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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 475

XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 2:48:20 AM | message detail
Ha. He spiked. By 13 votes >_>
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=34492787 Sign plz
"NOT MY DAUGHTER, YOU *****!" - Molly Weasley, Deathly Hallows
greatone10 | Posted 9/11/2007 2:49:16 AM | message detail
Nice 1 vote gain. Maybe Meta wants a fight after all.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/11/2007 2:52:32 AM | message detail
Oh yes! Meta Knight lives!

Come on, back to 300!
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Finally a damn bracket!
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 2:53:12 AM | message detail
O_o

MK is back !!
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http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=34492787 Sign plz
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greatone10 | Posted 9/11/2007 2:53:39 AM | message detail
Meh, there's so few votes coming in right now that nothing here really matters that much, though seeing Peach on a roll like that is a good sign for her.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/11/2007 3:14:22 AM | message detail
I just thought; this may mean things for Pit. sure, he's in a lesser game from Meta-Knight but they practically have the same exposure to the point where it doesn't matter.
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Today: Sephiroth > CATS - Vote: Meta-Knight
Tomorrow: Fox > Wario - Vote: Fox - Points: 26/30
Gaddswell | Posted 9/11/2007 3:23:52 AM | message detail
Morning vote now? If so, Meta's gonna pull away.
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Finally a damn bracket!
jonthomson | Posted 9/11/2007 3:41:14 AM | message detail
Nice to see CATS doing well
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Jon Thomson - 22/28, next picks: Ryu beats Bowser
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
__hiei__ | Posted 9/11/2007 3:44:28 AM | message detail
Damn

Sephiroth is REALLY sucking here.Auron's performance seems more impressive than Sephiroth's.
Haste_2 | Posted 9/11/2007 3:45:12 AM | message detail
Excellent... it's all going according to plan so far. Meta Knight seems to be getting the before-school vote, which should be a sign of things to come.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/11/2007 4:58:07 AM | message detail
Peach is losing the morning vote to MK. I think i can say bye bye to my bracket after all.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 5:00:07 AM | message detail
Yeah, this isn't encouraging for Peach. MK did better during the Power Hour, Peach shaved off votes during the night... and as soon as the morning hits, MK starts skyrocketing. If you put a gun to my head I'm gonna tell you MK's gonna take the afterschool vote - decisively.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/11/2007 5:07:20 AM | message detail
Small cut by Peach now, first in a long time, so probably nothing important...
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
__Mega64__ | Posted 9/11/2007 5:26:49 AM | message detail
Hahaha.

So what if I'm gonna lose 6 points or so? This is worth it.
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I'm an eel.
Who Cares? | Posted 9/11/2007 5:27:50 AM | message detail
MK really strecthing his lead now, and if this is supposed to be the preview of the afterschool vote, I can say buh-bye to 2 pts. ARGGH, what the crap made me back off MK for FREAKIN' Peach?! I was fine with that decision for 2 1/2 weeks! >_<
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Current Points: 28
Maximum Possible Points: 764/768
Radix | Posted 9/11/2007 5:33:46 AM | message detail
Maybe next year CATS...
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"You're nothing more than lowly cookie dough! Yet you would dare defy me!?"
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2007 5:42:57 AM | message detail
I never really gave MK much of a chance and right now he is slowly pulling away to take first.
Too bad I had Peach coming in second next round.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 9: Sephiroth > Peach Points: 28/32
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 5:51:37 AM | message detail
Was Peach in second next round really such a popular pick? I could have never entertained it, myself.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
ShatteredElysium | Posted 9/11/2007 5:55:21 AM | message detail
Was Peach in second next round really such a popular pick? I could have never entertained it, myself.

I'd love to tell you no but my bracket betrays me >_>

I did originally have Meta Knight and then I thought 'That's a stupid idea SE! Change it to Peach!'. I just hope my bracket is long destroyed before then so I don't regret it too much.

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Character Battle: 28/32
Oracle: 30th Team Oracle: 19th (Partner: BZer0)
therealmnm | Posted 9/11/2007 5:58:46 AM | message detail
Okay, so what have I missed? I'm looking at the updater and it looks like Peach slowly cut at Meta-Knight's votes before he exploded with the morning votes. It's weird that Peach took the night vote from Meta Knight. If Meta Knight takes the day vote, I guess that's proof of how much the casual GameFAQs population is attuned to SSBB hype. I'm definitely not putting this on MK's strength from the Kirby series...

Oh well, if Peach doesn't come back, it's not too much of a biggie, because it means that PIT > Mudkip and Tingle confirmed. Or so I hope....
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Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 6:01:56 AM | message detail
Yeah, I hope in light of this no one tries to assert that Pit is a foolish choice now...
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Who Cares? | Posted 9/11/2007 6:03:54 AM | message detail
If MK's performance is truly because of Brawl hype, then that at least makes me feel a little better about having Pit in 2nd & Ike > Gordon.
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Current Points: 28
Maximum Possible Points: 764/768
ShatteredElysium | Posted 9/11/2007 6:07:36 AM | message detail
Pit is/was considered a foolish choice? Wow, I thought Pit was pretty much a lock for second. Learn something new every day I suppose.
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Character Battle: 28/32
Oracle: 30th Team Oracle: 19th (Partner: BZer0)
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/11/2007 6:14:28 AM | message detail
Peach just won two updates in a row.

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Can anyone give me the dimensions of their Wii box?- Mershiness
adamjaxe- Stop measuring your presents....
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 6:16:13 AM | message detail
Peach winning updates now is expected - heck, even "assuring." This is the miniature night vote, remember - the same one where Peach was cutting Meta's lead consistently as well.

If trends hold, she's gonna get buried when school lets out.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/11/2007 6:17:57 AM | message detail
Eh, I just can't see MK being popular with the after-school vote. He seems more like the type of character people with hardcore fans vote for.


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Can anyone give me the dimensions of their Wii box?- Mershiness
adamjaxe- Stop measuring your presents....
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/11/2007 6:19:23 AM | message detail
Woah, if Meta-Knight takes the morning vote he's got no problems here. This should be Peach's best time.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 6:20:14 AM | message detail
And yet look at the morning vote, which typically reflects the afterschool vote to a T. Meta Knight erased all of Peach's progress on him and proceeded to jump up a few hundred more votes in that short time. That speaks volumes to me.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
ShatteredElysium | Posted 9/11/2007 6:21:39 AM | message detail
Anyone fancy doing some number crunching to find out what sort of lead Peach would need going into the afternoon vote to stand a chance? I'm guessing she'd need about a 1500-1600 lead by the time the afternoon vote kicks in if MK pulls in a similar percent to the morning vote. Does that sound about right? Not exactly likely of occurring in my opinion.

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Character Battle: 28/32
Oracle: 30th Team Oracle: 19th (Partner: BZer0)
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/11/2007 6:23:13 AM | message detail
And Snake's boost does seem less ridiculous now.
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/11/2007 6:31:27 AM | message detail
Yeah, I hope in light of this no one tries to assert that Pit is a foolish choice now...

If that was in reference to me, I never though it was a foolish choice given the competition... I just thought it was the worst one. Now I'm left wishing I had taken him, but I'm not really mad about it, because it's not like I fought myself over that one, just simply didn't see it coming. Anyway, I still think Peach has a shot at this match, regardless of everyone's insistence to call it over. MK is showing plenty of reasons why he should be considered the favorite at this point (winning the NPH, pre-school vote), as 99% of the time it leads to who wins the after-school, and at this point, whoever takes that is pretty much a lock to win this, that is unless MK increases his lead throughout the day, and has a solid lead, but I doubt it. Despite everything saying MK is going to win the afterschool vote, it still just feels so wrong to me. Pretty much I'll have to see it to believe it.

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Explicit Content.
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/11/2007 6:35:23 AM | message detail
Peach is showing some strength now...
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/11/2007 6:35:27 AM | message detail
Time | CATS | Meta-Nite | Peach . | Sephiroth
01:00 | 15.80% | 19.97% | 17.56% | 46.67%
02:00 | 13.77% | 17.45% | 17.12% | 51.66%
03:00 | 12.18% | 16.01% | 16.05% | 55.77%
04:00 | 12.24% | 15.75% | 15.36% | 56.65%
05:00 | 11.09% | 14.30% | 16.32% | 58.29%
06:00 | 11.21% | 14.97% | 17.07% | 56.76%
07:00 | 11.00% | 18.76% | 15.41% | 54.83%
08:00 | 10.64% | 20.38% | 15.93% | 53.05%
09:00 | 10.18% | 18.47% | 16.27% | 55.08%

After the Slowest.Comeback.Ever (170 votes cut in three and a half hours from peak to trough, plus an hour long stall before that), Meta-Knight dominated the morning. That is a very good sign for him, as the morning is usually a Mario stronghold and usually reflects how the after school vote goes.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2007 6:42:05 AM | message detail
I'm a little surprised that Peach is making gains now the morning vote still has about an hour left. If MK gets the day vote he won't be dominating it.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 9: Sephiroth > Peach Points: 28/32
Osfan | Posted 9/11/2007 6:46:46 AM | message detail
This just proves that Peach is a California girl! This has the potential to get really interesting after school Peach should have the lead. One would think Meta will have the advantage but I think we can expect more casuals after school then before. Will Peach be able to hold her lead or salvage enough to make a late night comback and win by....... 27!?
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"I'll do it with my magic!" - Tellah FF4
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/11/2007 6:51:13 AM | message detail
Considering Kefka was making gains during this time... no, I wouldn't call this the morning vote.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/11/2007 6:52:35 AM | message detail
Great to see MK still holding Peach off. He's looking pretty good to take 2nd here now.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
CATS/Meta-Knight/Peach/Sephiroth - Bracket: Seph > Peach - Vote: Meta-Knight (28/32)
Haste_2 | Posted 9/11/2007 6:53:50 AM | message detail
What would you say are Meta Knight's chances of reaching Round 3 (assuming he beats Peach fairly comfortably)?

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/11/2007 6:55:26 AM | message detail
I'm a little surprised that Peach is making gains now the morning vote still has about an hour left. If MK gets the day vote he won't be dominating it.

Morning vote ends in two hours.
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Feel my truth.
Zylo the wolf | Posted 9/11/2007 6:56:03 AM | message detail
0%.

Fox got to have a bigger fanbase than him....
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Ngamer64: Zylo, you're making less sense every day. Proud supporter of Knuckles and Magus in Character Battle VI
charmander6000 | Posted 9/11/2007 7:10:32 AM | message detail
While the morning vote for eastern time has ended the vote itself doesn't end for another 30-60 min, I guess some people call this time the transition period.

Well I won't be on a computer until we're well into the day vote so good luck to you Peach.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 9: Sephiroth > Peach Points: 28/32
Haste_2 | Posted 9/11/2007 7:15:23 AM | message detail
After all that's happened in the contest so far, I'm kinda wishing I made these picks:

Fox > Wario instead of Wario > Fox (fanboyism originally, but it looks like strength means almost everything)
Magus > Bomberman, not Phoenix
Luigi > Pit, not Mudkip
Ganondorf > Thrall, not Vergil
Alucard > Ness, not vice versa
Snake > Nightmare, not Vyse

I randomly predict I'll miss 5/6 of what I've got in my bracket with these.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
ShatteredElysium | Posted 9/11/2007 7:17:15 AM | message detail
On the bright side Haste, you're still kicking more or less everyones asses in the Oracle contest.
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Character Battle: 28/32
Oracle: 30th Team Oracle: 19th (Partner: BZer0)
therealmnm | Posted 9/11/2007 7:31:10 AM | message detail
How long are they just going to dance around 600 votes? -_-
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Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend
Dragon0283 | Posted 9/11/2007 7:33:51 AM | message detail
Its the 1-4am block all over again except its 600 instead of 300 lol.
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This post aint big enough for the two of us.
linkhatesganon | Posted 9/11/2007 7:37:31 AM | message detail
Haste, after today match, I'd say that Wario has many chances to win tomorrow. Yeah, I know Fox is in Brawl, too, but Wario was the most announced character, and Meta-knight appeared at, like, every single pic at the update web.

And as for the other matches you said, I'm not sure about Bomberman and Phoenix, they're very close. Arthas overperfomed (Tuesday), but whatever, Thrall and Vergil should be close, too. And I also have Vyse at 2nd, but Nightmare can upset. But Ivy didn't do very well last year, and everyone knows she is the most known character from SC (Also, Nightmare won't have neither TJF, and Ivy is clearly the winner of TJF, although that couldn't help her)
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Onimimi's films rules!
transience | Posted 9/11/2007 7:46:09 AM | message detail
...Meta-Knight took the morning from Peach? the same morning that Mario characters have dominated in recent times? (check Bowser yesterday if you're curious)

yeah, I'd say Meta-Knight almost definitely has this.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/11/2007 7:52:17 AM | message detail
Well, Bowser won the morning vote from Mewtwo, but lost the after school vote to him, so there's still some hope, however slim it may be.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
transience | Posted 9/11/2007 7:52:47 AM | message detail
that's the whole point. :)
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
therealmnm | Posted 9/11/2007 7:57:16 AM | message detail
Haste, after today match, I'd say that Wario has many chances to win tomorrow. Yeah, I know Fox is in Brawl, too, but Wario was the most announced character, and Meta-knight appeared at, like, every single pic at the update web.

It's not like everyone didn't know who Wario was before. Plus, it was expected that he would be in the next SSB game. And SSBB Wario certainly hasn't given people any reason to like Wario more.

But Ivy didn't do very well last year, and everyone knows she is the most known character from SC

wut
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Currently playing: Call of Duty 2, Maverick Hunter X, Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney, Dead Rising, Tomb Raider Legend
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