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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 487

hochiminh155 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:34:28 PM | message detail
Raiden sucks. He really, really sucks. He's terrible in MGS2 and his contest performance is reflecting that. I fully expect HK-47 to out do him in Round 2.
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/17/2007 3:34:53 PM | message detail
I really hope Raiden can hold Sam off and start gaining soon. Everytime I get close to the leaderboard a wicked upset comes out of nowhere and pushes me back down >_>
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1 of 321 - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VI
Ago una , intereo unus
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 3:34:58 PM | message detail
err, next division

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:35:25 PM | message detail
"White Night Concerto (GBA)"

That's the Japanese name for Circle of the Moon, I'm pretty sure.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/17/2007 3:36:05 PM | message detail
...Then why are they both on the poll? o.O
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Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Evil_REmade | Posted 9/17/2007 3:38:17 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:38:23 PM | message detail
Er, apparently White Night Concerto = Harmony of Dissonance but Harmony's in that poll as well. Whoops.
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Mustache...and green...
www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/17/2007 3:38:40 PM | message detail
Mudkip's picture probably won't be too different from his banner one.
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Today: Crono > Raiden - Vote: Crono
Tomorrow: Zero > HK-47 - Vote: Zero - Points: 46/56
Evil_REmade | Posted 9/17/2007 3:38:46 PM | message detail
Well hopefully Liquid's picture will be just an arm. That should help me considerably.
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[=[_] =] Nintendo DS~See double while sober!
[+[_]·:·] Wii FC: 7696 5759 3867 0483
swirIdude | Posted 9/17/2007 3:38:52 PM | message detail
GO SAM GO!
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:39:11 PM | message detail
You know...Sam is gaining at a pretty ridiculously fast rate now...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:40:04 PM | message detail
It's just a blip in the radar. Raiden has got this
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 3:40:18 PM | message detail
I meant Mudkip's whole match.

Anyone think Mudkip will be leading the poll at first?

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
jonthomson | Posted 9/17/2007 3:40:46 PM | message detail
Would be stunned if Mudkip wasn't
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Jon Thomson - 44/56, next picks: Crono beats Raiden
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
metoolfan | Posted 9/17/2007 3:41:30 PM | message detail
Yeah, he's gaining quite well. Bear in mind this is around the best part of the ASV, though.

*waits for update*

oof
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*is Xic* ...for 15 days
__Mega64__ | Posted 9/17/2007 3:42:05 PM | message detail
Whoa, Sam's getting consistent gains now.
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I'm an eel.
jonthomson | Posted 9/17/2007 3:42:06 PM | message detail
Afterburners have kicked in
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Jon Thomson - 44/56, next picks: Crono beats Raiden
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:43:32 PM | message detail
Hmmm...perhaps I was too quick to make assumptions. Raiden's dropping a bit too fast for my liking here...

700 votes is still a tall order in 5 hours...especially considering this pace probably isn't going to keep up.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 42/56; Oracle - 38th
metoolfan | Posted 9/17/2007 3:47:23 PM | message detail
This is the peak of the ASV, people. This will die down sometime soon.
And it did.
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*is Xic* ...for 15 days
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/17/2007 3:48:25 PM | message detail
I don't think raiden will lose.

Seeing sam ****ing fisher beat him would be hilariously awesome though.
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SonicRaptor | Posted 9/17/2007 3:50:32 PM | message detail
Sam Fisher beating him would be awesome to watch.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
AerisDS | Posted 9/17/2007 3:50:35 PM | message detail
Sam Fisher beat Gordon Freeman, you know.
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Now in portable form!
metoolfan | Posted 9/17/2007 3:51:40 PM | message detail
...Aaaaaaaaand Raiden gains. That's a rap, pplz.
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*is Xic* ...for 15 days
jonthomson | Posted 9/17/2007 3:51:45 PM | message detail
STALL
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Jon Thomson - 44/56, next picks: Crono beats Raiden
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
Master Moltar | Posted 9/17/2007 3:54:54 PM | message detail
Crono not dying during the afterschool hours? Sam gaining at a ridiculous rate towards Raiden.

I don't like this match one bit.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Crono/Raiden/Sam/Simon - Bracket: Crono > Raiden - Vote: Raiden (48/56)
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:58:48 PM | message detail
Great to see we got the "Crono disappointed" match out of the way early this year...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/17/2007 3:59:20 PM | message detail
Except he didn't.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 42/56; Oracle - 38th
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 4:00:54 PM | message detail
Can someone explain this match pic to me:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/sc2k2/sum02b60a.jpg

Was it a joke pic because of how close MM/Sephy was? Or was it usermade?

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Big Bob | Posted 9/17/2007 4:02:14 PM | message detail
Raiden BETTER hold on.
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September 29th:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=38262325
ZFS | Posted 9/17/2007 4:03:23 PM | message detail
mega man: "grrr"
sephiroth: "aww yeah"

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Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
jonthomson | Posted 9/17/2007 4:03:26 PM | message detail
Updates left: 60
Votes needed: 698
Votes/update: 11.63
Comeback rate (last 30/60/120): 16.16/18.08/16.25
Doomsday: 10:28 EST
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Jon Thomson - 44/56, next picks: Crono beats Raiden
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
red sox 777 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:05:26 PM | message detail
So, the afterschool vote is mostly over, and Crono stands, at 7, just 0.28% lower than he was at 3. I mentioned last night that there were only 5 first place characters out of 14 so far who finished below their percentage at 1 AM- and of those only Yoshi finished more than 1% lower (And we've had characters with horrid day votes like Ryu and Magus winning!). Crono was at 48.21% at 1 AM, so he's still a little above that right now, and it looks close on whether he'll become the sixth winner to finish below their 1 AM percentage or not.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 45/56 -- T-132 (48 way)
Bracket: Crono > Sam Fisher -- Vote: Crono
red sox 777 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:06:33 PM | message detail
Or rather he's exactly matched his 1 AM percentage now. Let's see if he can go back over it with the night vote.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 45/56 -- T-132 (48 way)
Bracket: Crono > Sam Fisher -- Vote: Crono
chocoboslayer | Posted 9/17/2007 4:06:36 PM | message detail
oh boy
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Kratos_42 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:09:29 PM | message detail
This match shows me that taking Simon as an upset pick wasn't a particularly good idea.
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He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising.
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:11:25 PM | message detail
This match shows me that taking Simon as an upset pick wasn't a particularly good idea.


I feel ya buddy. I just hope Raiden was the overall favorite for second so that if Sam wins, I don't take too much damage.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
charmander6000 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:15:43 PM | message detail
Was it a joke pic because of how close MM/Sephy was? Or was it usermade?

Considering that Sephiroth needed the day vote to beat Mega Man, it was pretty close, but no one cared because they were still talking about Samus/Sonic.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 15: Crono > Raiden Points: 42/56
heroic tranny | Posted 9/17/2007 4:16:24 PM | message detail
that picture was made back when Ceej was really into the contest. that match was really tight - I think MM was ahead in the beginning? - until Sephiroth put it away in the daytime.

that week in 2002 was by far the best run of matches ever, by the way
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xyzzy
ff6man | Posted 9/17/2007 4:22:44 PM | message detail
These sporadic updates are bugging me...it's like

6 vote gain
9 vote gain
53 vote gain
4 vote gain
8 vote gain
40 vote gain

It's so weird. >_<
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CB2k7: 36/56 points. Today: Crono > Sam Fisher
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:23:27 PM | message detail
That was just a crazy spike for Sam there.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 42/56; Oracle - 38th
jonthomson | Posted 9/17/2007 4:27:18 PM | message detail
If those last two were 15 cut, 15 cut, nobody would care, as they're 40 cut, 10 gain, people will be zomg shenanigans
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Jon Thomson - 44/56, next picks: Crono beats Raiden
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/17/2007 4:27:36 PM | message detail
that week in 2002 was by far the best run of matches ever, by the way

Mario/Cloud, Mario/Crono, Sonic/Samus...

So many memories....
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 4:28:06 PM | message detail
Just looking through all the match pics, Tidus' one shining moment in the contest was his match with Ganondorf right? Well, that's the only picture where he doesn't look like a male Calvin Klein model. He has a sword and is looking somewhat badassed. Maybe he just got a huge overperformance because the rest of his pictures make him looking like Meg Ryan sneaked into the contest.

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/17/2007 4:29:21 PM | message detail
See, this is why I support the use of 15 minute updates in stats discussion. 5 minute updates are always sporadic like that. 15 minutes are a much more reliable indicator of trends.

TuRtLe
~~~
44/56 in the contest. Next pick: Crono > Raiden
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
heroic tranny | Posted 9/17/2007 4:30:37 PM | message detail
nah, Tidus is just overrated through Magus/Link. I thought that match with Sonic was pretty good, too.

2004 was when he started to really fall apart - if he ever had strength in the first place
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xyzzy
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/17/2007 4:30:43 PM | message detail
Yeah, though I've always gone to the contest site to see long-term trends to see if a comeback really is mounting.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
charmander6000 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:32:50 PM | message detail
At this rate Sam is taking the lead in about 3 hours.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 15: Crono > Raiden Points: 42/56
swirIdude | Posted 9/17/2007 4:32:56 PM | message detail
ooooo 606 to go.
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http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
jonthomson | Posted 9/17/2007 4:33:07 PM | message detail
Updates left: 54
Votes needed: 606
Votes/update: 11.22
Comeback rate (last 30/60/120): 15.33/15.75/15.88
Holla back girl at: 10:46 EST

Cliffnotes: Comeback has been very consistent of recent
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Jon Thomson - 44/56, next picks: Crono beats Raiden
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
Keno316 | Posted 9/17/2007 4:33:16 PM | message detail
Man, Crono's taking some HUGE hits here, but if it accounts for Sam making a comeback, I'm all for it...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
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