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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 482

FFDragon | Posted 9/14/2007 2:45:53 PM | message detail
Bring it ExTha. >_>

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php

Post away! (In about a day. But they're never too early, eh?)
---
Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2)
SHINE GET 64 | Posted 9/14/2007 2:46:11 PM | message detail
bomberman more like stop gainingman
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SHINE. The Cream of Mega Man Fanboyism.
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/5584/lolbd3.jpg
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/14/2007 2:46:26 PM | message detail
Fox > Phoenix Wright
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Owner of TWO sticky topics!
Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488
heroic tranny | Posted 9/14/2007 2:48:44 PM | message detail
now THIS is early!
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xyzzy
FFDragon | Posted 9/14/2007 2:49:27 PM | message detail
No no tranny! ExTha has SPOKEN!

http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs9/detail.php?board=8&topic=38232026&message=419323320
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2)
neonreaper | Posted 9/14/2007 3:07:59 PM | message detail
who wants my nuts
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cherish the certainty of now, it kills you a bit at a time
Team Jägermeister
Draco1214 | Posted 9/14/2007 3:08:16 PM | message detail
Go Phoenix! Keep that lead!
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Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3
neonreaper | Posted 9/14/2007 3:08:40 PM | message detail
go Bomberman! One More Win!
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cherish the certainty of now, it kills you a bit at a time
Team Jägermeister
swirIdude | Posted 9/14/2007 3:09:30 PM | message detail
Uh, 481 hasn't even begun yet you fools.
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
mr wednesday | Posted 9/14/2007 3:09:46 PM | message detail
What's with the dueling stats discussion topics? You're two ahead now.
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IF TOAD DOES NOT ADVANCE TO THE SECOND ROUND, I WILL NEVER COME TO GAMEFAQS AGAIN
neonreaper | Posted 9/14/2007 3:10:09 PM | message detail
Soon Bomberman will be two ahead as well
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cherish the certainty of now, it kills you a bit at a time
Team Jägermeister
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/14/2007 4:52:07 PM | message detail
Tagging this for the hell of it.

~*ST*~
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Petition for a system notification when a contribution is removed: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=37308859
Warsola | Posted 9/14/2007 4:53:36 PM | message detail
We should totally get this topic to 500 before Part 481 >_>
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 9/14/2007 5:00:18 PM | message detail
Fight, Bomberman! For everlasting leaderboard glory!
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2088
Never forget.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/14/2007 5:54:55 PM | message detail
OMMFG TOO FREAKING EARLY OMFG

=P
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
Gaddswell | Posted 9/14/2007 6:18:01 PM | message detail
Up

Go Phoenix!
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Finally a damn bracket!
http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/14/2007 6:20:31 PM | message detail
Wow, one of the people I messaged has actually played it! Awesome.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
swirIdude | Posted 9/14/2007 6:20:45 PM | message detail
PHOENIX TIME!
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2007 6:21:07 PM | message detail
*Bomberman uses another Cherry Bomb*

*Everyone takes massive damage!*
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/14/2007 6:21:12 PM | message detail
How is it that a match with a lead under 70 can kind of be boring >_>
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
heroic tranny | Posted 9/14/2007 6:21:17 PM | message detail
augh

darn you leonhart

funny how, six hours ago, i figured bomberman taking the lead was inevitable and now i feel like phoenix is absolutely screwed if he loses the lead
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xyzzy
Mega Mana | Posted 9/14/2007 6:22:00 PM | message detail
Ugh, too late to announce the 79-vote barrier....

C'MON NICK!
swirIdude | Posted 9/14/2007 6:22:01 PM | message detail
Bleh, Bomberman, you're doing too good.
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http://img255.imageshack.us/img255/2636/ivotedphoenixyi0.png
http://img299.imageshack.us/img299/2931/ivotededgeworthck7.png
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/14/2007 6:22:14 PM | message detail
I can't go to 4chan due to other people in the room, so someone else will have to do it for me. <_<
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
chaosarcher07 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:22:29 PM | message detail
What are the chances of Phoenix having a Frog-like final hour?
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http://www.scorehero.com/scores.php?user=6054&game=4&diff=4
charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:22:41 PM | message detail
Match XIII: Agent J vs Bidoof vs Link vs Miles Edgeworth

Information

Name: Agent J
Game/Series From: Elite Beat Agents
Past Contests: None
Wins: N/A
Losses: N/A

Name: Bidoof
Game/Series From: Pokemon D/P
Past Contests: None
Wins: N/A
Losses: N/A

Name: Link
Game/Series From: The Legend of Zelda series
Past Contests: CB2k2, CB2k3, CB2k4, CB2k5, CB2k6
Wins: Little Mac (2k2), Strider (2k2), Jill Valentine (2k2), Scorpion (2k2), Sephiroth (2k2), Mario (2k2), AiAi (2k3), Fox (2k3), Magus (2k3), Samus (2k3), CATS (2k4), Ganondorf (2k4), Yoshi (2k4), Crono (2k4), Mega Man (2k4), Cloud (2k4), Cloud (2k5), Sephiroth (2k5), BR Match 1 (2k6), BR Match 2 (2k6), BR Match 3 (2k6), BR Match 4 (2k6), BR Match 5 (2k6)
Losses: Cloud (2k3)

Name: Miles Edgeworth
Game/Series From: Phoenix Wright series
Past Contests: None
Wins: N/A
Losses: N/A

Analysis

Fun fact, this is the only match of the contest to have more new comers than returnees. This doesn’t matter since the character that has been to a contest before so happens to be the most dominate character in the entire character battle history. He is so powerful that for the last two years he wasn’t in the main bracket, but a side bracket where he easily beat what is supposedly his strongest opponents. The fight for second will be interesting, the other characters deserve to come in last in almost every single four-pack yet someone here will be taking second.

Link will not only be taking first, but he’ll get the highest percent of the contest. That’s what happens when you have the strongest going against three of the weakest characters. The question is how high will Link get in this match? I’ve seen some picks as low as 65% to as high as 85%. Personally even if Link is the most dominate force in the contest he is still going up against three characters with three different fanbases (though their games are all from the DS so there may be some overlap) and breaking 90% on one character is already hard to do. I see Link getting somewhere around the low 70’s.

I only really see two characters being able to come in second in this poll, Miles Edgeworth and Bidoof. While Edgeworth isn’t going to be as popular as Phoenix Wright, he probably has the biggest hardcore fanbase out of the three characters. The question is how much weaker is Edgeworth compare to Phoenix. Many PW fansites are usually made for Phoenix Wright, but there is a small community that also loves Edgeworth. Bidoof is a random Pokemon you see in Diamond and Pearl, but last year we all saw Nidoran F do better than what most people expected and the fad with Bidoof extends past board 8.

I don’t see Agent J doing much in this poll because out of the three games Elite Beat Agents is probably the least popular and the game itself doesn’t really focus on the characters rather they focus more of the dances.

Anyway Link takes first and I have Bidoof taking second, but I see Miles taking second as well. Link will be taking a lot of the votes so the hardcore fanbase may be the deciding factor in this match.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Link > Bidoof

charmander6000’s Prediction: Link - 71.84%, Bidoof - 10.54%, Miles Edgeworth - 9.78%, Agent J - 7.84%

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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 12: Magus > Bomberman Points: 34/44
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/14/2007 6:24:00 PM | message detail
Go, Phoenix go!

Come on! Take off every rally!
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
FFDragon | Posted 9/14/2007 6:24:09 PM | message detail
It's going to be weird if Phoenix manages to lose out here after leading with quite the cushion after the first half hour.
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2)
Xuxon | Posted 9/14/2007 6:24:25 PM | message detail
Huh... so that's Agent J. He actually looked familiar, and I've barely heard of the game (series?) he's in. I wonder if he could get third?
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2007 6:25:22 PM | message detail
So, if Bomberman "wins" and Phoenix Wright loses, I guess we'll have records for the character who led the least amount of time and still won and the character who led the longest and still lost.

Unless I'm forgetting one...
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Mega Mana | Posted 9/14/2007 6:25:55 PM | message detail
49 votes?! OBJECTION!
TheCruelAngel | Posted 9/14/2007 6:26:12 PM | message detail
Dammit, Phoenix. Pull something out of your ass!
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/14/2007 6:26:22 PM | message detail
...Bomberman picking now of all times to do this makes no sense at all.

I love this match.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
red sox 777 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:26:35 PM | message detail
Starcraft and Wind Waker?
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 35/44 -- T-197 (98 way)
Bracket: Magus > Phoenix Wright -- Vote: Magus
Xuxon | Posted 9/14/2007 6:27:22 PM | message detail
DK vs Duck Hunt should have broken that record!
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Heroic Viktor | Posted 9/14/2007 6:27:23 PM | message detail
Now I'm getting a little concerned. Come on Phoenix! Hold on!

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128 character battle royale? My head hurts.
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2007 6:27:25 PM | message detail
Argh, Bomberman's under 50 and I have to leave soon...
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/14/2007 6:28:08 PM | message detail
From Heroic Viktor Posted 9/14/2007 9:27:23 PM #036
Now I'm getting a little concerned. Come on Phoenix! Hold on!

...A little? ...Now?
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/14/2007 6:28:39 PM | message detail
Oh yeah, we sure have massive rallies. >_>
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The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/14/2007 6:29:46 PM | message detail
I doubt Phoenix has 2 and half hours left in him before a final charge... if he can even muster it...
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/14/2007 6:30:36 PM | message detail
From KamikazePotato Posted 9/14/2007 9:28:39 PM #039
Oh yeah, we sure have massive rallies. >_>

Go to 4chan.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:30:38 PM | message detail
No, this would beat Starcraft vs WW.

Starcraft led for the first 2 hours or so.
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This would be the record.
armitage999 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:30:54 PM | message detail
Phoenix is done like dinner. Once Bomberman gets the lead I'm calling it.
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Insert sig here
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/14/2007 6:31:07 PM | message detail
Man, Phoenix is starting to fall behind Crash regularly now.
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
TheCruelAngel | Posted 9/14/2007 6:31:32 PM | message detail
Blah. =(

Night night.
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Warden: Talk! What is SeeD all about!?
Squall: ...Flower.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/14/2007 6:33:04 PM | message detail
heh. come on Bomberman.
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Today: Mario > Big Boss - Vote: Mario
Tomorrow: Magus > Bomberman - Vote: Bomberman - Points: 32/40
Mega Mana | Posted 9/14/2007 6:33:58 PM | message detail
32 32 32 32 oh no oh no oh no oh no
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/14/2007 6:34:13 PM | message detail
Phoenix, this would be a REALLY good time to pull one of your little magic tricks...
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
greatone10 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:34:15 PM | message detail
Woah, I come back to the poll to this!?
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/14/2007 6:35:03 PM | message detail
Bomberman is getting the night vote on Phoenix Wright. This guy really is a Nintendo character with the best Power Hour.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
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