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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 495

Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:01:39 AM | message detail
I'm really surprised by Liquid! I expected that Liquid and Alucard would continue to trade blows evenly, with Alucard taking the slight lead. (damn picking the wrong order. I'll have hope as long as the lead remains under 1000)


Anyway, watching Liquid right now, I have to wonder about MGS...Either MGS characters just really excel in this format, or Snake's increase last year was more than just him in the end...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:02:41 AM | message detail
You know, if Alucard can keep stalling (which he has been for awhile outside of that one big jump by LS) and keep this in the 500-800 range, I'd still give him a chance come nightfall. He certainly owned the 12:30-5:00 Night Vote.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
Cecil XIX | Posted 9/22/2007 11:08:36 AM | message detail
Alucard's largest lead was 392. And since the 9-12 night vote is weaker than the 12-5, I think he'll need to keep Liquid closer than that to have a chance.
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:12:34 AM | message detail
Slow steady gains.


...Too bad Liquid's going more than erase that with his next big spike. >_<
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/22/2007 11:32:06 AM | message detail
You know, if Alucard can keep stalling (which he has been for awhile outside of that one big jump by LS) and keep this in the 500-800 range, I'd still give him a chance come nightfall. He certainly owned the 12:30-5:00 Night Vote.

The biggest comeback ever with the evening vote was when Frog cut 600 votes against MC in the last 4.5 hours of the poll. Alucard's no Frog, Liquid's no MC, and polls ended 3 hours later in 2k4. Alucard has to hope for continuous cuts all day to take the win.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/22/2007 11:33:58 AM | message detail
Wow, the closest match certainly isn't the most exciting, since no lead is moving at all. Except Ness's over Zidane...

Anyway, stupid Frog. Axel winning would've been the only good thing in the contest so far, but you guys had to ruin it. You want big surprises and comebacks, but only if its in favor of your dumb overrated board 8 fanboy characters.

</whiiiiiiiiiiiiiine>
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caps
swirIdude | Posted 9/22/2007 11:35:05 AM | message detail
You probably don't think that I can force this towel down your throat. But trust me, I can. All the way. Except I'd hold onto this one little bit at the end. When your stomach starts to digest it, I pull it out. Taking your stomach lining with it. For most people it would take about a week to die. It's very painful.
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:41:35 AM | message detail
Well...I give. At least I got the characters right. Just the wrong order.


I know fear MC > Yuna with watching Liquid here...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Kilgamayan | Posted 9/22/2007 11:44:44 AM | message detail
Bah, screw this division. I miss the days of Group 3 when everything was easy. D:

Hopefully it's an every thing group thing.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Chris Benoit 1967-2007
Can't get enough voting contests? Give Touhou Project's Seimoe a try! http://seimoe.shrinemaiden.org/
Kilgamayan | Posted 9/22/2007 11:45:16 AM | message detail
*every third group thing
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Chris Benoit 1967-2007
Can't get enough voting contests? Give Touhou Project's Seimoe a try! http://seimoe.shrinemaiden.org/
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:46:51 AM | message detail
I'm pissed that I ALMOST got my first perfect division here! DAMN YOU LIQUID! GET IN SECOND!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Kilgamayan | Posted 9/22/2007 11:49:09 AM | message detail
By the way, what are the current guesses for Division 6? In taking another look at it, it certainly does appear to be easier than Division 5, with the second day cluster**** being the only real question mark.
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RIP Eddie Guerrero 1967-2005 Chris Benoit 1967-2007
Can't get enough voting contests? Give Touhou Project's Seimoe a try! http://seimoe.shrinemaiden.org/
Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:49:54 AM | message detail
I think it does, although my reasoning was as much guesswork as anyone else's.

I meant the trends. Alucard and Liquid aren't budging.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:50:19 AM | message detail
...Maybe all the kiddies have Saturday school? <_<
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2007 11:51:22 AM | message detail
Noooo Ness.

Darn. Where'd the day vote go?
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 11:51:47 AM | message detail
I'm pissed that this was my best shot of getting on the leaderboard, cause I'm royally screwed next division.

Between having Matt the Mii in 2nd (Damn you WIIPHEAR!!!!) and having ADA > Baltheir (I seriously don't know what the **** I was thinking)...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 12:04:30 PM | message detail
Who gets 2nd next round, Yuna Liquid or Alucard?
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Contest pts: 64 (leaderboard position #27)
Today: Liquid>Alucard
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2007 12:04:33 PM | message detail
Wow.... looks like this'll be my first 1 point match =(

Unless Alucard can somehow come back and kick Liquid's army ass.

TuRtLe
~~~
60/76 in the contest. Next pick: The Plan > Ness
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:05:57 PM | message detail
I'm still banking on Yuna, but wouldn't be surprised to see Liquid win it.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 12:09:11 PM | message detail
I bracketed Yuna, but i wish I'd pick Liquid. Liquid was my against the board underdog pick, and I wish I'd stuck by him for another round. I honestly see him smashing Yuna because of sexist FAQs, and because he's already winning with a bad pic.
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Contest pts: 64 (leaderboard position #27)
Today: Liquid>Alucard
Master Moltar | Posted 9/22/2007 12:10:17 PM | message detail
Well, this one is over. Ness is falling back and Liquid is moving ahead. Unless something funky happens later, 1 point for me confirmed.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Alucard/Liquid/Ness/Zidane - Bracket: Alucard > Ness - Vote: Liquid (68/76)
Ngamer64 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:10:31 PM | message detail
Clearly the kiddies are just sleeping in today.

Fear the Ness afternoon vote!

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thengamer.com/xstats = lol x-stats
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:11:13 PM | message detail
darn you mgs characters
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 56/76; Oracle - 17th
TexasAggie | Posted 9/22/2007 12:11:16 PM | message detail
I expect to break the top #10, but I'll fall right back out tomorrow because I have Matt :(
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Contest pts: 64 (leaderboard position #27)
Today: Liquid>Alucard
Master Moltar | Posted 9/22/2007 12:13:30 PM | message detail
GEARFEAR
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Alucard/Liquid/Ness/Zidane - Bracket: Alucard > Ness - Vote: Liquid (68/76)
Rufus Shinra 18 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:24:58 PM | message detail
as a MGS fanboy, I'm really happy to see Liquid kicking some ass today. Forget the pisspoor performance in the villain contest. This is Liquid Freakin' Snake!! don't forget the dude controlled Ocelot's body. AS AN ARM!
And finally a debatable match in this contest when I get 4 points. If it stays like this...
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Litfiba: the best Italian rock Band ever.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/22/2007 12:28:22 PM | message detail
So it looks like Ness' day vote's going to be canceled out soon. Thankfully, Liquid looks to have 1st safe so I still end up with 2 points.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
swirIdude | Posted 9/22/2007 12:40:26 PM | message detail
Alucard finally made a good cut!
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/22/2007 12:41:48 PM | message detail
Alucard still needs 6-7 votes per update to catch up. 100 5-min updates remain.

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Eff Dee
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:50:52 PM | message detail
what a weird match.

I wouldn't say Alucard's chances are completely gone, but they look pretty bad here. the fact that nobody is really moving much in percentage puzzles me. Ness is going up, but he's not gaining votes, and he's certainly not going to make it to second.

good show, Liquid. you were all that was expected pre-match and then some.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
ZFS | Posted 9/22/2007 12:54:59 PM | message detail
Haha, awesome. Nice to see Liquid leading, even if it does go against my bracket!

Liking Ness in third, too!

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let's mosey
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:57:33 PM | message detail
How favored was the Ness to move on to next round?
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 1:01:09 PM | message detail
in the last two hours, Alucard has gained five votes.

aw yeah epic comeback
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Gaddswell | Posted 9/22/2007 1:01:30 PM | message detail
116 gurus had Ness advancing to the next round. In comparison, Alucard has 172 brackets with him in 1st or 2nd and Liquid only has 64 bringing him through.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 1:02:42 PM | message detail
Hopefully that aids me getting onto the leaderboard at least once before next round kills me.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2007 1:04:13 PM | message detail
So that's 3 matches Metal Gear characters have cost me.

Let's hope it stays that way and Solid is the only one who gets out of round 2.

TuRtLe
~~~
60/76 in the contest. Next pick: The Plan > Ness
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2007 1:10:32 PM | message detail
I don't know if anyone's noticed, but Alucard has been cutting for the last few updates. Could he pull a comeback with the evening vote?

TuRtLe
~~~
60/76 in the contest. Next pick: The Plan > Ness
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Eggplant Lord | Posted 9/22/2007 1:11:04 PM | message detail
The setup of this contest is annoying sometimes.

Even though I predicted Alucard > Liquid, I'm going to get the same number of points as people who predicted Ness > Alucard. Doesn't seem fair <_<

___
*watches*
o_o
__Mega64__ | Posted 9/22/2007 1:14:44 PM | message detail
Checking in again and the order still hasn't changed. Looking good.

Too bad Matt's bad pic is gonna cost me two points next round, so even if I do make the leaderboard it'll probably be short-lived.
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I'm an eel.
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 1:15:27 PM | message detail
Too bad Matt's bad pic is gonna cost me two points next round, so even if I do make the leaderboard it'll probably be short-lived.


I feel your pain.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/22/2007 1:17:11 PM | message detail
I think we might have another comeback tonight. Alucard has been stalling and slowly cutting for the last hour, it should only get better for him as it gets later.

TuRtLe
~~~
60/76 in the contest. Next pick: The Plan > Ness
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Kratos_42 | Posted 9/22/2007 1:27:01 PM | message detail
*agrees with BT*

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1KW7oM772Yg

Believe

>_>
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He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising.
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 1:32:27 PM | message detail
Sometime around 6PM, Vampire Killer will start to play and we'll have a comeback on our hands.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/22/2007 1:35:14 PM | message detail
making cuts? where are these cuts?

The lead has never broken 700 yet and its still sitting in the mid 600s. The lead has been over 600 but not quite 700 for over 2 hours now.

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Eff Dee
Gaddswell | Posted 9/22/2007 1:42:49 PM | message detail
Yeah, Alucard probably won't be coming back here. The two guys have similar trends and I wouldn't expect Alucard to randomly pull 40+ updates like Liquid did during the late night.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 1:46:06 PM | message detail
this three-way stall would be completely amazing if it was close.. alas.

aw yeah 666
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
dethfdddddh | Posted 9/22/2007 1:46:10 PM | message detail
First lucky 7's and now the devil's number.....
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Rufus Shinra had Darknation eat me for lunch in the Guru contest.
Keno316 | Posted 9/22/2007 1:46:23 PM | message detail
Liquid's lead over Alucard is at 666.

...ITS A SIGN!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 1:50:40 PM | message detail
whoa, nice little jump there. for some reason, that update makes me feel it's completely over.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/22/2007 2:11:54 PM | message detail
Three consecutive cuts by Alucard?
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
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