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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 486

UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/16/2007 10:21:53 AM | message detail
Nice battle for last, Tails. Jeez.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



~*ST*~
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/16/2007 10:22:45 AM | message detail
Easiest four points to earn today out of all thr matches thus far.
---
Fc: 4768 3939 5325
AerisDS | Posted 9/16/2007 10:22:53 AM | message detail
Go Tails!?
---
Now in portable form!
metoolfan | Posted 9/16/2007 10:23:14 AM | message detail
no strength lol etc
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*is Xic* ...for 15 days
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/16/2007 10:23:46 AM | message detail
Tails > Vincent.
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/16/2007 10:23:49 AM | message detail
Yeah, Auron > Shadow was a huge upset compared to today's match.
~~~
http://dnmty.com/files/7phoenix2.gif
http://dnmty.com/files/8edgeworth.gif
transience | Posted 9/16/2007 10:26:29 AM | message detail
a Bidoof-less stats topic?

post !
---
xyzzy
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/16/2007 10:27:52 AM | message detail
bidoof doof doof doooooof bidoof
~~~
http://dnmty.com/files/7phoenix2.gif
http://dnmty.com/files/8edgeworth.gif
AerisDS | Posted 9/16/2007 10:29:18 AM | message detail
wooo 31 vote Tails jump
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Now in portable form!
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 9/16/2007 10:51:22 AM | message detail
An optional character is beating the titular character of GameFAQs' strongest series!
---
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2088
Never forget.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/16/2007 10:52:17 AM | message detail
I hope Simon does well enough tomorrow.
---
Currently Playing: Persona 3
__Smurf__ | Posted 9/16/2007 10:55:19 AM | message detail
An optional character is beating the titular character of GameFAQs' strongest series!

Good thing he's an optional character from GameFAQ's favorite game or he'd be screwed. =P

---
Ireland's road to the Rugby World Cup Ireland 14-10 Georgia
Next Up: France
PokemonPatriarch | Posted 9/16/2007 11:31:17 AM | message detail
Unless Simon was absolute fodder all these years and we never knew it (i.e. Ms. Pac Man), then he should be fine in this match. Although he's never had a chance in this contest before, and although MGS has been performing _super_ well, I get the impression that Raiden's too weak to withstand possible SFF from Sam Fisher (and vice-versa).

Aside from that, he's the main Castlevania character from the old school days (which=more old school support than Sam or Raiden).

Last of all, pic factor heavily favors EVERY character in this match except, well...Raiden. Most casual voters might not even recognize him, due to it being from MGS4.
---
Ogre Battle saga fanboy, and hopeless supporter of Lans Tartare for CB2K8!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2007 11:33:21 AM | message detail
Alucard is the only thing from Castlevania worth anything in these contests.

I feel confident Raiden advances tomorrow.

TuRtLe
~~~
42/52 in the contest. Next pick: Zelda > Vincent
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The Raven 2 | Posted 9/16/2007 12:01:00 PM | message detail
Not really stats, but just a few pointers for the characters in each match...

Yoshi and Knuckles defeated Rikku and Vaan
Yoshi and Knuckles: Have never lost a first round matchup

Mega Man and KOS MOS defeated Arthas and Diablo
Diablo: First time losing in the first round.
Blizzard: All three major franchises have now lost a match in round 1.

Samus and Frog defeated Axel and Kerrigan
Samus: Now riding on a 7-match winning streak
Frog: First victory since July 24, 2005
Kerrigan: Overall record is now 0-3

Scorpion and Midna defeated Kratos Aurion and Agent 47
Scorpion: First victory since August 22, 2002
Tales of...: Tales of Symphonia's overall contest record = 1-6 (including Zelos afterwards)

Marcus Fenix and Kefka defeated Tom Nook and Zelos Wilder
Kefka: First victory since May 24, 2005

Cloud Strife and Revolver Ocelot defeated Jill Valentine and Midgar Zolom
Ocelot: First victory since May 21, 2005

Auron and Shadow the Hedgehog defeated Chris Redfield and Pyramid Head
Shadow: First victory since July 18, 2003
Chris Redfield: Redfield siblings overall record = 0-3

Ryu (SF) and Bowser defeated Mewtwo and Toad
Ryu and Bowser: Have both yet to lose in round 1

Sephiroth and Meta Knight defeated Peach and CATS
Meta Knight: First Kirby character to win his debut match (Kirby lost in 2002, remember).
CATS: Overall record is now 0-7

Fox and Wario defeated Captain Falcon and Banjo
Fox: First win since July 2, 2003
Wario: First contest appearance since July 18, 2003

Mario and Big Boss defeated Pac Man and Wander
Sony: Exclusive characters have yet to win a match (Ratchet, Jak, Kratos, Sly, Wander)

Magus and Phoenix Wright defeated Bomberman and Crash Bandicoot
Magus: First win since August 5, 2004

Link and Bidoof defeated Miles Edgeworth and Agent J
Link: Hasn't lost a match since September 1, 2003*
Bidoof: Only the second Pokemon ever to win a match

and today...

Vincent Valentine and Zelda defeated The Boss and Tails
Tails: Hasn't won a match since August 27, 2004

* = despite Link "losing" to Jay Solano, it wasn't a real contest match.


~TR2~
---
Once again, not changing the bolded part until Cena loses the WWE Championship
Currently trying to focus on: Halo 2
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/16/2007 12:29:20 PM | message detail
Yeah um tag. BTW WTF do I have Zelda > Vincent for?
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 12:33:54 PM | message detail
Unless Simon was absolute fodder all these years and we never knew it (i.e. Ms. Pac Man), then he should be fine in this match. Although he's never had a chance in this contest before, and although MGS has been performing _super_ well, I get the impression that Raiden's too weak to withstand possible SFF from Sam Fisher (and vice-versa).

Aside from that, he's the main Castlevania character from the old school days (which=more old school support than Sam or Raiden).

Last of all, pic factor heavily favors EVERY character in this match except, well...Raiden. Most casual voters might not even recognize him, due to it being from MGS4.


SFF with Sam Fisher? Really? You gotta stop grasping, if Raiden performs poorly it's because he's weak - and I've never seen such rationalizing for Simon Belmont of all people, especially with the logic so twisted. He looks like a girl in his match picture.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/16/2007 12:35:19 PM | message detail
hey kh

Raiden (2003c) VS Soma Cruz (2006c)

Raiden has a strength of 12.29.
Soma Cruz has a strength of 15.35.

Soma Cruz wins with 59.97% of the vote!
A win of 21,202 with 106,355 total votes cast.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 12:36:26 PM | message detail
that result proves Samus 2k6 is overrated
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
ZFS | Posted 9/16/2007 12:37:53 PM | message detail
fear sam fisher and his sff

---
Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/16/2007 12:39:07 PM | message detail
I get the impression that Raiden's too weak to withstand possible SFF from Sam Fisher (and vice-versa).

Haha, Splinter Cell SFFing Metal Gear. That's rich!

And Raiden will do just fine tomorrow. There's no need to overreact like this is the second coming of ZSS. It's not anywhere near that bad. The MGS4 trailers this year got over a million downloads on GameTrailers.com this summer. I think people know that Raiden image by now.
---
"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/16/2007 12:40:03 PM | message detail
Man, The Boss sure is giving it all she's got to keep Tails from taking the lead. It's oddly reminiscent of Phoenix/Bomberman, although she's not likely to last...
---
"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/16/2007 12:41:44 PM | message detail
Or it proves that Raiden was SFF'd...

Seriously, though, Raiden is so screwed.

Also, why do awesome characters tend to come last?

ZELOS
T3h Zolom
Wander
Agent J
The Boss(Not yet, but she will)
---
He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 12:44:45 PM | message detail
Or it proves that Raiden was SFF'd...

this is why I dun like you
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/16/2007 12:45:30 PM | message detail
uhh soma cruz was sffed too what are you talking about
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
red sox 777 | Posted 9/16/2007 12:48:17 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife and Revolver Ocelot defeated Jill Valentine and Midgar Zolom

This is also the first time Cloud has placed first in a contest poll since October 2004.

---
Character Battle VI -- Points: 41/52 -- T-207 (91 way)
Bracket: Zelda > Vincent -- Vote: Vincent
AerisDS | Posted 9/16/2007 12:48:55 PM | message detail
And Tails takes the lead.

Well, 3rd place, that is.
---
Now in portable form!
http://img519.imageshack.us/img519/3943/haruhi3mx8.gif
ZFS | Posted 9/16/2007 12:49:17 PM | message detail
darn you tournament of champions

---
Final Fantasy VII Remake -- Believe
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/16/2007 2:41:03 PM | message detail
What? Is it so hard to believe that one character from a series SFF'd another?
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/16/2007 3:50:25 PM | message detail
I'm just stumped as to why I had Zelda > Vincent. I knew Vincent was stronger than Zelda and still had that. Guess that's a "oh **** I forgot to change it" moment.
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/16/2007 4:01:55 PM | message detail
Ashe's post is the exact same one I was trying for! :O
---
Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 38/52; Oracle - 40th
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 4:02:41 PM | message detail
2004 was the year FFX nearly beat SSBM. Is the implication now that Tidus is hurt by low votals?
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/16/2007 4:10:37 PM | message detail
Tails/The Boss is still back and forth?

*Goes back outside to watch some epic grass growing*
---
Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Tails/The Boss/Vincent/Zelda - Bracket: Vincent > Zelda - Vote: The Boss (44/52)
NClark128 | Posted 9/16/2007 4:13:30 PM | message detail
Meh, I'm pretty happy with Tails' performance regardless of who goes on to take 3rd. I think Tails would beat The Boss without too much trouble if not for Zelda.
---
Rangers 0 0 0 5 0 9 0 10 6 . 30 29 1
Orioles
... 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 . 0 . 3 .. 9 ..1
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2007 4:19:47 PM | message detail
FFX is liked

Tidus is not

TuRtLe
~~~
42/52 in the contest. Next pick: Zelda > Vincent
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Draco1214 | Posted 9/16/2007 4:21:23 PM | message detail
It's getting closer and closer to when we see Master Chief in action in this format for the first time. I need him to dominate his first match in order for me to feel safe in taking him to the Elite Eight.
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Currently Playing: Persona 3
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 4:21:49 PM | message detail
Then that doesn't explain Tidus/Ganondorf, unless everyone decided to get together one day and start hating Tidus.

Tidus has NEVER been close to how he appeared in 2003. Remember Tidus/Claire?
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2007 4:22:35 PM | message detail
Didn't Claire have a game that year?

TuRtLe
~~~
42/52 in the contest. Next pick: Zelda > Vincent
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/16/2007 4:22:43 PM | message detail
With Link and Zelda in the next round, I wonder how many people will get confused and vote 'Zelda' when meaning to vote for Link?
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2007 4:23:52 PM | message detail
Zelda > Vincent confirmed!

TuRtLe
~~~
42/52 in the contest. Next pick: Zelda > Vincent
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/16/2007 4:24:19 PM | message detail
It's getting closer and closer to when we see Master Chief in action in this format for the first time. I need him to dominate his first match in order for me to feel safe in taking him to the Elite Eight.

If he loses to Yuna even once that'll make this the best contest for me ever. Even if I never appear on the leaderboard this time.
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 4:24:50 PM | message detail
Claire's last game before that match was Code Veronica (which was on the DC, and not exceedingly well received), and that was released in 2000.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
BDawg | Posted 9/16/2007 4:26:43 PM | message detail
Tails/Boss is so epic I think I'm gonna have to ignore this for about 4 and a half hours just to cool off.
---
Should I start running now?
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/16/2007 4:27:00 PM | message detail
Care to clarify the FFX/SSBM post KH? Cause FFX the game and the cast are two fairly different entities as far as popularity goes. Just wondering what exactly you meant.
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/16/2007 4:27:03 PM | message detail
Man, it's a shame that the match that is extremely close right now is one that no one cares about >_>
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2007 4:27:13 PM | message detail
Code Veronica was a PS2 game no?

TuRtLe
~~~
42/52 in the contest. Next pick: Zelda > Vincent
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/16/2007 4:31:09 PM | message detail
Ah, pardon me. She also had the "meh" received Code Veronica X for the PS2 (a port of the DC version) in 2001.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/16/2007 4:32:29 PM | message detail
Man, it's a shame that the match that is extremely close right now is one that no one cares about >_>

I kind of care. Sure it's not worth points or anything but I'd be very glad if The Boss pulled it through over Tails. It'd be another moral victory for the MGS team, and a loss for the Sonic Furry Squad.
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/16/2007 4:32:44 PM | message detail
The PS2 version sold more than the DC version though.

Well.. not by much. And considering how badly PS2s outnumbered Dreamcasts, it should have been by a lot more.

And I don't know if it had reached that many sales by the time the contest hit. It wasn't quite a year old.
---
This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/16/2007 4:34:46 PM | message detail
I'm no furry, but Tails >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> The Boss

All The Boss is is a butch trucker woman of questionable sexual orientation

TuRtLe
~~~
42/52 in the contest. Next pick: Zelda > Vincent
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
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