GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 492
| helferty101 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:07:39 AM | message detail |
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Let's put a hypothetical situation here. Assume Snake/Ganondorf make the finals with Cloud/Link. Taking Cloud/Link/Snake from the Battle Royal, the split is 45%/35%/20%. Throw in Ganondorf who (for the sake of argument) gets 10%. Who is he going to leech more off of? Link of course. He'll take miniscule support from Cloud/Snake, but most of it will come out of Link's pocket. Say instead of Ganondorf, we use Sonic. Sonic has no clear overlap with any of them, so he'll take a much more even %age from them all. Say he gets 14%, he'd take about 4 each from Snake/Cloud and 6 from Link due to slight Nintendo/Sonic overlap. --- y halo thar turtle's alt |
| MMXcalibur | Posted 9/20/2007 7:24:54 AM | message detail |
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I caved in and bit on the Halo 3 hype, so Master Chief better not
disappoint tomorrow. By the way, I just noticed I have Master Chief
> Alucard in the 2nd Round. OOPS! --- HOT WOMEN: http://plum.sakura.ne.jp/~alice/gallery/graphic/2006/796hp.jpg http://plum.sakura.ne.jp/~alice/gallery/graphic/2006/844hp.jpg |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/20/2007 7:25:58 AM | message detail |
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And I've gotta admit: The possibility of Mudkip making round three
scares me, depending on what Luigi and Ganondorf get here. As much as I
hate to say it, Ganon's impressing me here, even if he is facing some
scrubs. Ratchet is among the worst of fodder, and the other two barely
breach the fodder line at best. Still, Luigi's fourpack likely is no
better, but Mudkip messes all that up. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Xuxon | Posted 9/20/2007 7:31:09 AM | message detail |
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No way does Ganondorf get 10% against those 3, and even if he did at
least 1% of that would come from the others. It's pretty much
impossible for Link not to win. --- FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:33:50 AM | message detail |
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In a 4way poll against Link, Cloud, and Snake? I'd take a guess at 8% being Ganon's ceiling. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/20/2007 7:34:47 AM | message detail |
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If Ganondorf gets 12% against Link alone, he's going to fare much worse
with two other guys who would beat him head-to-head as it is. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/20/2007 7:36:03 AM | message detail |
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Also, I mentioned this many topics ago but it was apparently
overlooked, but could we add RPGuy's percentage by hour link to the
first post of the stats topic? --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:38:05 AM | message detail |
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And I just remembered, Samus didn't even finish above 8% in the Battle
Royal last year. Granted, her match had two extra entrants, but Ganon
is a leach of an entirely different level. If Link picked up some sort
of increased inter-series SFF power from Twilight Princess, we could
possibly see Ganon struggling to hit 5-6%. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| helferty101 | Posted 9/20/2007 7:41:57 AM | message detail |
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No way does Ganondorf get 10% against those 3, and even if he did at
least 1% of that would come from the others. It's pretty much
impossible for Link not to win. I realize that. The point I was trying to make is that Ganondorf being in the poll in no way helps Link as (I think swirldude) said on the previous page. --- y halo thar turtle's alt |
| Xuxon | Posted 9/20/2007 7:48:36 AM | message detail |
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RPGuy was saying Ganon hurts Link's percentage less than Sonic would.
Which is of course, true, because Sonic will actually be getting votes.
But Ganon obviously would hurt Link more than he'd hurt the others. --- FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan) |
| Big Bob | Posted 9/20/2007 7:50:56 AM | message detail |
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Looking at the updater, I saw that Thrall almost overtook Vergil. What are the chances it could happen again? --- September 29th: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38262325 |
| Xuxon | Posted 9/20/2007 7:54:57 AM | message detail |
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That's a tough one. Without any off-site rallying, I'd have called this
for Vergil a long time ago. But rallying could be a huge factor here. I
think I'd still call Vergil a slight favorite. --- FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan) |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/20/2007 8:01:40 AM | message detail |
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I think Vergil will be slowly but surely gaining the rest of the day.
Neither one of these guys is going to get a huge day vote advantage. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/20/2007 8:02:55 AM | message detail |
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42,830 Rikku 42,692 Zelda And I don't see Thrall coming back from this. He made his move in the night, Vergil got the first real cushion he's had in the morning. As long as he can stall and rallying doesn't play a prominent role, he's got this. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 8:12:47 AM | message detail |
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Could the morning vote be going to Ratchet? --- http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png |
| Lady Ashe | Posted 9/20/2007 8:24:44 AM | message detail |
| Leonhart and I make up 20% of the leaderboard. Awesome. |
| Xuxon | Posted 9/20/2007 8:26:31 AM | message detail |
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No fair, hogging the leaderboard like that. I have 56 points and
haven't been on there yet, and probably won't at all unless Thrall
makes a comeback. --- FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan) |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:34:41 AM | message detail |
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I think my bracket was a semi-favorite bracket when I made it; any
close match I went with my favorite character and even when the matches
wouldn't be close. Take a look at some of the rest of my round 1 picks. Balthier > Frank Kirby > Laharl Donkey Kong > Kratos Ryu H > Riku Gordon > Ike --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 18: Ganondorf > Ratchet Points: 52/68 |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/20/2007 8:42:59 AM | message detail |
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Balthier > Frank I've covered wars, you know, not Final Fantasy freaks. --- http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/20/2007 8:46:27 AM | message detail |
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I think my bracket was a semi-favorite bracket when I made it; any
close match I went with my favorite character and even when the matches
wouldn't be close. Take a look at some of the rest of my round 1 picks. Balthier > Frank Kirby > Laharl Donkey Kong > Kratos Ryu H > Riku Gordon > Ike Um, none of those are bad picks other than DK > Kratos. Sure, KH has done well so far...but then, so has Xbox. And there's nothing at all wrong with the other three. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/20/2007 8:46:48 AM | message detail |
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If Thrall can keep it under 1500 by 3:30 then I'll give him a reasonable shot. --- Feel my truth. |
| Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/20/2007 8:48:25 AM | message detail |
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Why do people thing thrall will do any better as it gets later than he did last night? Vergil has this one imo. --- Eff Dee |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/20/2007 8:49:43 AM | message detail |
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Thrall did nothing miraculous at the start of the poll or in the
morning. It would make very little sense for the after school vote to
favor him enough to make this interesting. Vergil has this. Looks like I picked the wrong time to listen to Funk. =( |
| DpObliVion | Posted 9/20/2007 8:54:43 AM | message detail |
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*wakes up* Wow. Well, this was quite unexpected after watching Thrall completely kill Vergil's small lead late last night. Vergil was starting to regain when I went to bed, but I thought it was just a regular stall/gain a little before Thrall would swing it back again. If anything, I thought Vergil could still be ahead by a small margin. But he's really putting it to Thrall right now. --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS |
| Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/20/2007 8:56:00 AM | message detail |
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Yeah, the stall broke very early morning and that was the last we saw of thrall's chances. I for one am extremely relieved, I was very thrall-nervous when I saw the numbers Arthas was putting up. --- Eff Dee |
| octoinky | Posted 9/20/2007 8:57:01 AM | message detail |
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I see some old talk about Cloud > Link, so I'd like to share my thoughts. in my bracket, I have Seph/Mario whatever order, they make it together, and then Link > Vincent (>Crono). Well basically, I took Link > Mario the next round as a *major* reach obviously, assuming Vincent can hold is own against Seph, and so can Mario against Link. This is still a pretty bad pick - its still incredibly unlikely heck Mario could get 4th, however.. The reason I did this, was because the next round is Cloud Link Samus Mario. At this point, I took Cloud > Link, and I see this possible (probable?) scenario given the matchup. I know its not the best picks, but once again I wanted something non-cookie cutter that would be worth a LOT of points over the majority of brackets, and that was atleast feasible and made sense. Anyway, that is the only way that I can see Cloud > Link anywhere. I obv took Link > Cloud in the finals. --- Zero > HK-47, Luigi > Tingle, Ganondorf > Vergil Upcoming Votes: Lloyd, Luigi, Ganondorf, Yuna |
| DpObliVion | Posted 9/20/2007 9:01:05 AM | message detail |
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I for one am extremely relieved, I was very thrall-nervous when I saw the numbers Arthas was putting up. Same. I was even expecting to lose these points. My chances of making the leaderboard are still somehow alive! Or at least maybe for my alt, which is 2 points ahead of my normal bracket because of only one difference so far, that being not being completely biased in the Magus match. Meh, I'd need a lot of help today though, bottom end of the Top 237 right now with 2 highly controversial matches coming up and a 3rd that's a complete toss-up. I'm not making it....I'm 0/3 so far in situations where I expect to crack the leaderboard if I get it right. --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/20/2007 9:04:12 AM | message detail |
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Whatever, Vergil nerds! *hopes Cheeto munching WoWers save his dying bracket* |
| BDawg | Posted 9/20/2007 9:29:03 AM | message detail |
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All I can say is if someone is lucky enough to get through this divison
perfect they deserve to be on the leaderboard. Of course now Thrall is
a loser and I have no confidence in Chief>Yuna or Alucard>Ness. --- Should I start running now? |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/20/2007 9:33:06 AM | message detail |
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and I have no confidence in Chief>Yuna or Alucard>Ness. While Alucard > Ness seems a bit iffy now (METAL FEAR?!), I don't see much reason to doubt The Chief. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin |
| DpObliVion | Posted 9/20/2007 9:38:44 AM | message detail |
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I still stand by my Yuna/MC pick. I think.... --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket LETS GO METS |
| PinkGi | Posted 9/20/2007 9:49:08 AM | message detail |
| The Chief always finds a way to disappoint, usually taking thousands of brackets down with him (Damn you Aeris, Frog, Starcraft, Warcraft series, and Sub-Zero!) |
| PinkGi | Posted 9/20/2007 9:50:19 AM | message detail |
| er, I meant Castlevania series. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 10:36:07 AM | message detail |
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I don't think anybody expected him to beat Aeris or Frog. And come on Thrall, don't let that wiener push you around. You're the warchief FFS. TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/20/2007 10:38:22 AM | message detail |
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MC is going to be in his element this year though. A round 1 victory is assured. --- Eff Dee |
| The Real Truth | Posted 9/20/2007 10:38:34 AM | message detail |
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^....And Vergil's the son of Sparda. Son of Sparda > Warchief. --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 10:41:55 AM | message detail |
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Vergil sucks though. Dante kicked his sorry ass repeatedly. TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/20/2007 10:43:22 AM | message detail |
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So how bout that next match...>_> --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/20/2007 10:44:50 AM | message detail |
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Next match? Yuna wins. I guarantee it. I'm more concerned about the match following it. The four-pack from hell. --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/20/2007 10:48:53 AM | message detail |
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Also, this is the fourth match in a row where Zelda has badly bombed. --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| Xuxon | Posted 9/20/2007 10:51:37 AM | message detail |
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Also, this is the fourth match in a row where Zelda has badly bombed. Uhh, Ganon's doing great here. What did you expect him to get, 60%? --- FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/20/2007 10:51:59 AM | message detail |
| Ganon is doing fine. |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/20/2007 10:52:55 AM | message detail |
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Well, I guess Ganondorf is doing okay. I pegged him around 50% in my oracle. The other three though sucked --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 11:01:04 AM | message detail |
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Ganon's doing good, considering Vergil got 20% on Sephy. Zelda bombed and Midna bombed. Link did fine. TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/20/2007 11:05:07 AM | message detail |
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that was a craptastic seph imhoimho --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| transience | Posted 9/20/2007 11:36:12 AM | message detail |
| whoa. how.. unexpected for Vergil to just take off
like this randomly. uhh.. this isn't an impossible margin to come back
from, but you have to feel good having Vergil here. I still have
utterly no feelings about this match. --- xyzzy http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png |
| The Real Truth | Posted 9/20/2007 11:39:22 AM | message detail |
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I love Vergil, I just wish he was more popular. --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
| The Real Truth | Posted 9/20/2007 11:41:44 AM | message detail |
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lol cloud --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 11:41:59 AM | message detail |
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I'm not counting out Thrall just yet, but if Vergil does anything with the ASV, this is over. TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/20/2007 11:42:55 AM | message detail |
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50 vote increase Get the forks ready TuRtLe ~~~ 54/68 in the contest. Next pick: Ganondorf > Thrall FOR THE HORDE! BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
