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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 473

Lopen | Posted 9/10/2007 1:16:48 AM | message detail
He got like 47% once, I think Ryu has it in him to take an update. But it's gotta be soon. The second night vote might be a possibility for it, too.
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
redrocket | Posted 9/10/2007 1:25:59 AM | message detail
Hurray for Mewtwo winning updates against Bowser!
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http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/thumb/5/56/250px-Clock_Spider.jpg
Xuxon | Posted 9/10/2007 1:27:08 AM | message detail
He actually got more than Bowser and Toad combined there. And Ryu still managed a great update.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/10/2007 1:34:13 AM | message detail
Ok, I will rant a bit now while everyone is still asleep... Today will mostly likely be my first and last day to be on the leaderboard for this year. I didn't expect to do so well anyway since if I did, I would have entered my bracket far earlier, so I can be higher in the leaderboard and can stay there longer. I know I will somehow screw up the later matches like I always did (well probably the unpredictability of this contest has and will still help me...I hope), and looking at the next few matches, I am not really confident anymore with my upsets, in particular: Zero > Jak, Tidus > Serge, Snake > Rayman, Kirby > Kratos in Round 2 and Squall > Aeris in Round 2.

Oh well, it was good while it lasted... =/

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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
greatone10 | Posted 9/10/2007 1:39:03 AM | message detail
Most of those aren't even that bad.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/10/2007 1:39:20 AM | message detail
Mewtwo 22.35% 6666

Nice.
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Finally a damn bracket!
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/10/2007 1:39:28 AM | message detail
Ryu is indeed a beast. Go Ryu Go.
Warsola | Posted 9/10/2007 1:43:25 AM | message detail
Heh, Mewtwo refuses to let the 2000 vote barrier go up >_>
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/10/2007 1:53:44 AM | message detail
Ryu is showing so strong I'm getting afraid of having Auron>Bowser in round 3 being a bad thing >_>
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
redrocket | Posted 9/10/2007 2:23:00 AM | message detail
Mewtwo has now officially taken a fifteen minute update from Bowser O_o
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Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/10/2007 2:28:46 AM | message detail
Mewtwo better not beat Bowser, otherwise my bracket is ruined!! >_>
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/10/2007 2:47:49 AM | message detail
2000 vote barrier finally activates!
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Finally a damn bracket!
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/10/2007 2:48:06 AM | message detail
Well, this is interesting...
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/10/2007 2:53:31 AM | message detail
Snake > Rayman

I can understand the other upsets but this is just plain suicide here.
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Today: Bowser > Ryu - Vote: Mewtwo
Tomorrow: Sephiroth > CATS - Vote: Meta-Knight - Points: 24/28.
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/10/2007 2:56:35 AM | message detail
Bowser finally has his 2000-barrier operational, but Ryu is working on his 4-5k barrier as we speak. Will he be finished before the day vote starts?

But a better question will it matter much if he's not? Ryu has this one in the bag.

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Eff Dee
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/10/2007 3:01:51 AM | message detail
I can understand the other upsets but this is just plain suicide here.

Yeah, I would have changed it to Nightmare right now... I was thinking Rayman Raving Rabbids is going to help Rayman a lot... >_>
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
Starion | Posted 9/10/2007 3:06:43 AM | message detail
Heh, for some reason I thought Rayman was that green guy made of spheres in a Sega game. Still, Rayman is probably the worst choice for 2nd in that match.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/10/2007 3:08:15 AM | message detail
All the leads are getting bigger. Boring and depressing =(

But then I guess we were spoiled with Axel/Frog etc.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/10/2007 3:08:59 AM | message detail
Rayman couldn't even get 2% in the Wii game of the year poll. nobody cares about him.
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Today: Bowser > Ryu - Vote: Mewtwo
Tomorrow: Sephiroth > CATS - Vote: Meta-Knight - Points: 24/28.
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/10/2007 3:12:51 AM | message detail
Rayman couldn't even get 2% in the Wii game of the year poll. nobody cares about him.

Which poll was it?
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
The cream of Chocobo fanboyism.
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/10/2007 3:13:42 AM | message detail
I'm tempted to say....it's over for Bowser taking first :(
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1 of 242 - The Great GameFAQs Character Battle VI
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/10/2007 3:15:49 AM | message detail
I care about Rayman! <3 his original trilogy >_>
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/10/2007 3:16:27 AM | message detail
Which poll was it?

Wii game of the year 2006.
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Today: Bowser > Ryu - Vote: Mewtwo
Tomorrow: Sephiroth > CATS - Vote: Meta-Knight - Points: 24/28.
Xuxon | Posted 9/10/2007 3:16:57 AM | message detail
It's been over since about... 12:45 AM I'd say.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 4:52:43 AM | message detail
W00T, called an upset for once! I am concerned though that Mewtwo is eating into Bowser so much, it might lead to Auron/Ryu advancement instead of Auron/Bowser. Also, Shadow might take vote from Bowser too, if Mario/Shadow suggested anything.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 5:01:15 AM | message detail
On another note, how did 3 of the 5 perfects mess up yesterday's match? That was clear-cut!
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swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 5:01:28 AM | message detail
2 of the 5, whatever <_<
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Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
swirIdude | Posted 9/10/2007 5:10:13 AM | message detail
Auron/Shadow/Ryu/Bowser is a huge matchup for your bracket, because the next round has Cloud in it, which makes Auron's chances of advancing minimal. That means whoever gets 2nd in this match will probably get 2nd again the next round, so to stay in contention, you definitely need to call this one right.
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Mumei | Posted 9/10/2007 5:12:26 AM | message detail
TP is probably the quintessential example of how hype can lower people's opinions of a game.

Fable comes to mind first.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/10/2007 5:12:31 AM | message detail
Huzzah for fighting game loyalty and Bowser being closer to Mewtwo than Ryu! And huzzah for me for having Ryu escape this division! It doesn't look TOO bad right now, though this is obvious SFF hindering Bowser. Just how much is anyone's guess. Hats off to Mewtwo as well. He's doin' very well. Too bad he got stuck in an unwinnable match.

And huzzah for two brackets in the top 10!
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Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/10/2007 6:02:12 AM | message detail
So how are things looking in Vincent/Zelda/Tails/The Boss?

The first match seemed to indicate that Tails might steal a few votes from Zelda. Not many, but enough to make the swing in what should be a close match. And with the TP boost seeming to have disappeared after TP actually came out(Man, that feels so weird to say), it's possible that Zelda won't be quite as strong as she was last year. <_<

And yes I'm probably skewing things to make it look better for my bracket, but is that so wrong? D:
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Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/10/2007 6:05:49 AM | message detail
I think TheBoss/Vincent share a bigger fanbase than Zelda/Tails. The Boss and Vincent's game are both on Sony console and we have already concluded that there is some sort of relation between MGS and FF.
Who Cares? | Posted 9/10/2007 6:13:15 AM | message detail
Well, we're inside the morning vote & Ryu is still manging to increase his lead, yep this one's done. Nothin' left to see except how high Ryu can stretch the margin.
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Current Points: 26
Maximum Possible Points: 766/768
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/10/2007 6:14:13 AM | message detail
So how are things looking in Vincent/Zelda/Tails/The Boss?

Right now Vincent and Zelda will advance, though the order is up to some debate. I went with Vincent > Zelda in my bracket but know it could go the other way.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/10/2007 6:16:43 AM | message detail
...That doesn't really tell me anything I didn't already know. <_<

I was just wondering if anyone's opinion on who ends up on top has changed now that we've seen several matches. =/
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Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/10/2007 6:21:43 AM | message detail
I have Zelda > Vincent. Zelda has post-TP, pre-PH and pre-SSBB boost to help her a little bit during the contest ,while on the hand, Vincent doesn't really have anything much this year. Nothing can be assured in this kind of format and Vincent > Zelda is just as likely as Zelda > Vincent.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/10/2007 6:32:42 AM | message detail
Ryu built up his lead nicely over the night. I need him to bleed percentage now, since he's way above my prediction now.

And I'm also feeling a better about having Cloud > Ryu.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Bowser/Mewtwo/Ryu/Toad - Bracket: Ryu > Bowser - Vote: Bowser (24/28)
Heroic Yuna | Posted 9/10/2007 6:38:07 AM | message detail
PH?
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Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
Majin Lou | Posted 9/10/2007 6:40:04 AM | message detail
*wakes up seeing Bowser closer to Mewtwo than Ryu*

Haha, that kicks so much ass. If only my bracket reflected that.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 6:42:22 AM | message detail
Man, Ryu's alrready starting to drop like a rock percentage wise.

Still keeping that lead going though. It'll be interesting to see if Nintendo jumps with the after-school vote.

As for next round, I still have faith in Auron > Bowser, and if Bowser can secure that, then I have full confidence in the Cloud > Mega Man upset pick.

TuRtLe
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 6:44:35 AM | message detail
As for Zelda/Vincent, it's pretty much like Ganondorf/Vincent was last year. 2 high-tier characters going at it (since Tails and Boss should be a non-factor there) with no real clear cut winner.

And someone brought up SFF in that match, if anything the effect will be minimal, and would hurt Vincent more with the FF7/MGS overlap. But I think that one will be as close to a 1 on 1 match as we're going to see this contest.

TuRtLe
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
wavedash101 | Posted 9/10/2007 6:45:07 AM | message detail
PH?

Phantom Hourglass a.k.a the Zelda game that revived the series in Japan

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jonthomson | Posted 9/10/2007 6:46:13 AM | message detail
Important question now is if whether Toad will get up to 10%
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Jon Thomson - 22/28, next picks: Ryu beats Bowser
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 6:59:47 AM | message detail
The way Ryu's percent is diarrheaing out of his rear, I would imagine Toad will get some of it.

TuRtLe
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 9/10/2007 7:00:46 AM | message detail
I need Ryu to give 2% and Mewtwo to give 3% to Bowser and my Oracle pick would be close to perfect.

Funny if I make the leaderboard after this match (which looks likely) this will mark my third Top 50 appearance in this contest alone and in 8 matches too. I have a lot of unlikely picks for the first round (Fox > Banjo, Ganon > Ratchet, Luigi > Pit, Dante > Ammy, Balthier > Frank, Kirby > Laharl, DK > Kratos, Ryu H > Riku, Gordon > Ike), but I think I'll be in the Top 10% by the end of the round.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 8: Ryu > Bowser Points: 24/28
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 7:10:47 AM | message detail
For my Oracle, I need Ryu to stop bleeding, and Bowser to steal a lot of percentage from Mewtwo <_<

TuRtLe
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 7:11:35 AM | message detail
Ryu H > Riku is probably the only pick for that match that makes any sense.

TuRtLe
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"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Warsola | Posted 9/10/2007 7:14:45 AM | message detail
where are the more recent CS&D topics archived? Preferably the Frog/Axel match ones <_<
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And if we armed them all with two swords, we'd have four times the votes!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/10/2007 7:16:00 AM | message detail
Frog/Axel was a series of boring topics where every post was "OMG AXEL CUT 20!"

"OH NO FROG DROP!"

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/10/2007 7:16:12 AM | message detail
Mine:
Bowser - 34.70%
Mewtwo - 21.33%
Ryu (Street Fighter) - 36.45%
Toad - 7.52%

Actual
Bowser 29.61%
Mewtwo 23.05%
Ryu 37.56%
Toad 9.78%

I thought i'd be really close on this one but so far its all bowser underperforming. Giving 2.26 extra to Toad, 1.11 extra to Ryu and 1.72 extra to mewtwo.

Good thing about this though is I expect bowswer to take 3% or so back before this finishes. I hope he takes most of that back from MewTwo my Ryu guess is already pretty good.


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Eff Dee
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