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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 506

creativename | Posted 10/1/2007 10:12:21 PM | message detail
I think Daxter's low percentage is a result of Wesker being stronger than most of us gave him credit for. A lot had Daxter at 10% with Wesker in the high teens.

Daxter's sucking should be proportional to the other characters though, which means it should benefit Sora more than anyone, I would think.
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trannyscience | Posted 10/1/2007 10:12:38 PM | message detail
Hayabusa's going to outdo Sora in percentage, maybe, with tougher opponents (?) and essentially no new game.

that's awesome.
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xyzzy
"And just to clear up any remaining confusion, tranny > icon." -Shaggy
DpObliVion | Posted 10/1/2007 10:12:39 PM | message detail
I figured more Daxter votes would take more away from Lara. So that could certainly be something in Lara's favor if Daxter performs extremely poorly.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 86/116
Keno316 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:13:19 PM | message detail
Up to 40% by Sora in less than an hour is sucking?


Specially When Sora still has the DAY VOTE to look forward to?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Master Moltar | Posted 10/1/2007 10:13:44 PM | message detail
Ryu > Sora 2008

Believe.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Wesker/Daxter/Lara/Sora - Bracket: Sora > Lara - Vote: Wesker (97/116)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2007 10:14:09 PM | message detail
Like I said earlier, you have to remember that 2 of Ryu's opponents are from the same game. Had it been say... Jak in Roxas' place, Riku and Ryu would have both been in the mid 30's or so.

TuRtLe
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87/112 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Aeris
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:15:04 PM | message detail
What a wacky match.
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CB6 - 87/116; Oracle - 21st
Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2007 10:15:07 PM | message detail
What's up with this gain/stall gain/stall pattern....rrr.....pull away Wesker, come on!
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
TexasAggie | Posted 10/1/2007 10:15:50 PM | message detail
Ryu>Kingdom hearts
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Contest pts: 94 (leaderboard position #21)
Today: Sora>lara
smitelf | Posted 10/1/2007 10:15:51 PM | message detail
This contest is great; this was supposed to be a "normal" match with a clean result. Heh.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/1/2007 10:15:56 PM | message detail
The more I think about this the more it seems as if Lara is screwed. We know all about Sora's epic and somewhat ridiculous KH day vote. But KH has swung into full on casual vote mode I believe.


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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
AndyManCan's favorite user
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2007 10:15:58 PM | message detail
Hayabusa > Sora would've been the best ever. Stick him in this four pack instead of Lara, and watch heads roll!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2007 10:16:25 PM | message detail
Sora swung 3% on Mega Man from the start to the end of the poll last year. That's pretty damn good.

TuRtLe
~~~
87/112 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Aeris
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
ZFS | Posted 10/1/2007 10:16:40 PM | message detail
Yeah, I have no idea where the "Sora is sucking" stuff is coming from. 40% already with the entire day vote to look forward to is going to put around expectations -- or at least reasonable expectations. Not sure what people were expecting for this performance to be poor.

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paraboxx | Posted 10/1/2007 10:17:04 PM | message detail
I think Sora's doing pretty well for this voting block. He's already over 40%.

In fact, I'm going to drop my "FF is dying" schtick for a minute and say Squall did pretty good too. Because anyone who can collect over a third of the votes in this format is not too shabby. (And also because if he is weaker this year, Akuma's gonna look really bad when all's said and done.)

You can bet I'll be right back here beating that dead horse again next round, though.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2007 10:17:31 PM | message detail
Hayabusa > Sora would be hilarious, but Sora has nowhere to go but up here, and he's doing it with a stronger than expected Wesker in the poll.

TuRtLe
~~~
87/112 in the contest. Next pick: Squall > Aeris
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BDawg | Posted 10/1/2007 10:17:45 PM | message detail
Eh hehe I don't care about any of these characters so I just voted for Wesker since he wears his sunglasses at night.
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Should I start running now?
Karma Hunter | Posted 10/1/2007 10:18:18 PM | message detail
We have yet to see day votes 'usurped' by characters in this format, and this match looks to be no different. Lara should gain impressively on Wesker in the day, and if she's stalling him effectively now during the night vote, it looks very good for her.

That being said, it's rather embarrassing that she's in this position in the first place to many, but that's the way the brackets crumble!
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Lopen | Posted 10/1/2007 10:18:26 PM | message detail
Or weaker than expected Lara. We really can't know.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
greatone10 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:18:45 PM | message detail
This match is funny. Wesker makes a 20 vote gain, and then Lara makes a 4 vote cut.
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Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2007 10:18:59 PM | message detail
The more I think about this the more it seems as if Lara is screwed. We know all about Sora's epic and somewhat ridiculous KH day vote. But KH has swung into full on casual vote mode I believe.

Yeah, she's got to deal with 2 other casuals there. Sora is going to pwn the casual day vote, and we ALL know Daxter is the king of the sleeping kiddies, so Lara's day train might be carrying only a small fraction of the passengers that it would in a normal match against a night owl. Wesker's the most independent fanbase here, isn't he?
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/1/2007 10:19:04 PM | message detail
Sora is about where I expected him to be. Same with Lara. Daxter is just sucking while Wesker is doing well.

I can't see how anyone can call Sora's performance right now bad. o.O
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Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:19:35 PM | message detail
Weskowned.
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CB6 - 87/116; Oracle - 21st
ZFS | Posted 10/1/2007 10:19:37 PM | message detail
aww yeah Lara!

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BDawg | Posted 10/1/2007 10:19:59 PM | message detail
What is Lara but a Crash with bewbs. The only reason I took her was because it looked like last year they managed to turn the series around to respectability, but I still don't think this signifies an uber Wesker boost or anything.
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Should I start running now?
RPGuy96 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:20:09 PM | message detail
It's a shame Capcom didn't port RE4 to the Xbox/360 at some point so Wesker wouldn't get slaughtered during the day.
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Mustache...and green...
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/1/2007 10:20:15 PM | message detail
bomba Wesker
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Wesker/Daxter/Lara/Sora - Bracket: Sora > Lara - Vote: Wesker (97/116)
DpObliVion | Posted 10/1/2007 10:20:40 PM | message detail
WHAT THE **** WESKER

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 86/116
Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2007 10:20:55 PM | message detail
Well nevermind, Wesker's done for.
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:21:08 PM | message detail
Not that my bracket even matters any more, but I had Sora > Wesker until you people made me change it.
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OH JEEZE!
Shaggy_Heru | Posted 10/1/2007 10:21:57 PM | message detail
From MoogleKupo141
Not that my bracket even matters any more, but I had Sora > Wesker until you people made me change it.

don't be so sure Lara won't take second

~Shaggy~
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hello - hope your life sucks - tranny
Lady Ashe | Posted 10/1/2007 10:22:03 PM | message detail
From MoogleKupo141 Posted 10/2/2007 1:21:08 AM #080
Not that my bracket even matters any more, but I had Sora > Wesker until you people made me change it.

Saving this for when he deletes it in a few moments.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
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Master Moltar | Posted 10/1/2007 10:22:12 PM | message detail
Oh, and Sora's still doing horribly. You would think that he'd be doing much better with these losers, but wow. Perhaps KHFever has worn off because Sora is just looking ungodly bad.

Just wow Sora, disappoint some more will ya?
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Moltar Status: Seeing if anyone takes the bait.
Wesker/Daxter/Lara/Sora - Bracket: Sora > Lara - Vote: Wesker (97/116)
smitelf | Posted 10/1/2007 10:23:41 PM | message detail
From Lopen
Or weaker than expected Lara. We really can't know.

Lara is hitting at around expectations right now, I think. 25%ish seems to be around the average when I look at the oracle predictions (though I'm not looking systematically).
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2007 10:24:42 PM | message detail
I really hate it when my upset pick just slowly burns away like this. Go on Wekser, let her make one vote cuts until the last update.
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:24:57 PM | message detail
This lead is going to hover around 100 all day. <_<
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CB6 - 87/116; Oracle - 21st
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/1/2007 10:24:59 PM | message detail
How can you not think Lara will take second here? She looks to be the easy favorite for it at the moment. If Wesker can't build a lead over 100 NOW he's screwed
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Lopen | Posted 10/1/2007 10:26:00 PM | message detail
Well this is what I expected Lara to be at too. Doesn't mean expectations can't be wrong, though.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Janus5000 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:27:36 PM | message detail
The more I think about this the more it seems as if Lara is screwed. We know all about Sora's epic and somewhat ridiculous KH day vote. But KH has swung into full on casual vote mode I believe.

Even if Lara doesn't gain with the day vote, Wesker will still plummet into the ground, dig a hole, and be swallowed up in a massive earthquake.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:28:52 PM | message detail
Even if Lara doesn't gain with the day vote, Wesker will still plummet into the ground, dig a hole, and be swallowed up in a massive earthquake.

Don't people usually ressurect and become the final boss when that happens?
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CB6 - 87/116; Oracle - 21st
BesaidGuy | Posted 10/1/2007 10:29:32 PM | message detail
IMO, Jak is the only uber fodder here.

Lara is a very casual name simply because for awhile Tomb Raider was one of the biggest games around. It even got it's own movie, WITH ANGELINA JOLIE IN HER HOT DAYS NO LESS!

Wesker has a dedicated fanbase. He is a reoccuring character and shows up briefly in a game many call one of the best of the previous generation. He also gets the night vote and board vote in this 4 pack


And lastly, we all know Sora dominates during the day and gets anti voted at night.


So 40%, before the perhaps the greatest kiddie/after school/day vote ever, is pretty damn good.

So having




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FuturamandFFX/TheRealoSix
AndyManCan's favorite user
smitelf | Posted 10/1/2007 10:29:35 PM | message detail
From Lopen
Well this is what I expected Lara to be at too. Doesn't mean expectations can't be wrong, though.

Well, obviously. But expectations can be measured, and Lara doesn't seem to be disappointing those expectations - Wesker is just doing better than most people expected of him (I think high teens was a popular guess for him).
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:30:25 PM | message detail
Anyone else notice that whenever Lara drops off like that, Daxter gets an 8% update? >_>
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 87/116; Oracle - 21st
Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2007 10:30:52 PM | message detail
Don't do this to me Wesker! Either run with the lead or fall quick! I don't want the drama!
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
Janus5000 | Posted 10/1/2007 10:34:02 PM | message detail
Don't people usually ressurect and become the final boss when that happens?

Yeah. That's the during school vote.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
DpObliVion | Posted 10/1/2007 10:41:07 PM | message detail
Just when it looked like Wesker was screwed....

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 86/116
Seginustemple | Posted 10/1/2007 10:42:50 PM | message detail
I know....
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If you fail at life you try suicide. If you fail at suicide, what's next? Failing at poetry... - Fidormula
Gaddswell | Posted 10/1/2007 10:52:27 PM | message detail
I wonder how well Krauser would do in a contest setting.
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Who the hell do you think you are getting off being so egotistical like that? - hochiminh155 to Takfloyd_mkII__
creativename | Posted 10/1/2007 10:53:26 PM | message detail
From the last topic...

Lopen
I mean, looking at this in traditional terms, Akuma made this very close:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2891&num=2


Whoa. It's like magic!

I had no idea it that did.


BTW, what's this "believe" stuff? Is that from something?
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creativename | Posted 10/1/2007 10:55:14 PM | message detail
Oh, and of course, Hayabusa is now like definitively favored over Riku next round. He outdid the combined forces of the Kingdom Hearts army.

Yet...just watch this contest give us yet another SWERVE~! and Riku beats out Hayabusa! :)

I would consider that the "indecisive KH fan multiplied by ninja factor" - "[Looks at poll] Oh no...*both* Riku and Roxas!? I like them both, I can't decide!! Why must you torment me GameFAQs...OK I'll just vote for the ninja!!"

Really, wouldn't a Snake>Riku result be so fitting for this contest? :)
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