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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 498

Master Moltar | Posted 9/24/2007 9:50:00 PM | message detail
...Am I the only one not feeling sick at the thought of Pikachu being a decent midcarder?

I'm still thinking it's just the format that allows for Pokemon to do so well.
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Isaac/Pikachu/Serge/Tidus- Bracket: Tidus > Pikachu - Vote: Pikachu (73/88)
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:50:01 PM | message detail
I was tempted to go for the both Kratos/Kirby advancing over Snake pick, but I assume you guys aren't quite ready for that one. <_<
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Keno316 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:50:34 PM | message detail
Is there any way we can tell what Pikachu's value would be if Tidus from last year was legitely not SFF and remained constant?
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:50:55 PM | message detail
The best part is, is this is Pikachu legitimately leading TIdus. You could claim Square SFF, but remember that Pikachu and Isaac are both Nintendo handheld stars. SFF argument is invalid today.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
creativename | Posted 9/24/2007 9:52:16 PM | message detail
On reading this topic, good to see that others were also appalled by this repugnant Pikachu winning display.

Though...what's this about Ridley getting 2nd tomorrow? Spyro is more likely to come in 2nd, but that's not happening. I do see Spyro>Ridley though. In fact, my straight-up expectation is Spyro>Ridley...the only reason I doubt that is my SFF-sense is tingling slightly between Vivi and Spyro for some reason, even though they're from totally different games.
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Lady Ashe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:52:58 PM | message detail
From Chamek Posted 9/25/2007 12:49:51 AM #300
Will any of the people who previous voted for him over Kirby really choose not to vote for him now because he is put into a new, high profile game?

He was the ass of the Noble Nine until SS:BB. Samus proved pretty nicely that he'll get rSFFed very easily by anything Smash until it comes out, so it's possible that he'll go back to near his pre-SS:BB strength during that match, which would let Sonic sneak buy.

Not that I was being completely serious or anything, but it's possible. <_<
~~~
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dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 9:53:08 PM | message detail
I don't know how the hell tidus is losing to pikachu, but... AWESOME.

lol tee-dus
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Keno316 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:54:16 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:54:50 PM | message detail
In fact, I could see Kirby stealing more of Sonic's votes than Snake's. They're both rather "old school" and popular among the "hardcore" gaming market of Nintendo/SEGA fans. Snake should be the one doing the stealing from Kirby. His SSB:B inclusion should help him, and hurt all fellow Smash Bros. participants he previously might have been matched up against.

Snake doesn't "steal" from Kirby. Snake has his block of support, which includes his MGS fanbase (the majority of his strength) and his Brawl fanbase (which is what put him over Sonic and Mega man last year). Notice how quickly he folded when put up against Samus, and needed Cloud in the poll to beat out Sephy? Also notice how when Snake was removed, his support went almost equally to Cloud/Link?

Throw Kirby against Snake, he loses some of that support, but Kirby loses much of his. Remember, SFF matches usually have really low votals. Both characters suffer in this format when they share a fanbase. Vann would have looked better if Rikku wasn't there, and Rikku would have probably advanced over Knuckles had Vaan not been there.

Both characters suffered.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
yoshi7cw3 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:55:31 PM | message detail
I dunno, I think FFX, Chrono Cross, and Golden Sun all cater to the same traditional-RPG playing audience and thus, the votes are split. Pokemon is an RPG too, in a way, but it's way different and anyone can play it.
therealmnm | Posted 9/24/2007 9:56:14 PM | message detail
Eh, I'm not making a big deal out of Pikachu winning. Like Fox, we hardly had much data on him. It's pretty hard to hold him to a Parappa match from 2k2...
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creativename | Posted 9/24/2007 9:56:21 PM | message detail
Mewtwo is seriously probably a top 20 character after seeing all this stuff. His performance on Ryu/Bowser was no fluke.

I agree, and said at the time that people were underrating Mewtwo's performance relative to Bowser there, and that Mewtwo was a lot closer to Ryu than those results implied. I think Mewtwo would get 45+% on Ryu 1-on-1, and I don't see him under like 43%. I've said this before, I think the fanbase split just destroyed Bowser and Mewto relative to Ryu there.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 9:56:25 PM | message detail
Why does Snake suddenly SFF every Nintendo character because he's in Brawl? That does not make him Nintendo, nearly all of his support is from MGS!
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creativename | Posted 9/24/2007 9:56:51 PM | message detail
*Mewtoe
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dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 9:57:02 PM | message detail
...Are you claiming ffx, golden sun and CC aren't casual-friendly rpg's?
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:57:13 PM | message detail
You can't claim RPG SFF either because they're all RPG characters.

This is legit.

Quick, assume Pikachu/Tidus is legit, and use Tidus' 2k5 value to see where Pikachu is.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:57:18 PM | message detail
Mewtoe lol
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Tai | Posted 9/24/2007 9:57:21 PM | message detail
...Am I the only one not feeling sick at the thought of Pikachu being a decent midcarder?

I'm not feeling sick:

I'm feeling anger.

I'm feeling my rage boiling. The urge to kill rises for every second Pikachu is in the lead.
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creativename | Posted 9/24/2007 9:57:22 PM | message detail
*MEWTWO
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dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 9:58:17 PM | message detail
If pikachu is actually a mid-carder now... XFD.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:58:58 PM | message detail
Snake went from 45-55 on Mega Man to 55-45 on Mega Man in the course of one year. Snake boosted through the roof, but was his same old self when he went up against Samus in the finals because he lost alot of that.

Notice how he managed to do decently against Yoshi despite Solid ****? That was Snake SFFing a weaker Nintendo character.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
transience | Posted 9/24/2007 9:59:00 PM | message detail
hmm, I'm getting a Ryu/Bowser vibe here. Isaac definitely hurts the Square guys more than Pikachu. Pikachu's obviously stronger than before, format or not.. but this is just the absolute perfect situation for him. for two straight rounds, even.

can't wait to see Vivi tomorrow. division 6 looked so innocent and easy, but it's by far the hardest so far.
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Keno316 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:59:35 PM | message detail
Seriously though, around how much is the difference between Vivi and Tidus anyway?
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swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 9:59:38 PM | message detail
If Pikachu is a mid-carder now, can't we just declare Link the official 100% winner of the contest now by use of the Wii/DS shift <_<
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/24/2007 10:00:01 PM | message detail
Snake went from 45-55 on Mega Man to 55-45 on Mega Man in the course of one year.

Two years, actually.
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almightyblue | Posted 9/24/2007 10:00:10 PM | message detail
I love how everyone's forgetting Snake/Yoshi last year when discussing whose going to benefit from rSFF in Snake/Kirby. It wasn't just the picture that allowed Yoshi to do so well
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 10:00:34 PM | message detail
Why is it so hard to believe Pikachu is a midcarder?

Pokemon has exploded in popularity compared to 2002/2003 and Nintendo has exploded simultaneously. Pikachu was high-end fodder at the worst back then, it isn't even THAT large of a boost.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
therealmnm | Posted 9/24/2007 10:00:51 PM | message detail
Notice how he managed to do decently against Yoshi despite Solid ****? That was Snake SFFing a weaker Nintendo character.

Or that was the clear picture of Solid Snake behind the sprite. And Snake SFFing Yoshi? Do you see how high Yoshi was already in those stats? And you think he got SFF'd???
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Chamek | Posted 9/24/2007 10:01:00 PM | message detail
He was the ass of the Noble Nine until SS:BB. Samus proved pretty nicely that he'll get rSFFed very easily by anything Smash until it comes out, so it's possible that he'll go back to near his pre-SS:BB strength during that match, which would let Sonic sneak buy.

Yes, but was anyone honestly expecting him to beat Samus? I sure as Hell wasn't. His match against her came out almost perfectly in line with was I was expecting, in fact. His increase from SSB:B plus the general drop of old-school icons such as Sonic, Mega Man, and Crono is what put him over that set of three, but he was never exceedingly far below them and it was all but inevitable that he pass them eventually anyways... SSB:B merely expedited this.

I look at Snake's matches as him having a legit shot to win even without SSB:B helping him... throw that into the mix and he's even more poised for victory. Pre-SSB:B I still would've taken him toe to toe with Sonic, and with Kirby around to steal from Sonic I likely would've had him first. SSB:B only solidifies his chance for victory even more in my book.
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creativename | Posted 9/24/2007 10:01:29 PM | message detail
The best part is, is this is Pikachu legitimately leading TIdus. You could claim Square SFF, but remember that Pikachu and Isaac are both Nintendo handheld stars. SFF argument is invalid today.

No evidence for this, but I would expect the overlap between Pikachu and Isaac to be virtually nil. I'd expect Isaac to share more with the other two if anything, though I think Isaac is pretty much neutral here.

I could see Serge and Tidus hurting each other, than seems quite possible. Though I think Tidus would probably lose even if Serge was removed, the difference between him and Pikachu is too big.
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dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 10:01:31 PM | message detail
Cloud only beat link once, and it took square's strongest year by far and a ww link pic for it to even happen then.

Honestly I don't see why anyone would have taken cloud, even without a huge nintendo shift.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 10:01:44 PM | message detail
Or that was the clear picture of Solid Snake behind the sprite. And Snake SFFing Yoshi? Do you see how high Yoshi was already in those stats? And you think he got SFF'd???

Yoshi for CBVI champion confirmed!

That would be awesome actually.
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ZFS | Posted 9/24/2007 10:01:55 PM | message detail
Why is it so hard to believe Pikachu is a midcarder?

There is a certain unwillingness that comes with the idea that something like Pikachu is a midcarder.

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Lopen | Posted 9/24/2007 10:02:47 PM | message detail
You know, I look at the x-stats for 2003 and it seems Isaac didn't totally suck? He got almost 26% on Samus?

You know, if I knew that, I'd have gone the Hochi route here instead of with Serge.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 10:03:01 PM | message detail
I love how everyone's forgetting Snake/Yoshi last year when discussing whose going to benefit from rSFF in Snake/Kirby. It wasn't just the picture that allowed Yoshi to do so well

Yoshi didn't "do well". He did almost exactly as expected, but this was before we knew Snake boosted through the roof.

Snake SFF'd Yoshi enough to make up the difference Solid **** would have caused.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 10:04:06 PM | message detail
Why is it so hard to believe Pikachu is a midcarder?

Because most people believe pikachu to embody everything people hate about pokemon, and nothing they love about it, therefore making it really damn funny that he's somehow has strength now.
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creativename | Posted 9/24/2007 10:04:40 PM | message detail
hmm, I'm getting a Ryu/Bowser vibe here. Isaac definitely hurts the Square guys more than Pikachu. Pikachu's obviously stronger than before, format or not.. but this is just the absolute perfect situation for him. for two straight rounds, even.

I think you have a good point here, this does seem like the "Perfect PokeStorm" division for Pikachu here...but god I hope not, Pikachu beating Vivi because of Tidus' presence would be the worst result these contests have ever seen.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/24/2007 10:04:56 PM | message detail
This is a very realistic dream. I wonder when I'll wake up. I'm kind of curious on who's winning that poll with Tidus and Pikachu in it
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JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/24/2007 10:05:29 PM | message detail
BT, if you insist that Snake SFF Yoshi, that will mean Yoshi/Dante is suddenly at MM/Sonic level and Riku is at Sora level.

LOL BT stats.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 10:05:37 PM | message detail
Such archaic thinking.

Like I said, that mentality died down when Pokemon fans started hitting puberty.

Saying you "hate Pikachu" is like saying you hate Barney the dinosaur. It may have made you cool in the 5th grade, but it would just make you look like a tool now.

TuRtLe
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65/88 in the contest. Next pick: Meg Ryan > The yellow rat
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
almightyblue | Posted 9/24/2007 10:06:15 PM | message detail
Yoshi did exactly what was expected of him in a match, that by your logic, in which he should have been SFF'd into the ground. Say all you want about Solid ****, Snake's picture was clearly visible in the background
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 10:06:49 PM | message detail
The fact that pikachu is increasing percentage after the power hour has begun to wear off is really ****ing weird.

Awesomely weird of course.
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Warsola | Posted 9/24/2007 10:07:21 PM | message detail
Predict it now: Will Pikachu have a 40+% hour in this match?
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 10:07:30 PM | message detail
Like I said, any benefit Snake got by SFFing Yoshi was lost with Solid ****. Yoshi's value on Super Snake was pretty much legit.

TuRtLe
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65/88 in the contest. Next pick: Meg Ryan > The yellow rat
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
paraboxx | Posted 9/24/2007 10:08:06 PM | message detail
*shaking his head once more*

You know, after Ada > Balthier, I actually had a suspicion of this.

I never would've said it beforehand in a million years, of course. But I am seriously not surprised here, and I don't even know why.
swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 10:08:07 PM | message detail
Predict it now: Will Pikachu have a 40+% hour in this match?

Hellz yeah.
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Lopen | Posted 9/24/2007 10:08:48 PM | message detail
There's something to be said about the Pikachu/Barney the dinosaur comparison.

But at the same time, even if he isn't getting anti-voted, where are his legitimate votes coming from? Even if you just ignore Barney, you sure as hell aren't going to vote for him.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 10:08:50 PM | message detail
Pikachu isn't as "kiddy" as you guys would think. Most of the hardcore Pokemon players are in their late teens/twenties.

I mean, how many Board 8ers play competitive Pokemon?

That's one of the reasons I have Pikachu going as far as I do.

TuRtLe
~~~
65/88 in the contest. Next pick: Meg Ryan > The yellow rat
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/24/2007 10:09:03 PM | message detail
How, how many more years until every single nintendo character can beat cloud and sephiroth? >_>
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greatone10 | Posted 9/24/2007 10:09:16 PM | message detail
Predict it now: Will Pikachu have a 40+% hour in this match?

Sadly, yes.
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