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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 489

HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:21:07 PM | message detail
So much for the stall. Well actually they both gained percentage.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:27:20 PM | message detail
And that was just plain nasty. HK-47 just whooped out a Blaster Rifle and point blank'd that ass.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
BDawg | Posted 9/17/2007 11:27:48 PM | message detail
Lloyd feel asleep that update. Even Jak stalled him.
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Should I start running now?
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/17/2007 11:27:51 PM | message detail
Let's go Lloyd! Even if he loses, his and Kratos' performances prove my point about Zelos.

I'll shut up now that it's proven.

But anyway, Lloyd's best time is yet to come, all he needs to do is stall. Unless Jak somehow eats his day-vote. HK-47 did worse in the day-vote than he is now, so if Lloyd can just keep stalling...
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:29:56 PM | message detail
Lloyd also has a bigger potential rally on his side. As sad as it would be to watch people rally Lloyd over HK-47, with this board, I believe it's bracket over characters. Keep it going, HK. Keep it going.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:30:41 PM | message detail
HK-47 is the betta character, Yo
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
BDawg | Posted 9/17/2007 11:31:22 PM | message detail
I'm sorry, you can say what you want about Lloyd not equalling Zelos (and that seems quite true) BUT any fanbase that lets TOM NOOK slap them around? I don't fear that rally.
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Should I start running now?
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:31:53 PM | message detail
If Lloyd stalls his best now, I think he wins. His morning vote is actually quite good relative to the other characters.
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Currently Playing: Persona 3
transience | Posted 9/17/2007 11:32:31 PM | message detail
he wasn't talking about the rabidness of the fanbase. he was talking about the rabidness of BRACKETS
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:33:39 PM | message detail
What kind of sick bracket has Zero > Lloyd? Honestly now, that's just plain stupid.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:35:04 PM | message detail
Uh, over 100 brackets in the Guru have Lloyd in second today (including mine!).
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Currently Playing: Persona 3
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/17/2007 11:35:24 PM | message detail
Zelos should have more fans than Lloyd, but on a site where Tingle might be stronger than Midna, I don't want to discuss why some characters are popular than others.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
Lopen | Posted 9/17/2007 11:35:33 PM | message detail
Rabid Lloyd fanboy, right here! DIE HK-47, DIE!
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Raiden, Kirby, my stat analyses and my own face all suck horribly.
Note to everyone on Board 8: XIII_rocks never loses sig bets.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:36:02 PM | message detail
Uh, over 100 brackets in the Guru have Lloyd in second today (including mine!).

That's cause Board 8 is ToS crazy.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
wavedash101 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:38:30 PM | message detail
Even you hate Lloyd, Lopen, deep in your heart of hearts
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
BDawg | Posted 9/17/2007 11:39:27 PM | message detail
Are we talking about rallying or "rallying" here?
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Should I start running now?
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:39:55 PM | message detail
wavedash, do you dislike Lloyd, or ToS in general? I'm just curious.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
transience | Posted 9/17/2007 11:40:47 PM | message detail
I like Lloyd, and I don't even like TOS that much
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2007 11:41:47 PM | message detail
Stall by Jak. The comeback is ON.
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JOKING
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
wavedash101 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:41:55 PM | message detail
I can see why too...KotOR nearly doubled the sales of ToS and the incomplete sequel managed to outsell ToS handily as well

Not to mention both games have sold 500k+ on the PC...so its not like the fanbase is small at all
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:42:08 PM | message detail
Daxter > Jak

just sayin homie
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
wavedash101 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:43:12 PM | message detail
Since when have I stated I hated Tales?
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:43:43 PM | message detail
God damnit, I was hoping I wasn't the odd man out on the "ToS isn't that great" train on Board 8.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Gaddswell | Posted 9/17/2007 11:45:21 PM | message detail
You have BT....
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:45:57 PM | message detail
...

*promptly jumps off said train*
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
wavedash101 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:46:01 PM | message detail
Honest most of my love stems from playing the game with my bro and Zelos...major distortion goggles

ToS has a nice battle system, but it wasnt even the best RPG on the GC
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
Draco1214 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:46:16 PM | message detail
Epic cut by Lloyd.
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Currently Playing: Persona 3
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/17/2007 11:46:39 PM | message detail
ToS has a nice battle system alright...and uhh...that's it.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2007 11:47:47 PM | message detail
Hahaha...if Lloyd manages to continue these stalls over night...I think he still has a chance.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BDawg | Posted 9/17/2007 11:48:08 PM | message detail
Lol I know the idea of "robot SFF" is totally stupid and inane....and yet every Zero spike seems to kill HK-47.
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Should I start running now?
BDawg | Posted 9/17/2007 11:55:25 PM | message detail
And then HK-47 takes it back while all 3 of them rough up Lloyd's percent. Well, I've looked over some matches and I'm not convinced of what will happen, so it'll be interesting to see tomorrow. At least there's not an obvious Kefka bomb or KH surge sitting here.
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Should I start running now?
Gaddswell | Posted 9/18/2007 12:04:42 AM | message detail
SSBB online confirmed!

SSBB to dethrone FF7 on release!
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/18/2007 12:05:18 AM | message detail
OH HELL YEAH

SSBB CONFIRMED TO BE BEST GAME EVER
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
transience | Posted 9/18/2007 12:05:39 AM | message detail
hmm. looking at expected trends, I'd give Zero 41.5% at the end of this match, maybe 42%. not bad, not good. I'd say HK and Lloyd end up in the 21% range and Jak around 18. pure guesses on those guys.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
ZFS | Posted 9/18/2007 12:07:04 AM | message detail
SSBB to dethrone FF7 on release!

what are these liez

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Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
Keno316 | Posted 9/18/2007 12:08:52 AM | message detail
That's great that the game is online, but I'd still take most of the games where the SSB characters originated from over SSBB as best game.

...Maybe I'm just weird like that. >_>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
ZFS | Posted 9/18/2007 12:10:30 AM | message detail
On another note, if Lloyd's got an advantage with the day vote, this might just go into his favor. No idea how it'll go.

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Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
Gaddswell | Posted 9/18/2007 12:11:27 AM | message detail
Face the truth, HM!
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
transience | Posted 9/18/2007 12:15:38 AM | message detail
I think I'd rather have Lloyd at the moment. looks like that opening punch that HK landed wasn't as threatening as I thought it would be. I only say that because HK is a complete unknown come daytime, though. it's very possible that he beats Lloyd harder in the day than in the night... and equally possible that he flops. no way to know there.

also, Jak is doing a lot better here with the night vote. he's stalling Lloyd fairly often and isn't getting killed. he still loses, obviously, but it won't look as bad come midnight.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Gaddswell | Posted 9/18/2007 12:28:03 AM | message detail
Another 22 vote Lloyd cut. HK dropped off in that one.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Keno316 | Posted 9/18/2007 12:31:55 AM | message detail
Yeah. The morning and ASV will decide this. Looking forward to how those end up going.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
greatone10 | Posted 9/18/2007 12:35:51 AM | message detail
Yay, SSBB is online just before Luigi/Mudkip/Pit/Tingle! That means Luigi > Pit!
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/18/2007 12:38:36 AM | message detail
another cut/stall for lloyd.

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Eff Dee
Gaddswell | Posted 9/18/2007 12:38:59 AM | message detail
Jak finally cuts. Jak > Lloyd > HK in that update.
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
transience | Posted 9/18/2007 12:40:52 AM | message detail
Jak comeback confirmed

watch out, Lloyd

though honestly, I could see all three of these guys ending up within 1000 votes. that wouldn't be that surprising.
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
ThatsRidiculous | Posted 9/18/2007 12:54:04 AM | message detail
Hmmm... Does anyone know if there is a way I could view the current poll percentages besides going to the homepage or sc2k5.com/gamefaqscontests.com? Those sites are blocked by damn websense at my school, and I really don't feel like getting into deep **** for using a proxy to look at a poll. Any Ideas?
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Go Pack Go!
cavedog0: December 2003 - August 2005
Haste_2 | Posted 9/18/2007 12:57:10 AM | message detail
Comprehensive data here. It's all data inferred from the explicit numbers we got.

The first line refers to if the two winners are in the same "two pack"... for instance, Mega Man is listed 3rd and KOS-MOS is listed forth, so they go together. The reason I include this is because some bracket-makers predicted the bracket as if it was all 1-v-1 matches. Whenever the two winners are in the same group, odds are that their combined prediction percentage is hurt. I could add more detail for more examination (whether the character is 1st, 2nd, 3rd, or 4th in the list) but that's getting a little TOO in-depth for my liking...

The next two lines refer to the total prediction percentage for each winner, for getting first OR second. The next two lines are what they say: the prediction percentage for either character getting first, and likewise for second. The next line gives the total prediction percentage for the two losing characters... which can conceivably add up as high as 200% (since there's two winners). So, if the losers exceed 100% there, that match was, without a doubt, an bracket-buster. The next line I just mention if there was likely an upset involved in the match.

Different Group
Yoshi - 80.87%
Knuckles - 59.12%
Either 1st - 67.74%
Either 2nd - 72.25%
Total percentage for Rikku/Vaan - 60.01%
Upset? No.

2nd Group
Mega Man - 93.59%
KOS-MOS - 30.09%
Either 1st - 55.08%
Either 2nd - 68.60%
Total percentage for Arthas/Diablo - 76.32%
Upset? Yes, Arthas and/or Diablo favored over KOS-MOS.

Different Group
Samus - 96.93%
Frog - 42.74%
Either 1st - 75.67%
Either 2nd - 64.00%
Total % for Axel/Kerrigan - 60.33%
Upsets? Probably not.

2nd Group
Scorpion - 66.71%
Midna - 44.74%
Either 1st - 38.81%
Either 2nd - 72.64%
Total % for Agent 47/Kratos Aurion - 88.55%
Upset? Yes, Agent 47 or Kratos Aurion favored over Midna.

1st Group
Marcus Fenix - 86.14%
Kefka - 71.89%
Either 1st - 86.17%
Either 2nd - 41.86%
Total % for Tom Nook/Zelos - 71.97%
Upset? No.

Different Group
Cloud- 96.27%
Ocelot - 55.34%
Either 1st - 95.45%
Either 2nd - 56.11%
Total % for Jill/Zolom - 48.39%
Upset? No.

Different Group
Auron - 82.99%
Shadow - 65.06%
Either 1st - 82.77%
Either 2nd - 65.28%
Total % for Chris/PH - 51.95%
Upset? No.

Different Group
Ryu - 72.55%
Bowser - 87.01%
Either 1st - 88.28%
Either 2nd - 71.28%
Total % for mewtwo/Toad - 40.44%
Upset? No.

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Haste_2 | Posted 9/18/2007 12:58:20 AM | message detail
Different Group
Sephiroth - 93.83%
Meta Knight - 38.02%
Either 1st - 74.40%
Either 2nd - 57.45%
Total % for CATS/Peach - 68.15%
Upset? Most likely, Peach and/or CATS favored.

2nd Group
Fox McCloud - 83.80%
Wario - 54.25%
Either 1st - 60.42%
Either 2nd - 77.63%
Total % for Banjo/Falcon - 61.95%
Upset? No.

1st Group
Mario - 96.43%
Big Boss - 33.79%
Either 1st - 96.12%
Either 2nd - 34.10%
Total % for Pac-Man/Wander - 69.78%
Upset? Yes, Pac-Man favored.

2nd Group
Magus - 51.57%
Phoenix Wright - 43.75%
Either 1st - 38.03%
Either 2nd - 57.29%
Total % for Bomberman/Crash - 104.68%
Upset? Yes, Bomberman and/or Crash favored over Magus and/or Phoenix.

Different Group
Link - 97.90%
Bidoof - 34.56%
Either 1st - 86.22%
Either 2nd - 46.24%
Total % for Agent J/Edgeworth - 67.54%
Upset? Yes, Edgeworth favored.

2nd Group
Vincent - 62.43%
Zelda - 82.36%
Either 1st - 63.63%
Either 2nd - 81.16%
Total % for Tails/The Boss - 55.21%
Upset? No.

Different Groups
Crono - 81.49%
Raiden - 43.09%
Either 1st - 79.03%
Either 2nd - 45.55%
Total % for Sam Fisher/Simon - 75.42%
Upset? Possibly, Sam Fisher favored over Raiden?

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
transience | Posted 9/18/2007 1:00:30 AM | message detail
Jak.. better than Lloyd at night? weird. that's two straight cuts, albeit small ones. I mean, you'd think Jak would be a day kind of guy..

*looks*

oh yeah, Jak rocked Ness during the daytime. hmm...
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xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Haste_2 | Posted 9/18/2007 1:02:19 AM | message detail
Grrr... it took this long for Jak to make even ONE cut on Lloyd and now he gets three in a row?!

---
"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
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