GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 492
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 7:52:35 PM | message detail |
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Round 1- Division 5 Group C Characters Involved: Master Chief Summer 2003 Contest East Division - 3 Seed Eastern Round 1 --- Defeated (14) Felix, 56549 [52.96%] - 50231 [47.04%] Eastern Quarterfinal --- Lost to (11) Aeris, 43161 [39.85%] - 65136 [60.15%] Extrapolated Strength --- 26th Place [25.31%] Summer 2004 Contest 20XX Division - 3 Seed 20XX Round 1 --- Defeated (14) Crash Bandicoot, 54469 [70.72%] - 22552 [29.28%] 20XX Quarterfinal --- Lost to (6) Frog, 45517 [49.9962%] - 45524 [50.0038%] Extrapolated Strength --- 14th Place [29.96%] Summer 2005 Contest Flood Division - 1 Seed Flood Round 1 --- Defeated (8) CATS, 65022 [68.83%] - 29446 [31.17%] Flood Semifinal --- Defeated (4) Donkey Kong, 50165 [50.79%] - 48597 [49.21%] Flood Final --- Lost to (2) Crono, 38028 [38.71%] - 60203 [61.29%] Extrapolated Strength --- 23rd Place [28.29%] Summer 2006 Contest Time Division - 2 Seed Time Round 1 --- Lost to (7) Sub-Zero, 62932 [49.05%] - 63538 [50.95%] Extrapolated Strength --- 30th Place [29.96%] After being screwed out of CB5 by a Sub-Zero that got a release that very day, Master Chief is back and looking to have his strongest year ever. PaRappa Summer 2002 Contest North Division - 10 Seed Northern Round 1 --- Lost to (7) Pikachu, 25736 [45.59%] - 30711 [54.41%] Extrapolated Strength --- 44th Place [13.97%] Uberfodder for sure, PaRappa hasn't been relevant since the 90's. He was weaksauce in 2k2, and he'll be ever weaker this year. Basically a non-factor. Tommy Vercetti Summer 2003 Contest West Division - 3 Seed Western Round 1 --- Defeated (14) Kite, 65818 [65.24%] - 35068 [34.76%] Western Quarterfinal --- Defeated (6) Donkey Kong, 51425 [50.48%] - 50457 [49.52%] Western Semifinal --- Lost to (2) Mega Man, 37456 [33.14%] - 75551 [66.86%] Extrapolated Strength --- 27th Place [24.76%] Summer 2004 Contest 20XX Division - 5 Seed 20XX Round 1 --- Defeated (12) Max Payne, 48239 [61.96%] - 29621 [38.04%] 20XX Quarterfinal --- Lost to (4) Zero, 30775 [38.16%] - 49875 [61.84%] Extrapolated Strength --- 29th Place [24.17%] Summer 2005 Contest Flood Division - 6 Seed Flood Round 1 --- Defeated (3) Kefka, 50165 [51.14%] - 47920 [48.86%] Flood Semifinal --- Lost to (2) Crono, 29182 [29.15%] - 70921 [70.85%] Extrapolated Strength --- 38th Place [21.30%] Tommy has been on a steady decline over the years and has probably fallen even further since we saw him in 2k5. He has one role in this match, and that's to be a potential sponge for Master Chief support. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 7:52:56 PM | message detail |
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Yuna Summer 2003 Contest West Division - 9 Seed Western Round 1 --- Lost to (8) Knuckles the Echidna, 45531 [44.68%] - 56363 [55.32%] Extrapolated Strength --- 34th Place [23.66%] Summer 2005 Contest Zebes Division - 6 Seed Gear Round 1 --- Lost to (3) Ganondorf, 41503 [38.80%] - 65476 [61.20%] Extrapolated Strength --- 31st Place [23.92%] Summer 2006 Contest Aeon Division - 1 Seed Aeon Round 1 --- Defeated (8) Roll, 97716 [79.30%] - 25501 [20.70%] Aeon Semifinal --- Defeated (4) Joanna Dark, 89711 [78.05%] - 25229 [21.95%] Aeon Final --- Defeated (3) Chun-Li, 71634 [60.84%] - 46106 [39.16%] Elite Eight --- Lost to (1) Zelda, 58112 [42.98%] - 77105 [57.02%] Extrapolated Strength --- 13th Place [38.45%] Yuna returns fresh off an impressive year as one of the female bracket 1-seeds. Can she overcome the odds and take first here? We'll see. Predictions: This is probably the most important first round match, as it will give us a gauge as to how Master Chief will perform this year. Fortunately for him, everything seems to be going his way for the first time ever. This time, it is HIM with an imminent release. Yes, I'm talking about Halo 3 which comes out in less than a week. Given the marketing blitz behind it, either you're well aware of this fact, or are a complete shut-in with no ties to the outside world. "But BT" you might ask "Yuna did GREAT last year. She dominated her division then impressed on Zelda-on-roids. Surely she has this in the bag!" Well, first of all, the four character format will play a key role for The Chief. In previous matches, it's clear that Master Chief has been the victim of strong anti-voting. X-box "hate" is at an all time low nowadays, but there are still that "faithful to gaming" crowd of people that refuse to accept mainstream gaming as part of our sub-culture. But with 3 "not Chief" options to choose from, the anti-voting effect becomes diluted. Also, Master Chief has been show to have a strong core of voters that will vote anything Halo over anything else, as evidenced by multiple multi-option polls. The other factor here is Yuna being overrated. I've thrown my "1-seed overration" theory out before, but basically it says that characters with high seeds will overperform at least to some degree. Yuna has been one of my prime examples. She completely decimated her division, even putting up Mario-like numbers on Joanna Dark. In my opinion, Yuna's match with Zelda was the only legitimate match for either of them last year. And given how badly Zelda did against Vincent, it only supports massive overration on that side. The only potential hinderance to Master Chief here is Tommy Vercetti, who some people think will "steal" casual support. You have to remember though, Vercetti's game was on the PS2 before the X-Box, and if memory serves, that is where most of VC's sales came from. I've always viewed Vercetti as somewhere in the middle of hardcore and casual on this site, so I doubt he affects Chief nearly as much as some people think. Unless Yuna can build a lead of at least 5000 overnight, I'm not ready to call it in her favour. Expect a massive swing at 3pm tomorrow. TuRtLe's Prediction: Master Chief 40%, Yuna 35%, Tommy 15%, PaRappa 10% TuRtLe's Bracket: Master Chief > Yuna TuRtLe's Vote: The Chief TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 7:53:26 PM | message detail |
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Holy crap...I had no idea Marth was in this. He could seriously be a wildcard. Everybody who's played Smash loves Marth. I think anybody that thinks Marth will be weaksauce is wrong. He'll have decent strength. I would not at all be surprised to see him finish above DK. Hell, I think he could get 40+% on Kratos 1-on-1. Eh, Fox would crush Marth, and Fox is probably pretty close to DK. Don't see how Marth stands much of a chance here, especially since he wasn't in the original SSB. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2007 7:53:27 PM | message detail |
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Liquid's match pic isn't bad, really. In fact, that's my favorite one he's got ever. --- Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly. Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 7:54:16 PM | message detail |
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Liquid looks awesome in his match pic. He just doesn't look as much like Liquid as usual. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 7:55:47 PM | message detail |
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Also, if Yuna bombs tomorrow, I'll be feeling REAL good about my Zero pick aww yeah TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| JaKyL25 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:56:52 PM | message detail |
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Liquid's match pic isn't bad, really. In fact, that's my favorite one he's got ever. I'd still prefer a pic of him as an arm. Remember Liquid? He's back...in arm form! --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. Character Battle V Contest Winner! |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 7:57:39 PM | message detail |
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From BlAcK TuRtLe Posted 9/20/2007 10:55:47 PM #406 Also, if Yuna bombs tomorrow, I'll be feeling REAL good about my Zero pick aww yeah TuRtLe ...Why? ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. Embok. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 7:58:09 PM | message detail |
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If PaRappa gets less than 15% tomorrow, Pikachu is guaranteed to lose to Serge. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Keno316 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:58:30 PM | message detail |
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Incoming Turtle Logic! *kicks reason out to the curb* --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2007 7:58:30 PM | message detail |
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I think he's spoofing himself at this point. Right? ... right? --- Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly. Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets. |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 7:58:48 PM | message detail |
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If PaRappa gets less than 15% tomorrow, Pikachu is guaranteed to lose to Serge. ...What? How do you get this? PS1 factor? --- http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 7:59:06 PM | message detail |
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Oh, and question time, if Nintendo and Square were removed completely, what would the "Noble Nine" be? I'm thinking Mega Man, Sonic, Snake, Zero, Knuckles, Dante, Leon, Master Chief and Ryu CapcomFAQs confirmed? TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 7:59:27 PM | message detail |
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If Dante gets over 50%, Snake is going to beat Link in the finals. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. Embok. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 7:59:51 PM | message detail |
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The weaker PaRappa is, the worse Pikachu looks, because of their match. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| red sox 777 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:00:18 PM | message detail |
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Eh, Fox would crush Marth, and Fox is probably pretty close to DK.
Don't see how Marth stands much of a chance here, especially since he
wasn't in the original SSB. Fox? Close to DK? After he beat Wario, Falcon, and Banjo, with about the same percentage as Luigi beat Mudkip, Pit, and Tingle? Back in 2003, Fox got on Link about the percentage DK got on Mario, and he's had years of being the #1 character in SSBM since then. --- Character Battle VI -- Points: 53/68 -- T-180 (58 way) Bracket: Ganondorf > Vergil -- Vote: Vergil |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 8:00:26 PM | message detail |
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I can't tell if you're serious or mocking Black Turtle. either way, it's stupid. --- xyzzy character battle vi score: 56/68 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 8:01:18 PM | message detail |
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Mac, do you honestly take that 2k2 match at face value? Aside from
obvious Pikachu antivoting there, and the fact that PaRappa is likely a
million times weaker this year, I see no way to relate the two at this
point. And any PaRappa underperformance is cancelled out by Fox overperformance TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| JaKyL25 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:01:34 PM | message detail |
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Oh, and question time, if Nintendo and Square were removed completely, what would the "Noble Nine" be? I'm thinking Mega Man, Sonic, Snake, Zero, Knuckles, Dante, Leon, Master Chief and Ryu Those might be the best nine characters, but they'd in no way form a Noble Nine. You'd basically have a Triumvirate w/ hangers on. --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. Character Battle V Contest Winner! |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 8:02:22 PM | message detail |
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And my reasoning for hoping Yuna bombs is it's just another strut in the building of my 1-seed theory TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2007 8:03:13 PM | message detail |
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dammit --- let's mosey |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 8:03:14 PM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2007 8:06:41 PM | message detail |
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Yuna's only "bombing" if she loses to Vercetti. Master Chief beating her easily in no way constitutes a bomb. It constitutes Master Chief domination. --- Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly. Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 8:07:03 PM | message detail |
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I'm thinking Mega Man, Sonic, Snake, Zero, Knuckles, Dante, Leon, Master Chief and Ryu Shadow would stand a good chance of beating Zero and Master Chief (and why's MC there when he lost to Sub-Zero?), but other than that, it's alright. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 8:08:39 PM | message detail |
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From Lopen Posted 9/20/2007 11:06:41 PM #423 Yuna's only "bombing" if she loses to Vercetti. Master Chief beating her easily in no way constitutes a bomb. It constitutes Master Chief domination. Master Chief Domination would support his theory that characters who got slaughtered in round one matches they were heavily favoured to win automatically make it to the finals in the next contest. And if PaRappa wins, he'll somehow make that look good for Zero as well. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. Embok. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 8:08:56 PM | message detail |
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I've got something worth discussing! OVER/UNDER - 30: Number of times we see "Believe" or any combination of "finish", "the", and "fight" during tomorrow's match. --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe MC/PaRappa/Tommy/Yuna - Bracket: Chief > Yuna - Vote: Chief (64/72) |
| creativename | Posted 9/20/2007 8:09:02 PM | message detail |
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I have Yuna at 34% tomorrow, Master Chief at 36%. I am concerned for
the possibility of a Yuna flop - her downside is probably like 25%, and
I could certainly see her getting 27%-29%. I can't put her below 34%
though out of Final Fantasy favoritism. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2007 8:10:38 PM | message detail |
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Over. I think HM and myself can pull it off alone. --- Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly. Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets. |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2007 8:12:01 PM | message detail |
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Nathan Hale advancing would ensure Zero's domination of this bracket,
because we all know that Nathan Hale is just Master Chief out of his
suit, and we all know that Master Chief inside of his suit is clearly
just a robot. Because of Hale advancing who is Chief in human form,
it's pretty clear that Zero will benefit as well from The Robot Factor.
Also, if the L-Block loses to Laharl, it proves that badassery wins out
on lol gamefaqs and because of that Zero > Link is confirmed. --- let's mosey |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 8:12:13 PM | message detail |
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Over. FFX Spoilers Yuna says "Believe." at the end of the wedding scene in FFX, so I'm pretty sure I may have to add a few myself. :x ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. Embok. |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 8:12:37 PM | message detail |
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aitch emm bringin' the truth --- xyzzy character battle vi score: 56/68 |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 9/20/2007 8:12:54 PM | message detail |
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OVER. I intend to use 15 believes by myself. --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| chocoboslayer | Posted 9/20/2007 8:14:36 PM | message detail |
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Over, easily. >_> --- PotD's OFFICIAL King of Games! The Choco. The Cream of Yuna Fanboyism. |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:16:18 PM | message detail |
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Depends on the result. If Master Choke bombs again, the only thing I will believe in is Yuna > Alucard. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2007 8:16:34 PM | message detail |
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Word to the wise: the last time "BELIEVE" was used it resulted in massive disappointment! --- let's mosey |
| Lopen | Posted 9/20/2007 8:16:55 PM | message detail |
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If Little Mac and Matt the Mii as a unit get above 30% against Dante it'll prove that the hard punching power is back in
on GameFAQs, and that characters from hard punching series are on the
rise. And who found the Hard Punch from Hard Man in Mega Man 3? Mega
Man. And who's in the same series as Mega Man? You guessed it. Zero, baby. --- Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly. Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets. |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/20/2007 8:17:19 PM | message detail |
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With all the "believe"going around I'm guessing you're all big Parappa supporters. That's nice to see --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 8:18:32 PM | message detail |
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OVER. Seriously, "the" is used constantly. --- http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png |
| Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 8:18:53 PM | message detail |
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Actually, if those two get 30% total on Dante it will prove that voters have no taste/PS2s. :( ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. Embok. |
| ejm5446 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:18:59 PM | message detail |
| I gotta believe! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 8:22:04 PM | message detail |
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augh i knew i should have gone 50! And it has to be the words 'finish' 'the' 'fight' all in the same sentence. Such variations are... Chief is finishing the fight against Yuna! Yuna is finished and Chief has won the fight. Fight on, Chief, finish off those dum characters because you are the bomb and I love you haf my bebes. --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe MC/PaRappa/Tommy/Yuna - Bracket: Chief > Yuna - Vote: Chief (64/72) |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:23:19 PM | message detail |
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If Master Chief loses to Yuna, it will prove that he needed a weapon. And you know who has a weapon? Zero. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin |
| dlcb1 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:24:21 PM | message detail |
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Master Chief will have the fight finished in the first hour --- HMMMmmmMMMMMmmmmm............... |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 8:30:22 PM | message detail |
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we've got an ascii pokemon stats topic and halo fanboyism what has happened --- xyzzy character battle vi score: 56/68 |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2007 8:33:57 PM | message detail |
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So what does the board vote look like? Yuna domination? --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2007 8:35:11 PM | message detail |
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Whichever is the bracket favorite on the board. --- let's mosey |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 8:35:44 PM | message detail |
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According to the guru, it's Master Chief. --- http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png |
| ZFS | Posted 9/20/2007 8:36:59 PM | message detail |
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Master Chief it is, then! --- let's mosey |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/20/2007 8:37:39 PM | message detail |
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Yeah but it's also Master Chief. People here will not vote for him just because. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
| Keno316 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:38:51 PM | message detail |
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I see Yuna taking a nice lead during the night and MC keeping it close,
but Master Chief taking off ASV and shooting up from there. I seriously think Yuna needs to build a very good lead at night if she plans on winning. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
