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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 498

PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/24/2007 9:11:34 PM | message detail
we didn't really overestimate Balthier that much (at least I don't think I did). i mean i always thought he was going to be crappy, i just thought his crappiness would outdo ada's crappiness. i was wrong lol.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Tediz247 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:11:44 PM | message detail
Maybe Squall/Tidus wasn't SFF after all.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Keno316 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:11:46 PM | message detail
Damnit! I finally make the leaderboard...only for this crap match to happen!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:12:03 PM | message detail
Sorry for the late writeup, I got held up at work longer than I thought. To be sporting, I have yet to look at the poll

Round 1- Division 5 Group C

Characters Involved:

Isaac


Summer 2003 Contest
North Division - 15 Seed

Northern Round 1 --- Lost to (2) Samus, 26560 [24.66%] - 81123 [75.34%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 44th Place [18.72%]


Isaac takes advantage of the expanded bracket and makes his first appearance since 2003. He probably dropped since then and was weak to being with, so he's a non-factor here

Pikachu

Summer 2002 Contest
North Division - 7 Seed

Northern Round 1 --- Defeated (10)PaRappa the Rapper, 30711 [54.41%] - 25736 [45.59%]
Northern Quarterfinal --- Lost to (2) Cloud, 15445 [20.49%] - 59926 [79.51%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 39th Place [15.32%]

Summer 2003 Contest
North Division - 8 Seed

Northern Round 1 --- Lost to (9) Fox, 30962 [31.33%] - 67856 [68.67%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 60th Place [10.99%]


The yellow rat is back, and my bracket is riding on him going to Round 3. Hopefully the increased Nintendo support, and stellar performances from the other Pokemon this year spell good things for Pikachu.

Serge

Silent star of Chrono Cross, Serge makes his debut. Sadly, Cross was a terrible game and doesn't hold a candle to Trigger. He also has Tidus in here stealing his support so I'll be surprised if he doesn't wind up last.

Tidus

Summer 2002 Contest
West Division - 8 Seed

Western Round 1 --- Defeated (9) Claire Redfield, 35004 [55.46%] - 28117 [44.54%]
Western Quarterfinal --- Lost to (1) Sonic the Hedgehog, 23516 [41.17%] - 33602 [58.83%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 11th Place [33.8%]

Summer 2003 Contest
North Division - 5 Seed

Northern Round 1 --- Lost to (12) Ganondorf, 57078 [49.32%] - 58660 [50.68%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 13th Place [33.14%]

Summer 2004 Contest
20XX Division - 8 Seed

20XX Round 1 --- Defeated (9) Shadow the Hedgehog, 48334 [50.81%] - 46788 [49.19%]
20XX Quarterfinal --- Lost to (1) Mega Man, 31033 [35.22%] - 57069 [64.78%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 24th Place [25.35%]

Summer 2005 Contest
Dream Division - 4 Seed

Dream Round 1 --- Defeated (5) The King of All Cosmos, 73408 [72.54%] - 27787 [27.46%]
Dream Semifinal --- Lost to (1) Kirby, 43215 [42.35%] - 58825 [57.65%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 26th Place [27.16%]

Summer 2006 Contest
Patriot Division - 5 Seed

Patriot Round 1 --- Lost to (4) Squall, 31893 [27.98%] - 82091 [72.02%]
Extrapolated Strength --- 45th Place [22.25%]


Anus still sore from last year, Tidus returns this year and is guarenteed to advance, and likely to take first here.

Predictions:

Boring match, the only thing to watch is how Pikachu performs, and if he can take advantage of Square SFF in round 2 to advance to the third round. Alot of people are writing Pikachu off here, but he has every reason to be stronger than his past performances indicate. Pokemon is no longer hated as it was back in the day, and Nintendo support coupled with the success of Diamond/Pearl leave me with good expectations for the yellow rat.

Tidus is almost certainly going to win today, and Pikachu wil lbe snatching up second. Isaac and Serge are fodder, despite what anyone will tell you. The only thing I can see happening with Serge is if he is strong enough to bring Tidus down significantly, but I can't see that happening.

TuRtLe's Prediction: Tidus 35%, Pikachu 33%, Isaac 17%, Serge 15%
TuRtLe's Bracket: Tidus > Pikachu
TuRtLe's Vote: Pika pika!
TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BDawg | Posted 9/24/2007 9:12:15 PM | message detail
People should stop nominating their obscure favorites to receive beatings at the hands of stuff like yellow rats. And yes the casuals owned at picking Ada but then they barely even had Balthier in second.
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Should I start running now?
Gaddswell | Posted 9/24/2007 9:12:33 PM | message detail
*throws away bracket*

Pika + Ada in round 3 kills any chances Leon > Dante has.

Go Pikachu!
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:12:36 PM | message detail
*sees poll*

O_O

=D

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 9/24/2007 9:12:37 PM | message detail
AUGH I FRANCHISE VOTED JEEZ
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Isaac/Pikachu/Serge/Tidus- Bracket: Tidus > Pikachu - Vote: Pikachu (73/88)
DpObliVion | Posted 9/24/2007 9:13:02 PM | message detail
Blame me for Pikachu winning. After getting Ada > Balthier last round, I'm 1 point away from the leaderboard. Everytime I get really close to making the leaderboard, I fail. And since I have Tidus > Pikachu, of course Pikachu will win. I'm cursed.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS
Applekidjosh | Posted 9/24/2007 9:13:17 PM | message detail
I voted pikachu >_>
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Applekidjosh is super awesome at work
AKJ. The Cream of Super Robot Wars fanboyism.
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/24/2007 9:13:24 PM | message detail
So with Fox being so far ahead of Pikachu, and Pikachu showing legit strength here...

Fox > Auron confirmed.
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Owner of TWO sticky topics!
Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488
Nepots | Posted 9/24/2007 9:13:25 PM | message detail
What's next? Ridley getting 2nd instead of Vivi/Leon?

Believe.
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Go ahead ********! Fire away! I've got a big turkey dinner here that says you don't have enough bullets to take down my hungry ***! ~ MG2 Run
swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 9:14:00 PM | message detail
YEAH BOI! RIDLEY TIME!
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Who Cares? | Posted 9/24/2007 9:14:17 PM | message detail
Yeah...so who else is ready for Division 6 to be over?
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Current Points: 70 -- 46th on Leaderboard
Maximum Possible Points: 750/768
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/24/2007 9:14:18 PM | message detail
Ridley sucks.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
DpObliVion | Posted 9/24/2007 9:14:37 PM | message detail
Ridley better not get 2nd. I originally had Leon > Ridley and then went "Wait a minute, that's dumb."

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS
swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 9:14:50 PM | message detail
Guys, I've messed up each match in Division 6.

THAT MEANS THAT VIVI WILL BEAT LEON!
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/24/2007 9:15:07 PM | message detail
Ridley getting second is far more illogical than anything else that's happened in this division.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
ZFS | Posted 9/24/2007 9:15:30 PM | message detail
Well, it's a safe to say that Ridley's not getting close to second.

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let's mosey
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/24/2007 9:15:54 PM | message detail
I think Serge would still be last even if there wasn't another Square character in the poll.
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Meg Ryan 36.37% - Pika 30.44% - Isaac Hayes 18.51% - Serge 14.68% ~ Status: ?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:16:14 PM | message detail
So does everyone owe BT an apology here?

Christ, he's even stronger than I thought.

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/24/2007 9:16:17 PM | message detail
Nobody cares about Serge. Why did anyone pick him?
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
DpObliVion | Posted 9/24/2007 9:16:20 PM | message detail
Pikachu gained less that update. Yay?

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS
Keno316 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:16:20 PM | message detail
Well...at least Pika's gains are dropping off...I just hope this is just another Phoenix Wright...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/24/2007 9:16:29 PM | message detail
8 people fell off the Top 50 today. Bigboi9786, RighteousJohn, Ptera, StealThisSheen, QwazyMofo, THEVinceYoung, Cid_ and Draco1214 did not have Ada > Balthier as yesterday's winners.

36 people managed to stay on the Top 50 even though they only scored 2 points.The_Dealer_7, hochiminh155, Omniscience, ForcefulKnight, KirbyKhan, LeonhartFour, TexasAggie, E_Gadd, LegendaryGeno, Esperwolf, LessThan3Presea, user345, warrant6767, frozenflame264, The_Lady_Ashe, bokoboko42, IAmAnAlt, BeautyQueenEtna, HunterKiller47, TheColderWar, MarioSuperstar, Leonhart44, ooBlack_Roseoo, Buzzoro, cake_weed_nippl, Renseim, Crono801, Silent_Alarm, Naye745, SirBinro, HopefulDeath, alphawindow, Nemo_Incognito, Chickenshack, alpha_door and KohlrabiGod also did not have Ada > Balthier as yesterday's winners.

One person on the Top 50 scored a single point and is still alive. thisistemporary hangs on in 50th place.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/24/2007 9:16:40 PM | message detail
...y'know, Ridley's dismal performance was in 2005. Considering that and the fact that Pokemon probably beats Metroid in a rematch (seriously how are so many FAQs that much more popular than Corruption it's a goddamn travesty)... Ridley's a Metroid character not named Samus. This is the equivalent of Frank West hype
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Lopen | Posted 9/24/2007 9:17:07 PM | message detail
I really doubt Serge is getting SFFed. Once again, it's Tidus. Serge is just bottom of the barrel fodder, apparently.
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Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly.
Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/24/2007 9:17:33 PM | message detail
I had Serge getting 2nd in my bracket, so of course he had to disapoint.

... <_< I haven't had a perfect match since Crono/Raiden... that's how bad my bracket looks
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Meg Ryan 36.37% - Pika 30.44% - Isaac Hayes 18.51% - Serge 14.68% ~ Status: ?
DpObliVion | Posted 9/24/2007 9:17:39 PM | message detail
Wow, 90% of the leaderboard was wrong yesterday? Ouch.

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Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko
See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/24/2007 9:18:23 PM | message detail
Ridley getting second over Vivi is possible. He's the only Nintendo character on that poll, and has MP3 to his advantage. In the villain contest he hadn't had a game in over a year, and Diablo was rallied pretty crazily IIRC.

And also, LOL SERGE.

Not bad Isaac.

What the hell, Tidus?

Pikachu...o_O?
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:12 PM | message detail
There is no way Ridley's getting second. He is the epitome of a character who will bomb in this format. He has basically zero true fans.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:18 PM | message detail
He's the only Nintendo character on that poll,

And that worked so well for Ness
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Meg Ryan 36.37% - Pika 30.44% - Isaac Hayes 18.51% - Serge 14.68% ~ Status: ?
Draco1214 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:24 PM | message detail
He's the only Nintendo character on that poll

So was Ness and he failed.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
Gaddswell | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:33 PM | message detail
Too bad I actually backed out on Leon > Pika in the end. The board got to me on this one. I didn't expect him to beat Tidus though. >_>

I'll consider this as a win in a win-win situation.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:35 PM | message detail
You know CC maybe having an ensemble cast never occurred to me until now.

The game has 40 GOD DAMN CHARACTERS AND I DIDN'T REALIZE THAT UNTIL NOW.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:36 PM | message detail
Kay, time for me to write my suicide note. Later. T_T
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.destructoid.com/elephant//ul/9855-550x-contra-poster-2-dsf.jpg
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:37 PM | message detail
onwd Draco
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Meg Ryan 36.37% - Pika 30.44% - Isaac Hayes 18.51% - Serge 14.68% ~ Status: ?
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/24/2007 9:19:55 PM | message detail
Boo Serge! :(
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
ZFS | Posted 9/24/2007 9:20:08 PM | message detail
Ridley getting second over Vivi is possible. He's the only Nintendo character on that poll, and has MP3 to his advantage.

No, it's not. Ridley would get destroyed by Vivi one-on-one, and this format lends itself well to someone like Vivi. And the whole "only Nintendo character in the poll" can't even be used after Ness.

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let's mosey
trannyscience | Posted 9/24/2007 9:20:36 PM | message detail
so.. who would take Pikachu straight-up over Tidus?

I wouldn't.
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 5987989754/45738579857
swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 9:20:39 PM | message detail
...Poor Ness ;_;
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Master Moltar | Posted 9/24/2007 9:21:09 PM | message detail
Hmm, maybe Tidus can actually comeback over the night.

Of course, Pikachu isn't losing the day, but still!

Oh screw it, this match sucks.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Isaac/Pikachu/Serge/Tidus- Bracket: Tidus > Pikachu - Vote: Pikachu (73/88)
swirIdude | Posted 9/24/2007 9:21:09 PM | message detail
so.. who would take Pikachu straight-up over Tidus?

I wouldn't.


Just out of sheer hilarity, and to document Tidus's huge fall from grace in 2003, I would do this.
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Keno316 | Posted 9/24/2007 9:21:30 PM | message detail
I'm not gonna give up hope yet. Pikachu is a bit slower, and Ness also managed to hang in there during the NPH before he fell..hopefully...


Oh who am I kidding, the day vote's gonna swarm Pikaturd...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/24/2007 9:21:58 PM | message detail
I think I've earned the right to be an obnoxious ass for the rest of the round.

All the ridicule fpr my Pikachu pick, now I can rub it in all your damned faces

TuRtLe
~~~
63/84 in the contest. Next pick: Han Solo > Ada Wang
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/24/2007 9:22:00 PM | message detail
The ASV is going to be absolutely painful.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/24/2007 9:22:41 PM | message detail
Mudkip basically won the ASV against Luigi. I don't see how Pikachu won't absolutely slaughter Tidus with it.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
Lopen | Posted 9/24/2007 9:22:44 PM | message detail
Eh, Tidus isn't out of this. Pikachu's gains are decreasing. Bracket voting against the "lock" and NPH... Tidus has a chance.
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Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly.
Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets.
ZFS | Posted 9/24/2007 9:23:03 PM | message detail
I think I've earned the right to be an obnoxious ass for the rest of the round.

but you're an obnoxious ass regardless of whether or not you've earned it

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let's mosey
Kyle Bowen | Posted 9/24/2007 9:23:09 PM | message detail
GO TURTLE GO!!!!


I can relate!


KB
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