GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 478
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/13/2007 10:02:47 AM | message detail |
Wil Magus bomb? Will Bomberman do just wright? Will Phoenix Wright crash? Will Crash...do... Magus? *Creativename's websites* Everything you could ever imagine: http://www.GameFAQsContests.com http://www.sc2k5.com http://www.sc2k4.com Sortable Table for Every Contest Match: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19 *Extrapolated Standings* Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11 Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings: A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left): http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/ *Solarshadow's Sites* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating) http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html *Old Stats topics* Summer 2002 Contest: http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html Summer 2003 Contest: http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note) 2003-2004 Off-Season: http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note) Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL. Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them): http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm *Match Pictures* All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones! http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php *Miscellaneous* Creativename's Page of Links: http://sc2k4.com/links.php UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language): http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/ NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language): http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/ http://thengamer.com/xstats http://thengamer.com/stats A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches: http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm All Time Top 10 Lists: http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007 TRE's poll listing (every poll!): http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html Aprosenf's Poll Script: http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt GameFAQs' Top 100 Games http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10 Manual Poll Updater: http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php !yawa tsoP --- |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 1:10:16 PM | message detail |
Bomberman! Bomberman! Does whatever a Bomber can! --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2007 2:40:18 PM | message detail |
Too early One of these days I have to make a stats topic. It's been ages since I've done one TuRtLe ~~~ 36/44 in the contest. Next pick: Magus > Bomberman BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
ZFS | Posted 9/13/2007 2:41:14 PM | message detail |
Phoenix's got this thing. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
Gaddswell | Posted 9/13/2007 2:49:02 PM | message detail |
Bomberman will crash! --- Finally a damn bracket! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:11:42 PM | message detail |
I won't mind losing the 500th post to that! --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:11:46 PM | message detail |
Raiden > Zero --- xyzzy |
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/13/2007 5:11:51 PM | message detail |
Not a bad final three posts, I must say. ~~~ Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism. Embok. |
Draco1214 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:12:09 PM | message detail |
Go Phoenix! --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
therealmnm | Posted 9/13/2007 5:12:19 PM | message detail |
Screw you all stats topic. You Zero haters... --- Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend |
therealmnm | Posted 9/13/2007 5:12:54 PM | message detail |
Oh, and GO BOMBERMAN! http://img214.imageshack.us/my.php?image=1000569ri6.jpg He's such a pimp... --- Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:12:55 PM | message detail |
haw haw --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 30/40; Oracle - 43th |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:12:57 PM | message detail |
Not a Zero hater! It's got more to do with BT! --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:13:56 PM | message detail |
I'm not a Zero hater either, really. I just like Raiden. >_> --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 30/40; Oracle - 43th |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:14:23 PM | message detail |
pfft. you're the one voting for Bomberman. talk about haters !! --- xyzzy |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:14:58 PM | message detail |
I don't care for Bomberman but he would work insanely well for Melee. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:15:20 PM | message detail |
There's no telling how many hours I spent playing Bomberman 64. Probably only Mario Kart 64 can rival it. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
therealmnm | Posted 9/13/2007 5:15:50 PM | message detail |
How is voting for a character I LIKE better than Phoenix Wright hating? Do you SEE my customized Bomberman? How could you not vote for him? --- Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:18:15 PM | message detail |
Er, Brawl. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:19:03 PM | message detail |
not voting for Phoenix Wright is a sin, doubly so if you know him and don't vote for him! --- xyzzy |
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:21:02 PM | message detail |
Time | Big Boss | Mario | Pac-Man | Wander 01:00 | 24.67% | 54.21% | 11.98% | 09.14% 02:00 | 24.37% | 54.52% | 11.14% | 09.96% 03:00 | 25.13% | 54.75% | 10.89% | 09.24% 04:00 | 26.57% | 55.10% | 09.79% | 08.54% 05:00 | 28.33% | 53.41% | 08.84% | 09.42% 06:00 | 26.52% | 53.85% | 10.50% | 09.13% 07:00 | 23.58% | 58.21% | 09.71% | 08.50% 08:00 | 21.79% | 59.21% | 10.74% | 08.26% 09:00 | 20.71% | 60.16% | 11.03% | 08.10% 10:00 | 21.52% | 58.61% | 10.35% | 09.52% 11:00 | 22.02% | 58.98% | 10.18% | 08.81% 12:00 | 22.70% | 58.07% | 11.03% | 08.19% 13:00 | 24.69% | 56.06% | 09.91% | 09.34% 14:00 | 25.07% | 56.00% | 09.59% | 09.34% 15:00 | 22.92% | 59.37% | 08.88% | 08.83% 16:00 | 21.73% | 59.83% | 09.74% | 08.70% 17:00 | 21.47% | 60.18% | 09.60% | 08.75% 18:00 | 21.59% | 59.81% | 10.02% | 08.58% 19:00 | 21.32% | 59.45% | 09.78% | 09.45% 20:00 | 20.46% | 61.88% | 08.67% | 08.99% Hey, remember what I was saying about the "Nintendo" Power Hour last night? Case in point. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:24:01 PM | message detail |
Pac-Man is losing entire hours to a guy without a name. good game, Mario. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:26:46 PM | message detail |
The biggest shock of the entire contest is that over 10,000 people recognize that as the SotC guy. Yep, even bigger than Pyramid Head, Arthas, Rikku, Midna, Scorpion, Axel, Frog, Marcus Fenix, or Ocelot. COMBINED --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:27:59 PM | message detail |
Guru breakdown! 177 picked Magus to get first, 2 picked Bomberman, 4 picked PW. 93 picked PW for second, 78 picked Bomberman, 8 picked Crash, 4 picked Magus. In the Top 30, 14 picked Magus>Bomberman, 14 picked Magus>PW....and 2 picked Magus>Crash. Also, I am 37th! Highest I've ever been. Go Phoenix! --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2007 5:28:15 PM | message detail |
Magus can't bomb. Not this time. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:28:19 PM | message detail |
nah, I picked him for 9%. I would NEVER have picked PH for 16%! I love how we flip out over a couple of percent. --- xyzzy |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:29:21 PM | message detail |
Oh right, I know what the problem is. NOT ENOUGH BOLTALICS! COMBINED! --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:31:31 PM | message detail |
Fun fact: Pac-Man's lead over Wander will end up as the fourth smallest
lead (by votes) in the contest so far, behind only Frog/Axel,
Arthas/Diablo, and Knuckles/Rikku. Hell, the top five are those four and Pyramid Head/Chris. I don't think we saw any of those coming. --- "And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:32:03 PM | message detail |
And I'll be honest. I fully expect Phoenix Wright to be winning early
on. If he ain't, forget about it. He's going to drop big time with the
day vote, I think. And with the day vote chumps this match is
featuring, Bomberman will win it by default. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
greatone10 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:33:38 PM | message detail |
Phoenix will probably lead on Magus for a few minutes or so. We should all expect that. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:34:10 PM | message detail |
*checks* Bomberman lost some of the day vote to Squall. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:35:00 PM | message detail |
Phoenix Wright lost it to Gordon Freeman. Magus is Chrono Trigger. Crash is...well, Crash. BY DEFAULT. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:36:24 PM | message detail |
Phoenix doesn't really have that bad a day vote. His early-on vote is
so good, though, that everything else he does later looks bad by
comparsisan. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:38:42 PM | message detail |
No, losing the day vote to Gordon Freeman is BAD. That was the first time he EVER won it. EVER. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
8976201 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:40:38 PM | message detail |
Gordon Freeman won it against Tina Armstrong. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:40:47 PM | message detail |
Well, just look at the first hour of the poll. PW is bringing in 45-49%
of the vote. Afterwards he's getting 38-43%. Of course he's going to do
down. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:41:23 PM | message detail |
To be fair, Gordon barely lost it to Leon, and Leon went even with Bowser. Gordon's not that bad with the day vote. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/13/2007 5:41:42 PM | message detail |
...So he's still losing the day vote by a lot. I don't get why you're
trying to argue this. Phoenix Wright is a first hour character, so that
means he ain't winning the day vote. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/13/2007 5:42:19 PM | message detail |
Not saying he's winning it, just that he's not going to utterly bomb it. --- The apples were too strong for him.- Abomstar |
Lopen | Posted 9/13/2007 5:42:55 PM | message detail |
Raiden > Zero, hell yeah! And I think the NPH has become the UPH... underdog power hour. I'm not sure if that's true though... I guess Mega Man and Samus didn't gain much after the power hour. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2007 5:43:39 PM | message detail |
It was also the first time he ever won a match <_< TuRtLe ~~~ 36/44 in the contest. Next pick: Magus > Bomberman BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/13/2007 5:43:59 PM | message detail |
I'd actually mark out for Raiden > Zero But I'm a big fan of both characters --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
NominateSerge | Posted 9/13/2007 5:44:18 PM | message detail |
Well, I don't think Phoenix is going to be able to get an overwhelming
lead on Bomberman, so losing the day vote isn't going to be good for
him. --- Vote for Serge. |
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:45:01 PM | message detail |
Mega Man didn't, but the Power Hour was close to Samus' worst time, provided you through out that last hour. --- "And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:49:38 PM | message detail |
dunno why some of you are talking about trends to determine character
strength. the stronger character is going to win regardless of when
they get the vote. oh, and being a "first-hour" character doesn't mean you're pathetic. Mega Man is basically a "first-hour" character and he's in the top nine. --- xyzzy |
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:50:39 PM | message detail |
Crono is a first hour (or two) character even more than Mega Man (last year, at least) and he's Noble Nine, too. --- "And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright |
NominateSerge | Posted 9/13/2007 5:53:17 PM | message detail |
I know it doesn't make the difference between who wins and who loses,
but I'm just saying that Phoenix isn't going to be strong enough to
build an overwhelming lead on Bomberman just from his first hour power.
He's not a Crono or Mega Man where he can push himself so far ahead
that he can afford to lose percentage after that. ...Though Mega Man DID gain with the day vote in his match, didn't he? I remember him being under 50% for a while 'til the day vote. --- Vote for Serge. |
heroic tranny | Posted 9/13/2007 5:55:26 PM | message detail |
well, MM isn't PATHETIC in the day, no. he's average. but if you want his strongest time, it's those first couple of hours. Crono is a better example of a character who flops after a couple of hours. Peach is another, for whatever reason. --- xyzzy |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/13/2007 5:57:21 PM | message detail |
Since when is Mega Man bad with the day? IIRC, after Sonic's morning vote wore off, MM was going pretty much even until the evening vote starting kicking in. TuRtLe ~~~ 36/44 in the contest. Next pick: Magus > Bomberman BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/13/2007 5:57:32 PM | message detail |
So far this year, Frog is the best example of a first hour character.
The only time he exceeded (or even got close) to the percentage he held
through the first three hours was the very last. This is consistent
with Crono last year, minus the very last hour business. This probably
means something in tomorrow's match, too. --- "And here's my final proof!" ~ Phoenix Wright |