GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 484
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/15/2007 12:26:45 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Agent J and Edgeworth are both under my predictions, (5% and 12%) and Bidoof is over (14%). --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 12:28:05 PM | message detail |
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Edgeworth and Agent J are right around where I figured, within a
percent or so. It's just that Bidoof is taking all of that extra
percentage I gave to Link... --- Vote for Serge. |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/15/2007 12:29:33 PM | message detail |
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so who else thinks its awesome that bidoof is beating edgeworth harder than edgey's beating agent j? cause i do. --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/15/2007 12:31:29 PM | message detail |
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If FFVII/MGS SFF is to be believed, Ocelot wouldn't have come in second in Cloud's fourpack. ...except that Jill was probably SFF'd just as much as Ocelot. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 12:33:01 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, because there's great evidence for that. Oh wait, there isn't. Good grief, I believe in overlap, but let's not slap the SFF label on everything that doesn't go according to plan. --- Vote for Serge. |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/15/2007 12:34:19 PM | message detail |
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Kirby SFF's Prince of Persia beacuse i think PoP should have got mreo in that match imho --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 12:34:24 PM | message detail |
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Right conclusion, wrong argument, however. Sonic is independent from NO ONE. That's why he'll suck away everyone's percentage. What I meant was that Sonic isn't tied specifically to either Link Cloud or Snake, therefore he's independent of the other 3. Which means any support he gets comes at the expense of everyone. TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 12:40:42 PM | message detail |
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But Sonic IS tied to everyone. Everyone knows who he is, and therefore
he has overlap with everyone. It's just not heavily in favor of any one
character. --- Vote for Serge. |
| voltch | Posted 9/15/2007 12:43:11 PM | message detail |
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we should really one day update our use of terms. SFF is becoming a really vague and overused sigle. --- Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/15/2007 12:43:23 PM | message detail |
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But Sonic IS tied to everyone. Everyone knows who he is, and
therefore he has overlap with everyone. It's just not heavily in favor
of any one character. That's what we mean by "independent" when used in the stats topic. Someone's independent unless there's a heavy overlap with the other characters. For example, in Ryu's match, he was the most independent character, by a long shot. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 12:44:23 PM | message detail |
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But I still wouldn't call him independent. That implies that he has the fewest ties, which is ridiculous. --- Vote for Serge. |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 9/15/2007 12:44:42 PM | message detail |
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Link is going to break 70% very soon at this rate. o_O Is this still considered a disappointment? ;p --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| Mumei | Posted 9/15/2007 12:52:08 PM | message detail |
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What is Link's highest personal vote total? --- "I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 12:53:13 PM | message detail |
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92998 against AiAi. --- Vote for Serge. |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/15/2007 12:58:50 PM | message detail |
| I said if Link didn't soundly get over 75%, the
match would have to be considered a big disappointment for him.
Especially considering that some people were calling for above 80,
including me. --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| Mumei | Posted 9/15/2007 12:59:47 PM | message detail |
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Was that with or without the rallying, Exxy? I'm happy with 72 - 73% given that. Also, is he going to break his old record? --- "I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/15/2007 1:03:15 PM | message detail |
| The only reason this is disappointing at all is
probably because we underestimated Bidoof. Link is still going to win
the contest, Cloud doesn't have a chance, etc. etc. I'm not fooling myself again. --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| TheCruelAngel | Posted 9/15/2007 1:03:38 PM | message detail |
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There was no way that Link was going to get 80%. Bidoof and Miles,
however weak they are, still have a loyal/fad-based fanbase. I'm sure
both would whoop AiAi's ass. --- Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!? Squall: ...Flower. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 1:10:57 PM | message detail |
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But Sonic IS tied to everyone. Everyone knows who he is, and
therefore he has overlap with everyone. It's just not heavily in favor
of any one character. Which is word for word what I said. Are you blind or something? Sonic is not Nintendo, not Squaresoft and not Konami, therefore he's independent from the other 3 and will take everyone's support due to fans in all 3 other camps preferring Sonic over Link/Cloud/Snake TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2007 1:25:49 PM | message detail |
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I never saw how anyone could have expected Link to get 80%, all three
characters had to get under 7% for that to happen. I predicted 72% and
even then I thought I was going a little too high. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 13: Link > Bidoof Points: 36/48 |
| ZFS | Posted 9/15/2007 1:27:25 PM | message detail |
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why in the world is this match getting so many posts --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/15/2007 1:27:27 PM | message detail |
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The three characters are complete turds though. It was well within the realm of possibility. --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 1:39:32 PM | message detail |
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Which is word for word what I said. Are you blind or something? No, it's not. The term "independent" is erroneous because Sonic ISN'T independent. He's equally tied to everyone. "Independent" would be Marcus Fenix in his matches. --- Vote for Serge. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 1:45:08 PM | message detail |
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.... I think I need to try this GameFOX block thing that everyone keeps talking about. An example of dependence would be Ganon and Link's relationship. An example independence would be Link and Sonic's relationship. TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 1:46:26 PM | message detail |
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...But Sonic ISN'T independent of ANYONE. The lack of SFF doesn't mean independence. Sonic overlaps with EVERYONE. --- Vote for Serge. |
| andaca | Posted 9/15/2007 1:47:35 PM | message detail |
| Think of it like a real world election. A full blown Independent candidate is very likely going to have ties with the other candidates, and will likely still be drawing support from all of them because the Indepedent's stances on issues are probably going to make them the preferred candidate to people across the political spsectrum. However, they are still considered Independent because they are not primarily associated with any one candidate/party above of the rest. |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/15/2007 1:47:41 PM | message detail |
| Link and Sonic share a home on at least three
different consoles. They aren't independent of each other, but more
independent than, say, Cloud and Sephiroth or Mario and Samus. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| ZFS | Posted 9/15/2007 1:54:36 PM | message detail |
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Oh my... Did we really discuss Link losing to Cloud based off of this? Link's performance here is only "disappointing" relative to the wild expectations some of us had of him getting 80%, 85% and some even saying 90%. It's pretty clear that in this format, you have to be...special to get below 10%. Link getting 70% here is impressive -- nearly 10% more than what Cloud got. Now, I am all for Cloud kicking some ass, but it won't be off of Link's "weakness" here. If you look at last year, Cloud got 36% to Link's 45% with only Snake in the match. Throw Sonic in there and, depending on how much you think he hurts Link instead of Cloud, there may yet be a possibility -- but it's tiny. Link's likelihood of winning hasn't suffered one iota from yesterday, which I'm sure is what the conclusion was, but it needs to be repeated! --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| Mumei | Posted 9/15/2007 2:00:21 PM | message detail |
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Hm. Averaged something like 5300 votes / hour over the past four hours (and ~4600 this last hour, so apparently tapering down now). Odds on 100,000 individual votes? --- "I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 2:01:44 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, that's what I meant. There is some overlap, but certainly not enough to entertain a Cloud > Link upset. TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| ZFS | Posted 9/15/2007 2:02:12 PM | message detail |
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Link and Sonic share a home on at least three different consoles.
They aren't independent of each other, but more independent than, say,
Cloud and Sephiroth or Mario and Samus. That's about how I feel it is, too. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 2:04:02 PM | message detail |
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I don't think he'll get 100,000 It's a weekend, so the majority of the voting would take place in the afternoon. Like you said it's tapering down, Link would need about 5,500 votes/hour to get 100,000 TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| TexasAggie | Posted 9/15/2007 2:05:35 PM | message detail |
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Im siding with Serge here. While Link and ganon is extreme SFF, Link
and sonic is still minor SFF. Look no further than pac-Man. he'd beat
Revolver straight up, but he got SFFed by mario because of the big
overlap of people who only knew who Mario and Pac-Man are. --- Contest pts: 40 Today: Link>Bidoof |
| Mumei | Posted 9/15/2007 2:06:14 PM | message detail |
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He'd need 4,167 votes / hour to reach 100,000 - and he's averaging ~4,670 for the match. --- "I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei |
| ZFS | Posted 9/15/2007 2:07:05 PM | message detail |
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itd only be 13000 more than what cloud got anyways --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 2:17:35 PM | message detail |
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He'll have a hard time maintaining that pace for the last few hours. --- Vote for Serge. |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/15/2007 2:25:32 PM | message detail |
| It's not the best way to look at it...but Link's
got over 80% of 100,000 votes with more than 25% of the match-time
left. Also, as already mentioned, Cloud got about 87,500 votes with two
opponents that are tougher than anybody Link's facing. The match will
definitely slow down towards the end, but I'm still not ruling out a
potential 100,000 votes for Link. Time'll tell though. I don't know what this match's expected vote total is looking like right now..... --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
| Mumei | Posted 9/15/2007 2:26:30 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, just looked... He needs to average ~2,950 votes for the next 7 hours to make it. --- "I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/15/2007 2:28:26 PM | message detail |
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At the current pace and if Link gets 70% he'll finish with 102k --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 13: Link > Bidoof Points: 36/48 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/15/2007 2:30:49 PM | message detail |
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I'm actually rather impessed with Link here. I was doubting he'd even hit 70%. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 36/48; Oracle - 36th |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/15/2007 2:40:19 PM | message detail |
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I never saw why anyone saw him near 80% after some of the N9 matches. I guess it's the excitement or something. --- Today: Link > Bidoof - Vote: Link Tomorrow: Vincent > Zelda - Vote: Tails - Points: 38/48 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 3:03:32 PM | message detail |
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Oh wait, not sure why I mistook 69,000 for 60,000 Disregard my previous post TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/15/2007 3:28:54 PM | message detail |
| I was just thinking about a games contest, Guitar
Hero has the potential to be a decent force if we ever get one. It's
one of the few "casual" games that are "acceptable" by the elitist
horde on this site. TuRtLe ~~~ 38/48 in the contest. Next pick: Link > Bidoof BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| metoolfan | Posted 9/15/2007 3:30:51 PM | message detail |
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*looks at treatment of hochiminh* ... Yeah, this is the stats topic. --- *is Xic* ...for 15 days |
| Cecil XIX | Posted 9/15/2007 3:43:09 PM | message detail |
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So, how well does "Pokemon Trainer" do if he gets into this contest? If
he looks like Ash/Red, I'd say he could be an upper midcarder. --- Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1 |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/15/2007 3:46:08 PM | message detail |
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Oh, you don't like that? Y'see, that's too bad - because having nothing to do with the stats topic, I'm Karma Hunter,
and if someone acts like a douche I'm gonna call 'em on it and belittle
'em to boot. If that makes me an elitist, I embrace it. And if you
don't like it - get out. NOW. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/15/2007 3:46:15 PM | message detail |
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I wouldn't say upper mid-carder because that's probably equal or past Mewtwo. I'd like to say he's below him. --- Today: Link > Bidoof - Vote: Link Tomorrow: Vincent > Zelda - Vote: Tails - Points: 38/48 |
| NominateSerge | Posted 9/15/2007 3:46:57 PM | message detail |
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Upper midcarder is past MEWTWO. Let's not get carried away here. --- Vote for Serge. |
| Cecil XIX | Posted 9/15/2007 3:54:35 PM | message detail |
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So where would he be on the Pokemon chain? I hope he'd be stronger than Pikachu. --- Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1 |
| Pondos | Posted 9/15/2007 3:56:18 PM | message detail |
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Why does gameFAQs hate Pikachu? --- Outside of a dog, a book is a man's best friend. Inside of a dog, it is too dark to read. -Groucho Marx |
