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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 488

Gaddswell | Posted 9/17/2007 9:25:10 PM | message detail
Guess this results prove that Zelos just bombed then.
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Finally a damn bracket!
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Yesmar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:25:19 PM | message detail
For what it's worth in the Games Contest, KOTOR barely did anything against GTA in the day, and GTA has a pretty weak day vote.

In 2004, HK-47 lost the day vote to Sora, but it is Sora we're talking about.

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"Look out-- It's Liquids and Gases!"
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2007 9:25:25 PM | message detail
So, now that this match's results are finalized with there being no chance of any comeback, what do you guys think of Mudkip's chance of advancing? D:

I liek mudkipz chances
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2007 9:25:29 PM | message detail
Woohoo
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:25:47 PM | message detail
Noone's discounting HK's day vote. Everyone is saying that HK is likely to be one of those steady characters who keeps the same percentage all match. Yes he's an X-Box character, but it's an X-Box RPG, that's on the X-Box 1. An X-Box RPG which hasn't had a release in 3 years.

HK will remain constant all match. It's up to Jak or Lloyd to run away with the day vote, which I can't see either happening.

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
swirIdude | Posted 9/17/2007 9:25:52 PM | message detail
Mudkip is a lock.
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ZFS | Posted 9/17/2007 9:26:17 PM | message detail
he's an obscure X-Box character.....

OH WAIT I WAS SAYING THAT ABOUT MARCUS FENIX


houston we have a problem

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Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2007 9:26:42 PM | message detail
In 2004, HK-47 lost the day vote to Sora, but it is Sora we're talking about.

Actually, he increased against Sora.
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:27:03 PM | message detail
Fenix obscure?

HK obscure?

lol extha

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2007 9:27:06 PM | message detail
I figured Marcus Fenix was a ****ing avatar.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:27:12 PM | message detail
From swirIdude Posted 9/18/2007 12:25:52 AM #356
Mudkip is a lock.

Ah, good. Glad to see I'll be getting that one right while our good friend hochiminh's bracket falls to pieces.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:27:25 PM | message detail
No one has played Gears of War.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero - Bracket: Zero > HK-47 - Vote: HK-47 (52/60)
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:27:45 PM | message detail
er, add on confirmed
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero - Bracket: Zero > HK-47 - Vote: HK-47 (52/60)
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/17/2007 9:27:49 PM | message detail
Yeah, and he did rather well against a Sora that we found to be far and above LEGIT.

What the hell what I thinking when I made half these picks.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
creativename | Posted 9/17/2007 9:28:00 PM | message detail
HK is somewhat obscure, and Fenix's name is obscure. Of course he himself is not.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 9/17/2007 9:28:36 PM | message detail
I'm not counting Lloyd out, but I do like HK's chances. Besides, seeing freakin' HK-47 win today will make tomorrow's dreaded result that much more bearable.
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Karma Hunter | Posted 9/17/2007 9:28:53 PM | message detail
Turtle's playing up the idea that only being on the original Xbox hurts a character's day vote is a new level of asinine, even for him. The original Xbox gave us the ORIGINAL beastly 'box day vote.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Yesmar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:29:30 PM | message detail
Actually, he increased against Sora.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?

Sora increased almost a whole percent from ~6:00 AM to 11:30 AM. In the summer that pretty much is the day vote. Sora dropped off afterwards, but that's a fairly common trend for Summer Contest Matches.
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"Look out-- It's Liquids and Gases!"
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:29:42 PM | message detail
Look at the updater for Sora/Samus. Why did Samus get an extra vote the day after the match ended?

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/17/2007 9:29:50 PM | message detail
Actually Sora technically won the day vote against HK-47. That match happened on a weekend, meaning the morning vote is generally the equivalent of the ASV. And HK-47 did 1% worse in the morning than in the night
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
ZFS | Posted 9/17/2007 9:29:58 PM | message detail
Dreaded result tomorrow?


...


oh dear god -- mudkipz

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Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:30:01 PM | message detail
From YoAriel33 Posted 9/18/2007 12:28:36 AM #366
I'm not counting Lloyd out, but I do like HK's chances. Besides, seeing freakin' HK-47 win today will make tomorrow's dreaded result that much more bearable.

Which result is that?

...As though it matters they all suck. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2007 9:30:41 PM | message detail
Oh mans
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/17/2007 9:30:48 PM | message detail
aww yeah lloyd cut
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2007 9:30:49 PM | message detail
Lloyd not dead yet.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:31:10 PM | message detail
...argh hk don't do this to me

As always when things start to look bad, I'm going to bed. Go HK!
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Janus5000 | Posted 9/17/2007 9:31:13 PM | message detail
ZERO RUSH KEKEKEKE
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/17/2007 9:31:25 PM | message detail
augh panic time
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2007 9:32:04 PM | message detail
Meh even if Lloyd builds a lead the after-school vote makes HK-47 win again. BOOK IT
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:32:15 PM | message detail
SONIC SWORD RAIN
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero - Bracket: Zero > HK-47 - Vote: HK-47 (52/60)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:32:16 PM | message detail
Sora did the same thing to Samus. His best time was the 6-noon block. That's essentially the day vote.

HK will not have a beastly day vote. Jak will be the one with the most day/night disparity, and thus will be the one to increase the most with the ASV.

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:33:24 PM | message detail
That match didn't happen on a weekend, it happened during the summer.

The ASV for all the character battles (VC aside) before last years was that morning power block.

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:34:06 PM | message detail
Aww yeah Zero steadily increasing

Watch out Link

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
creativename | Posted 9/17/2007 9:34:49 PM | message detail
Look at the updater for Sora/Samus. Why did Samus get an extra vote the day after the match ended?

Conspiracy revealed!! Good work detective ;)
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/17/2007 9:35:13 PM | message detail
Looking at trends, Lloyd's best time against Zero was the morning vote and worst time was the night vote. HK was pretty even with Sora throughout the whole day with a push in the second night vote, based on an approximate analysis. However, Samus and Sora basically went even during the day that year, so it could be that KH was not yet a day vote machine.

I'd still favour HK in the day, but it's not impossible for Lloyd to do well relative to him.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/17/2007 9:35:32 PM | message detail
lol back to 51
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
creativename | Posted 9/17/2007 9:35:42 PM | message detail
I think both HK and Lloyd will go down with the aftschool vote.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/17/2007 9:35:49 PM | message detail
That match didn't happen on a weekend, it happened during the summer.

It happened on a weekend during summer
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:36:13 PM | message detail
Everyone is just jumping all over the place here.

And Zero's increasing pretty fast. If he keeps this up, he could be seen as a serious threat later.

...

ahahahahaHAHAHA
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero - Bracket: Zero > HK-47 - Vote: HK-47 (52/60)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:36:17 PM | message detail
Sora increased with the morning vote on Samus, which once again was the ASV for that contest.

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Tai | Posted 9/17/2007 9:37:09 PM | message detail
Maybe my memory is weak, but was HK supposed to be this strong? I think not. :(
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New England Patriots: 2-0 Next: vs Buffalo Bills (Sun 1:00 PM)
charmander6000 | Posted 9/17/2007 9:37:10 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised if Lloyd kept it close or even lead until the morning/day vote comes.
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Match 16: Zero > HK-47 Points: 46/60
Airan_Jo | Posted 9/17/2007 9:37:10 PM | message detail
So, I've been lurking in stats topics and loling at BT for quite a while now. Then I look at my bracket and, for some reason, I seem to have picked Link > Zero too. Touché, God. Touché.>_>
Tai | Posted 9/17/2007 9:37:53 PM | message detail
Yes, I am aware that that 51 vote lead can be extinguished
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New England Patriots: 2-0 Next: vs Buffalo Bills (Sun 1:00 PM)
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/17/2007 9:38:04 PM | message detail
Why do I always overshoot percentages in this thing
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2007 9:39:32 PM | message detail
Because Samus > Mario indirectly.

...

Wait, what?
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
HK-47/Lloyd/Jak/Zero - Bracket: Zero > HK-47 - Vote: HK-47 (52/60)
Fiop | Posted 9/17/2007 9:39:56 PM | message detail
what does ASV stand for?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:40:18 PM | message detail
From Airan_Jo
So, I've been lurking in stats topics and loling at BT for quite a while now. Then I look at my bracket and, for some reason, I seem to have picked Link > Zero too. Touché, God. Touché.>_>

Consider that a favour. Now your bracket shall rise to glory beside mine (though still below it because I'll bet you don't have Pikachu in round 3 <_<)

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BDawg | Posted 9/17/2007 9:40:20 PM | message detail
Too bad NookFAQs didn't get a chance to decimate THIS four pack.
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Should I start running now?
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 9:40:39 PM | message detail
After school vote

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
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