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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 490

UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/18/2007 12:36:49 PM | message detail
Second match in a row where I had the last place character in second in my entry =/



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



~*ST*~
AerisDS | Posted 9/18/2007 3:42:02 PM | message detail
whomg first

Just broke 100k votes
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Now in portable form!
GyratingGrandma | Posted 9/18/2007 3:42:26 PM | message detail
simowned

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mmm feel the vibration baby
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/18/2007 3:42:32 PM | message detail
WHY SO LATE?!?!
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/18/2007 3:42:41 PM | message detail
Ulti had Jak? lol
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 3:43:26 PM | message detail
It's okay Ulti, I feel your pain.

Today at least. I was smart enough to not count on a non-arucard CV character.

TuRtLe
~~~
48/60 in the contest. Next pick: Zero > Jak
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:10:05 PM | message detail
So predictions on tranny's star/turd?

I'll say Bidoof and Raiden

TuRtLe
~~~
48/60 in the contest. Next pick: Zero > Jak
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
greatone10 | Posted 9/18/2007 5:11:06 PM | message detail
Jak's a much bigger turd than Raiden.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:13:50 PM | message detail
I'll say Raiden and Zero.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/18/2007 5:13:58 PM | message detail
Kudos to HK-47 - outside that initial run by Lloyd he's done quite well for himself here. Pity he doesn't have much of a chance against Raiden in the battle for bragging rights.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
trannyscience | Posted 9/18/2007 5:14:09 PM | message detail
oh, I didn't even do that last division.

star: Meta-Knight

winners: Fox, Phoenix, Big Boss

turd: Magus

losers: Wario, Peach, Sephiroth

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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
NotTerrafire | Posted 9/18/2007 5:16:03 PM | message detail
Bidoof?

DERP DERP DERP
trannyscience | Posted 9/18/2007 5:17:02 PM | message detail
oh and Jak's hardly a turd here.. nobody was calling for him to have more than 22%ish, and he's got 19. if anyone's anything in this match, I'd call Zero a turd. certainly not the turd of the division though.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/18/2007 5:23:20 PM | message detail
Belmont was much more of a turd than Jak
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Zero 39.80% - Jak 21.67% - Lloyd Crying 19.58% - HK-47 18.95% ~ Status: Good!
Who Cares? | Posted 9/18/2007 5:25:15 PM | message detail
Just got home...do my eyes decieve me, or did absolutely nothing happen during the afterschool vote? o_0 I was expecting either Lloyd to be close to getting the lead or HK to be totally running away.
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Current Points: 50
Maximum Possible Points: 758/768
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:28:23 PM | message detail
Like I said at the beginning of the match, I expected HK and Lloyd to stay the same.

It's Jak that disappointed there. I fully expected him to make a move to at least halve the lead between him and Lloyd.

TuRtLe
~~~
48/60 in the contest. Next pick: Zero > Jak
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
creativename | Posted 9/18/2007 5:36:07 PM | message detail
I don't have as much faith in Mudkip as others here seem to.

Has anyone considered that Bidoof might be as strong as Mudkip?

From what I gathered from the Bidoof match, he shows up everywhere in his game.

Which character has more exposure in their actual games?
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/18/2007 5:36:55 PM | message detail
That 2:30-3:00 portion of the vote was just ridiculous. Seriously, WTF happened there? After the morning vote, that seemed to confirm that Lloyd was going to get the ASV as well...and then he just disappeared.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
creativename | Posted 9/18/2007 5:37:07 PM | message detail
It's a stretch to say anyone starred or disappointed in this match. You can say HK starred maybe, but pretty much everyone is close to expectations here.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/18/2007 5:37:33 PM | message detail
I don't have as much faith in Mudkip as others here seem to.

Has anyone considered that Bidoof might be as strong as Mudkip?

From what I gathered from the Bidoof match, he shows up everywhere in his game.

Which character has more exposure in their actual games?


Mudkip's a starter and is in more games.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:37:33 PM | message detail
Mudkip is a starter. It's also a far bigger fad on the Internet. Bidoof has nothing going for him.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
swirIdude | Posted 9/18/2007 5:37:54 PM | message detail
No one complained about this topic being too early!

You guys have broken tradition! For shame!
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Blackshark_24 | Posted 9/18/2007 5:38:39 PM | message detail
Yay for me getting post 500 in the last topic.

I'm looking for a perfect division one...because I think that Frog has a better chance against Scorpion than Axel.
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Today's Pick: Crono> Sam F. (bleh!)
Points: 46
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:40:01 PM | message detail
Notice how all the people doubting Mudkip are people that are also asking what 4chan is?

Ignorance is bliss I suppose. I know I for one wish I'd never been linked to that steaming pile of vomit. The only redeeming quality of 4chan is the occasional hilarious shoop, and of course Long Cat

TuRtLe
~~~
48/60 in the contest. Next pick: Zero > Jak
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:41:15 PM | message detail
And anyone think Mudkip can hold the lead for awhile?

TuRtLe
~~~
48/60 in the contest. Next pick: Zero > Jak
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
swirIdude | Posted 9/18/2007 5:41:51 PM | message detail
Mudkips is going to SHOOP DA WOOP Pit and Tingle.
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
red sox 777 | Posted 9/18/2007 5:41:57 PM | message detail
It's not unusual for 2:30-3:00 to be different from the ASV. Megaman made some of his fastest gains of the day on Sonic here, and Jill picked up 93 votes on Peach from 2:30 to 3:05 before collapsing. Votals increase during this period, but the direction of the ASV is not determined until 3. As for the morning vote, Lloyd only gained 100 votes, which he gave right back, not a clear win.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 47/60 -- T-245 (78 way)
Bracket: Zero > HK-47 -- Vote: Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:42:23 PM | message detail
I think it would be hilarious if Luigi Pit and Tingle all got shoop da woop'd

TuRtLe
~~~
50/64 in the contest. Next pick: Luigi > mudkipz
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:42:49 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
red sox 777 | Posted 9/18/2007 5:43:41 PM | message detail
No, it was in September. SC2k5 began in mid-July, so the final 25% or so of it happened after the start of the school year.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 47/60 -- T-245 (78 way)
Bracket: Zero > HK-47 -- Vote: Zero
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:44:47 PM | message detail
Yeah, I realized that after I posted it. I forgot MM/Sonic was late in the contest for some reason

TuRtLe
~~~
50/64 in the contest. Next pick: Luigi > mudkipz
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/18/2007 5:45:54 PM | message detail
Whoa, Riku > Ryu H is the guru favourite? Weird

TuRtLe
~~~
50/64 in the contest. Next pick: Luigi > mudkipz
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2007 5:49:31 PM | message detail
Rikku almost beat Knuckles with Vaan sucking her strength. Rikku didn't exactly own the fan favorite polls, did she?

Kinda hard to do well in a FFX Favorite poll with Auron there.

And I'm glad that I haven't been here. Not because Jak's losing (I was kinda afraid he would the last few days), but so I didn't have to be here first hand for all of this BT and fedor stuff. And why are Jak and Lloyd making cuts NOW when it's too late?!

As for tomorrow, I have to believe in TTF (The Thong Factor) for Tingle to win tomorrow and hope 4chan sees him and realizes he's a pathetic joke that'd be funny to vote for instead of Mudkip...
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2007 5:53:49 PM | message detail
And I was right about the potential for the three other guys to have a relatively close battle for second place, but too bad it didn't really provide any excitement.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Keno316 | Posted 9/18/2007 5:54:21 PM | message detail
Hmmm...does it seem people are overrating the SSBB factor again? I mean, Pit has a tough road ahead. Sure, Meta Knight surprised me, but he has the benefit of being from a more popular still active series. What was Pit's last game?

Overall, I think SSB has already done most of the damage it can do. Like with Zelda, its popularity is at such a high point that even a new release like TP won't cause such ridiculous boosts since most of the site is Zelda friendly in the first place so the amount of people voting were likely to remain about the same.

With SSBB, I see that game being as huge a favorite as SSBM has been here, but its mainly with the same people. I feel the factor won't be much.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
GyratingGrandma | Posted 9/18/2007 5:54:33 PM | message detail
Now that I've seen the pic, Tingle > Luigi confirmed.

Seriously... how can you look at that and not get happy in the pants over Tingle?
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mmm feel the vibration baby
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2007 5:59:00 PM | message detail
Also, I feel confident in Raiden's ability to get 3rd place in the next round, perhaps moreso if he gets a MGS2 picture. 20% on Crono > 20% on Zero

Err...I mean, Raiden for 2nd! 20% on Crono > 40% on this crap!
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/18/2007 5:59:22 PM | message detail
And anyone think Mudkip can hold the lead for awhile?

I think Mudkip can hold on for a good half an hour, or even the whole match... duh
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
swirIdude | Posted 9/18/2007 6:00:44 PM | message detail
I think Mudkip can hold on for a good half an hour, or even the whole match... duh

Mudkip > Luigi?!?
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/18/2007 6:02:31 PM | message detail
Mudkip > Luigi?!?

ppl liek mudkipz, rmbr?
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
PiGuy96 | Posted 9/18/2007 6:03:18 PM | message detail
I just noticed that this contest is quickly approaching the Game's contests record of matches decided by 1000 votes or less. The Games contest had six (bonus points if you can name them), this has five already (all under 400 votes) and we're only halfway through the first round!

(Two of this contest's were for 3rd place and didn't count for points, but we'll ignore that.)
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
trannyscience | Posted 9/18/2007 6:03:29 PM | message detail
if SSB is being overrated, so is 4chan. I find it hard to believe the only people voting for Mudkip tomorrow will be 4channers. that thing has a lot of appeal, and that fad has spread far beyond 4chan.

if Mudkip wins, it's not necessarily 4chan's fault.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/18/2007 6:05:02 PM | message detail
4chan is as significant as the Tuesday Factor. Take that as you will. <_<
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
GyratingGrandma | Posted 9/18/2007 6:05:14 PM | message detail
TINGLEFEAR

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mmm feel the vibration baby
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/18/2007 6:06:25 PM | message detail
So anyone want to volunteer to be our GF ambassador to 4chan for tonight?
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Keno316 | Posted 9/18/2007 6:06:30 PM | message detail
I only see 4ch being a factor if he's in a close match with Pit, in which case I see rallying coming in.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2007 6:07:46 PM | message detail
(bonus points if you can name them)

LttP/CT
StarCraft/Halo
StarCraft/Wind Waker
DK/Duck Hunt
MGS/FFT
Uhhh...KH/Soul Calibur?
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
swirIdude | Posted 9/18/2007 6:07:51 PM | message detail
So anyone want to volunteer to be our GF ambassador to 4chan for tonight?

Who would be dumb enough to go there?
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
trannyscience | Posted 9/18/2007 6:08:35 PM | message detail
I'd do it, but lol worksafe

4chan isn't *that* bad - I mean, there's tons of stupid nonsense on this board too
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
"war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/18/2007 6:08:52 PM | message detail
Oh, the last is SSBM/StarCraft. I was under the impression it ended higher than 1000 votes.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
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