GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 477
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/12/2007 5:09:59 PM | message detail |
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Not when you swing 10% from your best time (dead zone) to worst time (afterschool vote) --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/12/2007 5:11:19 PM | message detail |
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uh... they're both in Rare games? --- Today: Fox > Wario - Vote: Fox Tomorrow: Mario > Big Boss - Vote: Mario - Points: 28/34 |
| Samurai7 | Posted 9/12/2007 5:17:36 PM | message detail |
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I'm just making crap up, I didn't really look at the numbers at all.
Just assumed all the characters here would have similiar trends. --- It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/12/2007 5:19:12 PM | message detail |
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the surprising part, I thought, was how Wario exploded during those
10-2 hours while he was pretty boring during the overnight time. --- THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?! "war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/12/2007 5:20:29 PM | message detail |
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though I guess it was just a delayed late night vote. usually that picks up around 2am, but he didn't get moving until later. --- THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?! "war uh ya what is it good for absulite nothing" -ertyu |
| therealmnm | Posted 9/12/2007 5:59:38 PM | message detail |
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Anybody who can explain how Banjo has a better afterschool vote than Wario gets a cookie. What the heck happened during the dead zone is cookie worthy, too. Could just be that Banjo has a horrible night vote... --- Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/12/2007 6:31:58 PM | message detail |
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Match XI: Big Boss vs Mario vs Pac-Man vs Wander Information Name: Big Boss Game/Series From: Metal Gear series Past Contests: CB2k5 Wins: None Losses: Auron (2k5) Name: Mario Game/Series From: Mario series Past Contests: CB2k2, CB2k3, CB2k4, CB2k5, CB2k6 Wins: Servbot (2k2), Morrigan (2k2), Donkey Kong (2k2), Cloud (2k2), Crono (2k2), Captain Olimar (2k3), Shadow (2k3), Crono (2k3), JC Denton (2k4), Bowser (2k4), Joanna Dark (2k5), Ness (2k5), Zero (2k5), Samus (2k5), Solid Snake (2k5), Crono (2k5), BR Match 1 (2k6) Losses: Link (2k2), Sephiroth (2k3), Crono (2k4), Sephiroth (2k5), BR Match 2 (2k6) Name: Pac-Man Game/Series From: Pac-Man series Past Contests: CB2k2, CB2k3, CB2k4, CB2k5 Wins: Goemon (2k2), Kyo (2k2), Revolver Ocelot (2k5) Losses: Scorpion (2k2), Kefka (2k3), Luigi (2k4), Yoshi (2k5) Name: Wander Game/Series From: Shadow of the Colossus Past Contests: None Wins: N/A Losses: N/A Analysis The last two matches have been terrible to my bracket and today I’m going for the underdog. Basically this match has a sure winner and a sure last place, but second and third is still very debatable, at least for the people who chose the underdog for this match. Mario will take first in this match. He is a member of the noble nine and is considered to be the strongest character after Link, Cloud and Sephiroth. While Mario will have no problem coming in first he is affecting on who is coming in second, but more on that later. Like the rest of the noble nine Mario will break 50% in this match and I can see him pushing for 55%. Wander will take last in this poll. From what I can gather his name is rarely if not never mentioned throughout the game. Also his picture looks a lot like a random generic character. While SotC isn’t the most popular game the fans of it are very loyal to the game and the small, but hardcore group of people may stop Wander from getting below 10%. The real match is about Pac-Man and Big Boss. If this was a one on one match Pac-Man would have this match easily; he was able to beat Ocelot, who is much stronger than Big Boss plus Big Boss only existed during the NES Metal Gear games (and we al know how well Snake does during the sprite round). In Metal Gear Solid 1 & 2 he is only referred in the games, though several times and in Metal Gear Solid 3 he was *spoilers* called Naked Snake and didn’t get the name Big Boss until the end of the game *end spoilers*. Also to make things worse for BB he didn’t get his MGS3 picture which is much better than his MG picture (though I don’t think it will ever be used). There is only one thing that is holding Pac-Man back from easily winning this match. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/12/2007 6:32:41 PM | message detail |
| Same Fanbase Factor, while it is weird to think
that Pac-Man has the same fanbase as Mario, but Pac-Man is one of those
characters that fans will easily abandon for another character so when
a gaming icon like Mario comes along Pac-Man will be losing a lot of
support. So how much will he lose? Well looking at his matches with
Yoshi and Luigi you’d discover that Luigi would have been expected to
get about the same he got on Yoshi back in 2004. The same can be used
with Ness for Mario and Bowser where Mario only outdid his expected
percent by about 1%. So where does Pac-Man fit into this, well using
SFF Pac-Man he is expected to get either 56% or 44%. I know it’s weird
anyway the ones that are saying 56% are 2k5 Luigi, 2k6 Luigi and 2k6
Yoshi and the ones saying 44% are 2k4 Luigi, 2k4 Yoshi and 2k5 Yoshi.
Also something to note is the ones that say 44% are adjusted SFF
numbers, but they are also the numbers at when Pac-Man had his match
against both Yoshi and Luigi, so really it’s the user’s call. Even if you were to take the 56% you also have to remember that Mario could overperform against Pac-Man plus this type of format isn’t exactly the best for him. Pac-Man will be the underdog going into this match and like I said before Mario is ultimately going to decided who will win this match. For the sake of my losing streak I hope Pac-Man takes it. charmander6000’s Bracket: Mario > Pac-Man charmander6000’s Prediction: Mario - 53.83%, Pac-Man - 18.74%, Big Boss - 17.95%, Wander - 9.48% --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 10: Fox McCloud > Banjo Points: 30/36 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/12/2007 7:07:20 PM | message detail |
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good prediction percentages. --- Today: Fox > Wario - Vote: Fox Tomorrow: Mario > Big Boss - Vote: Mario - Points: 28/34 |
| ZFS | Posted 9/12/2007 7:09:44 PM | message detail |
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Heh. That would be the least impressive win for a Noble Niner if that's the percentage Mario pulled. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:17:28 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man got less than 51%...? --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/12/2007 7:18:34 PM | message detail |
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Wouldn't Mega Man's 4-pack be considered stronger than Mario's, though? --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 26/36; Oracle - 27th |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:19:10 PM | message detail |
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oh, I was just talking by pure percentage, which is what HM seemed to be saying. --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| ZFS | Posted 9/12/2007 7:19:34 PM | message detail |
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Huh? Mega Man got less, but his pack murders Mario's. Link aside,
Mario's got the easiest pack of any Noble Nine character for sure. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:20:14 PM | message detail |
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LINK --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:20:54 PM | message detail |
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whoa, I totally missed "Link aside". I need to lie down. --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| ZFS | Posted 9/12/2007 7:21:03 PM | message detail |
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i will link you to bidoof youtube videos --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/12/2007 7:21:43 PM | message detail |
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Pac-Man is a beast this year. Especially with uh... The King of Kong out in theaters. Even though the movie focuses on Donkey Kong...Pac-Man still gets a boost because of...uh...Billy Mitchell... ... Pac-Man with 75% !! --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 26/36; Oracle - 27th |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:23:47 PM | message detail |
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i had nightmares about that late night bidoof session we had last night --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| ZFS | Posted 9/12/2007 7:26:50 PM | message detail |
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i believe in miracles you sexy thing (augh) --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:27:20 PM | message detail |
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god dammit --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/12/2007 7:27:34 PM | message detail |
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pics --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 26/36; Oracle - 27th |
| redrocket | Posted 9/12/2007 7:30:50 PM | message detail |
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KyVeUY40SHM --- http://www.pacifier.com/~zen/creepy.jpg http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/thumb/5/56/250px-Clock_Spider.jpg |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:31:21 PM | message detail |
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no... please, don't do it to the poor stats topic --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/12/2007 7:32:24 PM | message detail |
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http://i18.photobucket.com/albums/b146/KleenexTissue501/megaman.jpg --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 26/36; Oracle - 27th |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/12/2007 7:33:19 PM | message detail |
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I don't know what just happened to the stats topic. But may it rest in peace. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
| ZFS | Posted 9/12/2007 7:34:31 PM | message detail |
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this does not compare to the disaster we have seen --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:35:29 PM | message detail |
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just wait until you see my analysis --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/12/2007 7:36:12 PM | message detail |
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If Mario doesn't break 60% tomorrow I'll be surprised. His fourpack is
considerably weaker than Cloud's (Jill/Ocelot > BB/Pac, and Wander
should be close to Zolom). At the very least Mario should get high 50's. Heh, I just realized, all the NNers have broken 50% so far, so technically, even against 3 opponents, none of them have "fallen" so to speak. TuRtLe ~~~ 30/36 in the contest. Next pick: Fox > Wario BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/12/2007 7:47:53 PM | message detail |
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Wait.... why is Meowth with Brock and Ash in that video? WHAT SORCERY IS THIS!?!? TuRtLe ~~~ 30/36 in the contest. Next pick: Fox > Wario BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| cyko | Posted 9/12/2007 7:51:13 PM | message detail |
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yay, Bidoof videos! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-azy0XpeiH8 --- I support the following SC2K6 characters: L-Block, Phoenix Wright, Magus, Agent J, Vincent Valentine, Miles Edgeworth, HK-47, Zero, Kefka |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 7:56:44 PM | message detail |
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take your own life this may be the first time that youtube comments have said the absolute truth. --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| ZFS | Posted 9/12/2007 7:59:39 PM | message detail |
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bidoof hijacking the stats topic what is this --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/12/2007 8:04:52 PM | message detail |
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Division 3: Round 1 - Match 11 – Big Boss vs. Mario vs. Pac-Man vs. Wander Moltar’s Analysis Big Boss Game/Series Known From: Metal Gear Solid Seed in 2005: 7 Lost in 2005 to Auron in Round 1 As opposed to Small Boss. Mario Game/Series Known From: Super Mario Seed in 2002: 1 Seed in 2003: 1 Seed in 2004: 2 Seed in 2005: 1 Lost in 2002 to Link in the Finals Lost in 2003 to Sephiroth in the Elite 8 Lost in 2004 to Crono in Round 3 Won the 2005 Contest Lost on Day 2 of the Battle Royale Mario is back, baby! Pac-Man Game/Series Known From: Pac-Man Seed in 2002: 1 Seed in 2003: 5 Seed in 2004: 13 Seed in 2005: 7 Lost in 2002 to Scorpion in the Sweet 16 Lost in 2003 to Kefka in Round 1 Lost in 2004 to Luigi in Round 1 Lost in 2005 to Yoshi in Round 2 Oh Pac-Man, you and your Ocelot-beating self. Wander Game/Series Known From: Shadow of the Collossus Can overcome Collossus, can’t overcome this match. Alright, time to see the Big M in action! Well, honestly it isn’t that exciting. That’s because this is one of those matches were the strongest competitor, Mario in this case, easily takes the #1 spot over the others. But once again, the #2 spot is up for debate. Seems like in every match with a super strong character, there’s always two forgettable characters dueling it out for 2nd. This time around, it’s Big Boss and Pac-Man. “But Moltar!” You scream, “What about Wander?” What about Wander? I respond. Shadow of the Collossus is a good game indeed, but he has the least chance of taking #2 in this poll because his name just isn’t popular enough. Of course he’ll manage to rack up at least 5% thanks to hardcore SotC fans, but you’ll need a bit more if you want to go places in this match. Anyway, back to Pac-Man/Big Boss. Now, we’ve seen Pac-Man beat MGS before when he upset Ocelot, but this is a different ballgame. Pac-Man is a odd character. When he’s up against non-mainstream competition, he’ll perform well. However, put him up against a popular Nintendo character, and he flops hard. Pac-Man has gone up against Yoshi and Luigi in the past and got stomped into the ground. Unlucky for him, now he has to deal with the strongest Mario character, the man in red himself. This gives Big Boss the perfect opportunity to sneak into #2 here. Two years ago we saw him rack up 35% against Auron, so he certainly has his fans. I think with Pac-Man being pounded into the ground because of Mario’s presence, Big Boss will take the #2 spot. Moltar’s Bracket Says: Mario > Big Boss > Pac-Man > Wander Moltar’s Prediction is: Mario: 58% - Big Boss: 19% - Pac-Man: 17% - Wander: 6% Ultimaterializer’s Analysis This match is one of those upset picks that I feel is very, very, VERY obvious. Mario is the clear first place character; Wander is the clear last place character, and I'll keep my SotC bias out of this writeup and just leave it at that. This leaves us with Big Boss vs Pac-Man for second place. Pac-Man could beat Big Boss heads-up. He beat Ocelot, which is why many people are shooing Pac into the next round. The problem is that Mario is in the poll along with Pac. If you thought Luigi and Yoshi made Pac look bad, wait until this poll. Mario is going to absolutely demolish Pac-Man, and it should leave plenty of room for Big Boss to squeeze into second place. If you want to throw stats into it, Big Boss 2005 against unadjusted Pac-Man 2004 (SFFd by Yoshi, who was then SFFd by Mega Man) should work: Big Boss 67.37% 59,505 Pac-Man 32.63% 28,825 TOTAL VOTES 88,330 Big Boss wins with 67.37% of the vote! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/12/2007 8:05:52 PM | message detail |
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It's a stretch, but that's about the degree of SFF Pac should see here.
Mario is absolute worst character Pac-Man could have been stuck in a
match with. Ulti's Prediction: Mario [55.00%] Big Boss [20.00%] Pac-Man [12.60%] Wander [12.40%] Heroic Mario’s Analysis Mario -- 71% Big Boss -- 13% Pac-Man -- 11% Wander -- 5% Faster than a vanishing clog! More powerful than an electric drainsnake! It’s Mario, baby! I’m expecting Mario to be one of the two characters in the first round to actually stand a shot at coming away with more than 70% of the vote -- the other being Link. Interestingly, I don’t think it’s much of a stretch to happen either. If you check out what Mario’s expected to get against both Big Boss and Pac-Man, before any type of wonky SFF gets involved, you get around the 70s for both of them -- around the mid-70s when it comes to Big Boss. That’s pretty encouraging, especially when you consider that Pac-Man has a history of performing very poorly against other Mario characters. If Mario can pull some wonky stuff on Pac-Man, I’d be assured it’d happen. I’m not entirely convinced that non-Snake MGS characters will perform well in this format, so I docked a few percentage points for Big Boss, too. They definitely get above 10%, but it’s not by a whole lot. I’m not seeing Wander doing anything here, either, so he’s nothing to worry about. It wouldn’t surprise me if he did even worse than 5%. Shadow of the Colossus may be a pretty popular game, but no one really knows who Wander is. His name isn’t mentioned in the game, his name is Wander, and he isn’t exactly a photogenic dude. He’ll be up there with the Zelos’ and Vaan’s of the world. If you’re a fan of potato sacks, and haven’t seen Wander yet, you’re in for a treat. Mario aside, the remaining question is whether or not Pac-Man can take first. Under normal circumstances, it’s a no brainer in favor of the dot eater, but I think Mario causes enough problems for Big Boss to just barely slip by. It wouldn’t surprise me in the least if Pac-Man did advance here, partially because Big Boss is just that bad, but I’m going to the “safe” route and assuming that there’s some wonky stuff that happens that prevents him from moving on. So if it all pans out, Mario will be good to break 70% here. I’m expecting Mario to get lots of love in this format. Don’t ask my why, exactly, but it just seems like he can bring the pain in fourpacks with a bunch of characters that no one really cares about. It’s a nice bonus that the better he does, the better the Mario > Sephiroth upset bandwagon can get rolling! Bracket: Mario > Big Boss Vote: PlumberFAQs Yoblazer’s Analysis Man, if it wasn't for Mario, this match would suck so much ass. I'm getting lethargic just looking at the other characters. Must I write about this? *sees Moltar tapping a 2x4 against his palm* Ah! Yes sir! Quality write-up coming right away! |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/12/2007 8:06:59 PM | message detail |
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*Is rooting for the Pac/Mario dream team next match* --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/12/2007 8:07:58 PM | message detail |
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Mario is the big guarantee here today, and it should be somewhat
interesting to just watch how badly he pwns his hapless opponents.
Pac-Man will likely get SFF'd, and the other two don't look like they'd
offer enough competition to really bring down the jolly plumber's
percentage. Most people are taking Metal Gear Solid's Big Boss to come
in a distant, ignoring the almost certainly stronger Pac-Man on the
grounds that Mario will SFF the hell out of the older gaming icon.
While this is the main reason I also took Big Boss, I can't help but
shake this foreboding feeling that the Pac is going to overperform and
**** me over once again. Heck, it's not like he's even someone that
would necessarily benefit from this type of voting format (especially
with Mario in the poll), but I can just picture some kind of sick
scenario where the average GameFAQs voter visits the site, sees the
poll, completely ignores Big Boss and Wander, clicks on the Mario
bubble, and then goes "Wait, let's be a bit more old school and
hardcore since Mario has this. Pac-Man!!!!1" I then envision myself
driving to the little brat's house and smacking the tar out of him.
Don't do it; I'll seriously harm you. Mario - 59% Big Boss - 17% Pac-Man - 15% Wander - 9% Lopen’s Analysis Use the shrooms to win here. Mario loves his super mushrooms and 1-Up mushrooms. While I hear Big Boss was all about the Russian glowcaps back in the day... Uh... where was I going with this match? I can't just say they're going to win because they eat mushrooms... *walks away... hushed whispers off camera... comes back* Oh, that's what Wander is? That weakling with the sword in Shadow of the Colossus? Who likes that guy? I'd have gone for his horse Prego ove... *whispers and noises off camera*... what do you mean his name was Agro? Alright, whatever.. the game totally sounded like he was saying Prego to me. Man, I'd vote a can of Prego over this guy... er... Okay, whatever. I'm just going to ignore Wander. SotC was not a colossal (the word you're thinking of is colossusal) release, Wander's design isn't really the type that stands out, and I see no reason why the fans of it would even care about the guy that much. Maybe if I played the whole game instead of most of it... I'd have seen the reason to like this guy... I mean, HM put him on his favorites list once, didn't he? That's gotta make him good, right? Right? ... HAHAHA... oh... oh... I floor myself with this wit. Alright, assuming you ignored Wander like I did in this group... why not Pac-Man? He's looked better than Big Boss, right? Well, yeah... but here's the thing. Old School SFF. Icon SFF if you rather? You saw what Luigi and Yoshi did to Pac Man, and Mega Man did to Ms. Pac Man... just think what Mario's gonna do to him! Mario will flatten Pac Man here. I think Pac might have enough true fans that he'll avoid being totally leveled, making it a close match with a weak Big Boss. But he might not... this is Mario we're talking about here... king of the icons. Big Boss also has the x-factor of the picture maybe helping him, to make me feel a little more confident in this pick. Lopen's prediction: Mario – 58.64% Big Boss – 20.02% Pac-Man – 16.03% Wander – 5.31% |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/12/2007 8:10:46 PM | message detail |
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Karma Hunter’s Analysis Heh. Initially I was going to call this match one of the few iffy ones of the first round, but after seeing it go by it'll be lucky to be one of the less boring. Anyway, today we have a SFF theory being put directly to the test. Wander's presence here is negligible, no one but SotC freaks know him and they'd have to be big freaks at that - Wander's "name" isn't exactly said at ALL during the course of the game. Mario's easily in first, so he's out of the equation. And so for second we have Pac-Man and Big Boss, a matchup that would under any other circumstances be a unanimous pick for Pac-Man. But we've seen in two instances - Yoshi and Luigi - that Pac gets effectively neutered against widespread Nintendo characters. Against Mario, this may be the weakest Pac we've ever seen - hence the support BB has here. How neutered is it? Well, 2k5 raw stats have Big Boss smashing Pac, but it also doesn't account for Mega/Yoshi SFF (as I was so helpfully reminded today). Yoshi is so hard to place, though... obviously overrated in 2k6, is adjusting through 2k5 Dante a good value? Perhaps, and if it does he goes from losing to getting much closer - perhaps even having an advantage - over Big Boss. But BB also has reason to be underrated (the Mario-Samus-Ganon chain), and shifts things back to his perspective. Yeah, BB looks like crap in that picture (why can't we ever get a Naked Snake pic? <_<). He did against Auron, too, so he shouldn't do much worse than that indicated. Yes, Pac looks as vibrant as ever, same as he did when he upended Ocelot. And when he got smashed by Yoshi. The difference is, for whatever reason, while I was lacking in confidence when the day of Ocelot/Pac approached... for some reason, I feel completely confident in Big Boss here. Maybe it's because I know there's a hardcore sect of MGS fans that know what Big Boss is and won't defect from him for ANYONE (he was considered over Auron by some for *reasons*, however crazy). Maybe it's because I have no faith in Pac-Man having any sort of significant fanbase that isn't built on casual fodder ( i.e. Mario defectors). Whatever the reason, I've got a good feeling, and I'm sticking with BB here. Karma Hunter's Vote: Big Boss. What, really? You weren't expecting that? <.< Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Mario with 64%, Big Boss with 19%, Pac-Man with 12%, Wander with 5% As you can tell, I'm expecting the Mario > Sephiroth rumblings to start up quite a bit after this match <___< Upset Probability: 40% I'm damn confident, but it's not like anything has been assured, especially in this format. I feel wary of SFF's ability to hold Pac completely under (does he have a floor of any sort?), and there's this format as well. Plus, no matter how much Pac gets sapped, BB has to be there to capitalize. The one-and-done against Auron wasn't exactly inspiring. Plus, a LOT of people have faith in Pac for some reason... people that typically don't give MGS any credit, sure, but it's not like Pac didn't pull an upset like this once already. Transience’s Analysis ahh, Mario is back. and with a fourpack like this, he's bound to kick ass again like he did back in 2005. since then, he hasn't looked all that great, but when your competition is Sephiroth, Link and Cloud, you're going to have trouble getting much of anything. |
| Nobody9090 | Posted 9/12/2007 8:12:08 PM | message detail |
| I think Pac-Man will beat Big Boss simply because
of the fact that people seem to really love circular shapes this year,
and are voting for circles. --- ~Love a Nobody~ ~Straight Outta PotD~ |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/12/2007 8:12:43 PM | message detail |
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second place in this match bothers me. Wander is a complete not factor -- how many people even know
the name Wander? -- but Big Boss and Pac-Man both have reasons to
advance. Pac-Man's clearly the stronger of the two, having beaten
Ocelot straight-up in 2005. Ocelot definitely has looked stronger than
Big Boss in the past. however, Pac-Man has two matches with iconic
Nintendo characters, Luigi and Yoshi, and got brutalized in both. call
it "old-school SFF" or whatever you want, there's no doubt that he's
going to suffer when *the* video game icon is thrown into a match with
him. Big Boss seems like the "safe" pick here because of that, but I just don't like it very much. if I'm going to pick against a universally known character, I'd like it to be someone worth more than 28% on pre-KH2 Auron. I feel nervous even thinking about picking something like that against Pac-Man. despite that, I'm going cookie here. Big Boss advances in a match that Mario utterly dominates. Mario returns Pac's icon status won't help Big Boss squeaks by transience's prediction: Mario with 56.44%, Big Boss with 17.55%, Pac-Man with 16.89%, Wander with 9.12% Guest’s Analysis - ScorpionX3 I picked a match where I would vote for these characters over half of the others in the tournament, I like all of them a lot. But there is only one question in this match and it's obviously the Pac-Man VS Big Boss match. All italians are voting for Mario Let's start off by how much Mario should get and we can compare him with three big characters that already played, Cloud, MegaMan and Samus. Looking at the characters they were against we could relate this to Cloud since he also faced an MGS character (stronger one) so I believe Mario will have an easy job but scoring a little less than Cloud, even though these are all fairly easy characters. Mario is getting 57% MAX. All horned-man are voting for Wander The weaker character here is obviously Wander, he is getting the cult votes, which get a little more than the joke characters, but still won't reach the 10% mark, Shadow of the Colossus was a very good game, but you can't relate to Wander that much and people might realign their Wander votes to Big Boss here (both Playstation characters). I'm saying Wander gets 8%! All russians are anti-voting for Big Boss So with that out of the way we still have 35% to spread between Big Boss and Pac-Man. The obvious choice here seems to be Big Boss winning, but I see two possible ways and explanations they could go. On one side, we have Big Boss, a more in-depth character than Pac-Man and Metal Gear Solid keeps getting more support even to have Ocelot > Jill, also Pac-Man's nostalgy votes might all be stolen by Mario. But on the other hand let's remember that Pac-Man did beat Ocelot and Ocelot has a bigger fanbase than Big Boss, this is enough for me not make the same mistake twice, I said Ocelot > Pac-Man last time, but I'm saying Pac-Man > Big Boss this time. True Metal Gear Solid is getting stronger and Pac-Man is losing heat, but the past Pac-Man victory is still too fresh for us to forget it. Big Boss WILL get my vote, but will fall to Pac-Man. All ghosts are anti-voting Pac-Man Big Boss - 16.5% Mario - 57% Pac-Man - 18.5% Wander - 8% Crew Consensus: Mario > Big Boss and OH GOD MY INTERNET IS CORRUPTED BY THE SLOW DEMON! |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 8:12:59 PM | message detail |
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I think Pac-Man will beat Big Boss simply because of the fact that
people seem to really love circular shapes this year, and are voting
for circles. the Analysis Crew is so screwed --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/12/2007 8:13:00 PM | message detail |
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Square better watch out. Circles are in this year. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 26/36; Oracle - 27th |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/12/2007 8:17:14 PM | message detail |
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Mario returns Pac's icon status won't help Big Boss squeaks by Don't tell me I'm wrong about the syllables this time !! --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
| BDawg | Posted 9/12/2007 8:21:02 PM | message detail |
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I'm sure nobody else cares but Fox has put up the highest non-NN
percentage (yeah higher than Auron, go figure) AND barring a collapse
he has doubled second place. Now I know it doesn't mean a damn in the
SFF scheme of things but it looks so GOOD. --- Should I start running now? |
| dot dot dor | Posted 9/12/2007 8:22:23 PM | message detail |
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whoa i fail i meant to type squeezes! --- ..r "No, I have common sense, which many people seem to lack." -Vlado |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/12/2007 8:23:39 PM | message detail |
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I'm gonna laugh when Big Boss is dominated --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 9/12/2007 8:24:32 PM | message detail |
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I think Big Boss is getting too overrated here, myself. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| XxSoulxX | Posted 9/12/2007 8:24:53 PM | message detail |
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Fox > Raiden confirmed! --- - Owner of TWO sticky topics! Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/12/2007 8:25:20 PM | message detail |
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Big Boss more like Big Butt --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 26/36; Oracle - 27th |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/12/2007 8:32:44 PM | message detail |
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Big Boss wins, I look good in my analysis. Pac-Man wins, I get my bracket point. Win-win baby! TuRtLe ~~~ 30/36 in the contest. Next pick: Fox > Wario BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
