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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 474

LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2007 12:31:31 PM | message detail
Auron > Ryu > Bowser >> Shadow

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php
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"I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work."
swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 12:35:52 PM | message detail
YOU'RE EARLY! WHAT'S THE OCCASION?
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/10/2007 2:28:33 PM | message detail
Damn, I wanted to title this one Contest CATS and Discussion.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/10/2007 4:04:50 PM | message detail
yoblazer they would have yelled at you and told you not to do that because defiling the Stats and Discussion topic is a Federal Sin.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/10/2007 4:06:12 PM | message detail
Damn, I wanted to title this one Contest CATS and Discussion.

If CATS ends up pulling the upset, you can be sure that'll be happening more than you can handle during the actual match.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 4:35:02 PM | message detail
Pikachun to round 3!

Believe

TuRtLe
~~~
28/32 in the contest. Next pick: Sephiroth > Peach
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/10/2007 4:36:10 PM | message detail
Tag for potentially the most ludicrous stats topic ever.
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
Master Moltar | Posted 9/10/2007 4:37:05 PM | message detail
I've never seen a first post so wrong in my life.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Bowser/Mewtwo/Ryu/Toad - Bracket: Ryu > Bowser - Vote: Bowser (24/28)
Gaddswell | Posted 9/10/2007 4:37:36 PM | message detail
CATS is responsible for 9/11! And he's come back for more!

>______________>
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Finally a damn bracket!
greatone10 | Posted 9/10/2007 4:41:09 PM | message detail
Ryu > Bowser > Auron > Ryu > Shadow
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
TexasAggie | Posted 9/10/2007 4:42:32 PM | message detail
Im scared that I have Bowser over Auron next round. Bowser is still>Ryu, but Im think auron may be the favorite now.
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Contest pts: 24
Today: Ryu>Bowser
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2007 4:43:41 PM | message detail
Bowser was never the favorite over Auron to begin with. Round 3, maybe, but Round 2? No.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
Kratos_42 | Posted 9/10/2007 4:48:11 PM | message detail
Stupid massive SFF taking down Bowser.
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He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising.
swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 4:50:41 PM | message detail
PHOENIX WRIGHT! 2007!
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
Gaddswell | Posted 9/10/2007 4:51:07 PM | message detail
Edgeworth > Zelda in Round 2!
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Finally a damn bracket!
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/10/2007 4:51:47 PM | message detail
I got 500, and I didn't even realize it was close to 500 in the last topic. >_>
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/10/2007 4:52:24 PM | message detail
I got 500, and I didn't even realize it was close to 500 in the last topic. >_>

Those are always a lot funnier than when people try for it anyway. =P
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
greatone10 | Posted 9/10/2007 4:53:09 PM | message detail
Actual discussion get the 500th post in a Contest Stats and Discussion topic? HAH!
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2007 4:54:46 PM | message detail
going back to the SFF talk in the last topic..

there's pretty much no real conclusion you can draw here. the closest one that I can see is that Bowser is not a "fan-favourite", which makes me question his ability to make any real impact on that Samus/Mega Man match should he get that far. beyond that, you're really reaching to draw conclusions. you're basically coming up with ideas based on what your expectations pre-match were - that's what "SFF" is to a lot of people here in round 1. "Bowser's not doing so well.. SFF!" "Knuckles is looking bad... SFF with Yoshi!" there's just so many possible explanations, and it's best to not assert them and instead to just sit back and watch.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
now playing: Jeanne d'Arc
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/10/2007 4:55:23 PM | message detail
Actual discussion get the 500th post in a Contest Stats and Discussion topic? HAH!

See? Hi-LARIOUS!
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
ZFS | Posted 9/10/2007 4:55:45 PM | message detail
Auron > Ryu > Bowser

shenanigans

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/10/2007 4:57:55 PM | message detail
Auron > Ryu

Round 2 have faith
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Bowser/Mewtwo/Ryu/Toad - Bracket: Ryu > Bowser - Vote: Bowser (24/28)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 4:58:47 PM | message detail
Enough about today's match, I want to see some discussion on Magus' fourpack.

I think Bomberman really has that one in the bag. He's easily the most casual character there that's actually had something relevant in the last 10 years.

TuRtLe
~~~
28/32 in the contest. Next pick: Sephiroth > Peach
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 9/10/2007 4:59:57 PM | message detail
Enough about today's match, I want to see some discussion on Magus' fourpack.

I'm going to go out on a limb and say....Magus takes 1st.

Not really in the mood to debate, just a feeling.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Bowser/Mewtwo/Ryu/Toad - Bracket: Ryu > Bowser - Vote: Bowser (24/28)
ZFS | Posted 9/10/2007 5:00:01 PM | message detail
I'm not buying into the Bomberman hype too much, myself. He'll do well there, but I think Phoenix has one that pretty safely.

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 5:01:11 PM | message detail
I have Bomberman pulling this one out. But I'd rather see Phoenix win since my bracket is toast anyway.
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*votes for Meta-Knight to help CATS win* ~Leonhart
trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2007 5:05:32 PM | message detail
I think I'd rather have Bomberman given that I don't think Magus can get a large percentage. I question Phoenix's ability to pull ~25%.

though I'm also not convinced Bomberman or Crash can get 25%, so that's just a tossup.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
now playing: Jeanne d'Arc
PokemonPatriarch | Posted 9/10/2007 5:07:02 PM | message detail
Bomberman should definitely get second...the only way he'd lose to Phoenix or Crash is if they gave him the Xbox picture X/
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Proud fanboy of the Ogre Battle saga!!!
~~~Allah Approves~~~
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/10/2007 5:08:00 PM | message detail
I'm pretty sure Bomberman takes second there.

I HAVE PHOENIX THOUGH OH YEAH
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
smitelf | Posted 9/10/2007 5:08:16 PM | message detail
I have Magus > Bomberman in my bracket, but I'm hoping for Magus > Phoenix. I find it hard to imagine that happening, though :(
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/10/2007 5:09:23 PM | message detail
Squall > Akuma > Aeris > Geno

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DC
Xuxon | Posted 9/10/2007 5:11:15 PM | message detail
Well, Crash definitely isn't getting 25%. Phoenix has a slight chance. Bomberman has the best chance of anyone to get that high, but I don't think he will, and Phoenix getting 20% or so will be enough for second.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/10/2007 5:12:44 PM | message detail
I have Magus > Bomberman and I'm praying for it... I don't want to see this board if PW actually advances.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2007 5:13:06 PM | message detail
I put PW in my bracket, as I think the format favors him and his strength has likely increased from last year.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/10/2007 5:14:10 PM | message detail
I would have taken PW if someone with major drawing potential was in the match... I don't think Magus is going to gobble enough % to make his small, but hardcore fanbase push him over the top.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
smitelf | Posted 9/10/2007 5:15:42 PM | message detail
If anyone has a chance to cause an upset in this format, it's fan favorites. Phoenix is certainly one of those.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 5:17:25 PM | message detail
Like I said, Bomberman definitely has the iconicness behind him. Crash hasn't been relevant since the mid-90's, and Phoenix is too obscure for his own good.

TuRtLe
~~~
28/32 in the contest. Next pick: Sephiroth > Peach
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
trannyscience | Posted 9/10/2007 5:18:21 PM | message detail
Bomberman, an icon?

what? Crash is more of an icon than freakin' Bomberman. Bomberman's about as iconic as Q*Bert.
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THE ORDER MATTERS?!?!?!?!?!
now playing: Jeanne d'Arc
Cecil XIX | Posted 9/10/2007 5:18:56 PM | message detail
CATS is responsible for 9/11! And he's come back for more!

Wrong, CATS avenged 9/11 and set Sephiroth up the bomb. See here: http://www.newgrounds.com/portal/view/58653
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
Adept of Aiur | Posted 9/10/2007 5:23:06 PM | message detail
Bomberman, an icon?

what? Crash is more of an icon than freakin' Bomberman. Bomberman's about as iconic as Q*Bert.


Bomberman may as well be the universal symbol for multiplayer mayhem...
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"An intellectual is a man who takes more words than necessary to tell more than he knows."
ZFS | Posted 9/10/2007 5:24:03 PM | message detail
Like I said, Bomberman definitely has the iconicness behind him. Crash hasn't been relevant since the mid-90's, and Phoenix is too obscure for his own good.

I know what you were trying to say there, but ... no. Bomberman and Crash are both well past their primes -- they were bigger back in the day, not so much now. You can't cite Bomberman's ... "iconicness" and then bash Crash for not having been relevant since the mid-90s. Crash in his prime was far bigger than Bomberman's ever been. And neither are relevant today.

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
redrocket | Posted 9/10/2007 5:24:06 PM | message detail
Bomberman may as well be the universal symbol for multiplayer mayhem...

lol wut?

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http://www.pacifier.com/~zen/creepy.jpg
http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/thumb/5/56/250px-Clock_Spider.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/10/2007 5:24:49 PM | message detail
...Crash is indeed a bigger icon than Bomberman.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
cyko | Posted 9/10/2007 5:25:53 PM | message detail
after seeing that match pic, Phoenix is taking second place!

TAKE THAT!!

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I support the following SC2K6 characters:
L-Block, Phoenix Wright, Magus, Agent J, Vincent Valentine, Miles Edgeworth, HK-47, Zero, Kefka
Pacmantis | Posted 9/10/2007 5:26:43 PM | message detail
And neither are relevant today.

Bomberman Live is totally relevant.
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OH JEEZE!
Wakka Wakka Wakka *consumes you*
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/10/2007 5:26:56 PM | message detail
I just picked Magus > Phoenix for that match simply because of Board 8 hype. Tells ya how much I cared about that one.

Also, WTF @ Toad breaking 10%. Is Vaan still dead last in the stats so far?
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
smitelf | Posted 9/10/2007 5:27:12 PM | message detail
And neither are relevant today.

Bomberman is alive and well on Xbox Live.
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Official Queen ***** of the Universe!
Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21
ZFS | Posted 9/10/2007 5:27:33 PM | message detail
Bomberman Live is totally relevant.

yes what was i thinking

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Xuxon | Posted 9/10/2007 5:28:34 PM | message detail
Is Vaan still dead last in the stats so far?

Zolom?
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/10/2007 5:30:01 PM | message detail
Based on the pic, I'd want Phoenix > Bomberman in that match. Crash looks pretty good too.

Magus just looks like balls. <_<
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
CB6 - 22/28; Oracle - 18th
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