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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 476

Big Bob | Posted 9/11/2007 10:21:34 AM | message detail
Hee ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya ya!

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php

!yawa tsoP
ZhangJunyi | Posted 9/11/2007 10:23:04 AM | message detail
Can Peach be saved by the after school vote?

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TimJab | Posted 9/11/2007 10:34:07 AM | message detail
You made this while I was making it. Oh well, we'll use yours.

Wario > Fox > Falcon > Banjo

BUT

Sephiroth > Fox next round.
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Just call me TJ
AerisDS | Posted 9/11/2007 12:09:13 PM | message detail
up
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Now in portable form!
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:09:38 PM | message detail
WAH HAH HAAA! WARIO'S A GONNA WEEEN!!!
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"Eet's game time..."
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/11/2007 12:09:49 PM | message detail
Time to dicsuss the next match, then.

Wario or Fox?

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Can anyone give me the dimensions of their Wii box?- Mershiness
adamjaxe- Stop measuring your presents....
BZer0 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:10:04 PM | message detail
I have Wario > Fox tomorrow, but my oracle prediction is Fox > Wario > Captain Falcon > Banjo.
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CBVI: 23/32
Next: Seph > Peach > Meta Knight/CATS
MnMZero | Posted 9/11/2007 12:10:05 PM | message detail
It's not over yet! Peach still has a chance with the kids who do extracurricular activities! This early surge is just from the kids who have nothing better to do with their lives but vote for Meta Knight!
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 12:10:13 PM | message detail
I'm still confused as to why people thought Peach was gonna get the afterschool vote... it's not looking hot right now.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 9/11/2007 12:10:58 PM | message detail
because BRACKETS
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
RPGGamer0 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:11:07 PM | message detail
Dammit.

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Metal Gear Solid OOOOWWWWWWNS!
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/11/2007 12:12:17 PM | message detail
Most of us never said peach will take the afterschool vote. but that she could and still can for that matter.

You have Mario > Peach vs Kirby > Meta Knight.

Two very good day vote characters in theory.

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Eff Dee
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/11/2007 12:12:46 PM | message detail
Oh man...
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1 of 338 - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VI
Ago una , intereo unus
Big Bob | Posted 9/11/2007 12:13:49 PM | message detail
Woah, I just noticed...

CATS is under 12%!
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"It's Meta Knight, whose introduction was delayed for some reason." - Sakurai
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:16:30 PM | message detail
Time | CATS | Meta-Nite | Peach | Sephiroth
14:00 | 10.88% | 13.91% | 15.96% | 59.25%
14:15 | 09.92% | 15.26% | 15.93% | 58.89%
14:30 | 10.74% | 16.33% | 17.08% | 55.85%
14:45 | 10.40% | 18.27% | 14.30% | 57.03%
15:00 | 09.95% | 19.34% | 15.42% | 55.29%
15:15 | 09.89% | 18.31% | 14.75% | 57.05%

Oooh, did I lose?
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 12:16:34 PM | message detail
Peach could STILL get this? That's very, *very* improbable... *checks update* no, screw it, that just ain't happening.

Looks like it's time to do Meta Knight quotes then !!

"The time has come. The time to show our power. Dream Land's lazy lifestyle will end! I will rule!"
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:18:54 PM | message detail
Looks like it's time to do Meta Knight quotes then !!

I'd rather listen to Brawl quotes, since that's the only reason I'll accept (read: blind denial) this travesty. Who even cares about Meta Knight?
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One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. ~ Lemony Snicket
octoinky | Posted 9/11/2007 12:20:03 PM | message detail
Well, I guess this match is pretty good to determine exactly when the after-school vote starts. Peach is demolished. What an interesting match today - as interesting as it gets without a single "lead" change.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 12:23:12 PM | message detail
And that's 700. This is getting real ugly, real fast.

And Ness would be total jobber fodder without SSB. Doesn't mean his fans can't celebrate in his victory, and the same goes for Kirby enthusiasts!

But if you like:

"Despite being almost all head, his mask and cape exude coolness. He overwhelms enemies with his mach-speed sword!"
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/11/2007 12:24:19 PM | message detail

I'd rather listen to Brawl quotes, since that's the only reason I'll accept (read: blind denial) this travesty. Who even cares about Meta Knight?


Pretty much anyone that plays Kirby games. Which is more than most of this board seems to think.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/11/2007 12:26:21 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
transience | Posted 9/11/2007 12:26:33 PM | message detail
I don't believe this is all SSB. people are not THAT blind.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/11/2007 12:28:39 PM | message detail
There are many factors I'm drawing up in my head for Meta Knight's performance, one is that male characters are more popular than female characters but I just know Board 8 will tear that theory apart so I'm just going to sketch it first. It is SSBB that got him recognition enough to enter the contest (the same that got Pit in), but a boost like that is only good for nominations and not really strong enough long-term for contest performance.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
MMXcalibur | Posted 9/11/2007 12:29:11 PM | message detail
I had Peach going to Round 3...

Goddamn, I hate this contest......
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HOT WOMEN: http://plum.sakura.ne.jp/~alice/gallery/graphic/2006/796hp.jpg
http://plum.sakura.ne.jp/~alice/gallery/graphic/2006/844hp.jpg
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/11/2007 12:29:46 PM | message detail
I had Jill going to Round 3, I know your pain.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
BDawg | Posted 9/11/2007 12:30:27 PM | message detail
If you take into account that most of the "kiddies" are probably male, 13-18 year old boys then yeah I can believe they favor any badass over any chick. Honestly though I don't know why Peach ever made cuts at all. Creepy old guys favor Peach?????????
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Should I start running now?
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/11/2007 12:31:55 PM | message detail
I said this last night but I'll say it again. Kirby's games are popular, almost all of them sell over a million. The thing is that pretty much nobody views it as their favorite series. I buy every Kirby game that comes out and I'd still vote for more than half the series in the BSE contest over it. Meta Knight however, is loved by pretty much every Kirby fan there is.

I'll believe this is Brawl hype if Pit surprises us but I doubt he will. I really think my theories correct.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/11/2007 12:32:35 PM | message detail
If you take into account that most of the "kiddies" are probably male, 13-18 year old boys then yeah I can believe they favor any badass over any chick.

Pretty much, this poll practically makes them (the ones that didn't immediately go for Seph, anyways) choose between the two and if the demographics are correct than it would make sense for Meta Knight to get the edge.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/11/2007 12:35:57 PM | message detail
I'll believe this is Brawl hype if Pit surprises us but I doubt he will. I really think my theories correct.

His competition is Mudkip and Tingle (Luigi has first locked up), to be fair, an upset isn't out of the question because we've seen too many this contest already.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 12:37:42 PM | message detail
What's crazy is that Peach seems to be going down with the afterschool vote as well, making it even worse. I mean, even CATS is holding up better...
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
BDawg | Posted 9/11/2007 12:39:55 PM | message detail
They don't want to get cooties.
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Should I start running now?
linkhatesganon | Posted 9/11/2007 12:41:25 PM | message detail
Meh, there might be some stuffing vote. MK is getting more lead and faster that any single time today.

And I have Wario > Fox, and at least, this match can confirm it. Wario should get some boost from Brawl, and trust me, I'm sure kiddies love the rude, yet funny, Wario from Brawl
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Onimimi's films rules!
Mumei | Posted 9/11/2007 12:44:08 PM | message detail
The Kirby series has sold over 20 million games. Meta Knight has appeared in Kirby's Avalanche, Super Star, NIghtmare in Dreamland, Air Ride, the Amazing Mirror, Canvas Curse, and Squeak Squad, and has been a fan favorite in the series the entire time.

Why is it shocking that he is beating a character that, prior to this match, it was agreed had few "real" fans, especially after he had every reason to be fresh in everyone's mind due to the announcement that he's going to be in SSBB? And does no one else recall that he was one of the most requested characters to be in SSBM's sequel?

That said, I did predict this wrong. <_<

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"I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei
Dragon0283 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:44:23 PM | message detail
"Meh, there might be some stuffing vote. MK is getting more lead and faster that any single time today."

Na, i dont think so. ASV seems to favor MK over Peach. Unless they been stuffing for a while now but i doubt it.

Vote Update Totals over the last half hour.
628, 617, 604, 654, 641, 641, 632
Pretty constant to me and around normal for this time of day.

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This post aint big enough for the two of us.
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 12:44:24 PM | message detail
you guys can convince yourselves that Peach will make a comeback because she's in your bracket, but it looks pretty obvious to me.

TrannyComments FTW!

God dammit Peach you whore >_<
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"NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU *****!" - Molly Weasley, Deathly Hallows
BDawg | Posted 9/11/2007 12:44:32 PM | message detail
Last time I checked Fox was closer to badass than chick.
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Should I start running now?
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/11/2007 12:44:58 PM | message detail
heh, both CATS and Peach supporters failed this match.
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Today: Sephiroth > CATS - Vote: Meta-Knight
Tomorrow: Fox > Wario - Vote: Fox - Points: 26/30
swirIdude | Posted 9/11/2007 12:46:00 PM | message detail
So I come to see Peach cutting the lead to 800, but now I'm seeing that its actually Meta gaining?

Bracket. Dead. Again.
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 12:47:29 PM | message detail
So, Poll: Why exactly IS Peach such a complete and utter waste of space?

a) She's just ****ing stupid
b) SSBB fanboys
c) epic vote stuffing
d) Ulti
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/11/2007 12:48:27 PM | message detail
I felt weird putting Peach in second against Meta-Knigt in the first place.. I was just choosing between him and CATS.
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Today: Sephiroth > CATS - Vote: Meta-Knight
Tomorrow: Fox > Wario - Vote: Fox - Points: 26/30
swirIdude | Posted 9/11/2007 12:48:48 PM | message detail
Ah, and the stats topic continues to treat Peach as trash. I was getting worried for a second.
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 12:49:45 PM | message detail
Is she not acting like trash though, Swirl? ****ing whore.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/11/2007 12:50:16 PM | message detail
Uh, Sephiroth is being the whore here, if you catch my drift.
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
Kyle Bowen | Posted 9/11/2007 12:50:21 PM | message detail
i have some small hope. i dont have peach winning after today. KB
linkhatesganon | Posted 9/11/2007 12:50:26 PM | message detail
I said the stuffing because these +155 lead in just 25 minutes, while all the match, lead has been very constant.

And I pick a) for the answer
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Onimimi's films rules!
Dragon0283 | Posted 9/11/2007 12:50:35 PM | message detail
919 Now. Gonna past a 1000 in the next couple of updates.
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This post aint big enough for the two of us.
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 12:52:44 PM | message detail
Uh, Sephiroth is being the whore here, if you catch my drift.

Whore used as a genuine insult, not as a literal term. Though continue to make it that to be ****ing clever.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/11/2007 12:54:09 PM | message detail
The Day Vote is not stuffing, it is a change in the voting demographic.
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
Shinra Reborn | Posted 9/11/2007 12:55:45 PM | message detail
Meta Knight is awesome, and I'm glad he's winning....despite what my bracket may say. >_>
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~~The Choco~~
If you see this account...I'm not at home!
Adept of Aiur | Posted 9/11/2007 12:55:52 PM | message detail
Boy, it's a good thing I have Sephiroth over WARIO next round! Seriously, what was I thinking? I guess I was thinking about his performance on Shadow or something...

Did he even go against Shadow ever? I'm getting really bad at this bracket stuff.
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
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