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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 492

Draco1214 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:11:50 PM | message detail
his poll option should be Matt (Wii Sports)

I doubt it. Kratos and Ryu never get "God of War" and "Street Fighter" respectively whenever they are up on the poll.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 6:13:28 PM | message detail
are you sure? I never pay attention to these things, I'm just going by the bracket.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/cb6_bracket
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 56/68
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/20/2007 6:15:05 PM | message detail
I think the bracket specified Frog as the one from Chrono Trigger in 2004, and yeah, Ryu is always identified as the one from SF in the bracket but never in the poll.

Regardless, part of the appeal of a joke character is in the picture. Matt's advantage there has been negated, and Little Mac has that now.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Yesmar | Posted 9/20/2007 6:15:35 PM | message detail
Was I the only person who didn't know until several days ago that Amaterasu was the main character of Okami? The description on the bracket doesn't really say much to imply that.
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"Look out-- It's Liquids and Gases!"
Draco1214 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:15:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, Kratos and Ryu usually have the titles of their series next to them. Hell, look at Ryu in the bracket. He didn't get the name of his series in the poll, though.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/20/2007 6:17:10 PM | message detail
From HeroicTronBonne Posted 9/20/2007 8:27:54 PM #342
You ****ers sure are petty. Whatever. **** making stats topics, too many people like Karma Hunter and Ulti whine about it. It's a madhouse.

ANTHRAX'D \m/

~*ST*~
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 6:17:57 PM | message detail
are you sure? I never pay attention to these things, I'm just going by the bracket.

Go by the updater on Creative's site. That has the names exactly as they were in the polls. Ryu was just Ryu.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 6:18:29 PM | message detail
hmm...

Matt is so screwed
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 56/68
Keno316 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:19:50 PM | message detail
My take on the pics...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-19.jpg

Glad its the good Yuna there. Not much to say. Everyone looks to have about the same advantage there.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-20.jpg

Not good pics for 3/4 of them. And the only one to get a good one (Zidane) is one who's character design is, for the most part, shunned on. Alucard gets by via name alone, but I'd give Ness the pic advantage for the most part.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-21.jpg

Lawl Matt! What the hell? There goes that point. At this point I'd really wish that Ammy would take it. But its a pipe dream.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-22.jpg

There's something about this pic that just screams out...SEXY!!! Too bad Jade's gonna flop worst than Zelos. I'm still hanging on to Ada advancing here. But I'm sure I'm not gonna get more than 2 points here.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-23.jpg

...What the Hell is with this picture anyway? Why is it so yellow and happy? They're like way too giddy.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-24.jpg

Leon looks like a zombie, Ridley's missing half his body. Vivi and Spyro look the best here. Specially Spyro's cocky snarl.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Draco1214 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:20:49 PM | message detail
Always considered second place to Dante as a two horse race between Ammy and Little Mac. I don't know why Matt is so favored in the Oracle.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/20/2007 6:21:51 PM | message detail
Matt was a legitimate pick until a couple of hours ago. Now he's a joke. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 6:22:10 PM | message detail
Matt is also the Guru favorite.

THE GURU

Seriously, guru is supposed to mean smart person <_<
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 6:22:28 PM | message detail
Matt was never a legit pick. :)

of course, now that I say that, he'll probably win.
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 56/68
Draco1214 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:22:32 PM | message detail
Bah, that should say Guru, not Oracle. Though, I bet Matt is favored there too.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 6:22:36 PM | message detail
And also, Dante might just break 70%.
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/20/2007 6:23:33 PM | message detail
That is a bit overkill, but he should be well over 50%. <_<
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:24:14 PM | message detail
Dante knows how to slaughter fodder, so I'll be shocked if he goes under 50%.
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Currently Playing: Wild Arms 3, Persona 3
swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 6:24:15 PM | message detail
I just can't see Ammy/Mac/Matt picking up 50% of the vote, even if you can barely see Dante <_<
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/20/2007 6:25:34 PM | message detail
but I'd give Ness the pic advantage for the most part.

...No. Short, fat kids never have the picture advantage.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/20/2007 6:26:18 PM | message detail
I think he'll break 60%, but I'm just worried about how we've constantly been overshooting the winner pretty much every time except for Vincent. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/20/2007 6:45:18 PM | message detail
From UltimaterializerX
Oh and as a note to anyone that wants to make stat topics, wait until 500 posts from now on =p

~*ST*~


Are you serious!? MADNESS
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 6:49:42 PM | message detail
Division 5: Round 1 - Match 19 – Master Chief vs. PaRappa vs. Tommy Vercetti vs. Yuna

Moltar’s Analysis

Master Chief
Game/Series Known From: Halo
Seed in 2003: 3
Seed in 2004: 3
Seed in 2005: 1
Seed in 2006: 1
Lost in 2003 to Aeris in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Frog in Round 2
Lost in 2005 to Crono in Round 3
Lost in 2006 to Sub-Zero in Round 1

Going to make up for last year.

PaRappa
Game/Series Known From: PaRappa the Rapper
Seed in 2002: 10
Lost in 2002 to Pikachu in Round 1

Another 2002 character returns to get beaten!

Tommy
Game/Series Known From: Grand Theft Auto: Vice City
Seed in 2003: 3
Seed in 2004: 5
Seed in 2005: 6
Lost in 2003 to Mega Man in Round 3
Lost in 2004 to Zero in Round 2
Lost in 2005 to Crono in Round 2

He beat the barriers.

Yuna
Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy X
Seed in 2003: 9
Seed in 2005: 6
Seed in 2006: 1
Lost in 2003 to Knuckles in Round 1
Lost in 2005 to Ganondorf in Round 1
Lost in 2006 to Zelda in the Elite 8

Yuna in the Elite 8…man last year was crazy.

This is a semi-interesting match. Well, first we have to take PaRappa out of the equation, because he easily takes last.

Okay, now there’s MC, Tommy and Yuna. MC and Yuna are midcarders, while Tommy has slipped to low midcard. I mean, when it takes everything you got to beat Kefka, you know you’ve lost a step. Even worse, Tommy hasn’t been seen in 2 years, and is very likely to have fallen even further thanks to Vice City aging. He’s taking third place.

Now there’s MC and Yuna. This pair better get comfy, because they’ll be sticking together for a while. Now some may believe Yuna takes first over MC, since in a one on one match, Yuna would very likely win. However, Master Chief has a very nice advantage in this format.

Remember Marcus Fenix earlier, and how he won his fourpack even though he’s a dirty Xbox character? Well, Master Chief is a bit more popular than Fenix, and thanks to the format, will not suffer from anti-votes like he would usually. This leads to the Halo-nation being able to support Chief big time and have it actually matter. A lot of people are banking on this for Chief and taking him far in the Contest.

So yeah, Chief better win this and he better win it good. I CAN’T BELIEVE I’M BANKING ON XBOX CHARACTERS SO MUCH THIS CONTEST (but it’s paying off so far)!

Moltar’s Bracket Says: MC > Yuna > Tommy > PaRappa

Moltar’s Prediction is: MC: 38% - Yuna: 35% - Tommy: 18% - PaRappa: 9%



Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

Vercetti vs Chief heads-up in 2003 would have been a *sick* match, but now we know too much. This match is one of the few that's pretty damn obvious. Vercetti and PaRappa don't have a chance in hell here, and I doubt Yuna > Chief is really up for debate either. I get the argument that Chief anti-votes should matter a lot less in a four-way poll like this, but Yuna is far enough ahead of him for that to not matter much. The only way Chief has a chance is if Yuna's 2005 number is legit, which it isn't.

And Heroic Mario is supporting the Chief this year. Nice knowing you, Chief.

Yuna [37.00%]
Master Chief [35.00%]
Vercetti [18.00%]
PaRappa [10.00%]



Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Master Chief – 35%
Yuna – 34%
Vercetti – 19%
PaRappa the Rappa – 11%


Now here is where all of the hype from the board seems to be going. I was on board with this one early, stayed on for a bit, but eventually abandoned ship when it became increasingly harder to picture the Chief going really far and the ever present reminder of his loss to Sub-Zero just last year. Of course, the Chief isn’t going to be “bomb,” at least based on my expectations for him.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 6:50:04 PM | message detail
The biggest question in this match-up is whether or not Master Chief can outdo Yuna. These two are pretty much guaranteed to be moving on, but it’s a matter of deciding who does it pre-Halo 3. Even though Halo 3 won’t quite be out in time for this match, I think the hype for it is going to be at an all-time high that it won’t matter. Everyone, everywhere, is going to be seeing Master Chief -- grocery stores, fast food places, commercials, on cars (what’s up, Pontiac), etc.

With that kind of media blitz, something Twilight Princess cannot even attest to having, the boost should be there because people should be riding the Halo High. In a match with any huge favorites like Samus or Snake, Master Chief can steal a lot of “middle ground” votes, which should propel him up to just manage to squeak by Yuna.

Most probably have Yuna > Master Chief here, but I’m going the opposite because I don’t think Halo 3 releasing is what’s necessary for someone like Master Chief. He’s the kind of person who does better based on hype of his game rather than the actual release changing the minds of the people, or so I believe.

Besides, when you’ve got your absurdly huge cup of BELIEVE in one hand, and your Master Chief fries in another, chewing on a Master Chief wrapped Whopper, how in the world can you not vote for him? Especially when the alternative is a chick who tells “brother” to go “faster” and “higher” and speaks in ellipses! Do the right thing, folks!

Bracket: Master Chief > Yuna
Vote: Master Chief



Yoblazer’s Analysis

God damn you, Thrall, you're almost worse than Mudkip! My bracket is a disaster! Save me, Chief! Wait, you need a weapon? Dammit Chief, I have you winning three straight matches, and you barge in here without a weapon?! Here, I have uhh... an office pen, a plastic cup, and a GE Real Estate loan application. Get out there and kick some ass. And don't let that cackling summoner pull a fast one on you.

To say today's match is long overdue is an understatement. We've had a couple straight days of ASS matches, and it's about time that the often unpredictable but always exciting Master Chief takes center stage. Several bracket makers have taken him as their dark horse in the tournament, so they're even more thrilled (anxious?) to see their boy test these new contest waters. He certainly comes in as the favorite today.

Chief's competition is an eclectic bunch that manages to bridge the gap between kiddie mascots, M-rated badasses, and RPG hotties. I'm referring, of course, to PaRappa the Rapper, Tommy Vercetti, and Yuna. PaRappa is going to get his butt kicked, so there's really no need to waste time discussing him. Vercetti and Yuna, on the other hand, have raised a point of interest. While the overwhelming prediction for this match is Chief > Yuna, some predictors have argued that Vercetti can hurt Master Chief to the point where Yuna eeks past the Halo star.

Can it happen? Well, Yuna is the only Square (Square or Nintendo, for that matter) option, and I certainly expect Vercetti to affect Chief's percentage more than anyone else's. However, people are letting it all ride on Chief for a reason: he's the face of Halo, the face of the Xbox, and the face for a heavily concentrated, hardcore voting block of GameFAQs visitors. In this format, he'll be getting all the Halo love, but very, very little of the Halo/Xbox/Microsoft anti-votes. If you had to build a format specifically to aid Master Chief's chances, this would be it. Knowing this, I doubt Tommy Vercetti will be enough to slow him down on day freakin' one, but if he is, then god help Chief in his future matches, and god help all of our brackets.

Master Chief - 34%
Yuna - 31%
Tommy Vercetti - 23%
PaRappa - 12%
Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 6:50:56 PM | message detail
Lopen’s Analysis

Watch today's performance in awe, ladies and gentlemen. The wonder that is Master Chief in a multiway poll shall be put on display. We've all seen it before. Master Chief has flukish positions in the x-stats every year. Why? Well, I (and others) have always believed that it's because Master Chief has a contingent of voters that will vote him over almost anything. I've talked a lot about the hardcore vote, the fanbase devotion... that belief of devotion = strength in this contest comes to a head in the form of Master Chief.

So assuming Master Chief's core fanbase is about 20% (I think it could be higher) of this site... that means he all but gets a bye beyond all but the strongest opponents. But wait... there's more. One of Master Chief's limiting factors, the dreaded anti-vote... it's all but a non-factor here with this format. Who will the haters vote now? PaRappa? HAOOAHA.

But wait.. there's more. Master Chief... he has not reached full strength! But that is a story for another day, in round 2. He won't need full potential yet, not for these guys.

About these guys... since I suppose I should talk about them a little bit. Well, even without this format helping him, Master Chief would still be the favorite here. PaRappa is a jo-jo-j-j-joke *scratches a CD*. Tommy Vercetti... well, not exactly the paragon of power in these things. Struggling with Kefka? Come on, now. Yuna looks like she could be a threat to the Chief... you know, if you think the 2006 contest's female bracket is worth anything more than a grain of salt. Well, okay, maybe beyond that. Yuna vs Sub-Zero would be an interesting match... though I do take Sub-Zero in that one without too much stress after seeing him do that well against Auron. Even assuming Yuna beats Chief in a heads up match, though, this format is just too beautiful for Master Chief, and he won't have any problem offing her here.

But back to more important things...
MASTER CHIEF IS INVINCIBLE!
Master Chief soda for the win!

Lopen's Prediction:
Master Chief – 41.44%
Yuna – 27.44%
Tommy Vercetti – 20.00%
PaRappa – 11.12%



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

I've been seeing more red in my bracket than I'd like lately... woo @ me being an "expert"

Master Chief

After yet ANOTHER year of being classically upset in a match where he was a "lock", Master Chief is back again to try and prove his worth on the cusp of Halo 3 in this format. If Chief can't make it here... people will never believe him in again. Seriously. I can see Tanner getting brackets over him.

Parappa the Rapper

It's all in the mind...

Yuna

In contrast, Yuna is fresh off a phenomenal 2k6 run where she made the Elite Eight and did as well on Zelda as Aeris did. Rumblings of Zelda being overrated and her not being a 'fan-favorite' suitable for this format... that's saying something.

Tommy Vercetti

A has-been that never was (unless you're talking about the FFP Vercetti aw yeah), here to basically fill his role of fourth wheel. He shouldn't be able to have what it takes to upset MC anyway...

...right?
Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 6:51:12 PM | message detail
All joking aside (knock on wood), MC and Yuna should be virtual locks to make it out of this round. The question, of course, is the order, and it's a hotly contested one. Does Yuna beat MC one-on-one? The smart money says yes. Does she beat him given the format? It's undeniably tougher... Yuna's never done particularly well in the FFX 'fan-favorite' polls, but those polls aren't as accurate as some would like to believe (TOO MANY ENTRANTS) and have the potential to skew strangely. More importantly, Yuna may simply be overrated by Zelda... but even if you want to give Zelda an absolute floor (like her 2k5 value or something) she still looks primed to give MC a fight. The idea is that MC has a disproportionately loyal fanbase that will carry him as far as the sun will shine... or something. Oh, and Halo 3 hype/release might have a little to do with it as the contest goes on.

Am I confident in Chief? No, I'm not an idiot. But I think he should be able to win this considering everything, though I am scared that his anti-votes won't be particularly diluted in *this* match. Yuna's really the only GameFAQs-friendly character here...

...it's hard to think of Yuna as crazy strong as she was last year. She could surprise, but I'll stick with MC.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Tommy Vercetti aw yeah
Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Master Chief with 36%, Yuna with 31%, Tommy Vercetti with 20%, Parappa the Rapper with 13%

I've gotta get back on track sooner or later!

Upset Prediction: 50%

I think Yuna is being potentially underrated in the fan-favorite department, and have thought so ever since we saw her in 2k5. She *was* the lead in FFX-2, after all, and people actually like that game (no comment, haven't played it). Vercetti certainly has more of a "connection" in casual friendliness with MC aside from Yuna. And... it's Master Chief. Really, now.



Transience’s Analysis

Character Battle VI's most debated character finally gets his first match. Master Chief is a contest legend -- he of the craziest comebacks in history, the most hilarious flops in history, and pretty much everything inbetween. it's generally accepted that Master Chief has both a fanbase that will vote him over *everything* and an anti-fanbase that will anti-vote him for the same reasons. this format should both reward and remove those fanbases, so this *should* be the strongest Master Chief that we've ever seen. Halo always does great in multi-option polls and it just makes sense that he'll get ~20% just from that core audience.

so far, so-called "casual" characters have done great. Xbox characters, too. Marcus Fenix's insane day vote surge over Kefka is the greatest example of what we could see from Master Chief. heck, Master Chief might even have a better day vote because of that rabid fanbase of his come afterschool hours. it's really impossible to tell pre-match what he might be capable of. he might do something insane, or he might just flop. that's just how he rolls.

which brings us to this match. Master Chief is in his most vulnerable position here: one strong character, two relatively weak ones. Yuna's run last year was pretty fluke-y - she's never looked as strong as she did last year and she has no real reason to boost - but you still have to respect someone that impressed four matches in a row. Yuna doesn't strike me as having a particularly devoted/large fanbase, but she's definitely the strongest. the main question: does she have enough support to stop the Master Chief machine from taking first?
Master Moltar | Posted 9/20/2007 6:52:13 PM | message detail
I think she does. I think Tommy Vercetti hurts the Chief more than he hurts Yuna, what with his "casual" appeal and all. I have no real basis for thinking this - they don't even share a console - but I think it will happen. Yuna isn't as popular as 2006 made her look, but she's good enough to hold off the pre-Halo 3 Chief with TV at her side.

Master Chief's scary
YUNIE'S GONNA DIE YA KNOW?
lawl I don't think so

transience's prediction: Yuna with 35.55%, Master Chief with 34.55%, Tommy Vercetti with 18.88%, Parappa with 11.02%



Guest’s Analysis - chocoboslayer

First, before I say anything else, this match has reminded me that it's been a long time since I've said that The Choco > "Lady" Ashe. Obviously, you know why I say this. >_>

Now, onto the match at hand. My first thought is simply this: Who in the blue holy Christ let PaRappa into this contest? I can think of a few characters that could've taken that spot and done much better with it. Wastes of space like PaRappa make me sad. VERY sad. If it gets more than 10% of the votes, I will...well, who knows what I'll do. As for Vercetti....He could do some damage.....in the right spot. This, of course, is not it. If he was in...well, anywhere in Division 6, he could have made it a round or two, but here...he's pretty much guaranteed to get a solid third place.

This match comes down to Yuna and Master Chief. Yuna has the massive amount of Squeenix fans behind her, but Master Chief has the insane hype that Halo 3 has created. Now, you would think that that hype would be plenty enough to give Chief the victory, and if I were as much of a casual as I normally am, I would agree. However...there's one problem: It's just hype. Until the game actually comes out, and people actually play it, the hype won't be enough to give Chief first place. It'll be close, but not close enough.

The Choco's Bracket: Yuna > Chief
The Choco's Prediction: Yuna - 38.9%, Chief - 38.3%, Vercetti - 16.4%, PaRappass - 6.4%

The Choco's Vote: Yuna, of course. Do I even need to tell you this?



Crew Consensus: Tran and the Guest prevent this from being an all MC > Yuna sweep.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/20/2007 6:55:06 PM | message detail
You ****ers sure are petty. Whatever. **** making stats topics, too many people like Karma Hunter and Ulti whine about it. It's a madhouse.

Or so you claim.

http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/amiinsane.jpg

...*glances at pics*

Huh. Nothing that particularly stands out, aside from Matt looking sorta doomed against Ammy and Mac.
Wait a minute... THAT'S what Jade Curtiss looks like? Goddamn, as if I needed anymore reason to wonder why I picked... it.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Cecil XIX | Posted 9/20/2007 6:59:04 PM | message detail
Am I the only one who decided how far Master Chief was likely to get, then put him down as getting eliminated one round earlier? >_>
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/20/2007 7:00:37 PM | message detail
http://i59.photobucket.com/albums/g320/HowDisturbing/amiinsane.jpg

XMFD

~*ST*~
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:05:00 PM | message detail
Match XIX: Master Chief vs PaRappa vs Tommy Vercetti vs Yuna

Information

Name: Master Chief
Game/Series From: Halo series
Past Contests: CB2k3, CB2k4, CB2k5, CB2k6
Wins: Felix (2k3), Crash (2k4), CATS (2k5), Donkey Kong (2k5)
Losses: Aeris (2k3), Frog (2k4), Crono (2k5), Sub-Zero (2k6)

Name: PaRappa the Rapper
Game/Series From: PaRappa the Rapper
Past Contests: CB2k2
Wins: None
Losses: Pikachu (2k2)

Name: Tommy Vercetti
Game/Series From: Grand Theft Auto: Vice City
Past Contests: CB2k3, CB2k4, CB2k5
Wins: Kite (2k3), Donkey Kong (2k3), Max Payne (2k4), Kefka (2k5)
Losses: Mega Man (2k3), Zero (2k4), Crono (2k5)

Name: Yuna
Game/Series From: Final Fantasy X/X-2
Past Contests: CB2k3, CB2k5, CB2k6
Wins: Roll (2k6), Joanna Dark (2k6), Chun-Li (2k6)
Losses: Knuckles (2k3), Ganondorf (2k5), Yuna (2k6)

Analysis

This is another match that contains characters that have appeared in previous contests. Unlike most matches the debate isn’t about who comes in second, but which one takes first or second. Two characters stand above the other two characters in this poll. On one side we have the most hyped character of the bracket and on the other we have a character whose position is not clear, but her worse position puts her just below the other character.

PaRappa the Rapper will come last in this poll. In his lone match in 2002 he lost to Pikachu despite Pokemon hate being at an all time high. He was past his prime back in 2002 one could wonder how badly he’ll perform in this match. The only game he got since 2002 and the only reason he is in the bracket is a PSP game that was released about two weeks before nominations open. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him struggle to get 10%.

Unlike PaRappa Tommy Vercetti actually has some strength, but sadly it won’t be enough for him to have a chance at coming in second. Since the last time we saw him doing worse than he did the year before, this could be because as the years past Vice City is slowly getting forgotten. Of course San Andreas just came out in that contest meaning that Vercetti may have just dropped for that year with the hardcore casuals jumping to the next game. Grand Theft Auto is the type of game that gets anti-voted a lot so this format could be good for Vercetti and like other characters Vercetti may do better than expected because of the hardcore vote, but with another hardcore receiver he may not do as good.

This match is really between Master Chief and Yuna and even then I’m giving Master Chief the favorite status. Master Chief is the character that gets anti-voted. He let’s weaker characters do better than expected and then turns around and puts up respectable numbers against stronger opponents. In this format the anti vote is split into three diluting their power while his hardcore voters keep on voting for him. This of course leads to people to wonder where he’ll go in this contest; some have him going to the semi-finals while some have him losing in round one. His future and a lot of people’s bracket will rely on his performance in this match.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:05:37 PM | message detail
While Yuna has the chance to come in first I only see her coming in second. If you look at last year’s stats you’d see that Yuna would destroy Master Chief, but earlier this round we saw Zelda (who beat Yuna) lose to Vincent so badly that no one could argue that the female bracket numbers are legit. If you use what Zelda got on Vincent you’ll see that Yuna actually ranks at her 2005 numbers (which is below Master Chief), however earlier this round Rikku was able to perform above expectations so maybe Yuna is stronger this year. I don’t really believe that Yuna is stronger for no reason, but I’m just pointing it out.

Like I’ve said Master Chief has this match, this contest was basically made for characters like him. As much as I would like to see him comeback from behind I wouldn’t be surprised to see him lead for the whole day. In my opinion this is probably the most important round one match for my and anyone’s bracket.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Master Chief > Yuna

charmander6000’s Prediction: Master Chief - 34.77%, Yuna - 31.55%, Tommy Vercetti - 23.57%, PaRappa the Rapper - 10.11%

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Match 18: Ganondorf > Ratchet Points: 52/68
Janus5000 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:26:33 PM | message detail
Don't look now, but Lead 3 and Lead 2 are converging. <_<
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 7:29:19 PM | message detail
Does that matter? Ratchet's still too far out to do anything.
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trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 7:30:00 PM | message detail
it's just embarrassing.
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 56/68
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:36:22 PM | message detail
Me: "Cool, new match pics are up!"

*Sees Matt's pic*

*Jaw drops to floor*

Me: BAAACOOOOONNNNNNN! DAMN YOU TO HELL!

How do you take a picture of a Mii where you can't even tell it's a freaking Mii!

...grumble.



Oh, and Amaterasu and Vivi look fantastic. I love that little Black Mage.

And yes, that Ada/Balthier/Frank/Jade pic is quite sexy.
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Janus5000 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:39:36 PM | message detail
Don't look now either, but they're diverging. <_<

Yeah, as transy-boy said, it's mostly just embarassing - Thrall goes from being neck-and-neck with Vergil to being closer to Ratchet despite rallying.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:39:43 PM | message detail
Oh, and I think Liquid is the sort of character that's somewhat immune to bad match pics. He's known mostly from MGS1, and his blocky PS1 graphics aren't all that distinctive.

He's getting by on people that have played MGS who can't help but recognize the name Liquid Snake (unlike Solid Snake, who draws some non-fan badass/reputation votes that fade when Sprite Rounds happen).
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creativename | Posted 9/20/2007 7:40:41 PM | message detail
Holy crap...I had no idea Marth was in this.

He could seriously be a wildcard. Everybody who's played Smash loves Marth. I think anybody that thinks Marth will be weaksauce is wrong. He'll have decent strength.

I would not at all be surprised to see him finish above DK. Hell, I think he could get 40+% on Kratos 1-on-1.

Also I didn't realize that Riku and Roxas are in the same match! I have Riku>Hayabusa, which is probably what most have, but given Bowser/Mewtwo I'd be almost stunned if Hayabusa doesn't win that.

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creativename | Posted 9/20/2007 7:43:09 PM | message detail
There's no way in hell I would've picked against Little Mac if I knew he'd get that pic. I consider him the clear favorite now (even though Amat...the wolf looks good too). Out of all the pics, I consider that to be the most relevant. (I picked Amatblah in my bracket, glad I changed it from my initial Matt choice because he has no chance, I don't see how he even breaks double digits...he's going to do awful)

Also I see Spyro getting 3rd (but I thought that beforehand anyway, I've just never believed in Ridley at all).
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JaKyL25 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:43:31 PM | message detail
Also I didn't realize that Riku and Roxas are in the same match! I have Riku>Hayabusa, which is probably what most have, but given Bowser/Mewtwo I'd be almost stunned if Hayabusa doesn't win that.

I considered this too, but I imagine that Roxas is the sort of character who would get SFFd to Hell by Riku, not hurting Riku too much, while Bowser vs. Mewtwo is truly a voting block divided.

Then again I've never played KH2, so I don't know Roxas. Just speculation on my part.

Ironic that it would be Ryu capitalizing in both matches.
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creativename | Posted 9/20/2007 7:46:33 PM | message detail
Matt looks like Samuel L. Jackson.

Then again I've never played KH2, so I don't know Roxas. Just speculation on my part.

Neither have I. But I hear people talking about liking Roxas. And anyway, it shouldn't take too much split for Hayabusa to take first.

Ironic that it would be Ryu capitalizing in both matches.<

Heh, didn't realize that. Funny.
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Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/20/2007 7:46:45 PM | message detail
Nobody likes Roxas.

Nobody.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 7:48:03 PM | message detail
from a pure x-stat perspective, Riku eats Hayabusa alive. what was it, 35% on Dante vs. 45% on Yoshi, in the same fourpack? it's just a matter of if Roxas can nerf Riku that far. I think Riku holds on there.
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 56/68
trannyscience | Posted 9/20/2007 7:48:39 PM | message detail
plus, that match against KH1 Sora doesn't do Ryu any favours.
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xyzzy
character battle vi score: 56/68
creativename | Posted 9/20/2007 7:48:46 PM | message detail
Wait...am I getting Roxas confused with Axel? I thought he'd been in one of these before.

Regardless, even if Roxas gets Vaan'd, he could still cost Riku that match.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 7:49:48 PM | message detail
Axel was in one of these before.
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creativename | Posted 9/20/2007 7:50:16 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/displayimage.php?album=9&pos=22

There's something about this pic that just rubs me the wrong way.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/20/2007 7:50:31 PM | message detail
Nobody likes Roxas except fangirls and they like Riku more.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 7:51:05 PM | message detail
creative, it's all the yellow.
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JaKyL25 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:52:02 PM | message detail
There's something about this pic that just rubs me the wrong way.

Maybe it's that Serge and Tidus are in the exact same pose, just mirrored?
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