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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 472

Karma Hunter | Posted 9/9/2007 9:14:52 PM | message detail
Match over. An easy two points for me.

And arrogant as ever, I see. Especially for someone I've seen burned on picks that you considered just as "easy".

You want to gloat about how easy a pick this was for you and how foolish anyone who ever doubted it for a second was? NEWS FLASH: No one cares.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
xlx_ramon_xlx | Posted 9/9/2007 9:14:56 PM | message detail
boring? my balls....its gonna be a close battle for 1st place.....and wait till the next round with auron... wow
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:15:00 PM | message detail
Pre-Smash Snake was a jobber with the day vote.

Ryu, not so much.


Time | Kratos . | Ryu
01:00 | 39.08% | 60.92%
02:00 | 38.33% | 61.67%
03:00 | 35.79% | 64.21%
04:00 | 37.50% | 62.50%
05:00 | 38.09% | 61.91%
06:00 | 36.73% | 63.27%
07:00 | 40.62% | 59.38%
08:00 | 42.24% | 57.76%
09:00 | 40.66% | 59.34%
10:00 | 42.53% | 57.47%
11:00 | 42.25% | 57.75%
12:00 | 40.80% | 59.20%
13:00 | 41.93% | 58.07%
14:00 | 42.27% | 57.73%
15:00 | 43.95% | 56.05%
16:00 | 46.61% | 53.39%
17:00 | 47.94% | 52.06%
18:00 | 48.39% | 51.61%
19:00 | 46.72% | 53.28%
20:00 | 46.33% | 53.67%
21:00 | 47.39% | 52.61%
22:00 | 45.87% | 54.13%
23:00 | 43.57% | 56.43%
00:00 | 41.29% | 58.71%

And, just in case you (justifiably) say Kratos is just really good with the day:

Time | Ryu . . . . | Mega Man
01:00 | 39.45% | 60.55%
02:00 | 41.33% | 58.67%
03:00 | 44.77% | 55.23%
04:00 | 47.47% | 52.53%
05:00 | 49.56% | 50.44%
06:00 | 47.51% | 52.49%
07:00 | 43.86% | 56.14%
08:00 | 42.94% | 57.06%
09:00 | 43.12% | 56.88%
10:00 | 42.82% | 57.18%
11:00 | 42.91% | 57.09%
12:00 | 44.11% | 55.89%
13:00 | 43.62% | 56.38%
14:00 | 44.75% | 55.25%
15:00 | 40.77% | 59.23%
16:00 | 39.32% | 60.68%
17:00 | 39.57% | 60.43%
18:00 | 39.34% | 60.66%
19:00 | 40.00% | 60.00%
20:00 | 39.57% | 60.43%
21:00 | 41.50% | 58.50%
22:00 | 42.12% | 57.88%
23:00 | 42.61% | 57.39%
00:00 | 41.14% | 58.86%

Now, this might not matter since it looks like he's going to have a big lead come daytime, but he does suck in the day.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Janus5000 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:15:25 PM | message detail
...Can we call this yet?
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
hochiminh155 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:15:29 PM | message detail
Oh, and now we know Mewtwo is one gigantic dud
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/9/2007 9:15:38 PM | message detail
Bowser is getting ****ing dominated. This is insane.
---
Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2007 9:15:45 PM | message detail
105 vote increase? Match DEFINITELY over.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
Keno316 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:16:01 PM | message detail
100 vote increase? Haha...OH wow!
---
"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2007 9:16:20 PM | message detail
Oh, and now we know Mewtwo is one gigantic dud

He's in a poll with Bowser and Ryu. How is this a 'dud' performance?
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doo doo doo I got no sig
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/9/2007 9:16:27 PM | message detail
Ryu impressing means that last year was all him, and not Mega Man dropping. It may not be concrete evidence, but everything we've seen since Sonic/Snake has led to Mega Man being at the same level he was in 2005.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
greatone10 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:16:33 PM | message detail
How is Mewtwo a dud? For getting put in the worst spot possible for him in the bracket?
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
transience | Posted 9/9/2007 9:16:54 PM | message detail
um, yeah.

I think this would be a pretty safe call.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Majin Lou | Posted 9/9/2007 9:16:58 PM | message detail
Ryu, **** yeah!
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/9/2007 9:17:01 PM | message detail
0_o
This is insane like Mickey Rooney
I'm going to bed after the next update
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Bowser 36.70% - Mewtwo 18.08% - Ryu 35.25% - Toad 9.97% ~ Status: Unknown
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/9/2007 9:17:08 PM | message detail
Oh, and now we know Mewtwo is one gigantic dud

...he's got over 22% here despite Bowser and Toad sapping his support.

STOP TALKING
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/9/2007 9:17:12 PM | message detail
Uhh bye leaderboard? I barely knew thee. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2007 9:17:20 PM | message detail
Ryu impressing means that last year was all him, and not Mega Man dropping. It may not be concrete evidence, but everything we've seen since Sonic/Snake has led to Mega Man being at the same level he was in 2005.

While I agree with you, you don't have to be such a jerk about it. Have some grace.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
ZFS | Posted 9/9/2007 9:17:26 PM | message detail
Ryu impressing means that last year was all him,

Yeah, Bowser isn't being hurt by Mewtwo or Toad or anything like that.

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Draco1214 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:01 PM | message detail
Ryu impressing means that last year was all him, and not Mega Man dropping. It may not be concrete evidence, but everything we've seen since Sonic/Snake has led to Mega Man being at the same level he was in 2005.

Or maybe - just maybe - it's because Ryu is in a poll with three Nintendo characters splitting the vote.
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Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:06 PM | message detail
Mewtwo isn't a dud.

If anything, him managing to break 20% with the characters he's up against is really impressive.

And awww yeah Ryu

With any luck, I'll be on the leaderboard tomorrow

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:16 PM | message detail
everything we've seen since Sonic/Snake has led to Mega Man being at the same level he was in 2005.

no it hasn't. these are four-way polls. stop being delusional already.
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Today: Auron > Shadow - Vote: Shadow
Tomorrow: Bowser > Ryu - Vote: Mewtwo - Points: 20/24.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:21 PM | message detail
You know, I think this it the first debated match I've gotten completely right. That's just sad.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:26 PM | message detail
Ahhh, GameFOX Block List - making the stats topic readable since 2005!
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
paraboxx | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:29 PM | message detail
...okay, yeah. This is starting to look pretty different from Marcus > Kefka.

Those were some good points, though, especially from Karma Hunter. If even having concerned bracket-voters behind him can't get Bowser ahead...then he's in trouble.

Thanks again.
Tediz247 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:18:45 PM | message detail
From hochiminh155
Oh, and now we know Mewtwo is one gigantic dud

Huh? Based on this early performance, if he had been switched with Pyramid Head, he might have given Shadow a good fight. He's doing about as expected, if not a bit better.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
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transience | Posted 9/9/2007 9:19:03 PM | message detail
dammit turts, stop ruining my enjoyment of this match by saying stupid crap. just... can you please be quiet, please?
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
charmander6000 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:19:13 PM | message detail
Time | Kratos . | Ryu
01:00 | 39.08% | 60.92%
02:00 | 38.33% | 61.67%
03:00 | 35.79% | 64.21%
04:00 | 37.50% | 62.50%
05:00 | 38.09% | 61.91%
06:00 | 36.73% | 63.27%
07:00 | 40.62% | 59.38%


If it's only going to get worse Ryu may have a lead big enough for his crappy day vote to not matter. Also there will be three characters fighting for the day vote.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 8: Ryu > Bowser Points: 24/28
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/9/2007 9:19:16 PM | message detail
I realize Ryu is only winning because if the split (if any of you bothered to read my analysis you'd know that), but if he was as low as people are saying he should be because of Mega Man being a jobber, than Bowser should be winning right now.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:07 PM | message detail
Ryu impressing means that last year was all him, and not Mega Man dropping. It may not be concrete evidence, but everything we've seen since Sonic/Snake has led to Mega Man being at the same level he was in 2005.

Everything since 2005 has been in the form of four-way polls. They're ALL dubious, and trying to pull concrete evidence from them as "proof" - especially something like this, with double SFF - is *foolish*. They can just as well mean absolutely nothing.

So what happens if Mega Man ends up getting killed against Samus? Surely that would be the most "direct" evidence of all, but I'm sure you'd change your tune then.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
greatone10 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:13 PM | message detail
This does give me some confidence for Bowser > Auron. If you give all of Toad's votes to Bowser and say 70% of Mewtwo's support to the Koopa King, he'd be roasting Ryu on a stick right now.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:21 PM | message detail
Hmm? Signs of life from the Bowser camp?
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Janus5000 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:38 PM | message detail
...Goddammit Bowser.
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Keno316 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:44 PM | message detail
NOT SO FAST, RYU!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:51 PM | message detail
...Goddamnit Bowser.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:53 PM | message detail
Anyone saying Mewtwo is a dud needs to look at the numbers again, getting 20%+ in a match with Bowser, Toad and Ryu is an achievement.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
TimJab | Posted 9/9/2007 9:20:59 PM | message detail
I had Ryu > Bowser for a while, but ultimately went against it due to the amount that Bowser won by in 05. Not saying Bowser is out of it though. Whoever wins, it will be close.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/9/2007 9:21:10 PM | message detail
Mega Man will be getting killed by Samus in round 3, but he will be advancing to round 4 with Cloud.

Believe

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
charmander6000 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:21:34 PM | message detail
Wait Bowser is not finished yet.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 8: Ryu > Bowser Points: 24/28
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/9/2007 9:22:08 PM | message detail
LMFAO @ at all of Toad's votes and 70% of Mewtwo's.

ITS IMPOSSIBLE TO GAUGE SO DON'T EVEN TRY.

If we added Sephiroth's votes to Cloud last year, Cloud would be breaking 55% on Link. When Sephy got eliminated, we all saw what happened.
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Feel my truth.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/9/2007 9:22:15 PM | message detail
if he was as low as people are saying he should be because of Mega Man being a jobber, than Bowser should be winning right now.

No he wouldn't. You can't even come close to saying that, let alone with any certainty.

For chrissakes, you don't even have to look further than my analysis to see that your conclusion is drawn from NOTHING. Ryu > Bowser is a pick that could have happened even if Mega had plummeted.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/9/2007 9:22:23 PM | message detail
This is how I see it.

I think Bowser obviously picks up the bracket vote, but even in spite of that Ryu is putting a good 4% between them. Ryu will only get stronger until the day vote starts.

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Eff Dee
smitelf | Posted 9/9/2007 9:22:27 PM | message detail
From xlx_ramon_xlx
boring? my balls....its gonna be a close battle for 1st place.....and wait till the next round with auron... wow

I don't think this makes Auron > Ryu any more likely. Bowser's getting dominated by SFF - considering that, he's doing as well as can be expected. Bowser will be back to full strength in round 2, so Auron > Bowser still looks good to me.

Mewtwo is the most impressive of the four so far. Considering his competition and SFF, anything over 20% is respectable. Toad's really sucking, though. I thought he'd at least get >10%.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:22:53 PM | message detail
If it's only going to get worse Ryu may have a lead big enough for his crappy day vote to not matter. Also there will be three characters fighting for the day vote.

The first part is quite true...*refreshes*...maybe. The second, though, just means that the weak day character is going to die come daytime. Kefka's proof of that - he was against two strong day characters and one moderately good one, and simply disappeared once the day rolled around.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
transience | Posted 9/9/2007 9:23:58 PM | message detail
Ryu's got a bad day vote, but don't put him in Kefka's league. that's a whole different category of suck right there.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/9/2007 9:24:31 PM | message detail
This does give me some confidence for Bowser > Auron. If you give all of Toad's votes to Bowser and say 70% of Mewtwo's support to the Koopa King, he'd be roasting Ryu on a stick right now.

And yet Bowser would still be doing worse than he did against Ryu in '05. Can't see how this could possibly be a good sign for him against Auron.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/9/2007 9:24:42 PM | message detail
Very curious to see how this next update goes..
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/9/2007 9:25:40 PM | message detail
The way people were gasping I thought Bowser had made a significant cut, not... a Power Hour stall. Not really worried about Ryu's chances, though I guess a fluke can always turn into a pattern...
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/9/2007 9:25:42 PM | message detail
Better...wait, why is Toad increasing in %?
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doo doo doo I got no sig
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:25:46 PM | message detail
I'm not comparing him directly to Kefka, just saying that having three characters fight for the day doesn't mean Ryu is going to suck any less with it.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Keno316 | Posted 9/9/2007 9:26:03 PM | message detail
Man, Toad is getting a lot more votes than I expected...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
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