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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 491

UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/18/2007 9:30:17 PM | message detail
Not SSBB is so screwed.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



~*ST*~
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/18/2007 9:31:22 PM | message detail
Luigi > Raiden
--- -
Owner of TWO sticky topics!
Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488
ff6man | Posted 9/18/2007 9:32:04 PM | message detail
Early, not even 300 posts in the other topic, etc.
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Runescape: Igglybuff138, Skill total 1600+
CB2k7: 42/64 points. Today: Luigi > Pit (i dont liek mudkipz)
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/18/2007 9:32:39 PM | message detail
taggage
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Chikorita17 | Posted 9/19/2007 11:12:50 AM | message detail
Obviously this confirms Prince of All Cosmos>Marth
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(|| ' ' ||) Who would win in a Fight? GANNON vs Ratchet vs Thrall vs Vergil
. /|_|\ http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38339652
AerisDS | Posted 9/19/2007 11:54:26 AM | message detail
up
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Now in portable form!
Buzzup | Posted 9/19/2007 12:07:30 PM | message detail
Why is everybody talking about the game contest and not about tomorrow's match? I mean, after Arthas' good performance, it's pretty much up in the air.
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/19/2007 12:09:57 PM | message detail
Personally, this piece of crap match has drained my desire to discuss this contest for the time being.
swirIdude | Posted 9/19/2007 12:11:04 PM | message detail
Me too, and I picked Mudkip.

This match is that boring.
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Tales | Posted 9/19/2007 12:12:34 PM | message detail
I have Ganondorf>Ratchet tomorrow. How likely is it?
Buzzup | Posted 9/19/2007 12:13:04 PM | message detail
Not bloody likely.
transience | Posted 9/19/2007 12:14:35 PM | message detail
there's utterly nothing to say about tomorrow's match. someone wins and it's really hard to tell who.

as for FF7/OOT, who knows. I expect that to be an even split.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/19/2007 12:16:28 PM | message detail
FF7 beats OoT by about the same amount Link beat Cloud.
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Feel my truth.
swirIdude | Posted 9/19/2007 12:19:13 PM | message detail
I have Ganondorf>Ratchet tomorrow. How likely is it?

0%
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
transience | Posted 9/19/2007 12:20:53 PM | message detail
looks like Mudkip's winning the after-school vote.

I dare say that Mudkip is actually legitimate here. 4chan's not accounting for 30% of the votes.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
shadow8021 | Posted 9/19/2007 12:39:23 PM | message detail
No tuesday = Thrall doesn't win
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Character Battle Score: 52/64
Today's Pick: Luigi > Mudkipz
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/19/2007 12:40:54 PM | message detail
Argh, mudkip. At least Tingle is well under 10%.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Adept of Aiur | Posted 9/19/2007 12:41:01 PM | message detail
I have Ganon > Ratchet too. It's not very likely, but then again, half of what has happened this contest wasn't very likely.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
Master Moltar | Posted 9/19/2007 12:48:33 PM | message detail
What the hell kids coming out of school, what the hell.

DO NOT WANT MUDKIP INCREASING
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Luigi/Mudkip/Pit/Tingle - Bracket: Luigi > Mudkip - Vote: Luigi (56/64)
voltch | Posted 9/19/2007 12:53:49 PM | message detail
what happens on a tuesday that makes blizzard characters so good?
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
BDawg | Posted 9/19/2007 12:56:50 PM | message detail
At this point Tuesday is a running joke that isn't that funny, but at one point world of warcraft was down for maintenance on Tuesday and some people thought that mattered.
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Should I start running now?
BDawg | Posted 9/19/2007 1:07:26 PM | message detail
Man, the Kip is ripping into that percentage. Ah hehe I would take a moral victory if Luigi finished below Fox in percentage.
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Should I start running now?
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/19/2007 1:14:28 PM | message detail
Mudkip is proving here that he is not winning because he's a fad. Bidoof collapsing in the day proved he was but Mudkip is actually winning the ASV. He's legit. Nobody can blame this on 4chan after seeing whats happening now.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/19/2007 1:24:39 PM | message detail
DMC3SE = Vergil victory guaranteed, pretty much.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/19/2007 1:26:14 PM | message detail
Vergil is gonna do fine.
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/19/2007 1:26:29 PM | message detail
Yeah considering the SE doubled DMC3's sales Vergil should've boosted a bit. Not a lot but enough to beat Thrall.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
trannyscience | Posted 9/19/2007 1:59:59 PM | message detail
the by-hour chart is going to look ridiculous for this match

I'm loving the trends here. Luigi and Mudkip take turns going up and down, Pit's doing pretty good despite not actually existing, and Tingle has not so much as budged.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/19/2007 2:15:36 PM | message detail
Is Tingle going to beat the record for lowest percentage swing during the match? He had 7.91% at the first freeze, now at 7.55%...
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Luigi 46.47% - Mudkip 20.66% - Tingle 17.01% - Spit 15.86% ~ Status: Very Meh
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/19/2007 3:16:01 PM | message detail
Time | Luigi . . . | Mudkip | Pit . . . . | Tingle
01:00 | 44.40% | 28.72% | 19.63% | 07.26%
02:00 | 46.14% | 27.18% | 18.74% | 07.94%
03:00 | 47.48% | 24.93% | 20.09% | 07.51%
04:00 | 45.67% | 28.14% | 18.39% | 07.80%
05:00 | 43.85% | 33.32% | 14.75% | 08.08%
06:00 | 41.75% | 32.95% | 17.01% | 08.28%
07:00 | 43.90% | 32.62% | 16.54% | 06.94%
08:00 | 45.53% | 28.68% | 17.98% | 07.82%
09:00 | 45.52% | 28.80% | 18.20% | 07.48%
10:00 | 49.20% | 24.06% | 18.94% | 07.80%
11:00 | 46.97% | 26.27% | 18.98% | 07.78%
12:00 | 46.07% | 28.21% | 18.48% | 07.23%
13:00 | 46.81% | 27.25% | 18.18% | 07.75%
14:00 | 47.66% | 27.19% | 18.07% | 07.09%
15:00 | 47.06% | 27.20% | 18.26% | 07.49%
16:00 | 43.53% | 32.26% | 17.13% | 07.08%
17:00 | 45.04% | 28.91% | 18.30% | 07.75%

Cursed pokeymanz.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Gaddswell | Posted 9/19/2007 3:32:03 PM | message detail
So... Mudkip vs Pikachu. Who wins? >_>
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
red sox 777 | Posted 9/19/2007 3:34:14 PM | message detail
15:00 | 47.06% | 27.20% | 18.26% | 07.49%
16:00 | 43.53% | 32.26% | 17.13% | 07.08%
17:00 | 45.04% | 28.91% | 18.30% | 07.75%

Whoa, what happened there?
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 51/64 -- T-128 (36 way)
Bracket: Luigi > Pit -- Vote: Pit
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/19/2007 3:53:13 PM | message detail
Devilry.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
shadow8021 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:03:37 PM | message detail
"Bidoof collapsing in the day proved he was"

The reason Bidoof collapsed the way he did during the day was because of Link being as beasty as he is. If Bidoof was in this match, he'd be getting the same percentage probably, or a little less.
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Character Battle Score: 52/64
Today's Pick: Luigi > Mudkipz
RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:32:50 PM | message detail
Pikachu > Mudkipz.

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Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS!
trannyscience | Posted 9/19/2007 4:50:08 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-18.jpg

uhh.. advantage Vergil, I guess. it sure ain't Sephiroth Vergil.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:51:23 PM | message detail
God damn, Thrall looks angry.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/19/2007 4:51:34 PM | message detail
...Wow. Vergil is the only character in there that doesn't make me want to throw up.

Vergil > Ganondorf awesome upset imo
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/19/2007 4:52:30 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/shared/cb6/cb6-18.jpg

Saving the awesome Ganondorf art for later confirmed. It's still easily the best of the bunch though!

Vergil looks cool, like, 2nd place cool.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Luigi/Mudkip/Pit/Tingle - Bracket: Luigi > Mudkip - Vote: Luigi (56/64)
Tediz247 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:52:45 PM | message detail
Every single first round ever ha used that Ganondorf pic. I'm tired of it. Hopefully SSBB gives him some decent art.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:53:05 PM | message detail
Thrall didn't get his boxart pic, Ganondorf got the same damn OoT pic he always has, and Vergil got essentially the same thing as he did against Ghaleon.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:53:18 PM | message detail
Yeah, I really wanted to see TP Ganondorf here.

Maybe next round.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 48/64; Oracle - 34th
trannyscience | Posted 9/19/2007 4:53:57 PM | message detail
query:

Ghaleon or Luca Blight?
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:54:33 PM | message detail
...

Luca.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 48/64; Oracle - 34th
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/19/2007 4:55:04 PM | message detail
Ghaleon.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
greatone10 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:55:45 PM | message detail
Ghaleon, I guess.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
MMXcalibur | Posted 9/19/2007 4:58:05 PM | message detail
Vergil's a badass. I hope he wins and not just for my bracket's sake. I hope he makes an apperance in Devil May Cry 4.
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HOT WOMEN: http://plum.sakura.ne.jp/~alice/gallery/graphic/2006/796hp.jpg
http://plum.sakura.ne.jp/~alice/gallery/graphic/2006/844hp.jpg
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/19/2007 4:59:03 PM | message detail
Ghaleon. 35% on Vergil > 25% on Kefka, which is what Prince Luca is expected to get. I don't think Vergil is quite that far away from Kefka. 19% on horribly overrated Magus doesn't speak too well for Prince Luca either.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
greatone10 | Posted 9/19/2007 5:01:38 PM | message detail
Meh, I thought of Luca's match with Wesker, and figured Ghaleon would do better.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
andaca | Posted 9/19/2007 5:07:53 PM | message detail
Hm. For the sake of my bracket, is there any chance that Vivi will be announced as an SSBB character in the next three or four weeks?
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/19/2007 5:08:15 PM | message detail
Hmmm...Thrall looks too Shrek-like for my liking. Where's his box art face pic, dammit!
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
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