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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 494

Master Moltar | Posted 9/21/2007 10:29:52 PM | message detail
Ness HAS DEFIED TRENDS!

BURN THE WITCH
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Alucard/Liquid/Ness/Zidane - Bracket: Alucard > Ness - Vote: Liquid (68/76)
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 10:30:07 PM | message detail
MC is a different story entirely. I wouldn't ever use him while trying to prove a point.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
paraboxx | Posted 9/21/2007 10:31:01 PM | message detail
Heh, I like how you say that right after Ness gains 20 votes.

Yeah, yeah...forgot to check the update first. *mutters*

The point still stands, though. Mostly.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/21/2007 10:43:21 PM | message detail
Ness HAS DEFIED TRENDS!

BURN THE WITCH


*looks at last update*

Guess someone did.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Gaddswell | Posted 9/21/2007 10:43:48 PM | message detail
Ness is definitely starting his drop off now while Alucard pulls away. 250 votes separate 1st and 3rd now with Liquid right in the middle.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/21/2007 10:44:08 PM | message detail
ness ur doin it rong
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 10:46:25 PM | message detail
woo night vote

soon, Zidane will take an update from Ness! hahaha
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/21/2007 10:47:13 PM | message detail
Ness's day vote should be pretty epic here, given that he's going to be taking it from three characters who suck with the day.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/21/2007 10:47:51 PM | message detail
Yeah well we have to wait and see just how epic it has to be considering the night vote hasn't really started yet
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 10:49:13 PM | message detail
Ness's day vote could be epic and it might not matter if he's down a good 2000 votes

I have no idea what's going to happen here, but it's looking likely that he'll have a serious deficit to make up come sunrise
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 10:50:51 PM | message detail
cute little spike there!
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Gaddswell | Posted 9/21/2007 10:51:57 PM | message detail
Big Liquid spike. >_<

Come on Ness! Don't fall apart that badly here.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2007 10:52:11 PM | message detail
Ness has about 5 hours until morning hits, so if he stems the bleeding until then, he'll be fine against Liquid. Don't know if he could take down The Plan.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 10:57:39 PM | message detail
Alucard and Liquid have both gone up .3% this hour while Ness has dropped .6%. Zidane's just kinda chillin' there. this is only going to get more pronounced as the night goes, too. this is like the 3-4pm hour for the night vote - it's just beginning.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Keno316 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:03:20 PM | message detail
Alucard and Liquid are likely to share trends, so I imagine these two will continue to trade blows like this. Hopefully Alucard hanging on. Hopefully, they'll both build up a big enough lead to fend off Ness as well.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/21/2007 11:04:59 PM | message detail
Now this is a hell of a match.
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You do not have the right to never be offended.
Keno316 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:06:18 PM | message detail
Damn Ness! Just die for 5 or 6 hours...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Gaddswell | Posted 9/21/2007 11:08:04 PM | message detail
Ness STALLS!

Atta boy! Don't die!
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/21/2007 11:08:43 PM | message detail
9 people fell off the Top 50 today. Azp2k32, TheRunner_PD, CountCrazy007, PantheraPardus, xStlouisHolt81x, chocoboslayer, transience, SirBinro and Nemo_Incognito did not have Master Chief over Yuna as the winners yesterday.

15 people only get the match half right but manage to stay on the Top 50. hochiminh155, frozenflame264, The_Lady_Ashe, bokoboko42, IAmAnAlt, BeautyQueenEtna, HunterKiller47, QwazyMofo, jumpers123, smitelf, HopefulDeath, Esperwolf, Kilgamayan, Cid_ and Leonhart44 also did not have Master Chief over Yuna as the winners yesterday but the 2 points keep them on the Top 50.

40 - Board8_BOP - 64

For the first time ever, a bracket made on the consenus picks from the Board Odds Project has made the Top 50! Currently it's tied for 16th! For those who complain that the board mislead them to take bad picks and claim they will never listen to the board again... well if you had listened to the board, you'd be on the Top 50 right now.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/21/2007 11:09:12 PM | message detail
Keep in mind that vote leads mean a little less today than in most of the previous close matches this contest. These guys are pulling in ~27% of the vote, while Frog/Axel were only getting ~18% for instance. Meaning it would be easier to come back from further down, if the day/night disparity were the same as that match.
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 11:10:39 PM | message detail
whoa, that's awesome. woo board!
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Gaddswell | Posted 9/21/2007 11:11:09 PM | message detail
aww yeah. stalling alucard too
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:26:32 PM | message detail
Didn't the BOP bracket to extremely well in 2004?
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/21/2007 11:30:40 PM | message detail
Whoa, I left for about an hour and when I did Liquid was in first with Alucard in second, much to my dismay. Can Alucard hold his lead...and can Ness overtake Liquid for second?

This is exciting.
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Current Score: 60/76 - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VI
NP: Alucard > Ness
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:31:38 PM | message detail
The BoP had Cloud > Link, that didn't help...Tidus/Shadow, Ness/Jak, and Vivi/DK might have kept the BoP out of the leaderboard in the early going.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/21/2007 11:32:34 PM | message detail
Didn't the BOP bracket to extremely well in 2004?

Yep. Tied for 45th at the end. However, it never actually appeared on the Top 50.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:33:46 PM | message detail
Er, guess I'm wrong about Cloud > Link, then.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/21/2007 11:37:19 PM | message detail
The guru consensus bracket in SC2k4 had Link and Cloud tied. If you went with Link, it was a prize winning bracket.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
transience | Posted 9/21/2007 11:37:47 PM | message detail
what differences do we have between the BOP and the Guru?
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
TexasAggie | Posted 9/21/2007 11:41:29 PM | message detail
BOP got 3 divisions right in the games contest.
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Contest pts: 64 (leaderboard position #27)
Today: Liquid>Alucard
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:52:22 PM | message detail
Alucard's lead on Liquid has officially passed Liquid's lead on Ness.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/21/2007 11:52:26 PM | message detail
what differences do we have between the BOP and the Guru?

3 differences.
Round 1:
BOP: Link > Bidoof
Guru: Link > Miles Edgeworth

BOP: Luigi > Mudkip
Guru: Luigi > Pit

Round 2:
BOP: Mega Man > Knuckles
Guru: Mega Man > Yoshi

In terms of number of correct picks, the BOP has already won. However, if Yoshi comes through as expected, both brackets tie in terms of points.
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"Those whose memories fade seek to carve them in their hearts..."
"All dreams are but another reality. Never forget..."
Draco1214 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:55:48 PM | message detail
Wow, I knew Alucard's night vote was vicious but man, look at him go.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/21/2007 11:58:20 PM | message detail
I wake up from a sickness-induced nap to see the current standings reflecting my bracket perfectly.

I am now 80% confident in Alucard. Liquid vs. Ness still concerns me, though. I wish it was a weekday, so Liquid had more time to build a lead, but the weekend doesn't necessarily mean more day vote, it just means a more spread out day vote, correct?

I almost hate to root against Ness, though. I love him like a fat kid loves cake.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:02:00 AM | message detail
traditionally, the "day vote" on the weekend comes in the morning and the rest of the day is a lot more balanced. look at Shadow's match for proof of that. we really don't know what's going to happen here though. all we know is that Ness will do the best in the day. we don't know by how much.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:02:23 AM | message detail
ohhh yeah zidane > ness suck it fatty
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:02:44 AM | message detail
ZIDANE COMEBACK OH GOD 4-WAY IMMINENT
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:05:33 AM | message detail
is anyone around that has those hourly percentages? I should really copy that link and figure out how to do it.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:05:41 AM | message detail
One dilemma I've already had with this match is who to bracket-vote for!

I chose Liquid. I guess I really am more concerned with Ness passing him than him passing Alucard at this point.

I'm almost giving 2 points back to everyone tomorrow with Dante > Matt, so I can't afford to lose more today!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:07:20 AM | message detail
I know it's easy to say now, but I really don't understand how Matt was the Guru favourite. (and apparently the BOP fave, too) that just makes no sense to me.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:07:56 AM | message detail
In my mind, it was always a fight between Ammy and Mac.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/22/2007 12:09:04 AM | message detail
Time..| Alucard | Liquid ...| Ness ....| Zidane
01:00 | 27.80% | 27.14% | 26.91% | 18.16%
02:00 | 28.62% | 28.08% | 25.17% | 18.13%
03:00 | 29.72% | 25.90% | 24.97% | 19.41%


As expected, Alucard raises a bit. Ness falls from his power hour.

Although maybe not quite as expected is Liquid's sudden drop off. WTF r u doin
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:09:44 AM | message detail
Well, considering Amaterasu as definitely weaker than Little Mac regardless of how Mac finishes, many people (such as myself) thought that Matt would definitely be stronger, especially if he was classified as Matt the Mii or Matt (Wii Sports), and if he clearly looked like a Mii.

He got no such pic advantage/classification. Plus Little Mac got his absolute best in-game pic, one that I completely forgot existed.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
Big Bob | Posted 9/22/2007 12:09:54 AM | message detail
I picked Mac, since he was at least Nintendo.

But DAMN does Ammy have a badass picture for that match.
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September 29th:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38262325
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:10:04 AM | message detail
Liquid is the true day vote winner
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Janus5000 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:12:18 AM | message detail
Liquid seems to be making up for that last hour.

Man though, Ness is gonna have some fun when the sun comes up.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Draco1214 | Posted 9/22/2007 12:12:22 AM | message detail
I still think Frank West wins pic of the round so far for me. I've never even heard of the guy before this contest and I want him to get second just because of that pic.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:12:26 AM | message detail
even so, a Mii beating out legitimate characters when there's a lot of percentage to go around? (I'm not buying Dante at 60+%, by the way -- these guys aren't that weak.) you can call him Matt the Mii, give him a perfect picture and put a wii remote in the picture and I still would pick Little Mac.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
transience | Posted 9/22/2007 12:13:11 AM | message detail
w...hat? that picture is all-around boring in my eyes. and I've played Dead Rising!
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
therealmnm | Posted 9/22/2007 12:13:35 AM | message detail
What's going on in this topix???????????
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Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend
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