duke Nukem Forever has become one giant internet joke, and unless a release date is announced the DAY of the match, Ike and his potential Brawl/Radiant Dawn hype boost, coupled with his own strength, will trample Duke. Marth only had SSBM to work off, and he did just fine... though, that speaks more of SSB's power rather than Fire Emblem's.

As for order, I have Ike squeaking by Gordon. C'mon guys! PRE-JFA PHOENIX WRIGHT!

Gordon Freeman almost wins

Ike marches forward

Duke's all out of gum

Guybrush fights like a cow

Bio's Prediction:
Duke Nukem - 28.19%
Ike - 31.11%
Gordon Freeman - 30.67%
Guybrush Threepwood - 10.03%

Bio's Vote: Ike



Crew Consensus: Some combination of Gordon, Ike and Duke, but Gordon > Ike is the most common.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2007 8:26:44 PM | message detail
Round 1- Division 8 Group C

Characters Involved:

Duke Nukem


Summer 2002 Contest
North Division - 3 Seed

Northern Round 1 --- Defeated (14) Iori Yagami, 33160 [62.72%] - 19714 [37.28%]
Northern Quarterfinal --- Lost to (6) Alucard, 22445 [38.49%] - 35864 [61.51%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 33rd Place [17.48%]

Summer 2003 Contest
West Division - 12 Seed

Western Round 1 --- Lost to (5) Ryu, 28995 [30.08%] - 67413 [69.92%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 45th Place [17.56%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Midgar Division - 16 Seed

Midgar Round 1 --- Lost to (1) Cloud, 17624 [19.81%] - 71329 [80.19%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 41st Place [19.09%]


Good old Duke, just at the fodder line and likely weaker than he was back in the day. I can't wait for Duke Nukem Forever to come out.

Ike

One of the many "OMG BRAWL NOMINATE NOMINATE" characters to make the field this year, Ike differs from his companions by being announced on the Smash website as opposed to the trailer. Some people have him doing things, but I have a feeling he's going to bomb to all hell.

Gordon Freeman

Summer 2002 Contest
East Division - 3 Seed

Eastern Round 1 --- Lost to (14) Tina Armstrong, 22560 [40.03%] - 33801 [59.97%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 53rd Place [11.31%]

Summer 2003 Contest
South Division - 7 Seed

Southern Round 1 --- Lost to (10) Max Payne, 41997 [46.01%] - 49281 [53.99%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 53rd Place [15.35%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Chaos Division - 10 Seed

Chaos Round 1 --- Lost to (7) Sam Fisher, 33528 [44.57%] - 41691 [55.43%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 54th Place [13.40%]

Summer 2005 Contest
20XX Division - 4 Seed

20XX Round 1 --- Lost to (5) Leon Kennedy, 38810 [41.43%] - 54875 [58.57%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 40th Place [20.88%]

Summer 2006 Contest
Destiny Division - 5 Seed

Destiny Round 1 --- Defeated (4) Phoenix Wright, 64324 [58.20%] - 46204 [41.80%]
Destiny Semifinal --- Lost to (1) Sora, 43996 [36.07%] - 77994 [63.93%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 33rd Place [27.63%]


Last year, Gordon made it clear that he was not the same Gordon that lost to Tina Armstrong and Max Payne. Aside from winning a match, he put up decent numbers on a Sora that appeared to be on steroids. He wins this match simply by being the only character above the fodder line.

Guybrush Threepwood

Summer 2002 Contest
East Division - 9 Seed

Eastern Round 1 --- Lost to (8) Ryo Hazuki, 15818 [28.56%] - 39574 [71.44%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 58th Place [10.12%]

Summer 2004 Contest
Hyrule Division - 10 Seed

Hyrule Round 1 --- Lost to (7) Bowser, 12652 [17.01%] - 61731 [82.99%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 63rd Place [9.82%]


I really wish Board 8 would stop nominating useless fodder...
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2007 8:26:57 PM | message detail
Predictions:

Gordon takes first by a mile, Guybrush takes last by a mile, so once again it comes down to second place. This is an interesting match, because we haven't seen Duke since 2k4 and he's bound to be weaker, and Ike is untested completely. Personally, I think Ike will be drawing most of his support from his Fire Emblem games, which doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. "But BT, Ike is announced for Brawl!!!! You saw what Meta Knight did!!!!"

Very simple explanation there. First of all, Meta Knight is a major character in the much more popular Kirby series as opposed to Ike being the star of 1 Fire Emblem. Not only that, but Meta Knight was a part of the Brawl Trailor that spread like willdfire across the interweb at E32006. Ike just has a small announcement on the Brawl site that luckily for him, went up the day of nominations. lke won't be getting any Brawl support.

Expect Gordon to manhandle these losers and Guybrush to fail to break 15%.

TuRtLe's Prediction: Gordon 35%, Duke 27%, Ike 23%, Guybrush 15%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Gordon > Duke
TuRtLe's Vote: Duke

TuRtLe
~~~
87/112 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Aeris
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/2/2007 8:34:21 PM | message detail
In 25 minutes or so we get to see THE DUKE AND GORDON FREEMAN IN ACTION

and I have Ike in second. WTF is my problem.
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/2/2007 8:35:15 PM | message detail
Gordon Freeman matches are always awesome. Can't wait for this.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2007 8:36:12 PM | message detail
I just realized, I might not be on the leaderboard with Sora > Lara, which means I'd need Gordon > Duke to get on there.

Gordon > Ike confirmed!

TuRtLe
~~~
87/112 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Aeris
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Lopen | Posted 10/2/2007 8:37:27 PM | message detail
Mo like Duke > Gordon confirmed!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/2/2007 8:37:46 PM | message detail
More like Guybrush > Duke
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/2/2007 8:38:10 PM | message detail
I'm so glad I picked Sora > Lara

I'm almost certain Round 2 is screwed for me but I'm gonna have 89 points after this match so I'm not doing too bad.
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2007 8:49:20 PM | message detail
I have no idea how this opening vote will go.. I guess it should be Ike's best time.
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2007 8:50:20 PM | message detail
Ike will rock the board vote gurarenteed. I can see him finishing above Gordon at the freeze.

TuRtLe
~~~
95/120 in the contest. Next pick: Gordon > Duke
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/2/2007 8:51:07 PM | message detail
Gordon is not exactly a beast with any specific vote demographic, so I'm gonna go with Ike doing good with the Board vote and Duke taking the Day Vote. Don't ask why.
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
swirIdude | Posted 10/2/2007 8:51:44 PM | message detail
I say Guybrush takes all votes
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Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2007 8:53:17 PM | message detail
Duke will do best at night. Think about it, everyone who was a gamer in the late 90's knows Duke.

TuRtLe
~~~
95/120 in the contest. Next pick: Gordon > Duke
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/2/2007 8:53:30 PM | message detail
You know how awesome it would be if Guybrush broke 10%

I mean I've never even played his games but he just seems like one of the biggest fodders this contest has ever had. Honestly, who keeps nominating him? He doesn't have any CATS joke factor does he?
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/2/2007 8:54:52 PM | message detail
The Mighty Pirate
Guybrush Feepthread, er, Threepwood
Insult swordfighter.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2007 8:56:03 PM | message detail
I have a feeling Gordon's going to be wowing people here. watch him outdo Sora.
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Lopen | Posted 10/2/2007 8:57:58 PM | message detail
I have a feeling Gordon's going to be wowing people too...

Watch him be outdone by Wesker!

(Man I'm in the twist post mood right now)
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 8:58:30 PM | message detail
Either Gordon's going to wow us, or Ike's bombing. One or the other.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Duke/Ike/Gordon/Guybrush - Bracket: Gordon > Duke - Vote: Duke (101/120)
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2007 8:59:21 PM | message detail
I don't know who to vote for. Gordon's my favorite, but Duke and Guytbrush are funny and Ike is awesome and he eneds the bracket vote.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Master Moltar | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:16 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 23.53%

4
Ike 35.29%

6
Gordon Freeman 23.53%

4
Guybrush Threepwood 17.65%

3
TOTAL VOTES 17

oh boy
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Duke/Ike/Gordon/Guybrush - Bracket: Gordon > Duke - Vote: Duke (101/120)
Eggplant Lord | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:22 PM | message detail
Vote Accepted

Duke Nukem 16.67% 2
Ike 33.33% 4
Gordon Freeman 25% 3
Guybrush Threepwood 25% 3
TOTAL VOTES 12

___
*watches*
o_o
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:22 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 23.81%

5
Ike 28.57%

6
Gordon Freeman 33.33%

7
Guybrush Threepwood 14.29%

3
TOTAL VOTES 21
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Janus5000 | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:26 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 21.95%

9
Ike 31.71%

13
Gordon Freeman 31.71%

13
Guybrush Threepwood 14.63%

6
TOTAL VOTES 41

highest Guybrush ever gets
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
YoAriel33 | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:35 PM | message detail
WHAT, MOLTAR WINS?!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Gaddswell | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:36 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 20% 12
Ike 35% 21
Gordon Freeman 35% 21
Guybrush Threepwood 10% 6
TOTAL VOTES 60

Go Ike!
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
swirIdude | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:38 PM | message detail
EPIC VOTING
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Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
Xcarvengerx | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:42 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 20.29%

14
Ike 36.23%

25
Gordon Freeman 33.33%

23
Guybrush Threepwood 10.14%

7
TOTAL VOTES 69
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Keno316 | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:45 PM | message detail
Lets ROCK!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:46 PM | message detail
Heh, Ike struggling to lead with the board vote?

TuRtLe
~~~
95/120 in the contest. Next pick: Gordon > Duke
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
trannyscience | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:47 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 30.52% 76
Ike 30.12% 75
Gordon Freeman 29.72% 74
Guybrush Threepwood 9.64% 24
TOTAL VOTES

yikes.
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
Agent M | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:51 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 21.95%

9
Ike 31.71%

13
Gordon Freeman 31.71%

13
Guybrush Threepwood 14.63%

6
TOTAL VOTES 41

zomg tie!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 10/2/2007 9:00:56 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 31.06%

82
Ike 31.06%

82
Gordon Freeman 28.03%

74
Guybrush Threepwood 9.85%

26

GO DUKE GO
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GSB International Champion
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
YoboD | Posted 10/2/2007 9:01:01 PM | message detail
Duke Nukem 21.95% 9
Ike 31.71% 13
Gordon Freeman 31.71% 13
Guybrush Threepwood 14.63% 6
TOTAL VOTES 41

Ike, you can do it!
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I like shorts, they're comfy and easy to wear.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/2/2007 9:01:01 PM | message detail
What the hell Duke Nukem
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
swirIdude | Posted 10/2/2007 9:01:03 PM | message detail
What the hell Duke???
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Squall > Sora is a lock. ~Lady Ashe
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