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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 479

YoAriel33 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:41:46 AM | message detail
Oddly enough, this was one of Nick's worst times against Freeman. He recovered a bit with the afterschool vote, then sort of trailed off again.

Heh, that's kind of surprising. If he does actually gain impressively with the after school vote here, we may as well call him an honorary Nintendo character - the one with the strongest Power Hour, no less!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
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Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/14/2007 8:43:33 AM | message detail
For me, I want to see Crash takes second, but for my bracket, I need Bomberman to take second. Don't get me wrong, I also like Phoenix Wright.

And lol at non-existing real estate crash.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:44:20 AM | message detail
wtf @ Crash there
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/14/2007 8:44:39 AM | message detail
Phoenix should recover a bit with the afterschool vote.

He even won a few updates with it last time, and I'd wager that Gordon's day vote>any of these.
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:45:33 AM | message detail
I'm telling you Crash will gain twice as fast as Bomberman and have an epic 3-way fight at the end of the poll.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 12: Magus > Bomberman Points: 34/44
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/14/2007 8:45:54 AM | message detail
And also, Phoenix's bleeding to Gordon declined dramatically during the day.
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He was stuck by lightning and became insane.don't mind him.-hiei on me.
Sound advice.
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:46:25 AM | message detail
Phoenix didn't really follow trends very well, as one might expect.

Time | Phoenix | Gordon
01:00 | 47.66% | 52.34%
02:00 | 45.28% | 54.72%
03:00 | 42.80% | 57.20%
04:00 | 44.75% | 55.25%
05:00 | 42.94% | 57.06%
06:00 | 43.73% | 56.27%
07:00 | 42.80% | 57.20%
08:00 | 42.21% | 57.79%
09:00 | 41.77% | 58.23%
10:00 | 40.91% | 59.09%
11:00 | 39.12% | 60.88%
12:00 | 40.02% | 59.98%
13:00 | 39.31% | 60.69%
14:00 | 40.92% | 59.08%
15:00 | 39.47% | 60.53%
16:00 | 42.46% | 57.54%
17:00 | 41.22% | 58.78%
18:00 | 40.98% | 59.02%
19:00 | 40.05% | 59.95%
20:00 | 40.65% | 59.35%
21:00 | 40.40% | 59.60%
22:00 | 39.69% | 60.31%
23:00 | 39.50% | 60.50%
00:00 | 40.40% | 59.60%

He started off doing well in the during-school and after-school periods, and then trailed off...
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"And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/14/2007 8:47:45 AM | message detail
GameFAQs <3 furries confirmed.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 9/14/2007 8:48:05 AM | message detail
SmurFAQs
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
transience | Posted 9/14/2007 8:49:40 AM | message detail
he was pretty much at his worst from here on, eh?

well, he's going to have to fight for his damn life here. and what the hell Magus
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Master Moltar | Posted 9/14/2007 8:50:27 AM | message detail
I don't even know what to expect anymore. I'll just check the poll again in about 5 hours to see where things have gone.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Bomberman/Crash/Phoenix/Magus - Bracket: Magus > Phoenix - Vote: Phoenix (38/44)
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/14/2007 8:50:40 AM | message detail
My god, Magus looks so bad here. >_>
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:51:54 AM | message detail
I'll post this again.

Using the x-stats this match is expected to be

Magus - 33.86%
Bomberman - 23.71%
Phoenix Wright - 22.47%
Crash - 19.95%

However if you apply the same to the Samus/Frog/Axel/Kerrigan match you'd get this

Samus - 42.49%
Frog - 23.14%
Axel - 21.46%
Kerrigan - 12.91%
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 12: Magus > Bomberman Points: 34/44
ZFS | Posted 9/14/2007 8:53:04 AM | message detail
Nice to see that Phoenix still has a 1000+ lead. I'm thinking that's not going to be enough to hold off against the Bomberman after school vote, though.

But holy crap Magus. I can't believe this is the guy that beat Ganondorf in '03. This is a rough performance to say the least.

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
transience | Posted 9/14/2007 8:53:58 AM | message detail
I love how he's getting less against these three than he got against Link.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/14/2007 8:54:24 AM | message detail
Another match that didn't go as expected, btw. LOVE this contest
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__hiei__ | Posted 9/14/2007 8:54:39 AM | message detail
Magus increasing % slowly.Crash gaining on the other two while bomberman stalls Phoenix/


This match has potential to become very good later.
red sox 777 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:54:49 AM | message detail
Obviously Phoenix + Bomberman + Crash are just stronger than Link!
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 35/44 -- T-197 (98 way)
Bracket: Magus > Phoenix Wright -- Vote: Magus
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:55:55 AM | message detail
Frog (Who should be good in this format) bombed against Axel. I don't see why this is surprising. Crono is doomed. CT has taken a sharp decline. It needs to be remade/ported or else Frog will lose to the likes of Revolver Ocelot and Magus will lose to the likes of Tails
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:56:12 AM | message detail
he was pretty much at his worst from here on, eh?

well, he's going to have to fight for his damn life here. and what the hell Magus


A slight boost afterschool and Bomberman staying where he was in the morning might be enough, but there's no guarantee on either of those.
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"And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:57:16 AM | message detail
We have discovered the one combo that can dethrone Link.

CRASH, BOMBERMAN, PHOENIX - DEPLOY YOUR WARG RIDERS.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/14/2007 8:57:48 AM | message detail
This match is awesome. Three of the characters I nominated are in this match, and I would've voted for those three over at least 70% of the other characters. I hope that Bomberman will get much closer to Phoenix Wright, but I don't care who wins. Seeing either Bomberman or PW in round 2 is awesome.

But Phoenix has a lead over 1000, why would he just drop that all of a sudden?
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
HaRRicH | Posted 9/14/2007 8:58:14 AM | message detail
How in the world is this match as competitive as it is...ya know, still? Magus is disappointing, Crash is impressing, and PW's right in the middle with Bomberman hoping to fight off any drop-off or surges.

All of this ranging from 19% to 32%, too.



Magus VS Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, or Kirby...would anybody take Magus over any of them?
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ZFS | Posted 9/14/2007 8:59:07 AM | message detail
Nope.

I don't say that based off of today's match, but it sure does help the case.

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/14/2007 8:59:53 AM | message detail
Magus VS Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, or Kirby...would anybody take Magus over any of them?


**** no. Magus would be lucky to beat Kratos at this point
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:00:01 AM | message detail
Magus VS Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, or Kirby...would anybody take Magus over any of them?

Maybe before the 2005 contest. Now, I'd take any of them to crack 60% before I take Magus to win.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/14/2007 9:01:00 AM | message detail
Magus easily beats any of them. It's just thios format which is hurting him. AND I SAY THIS WITHOUT ANY FANBOYISM!
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:02:00 AM | message detail
I'd probably take KOS-MOS over Magus. At least KOS-MOS could put away Crash
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:02:16 AM | message detail
Magus VS Bowser, Yoshi, Luigi, or Kirby...would anybody take Magus over any of them?

If it was a 5-way poll I might consider Kirby > Magus.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:04:38 AM | message detail
Time | Bomber | Crash . .| Phoenix | Magus
01:00 | 23.18% | 15.97% | 29.21% | 31.64%
02:00 | 23.02% | 17.22% | 25.65% | 34.11%
03:00 | 23.08% | 17.34% | 25.83% | 33.76%
04:00 | 22.84% | 17.99% | 26.00% | 33.17%
05:00 | 23.17% | 20.21% | 25.78% | 30.85%
06:00 | 23.08% | 22.56% | 24.08% | 30.29%
07:00 | 24.46% | 24.39% | 25.01% | 26.14%
08:00 | 24.37% | 22.53% | 24.98% | 28.12%
09:00 | 23.24% | 22.20% | 23.89% | 30.66%
10:00 | 23.15% | 21.99% | 22.85% | 32.02%
11:00 | 23.45% | 21.22% | 22.39% | 32.94%
12:00 | 23.46% | 23.05% | 21.24% | 32.26%

This is all Crash's fault.
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"And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright
Lopen | Posted 9/14/2007 9:06:43 AM | message detail
And they said Crash was going to hurt Bomberman's day vote! He's just going to drag Phoenix into a hole while Bomberman stands unmoved! Hohoho.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:07:21 AM | message detail
And then Bomberman will throw a bomb into the hole.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:07:30 AM | message detail
And they said Crash was going to hurt Bomberman's day vote! He's just going to drag Phoenix into a hole while Bomberman stands unmoved! Hohoho.

XD
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Proud Supporter of Solid Snake, Dante and Ryu. Alt Account of someone who is lame and stupid
BDawg | Posted 9/14/2007 9:08:24 AM | message detail
This slow bleed reminds me a lot of the Kefka/Marcus setup. But man, I can't write off Crash either to be honest. We could literally have the characters inverted by the day vote. Magus is gonna look like crap, but he shouldn't be in real danger.
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Should I start running now?
Sonic 005 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:08:48 AM | message detail
Lol Phoenix.
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[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Who Cares? | Posted 9/14/2007 9:08:50 AM | message detail
Hmm, so at the halfway point Bomberman pretty much needs to shave off 92-93 votes an hour to seal the deal. Which means roughly 7-8 votes an update.

He's not off to a good start after that update!
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Current Points: 36
Maximum Possible Points: 760/768
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:09:12 AM | message detail
Unexpected PW boost!

I think all the high-powered lawyers just took out their laptops during their power lunch.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
charmander6000 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:09:19 AM | message detail
Ouch Bomberman bad update on Bomberman's side.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 12: Magus > Bomberman Points: 34/44
red sox 777 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:09:56 AM | message detail
Actually....if this is Phoenix boosting massively as a result of the sales of his game doubling, would he win a rematch with Gordon? If he's at Gordon's level or stronger now, and Bomberman is approximately at his level, considering Gordon got 36% on Sora who got nearly 46% on Megaman, it seems Phoenix + Bomberman could likely get around 50% on Megaman 2k6. Add on Crash, and Phoenix + Bomberman + Crash equaling Link 2k3 (who was only projected to get 60% or so on Megaman 2k3) doesn't seem so unreasonable....does it?
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 35/44 -- T-197 (98 way)
Bracket: Magus > Phoenix Wright -- Vote: Magus
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/14/2007 9:10:10 AM | message detail
XD

I was just about to post "lead under 1100 next update!" Phoenix spike.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/14/2007 9:11:10 AM | message detail
Actually....if this is Phoenix boosting massively as a result of the sales of his game doubling, would he win a rematch with Gordon? If he's at Gordon's level or stronger now, and Bomberman is approximately at his level, considering Gordon got 36% on Sora who got nearly 46% on Megaman, it seems Phoenix + Bomberman could likely get around 50% on Megaman 2k6. Add on Crash, and Phoenix + Bomberman + Crash equaling Link 2k3 (who was only projected to get 60% or so on Megaman 2k3) doesn't seem so unreasonable....does it?

*head implodes*
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:11:13 AM | message detail
Blech! Not Tres Bien,
Maya needs burgers to help
Nick win the lunch vote.
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"And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright
Lopen | Posted 9/14/2007 9:12:56 AM | message detail
Bomberman to take it all back and then some next update. Watch for it!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
__Smurf__ | Posted 9/14/2007 9:13:03 AM | message detail
I wonder if Crash's impressive showing today will have implications for other casual playstation characters Lara, Spyro and Tommy? Aside from Spyro the other two could do damage.

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I made a promise and I'm here to keep it. Today, I put my past behind me. THIS IS WHO I AM - Shadow the Hedgehog
Lopen | Posted 9/14/2007 9:14:07 AM | message detail
Ehhhh... over half... good enough, Bomber!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:15:15 AM | message detail
Lara's not really in any position to do much damage, even if the Square SFF in round 2 is a 3-way split.

Tommy's not either, not with the Chief in the same match.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
Lopen | Posted 9/14/2007 9:15:34 AM | message detail
Eh, I don't consider Tommy Vercetti to be the same deal as those two. And even if he was, I'd still say Master Chief and Yuna are a bit out of his reach. Lara Croft, yes, but wasn't she already the favorite to get outta round 1? And no chance in hell of round 2 for her.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/14/2007 9:15:58 AM | message detail
I got Albert Wesker above Lara >_<
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/14/2007 9:16:46 AM | message detail
And no chance in hell of round 2 for her.


She'll get third place in Round 2.


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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/14/2007 9:17:01 AM | message detail
Lara has had the well-received (and AWESOME) Anniversary since her last appearance. She'll do well.
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