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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 496

greatone10 | Posted 9/22/2007 9:43:14 PM | message detail
Tomko: No.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
creativename | Posted 9/22/2007 9:44:43 PM | message detail
Oh nevermind, I really misread that. :(

Was this to me? If so no you didn't, I thought Ness would be in the next poll somehow :)

I think Yuna is the favorite, but any of the other three could take 2nd.

Also interesting point someone raised earlier about Metal Gear's final updates, with Snake beating out Sephiroth that way too. Looks like Metal Gear fanboyism>bracket rallies.
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Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/22/2007 9:46:05 PM | message detail
This match really hit brackets hard. But since just about everybody failed at correctly prediction the match, the Top 50 mostly got shuffled. Only 6 people fell off the Top 50. Crono801, Kilgamayan, jaw_70, MasterSamuraiZ, TheS3hasYou and Ian_Ventricle didn't get enough points from the previous match to stay on the Top 50.

16 people on the Top 50 managed to stay on despite only getting the match half right. Omniscience, E_Gadd, LegendaryGeno, thisistemporary, ooBlack_Roseoo, LeonhartFour, Naye745, HopefulDeath, alphawindow, StealThisSheen, Esperwolf, alpha_door, Cid_, warrant6767, JDotCDot and pikamasta didn't have Liquid Snake > Alucard as yesterday's winners.

23 people manage to stay on the Top 50 after collecting just a single point yesterday. KirbyKhan, user345, frozenflame264, The_Lady_Ashe, bokoboko42, IAmAnAlt, BeautyQueenEtna, HunterKiller47, TheColderWar, MarioSuperstar, LessThan3Presea, QwazyMofo, THEVinceYoung, One_winged_ange, jumpers123, supraman_64, Dekar_TKB, smitelf, JonesSodaMastr2, Clichokeet, miaminole21, shadow8021 and, the Board 8 consensus bracket, Board8_BOP just manage to hang in there.

Congrats to hochiminh155, The_Dealer_7, TexasAggie, ForcefulKnight and Leonhart44. They were the only 5 on the Top 50 to see the result of the match coming when they made their bracket.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2007 9:47:07 PM | message detail
Alright. 63 points. Got this match right. Do I even sniff the leaderboard after this?
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
creativename | Posted 9/22/2007 9:48:06 PM | message detail
Liquid>Alucard was the probably the first 1 point match for most of us here.

Also I doubt Ceej would've taken away any votes here, he probably hated to actually alter results - unless it favored Mario of course ;) But at least he would've checked...I somehow doubt SBAllen bothers to do any auditing at all. Oh well, it's clear both characters were rallied for illegitimately at least somewhat, and would be very hard to say who did more.
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Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 9:48:42 PM | message detail
The match SHOULD have been 4 points! Damn you Liquid comeback!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/22/2007 9:49:46 PM | message detail
Time | Alucard | Liquid . . | Ness . . | Zidane
01:00 | 27.80% | 26.98% | 27.09% | 18.14%
02:00 | 28.62% | 28.10% | 25.18% | 18.10%
03:00 | 29.57% | 26.11% | 25.15% | 19.18%
04:00 | 29.62% | 28.76% | 21.78% | 19.84%
05:00 | 27.67% | 28.74% | 21.49% | 22.10%
06:00 | 27.83% | 30.75% | 19.41% | 22.01%
07:00 | 24.89% | 31.17% | 20.20% | 23.74%
08:00 | 26.19% | 30.12% | 21.90% | 21.79%
09:00 | 24.76% | 27.88% | 25.89% | 21.47%
10:00 | 26.02% | 27.32% | 27.78% | 18.88%
11:00 | 25.71% | 26.70% | 28.28% | 19.31%
12:00 | 25.95% | 27.04% | 28.07% | 18.94%
13:00 | 27.06% | 27.81% | 26.80% | 18.33%
14:00 | 27.56% | 28.54% | 25.34% | 18.56%
15:00 | 26.95% | 27.53% | 26.06% | 19.46%
16:00 | 27.54% | 27.17% | 26.63% | 18.66%
17:00 | 26.99% | 27.91% | 25.97% | 19.13%
18:00 | 28.41% | 28.56% | 25.68% | 17.35%
19:00 | 29.33% | 27.23% | 25.62% | 17.82%
20:00 | 28.60% | 27.52% | 25.68% | 18.20%
21:00 | 28.69% | 26.99% | 25.56% | 18.77%
22:00 | 31.26% | 26.28% | 24.75% | 17.70%
23:00 | 30.51% | 27.15% | 24.79% | 17.56%
00:00 | 34.06% | 29.49% | 20.46% | 16.00%
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Mustache...and green...
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Cavalier Lowen | Posted 9/22/2007 9:54:14 PM | message detail
oh 3 votes damn....I'd care a little more if my bracket didn't have some fatal flaws (luigi in the final four...wtf am I on crack seriously, my fanboyism knows no bounds). Great match though, knew I should've rallied my dormmates oh well.
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 9:57:32 PM | message detail
I wonder how Ammy would fare in a regular format...I'd take her over Kefka...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Warsola | Posted 9/22/2007 9:58:55 PM | message detail
Kefka would slaughter Ammy, imo.
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
Haste_2 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:02:25 PM | message detail
Oh, wait, nevermind. I think this is, like, the fifth time a nailbiter has ended in the board bracket-favorite losing: Samus/Sonic, Starcraft/Halo, Starcraft/WW, Snake/Seph, and now yesterday. (maybe you could count Vercetti/Kefka)

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FFDragon | Posted 9/22/2007 10:04:05 PM | message detail
From: Warsola | Posted: 9/22/2007 9:58:55 PM | Message Detail
Kefka would slaughter Ammy, imo.


Kefka would slaughter Crono, iyo.
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Warsola | Posted 9/22/2007 10:05:41 PM | message detail
Pssh, I was a noob back then.
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2007 10:08:35 PM | message detail
Kefka would destroy Ammy

I'd take 3/4 of the field over Ammy.

I'd take ToS characters over Ammy.

TuRtLe
~~~
60/76 in the contest. Next pick: The Plan > Ness
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
therealmnm | Posted 9/22/2007 10:09:33 PM | message detail
Aww yeah, just noticed I'm still on the leaderboard. Not after today though. :( And I'm really not feeling confident in my bracket with Yuna being there. I have Master Chief winning the next round (I picked Yuna in the first round because I thought she'd be a lot stronger amidst weaker competition). But she completely bombed. I wouldn't doubt her losing out to Alucard and/or Liquid next round.
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Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend
Mumei | Posted 9/22/2007 10:14:28 PM | message detail
I'd expect Kefka to beat Ammy.

I can't see her at ~20% on BL, unfortunately.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
Gaddswell | Posted 9/22/2007 10:25:53 PM | message detail
O_O

Only a 1 vote Ammy gain. She's slowing down.
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Finally a damn bracket!
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/22/2007 10:26:59 PM | message detail
I wonder if Little Mac will improve over Amaterasu in the night. That would be, you know, the opposite of what I expected
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2007 10:27:19 PM | message detail
I think Yuna's performance was more Master Chief impressing than her bombing. She should be at or around her 2k5 level, which should be enough ahead of Liquid Alucard to squeak by for the win.

TuRtLe
~~~
61/80 in the contest. Next pick: Dante > Matt
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Lopen | Posted 9/22/2007 10:27:32 PM | message detail
Yuna didn't bomb, Master Chief just beat everyone's ass. Yuna's still the favorite next round.

Hmmm. Mac is stalling Amaterasu now. Perhaps she's got a hugely frontloaded vote too.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:30:01 PM | message detail
Alucard sucks.

At least Ammy is looking pretty good here, though.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/22/2007 10:30:05 PM | message detail
Little Mac would be winning if it wasn't for boxer sff
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 10:30:52 PM | message detail
Congrats to hochiminh155, The_Dealer_7, TexasAggie, ForcefulKnight and Leonhart44. They were the only 5 on the Top 50 to see the result of the match coming when they made their bracket.

Damn straight. Too bad hochi and I took matt tho :(
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Contest pts: 68 (leaderboard position #5)
Today: Dante>Matt
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2007 10:31:39 PM | message detail
False alarm?
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 10:36:58 PM | message detail
So I like the rest of my picks this round after today, except Im apprehensive about the snake 4 pack. i took Rayman, but i seem to be the only one.
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Contest pts: 68 (leaderboard position #5)
Today: Dante>Matt
Gaddswell | Posted 9/22/2007 10:37:14 PM | message detail
Only a 13 vote Ammy gain there. Have to wait and see if the update before was a random spike or if these are just random drops.
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Finally a damn bracket!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:39:25 PM | message detail
To be honest, I don't see Mac coming back from even a 600 vote lead once the day hits. I have a feeling this'll just continue throughout the day with Ammy steadily gaining until the end.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
Kilgamayan | Posted 9/22/2007 10:40:35 PM | message detail
Liquid>Alucard was the probably the first 1 point match for most of us here.

It's my second, unfortunately. I also had Midna > Kratos. .-.;
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TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 10:41:05 PM | message detail
Did anyone even take ammy today? I may not fall very far after this match.
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Contest pts: 68 (leaderboard position #5)
Today: Dante>Matt
creativename | Posted 9/22/2007 10:41:32 PM | message detail
Can a single one of these guys increase with the day vote other than Dante? (Wii Sports should be day oriented, but I don't know if that means anything for Matt)

Not even Dante's actually good with the day vote.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:41:56 PM | message detail
I have Ammy, and I'm pretty sure a few other people do. I'm nowhere near the leaderboard, though, so you've got nothing to worry about.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:42:50 PM | message detail
3 votes...

3 freaking votes...

...I knew I'd regret bracket-voting Liquid this morning because I thought he'd need it to beat Ness.

At least Amaterasu winning lessens the blow of having Dante > Matt somewhat, since I bet most others had Dante > Mac.

3 votes...if I hadn't gone to my friend's going away party...if I had just stuck around...who CARES if I'll never see her again...AGH
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:43:54 PM | message detail
Well, as far as I'm concerned...if I'm a 13 year old faced with 4 characters I don't know, who am I going to vote for here? Chances are it's not the pixelated boxer. I can't see Mac doing any better than he is right now, and I doubt Ammy drops off enough (if at all) to make a difference.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2007 10:43:55 PM | message detail
00:00 | 34.06% | 29.49% | 20.46% | 16.00%

Oh come ON. o_o

And... completely out of left field for me from Ammy here. She's quite recognizable as the face of Okami, sure, but I had no idea that game possessed any presence on this site, and that name... for chrissakes, I can count the people who have gotten her name right on the boards with one hand.

And it's not all the weakness of her opponents, either. She's getting 22% on Dante, which would peg her at like Vyse level... before even factoring in that there's two other opponents sucking up 31% of the vote. I am stunned.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2007 10:44:10 PM | message detail
From creativename Posted 9/23/2007 12:48:06 AM #355
Liquid>Alucard was the probably the first 1 point match for most of us here.

I had Liquid > Alucard in my bracket.

~*ST*~
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TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 10:44:31 PM | message detail
Im not impressed with dante. he should be murderin g this fodder fourpack. I regret taking dante over the chief now.
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Contest pts: 68 (leaderboard position #5)
Today: Dante>Matt
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2007 10:44:54 PM | message detail
This is not out of left field for Ammy. Matt and Mac are bottom-of-the-barrel fodder. GameFAQs has gotten too young overall for most people to remember what Punch-Out is.

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Lopen | Posted 9/22/2007 10:46:26 PM | message detail
The only way Mac has a chance here is if Amaterasu has a bit of the Phoenix Wright effect going on. I'm not so sure that isn't the case... she's really slowing down.

Mac probably does have a better chance at moving with the day vote... virtual console, right?

It'd be foolish to not call Ammy the favorite right now, but I'm not calling it over yet.
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Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly.
Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2007 10:46:58 PM | message detail
I'm not denying Mac and Matt being bottom-of-the-barrel fodder, no sirree... but, coming from someone who ADORED Okami, I never dreamed of Ammy getting over 20% here. This is incredible to me, and another point I won't be bothered to lose in the slightest.
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Lopen | Posted 9/22/2007 10:47:33 PM | message detail
Course right when I say Ammy's slowing down Mac plummets. Heh. My timing is awesome.
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Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly.
Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets.
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:48:25 PM | message detail
Why would Ammy be Phoenix-esque, though? She's got absolutely zero fad power, she's not even close to being as much of a worshiped cult character as Phoenix is, unless there's some fan-site I don't know about (prove me wrong!).

I'm thinking this is all her.
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CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2007 10:48:42 PM | message detail
Course right when I say Ammy's slowing down Mac plummets. Heh. My timing is awesome.

Which is why I always wait for the update before commenting! No sir, I only put my foot in my mouth when it counts.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2007 10:51:27 PM | message detail
I also don't think this is a terribly poor showing from Dante... he's one of those characters that isn't going to have that universal appeal, especially considering how the DMC series doesn't have near as much pull as more casual friendly games (I'd take GoW over DMC right now, pretty easily). Dante's loved for his style and badassery, and a lot of that comes with his typically photogenic pictures. He may have beaten Yoshi with a better picture; today may be the worst picture he's ever had. It counts for something.
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Mumei | Posted 9/22/2007 10:52:16 PM | message detail
I'm not denying Mac and Matt being bottom-of-the-barrel fodder, no sirree... but, coming from someone who ADORED Okami, I never dreamed of Ammy getting over 20% here. This is incredible to me, and another point I won't be bothered to lose in the slightest.

After Okami pulled ~8% in the Best PS2 game poll, and lost to Lego Star Wars II for most anticipated september game, I was hoping for 15%.

Thrilled with this.

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:52:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, Dante's doing just fine. The only reason people were overshooting him was becauase they thought Ammy would be Wander Redux.
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CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
Lopen | Posted 9/22/2007 10:54:15 PM | message detail
The only reason I consider Ammy being kinda PWesque is because Okami kinda reminds me of PW on this board. So I figure maybe it has the crazy fanbase or somethin.
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Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/22/2007 10:55:28 PM | message detail
From Lopen Posted 9/23/2007 1:54:15 AM #396
The only reason I consider Ammy being kinda PWesque is because Okami kinda reminds me of PW on this board. So I figure maybe it has the crazy fanbase or somethin.

I could have told you that.

~*ST*~
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 10:55:33 PM | message detail
I figure you're wrong !

Unless someone finds that website I was talking about.

Which I really hope they don't.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 57/80; Oracle - 15th
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/22/2007 10:55:38 PM | message detail
If Okami was PW-esque here, Ammy would've been holding Dante under for quite some time. :P
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Samus 2K5 is horribly underrated, and is indirectly stronger than Mario. KHF sucks and never existed either, much like my package.
Big Bob | Posted 9/22/2007 10:55:39 PM | message detail
Ammy looks 300x better than every other character in this match.

I mean...damn. That's an awesome picture.
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