GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 470
Majin Lou | Posted 9/7/2007 9:31:34 PM | message detail |
Nice update for Ocelot, even though it was just Jill dropping and Ocelot staying the same. --- http://danceandstomp.net/forum/ Desert Rose, why do you live alone? If you are sad, I'll make you leave this life. |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:31:35 PM | message detail |
If this ends up with Ocelot anywhere near Jill, I'll worry about my
Peach to round 2 pick. CATS might have a legitimate shot there.... TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
creativename | Posted 9/7/2007 9:31:41 PM | message detail |
I think people got so absorbed by "Jill's day vote sucks" that they
forget this isn't really her time. She only had 46% against Peach right
now, and went up significantly from it. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Draco1214 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:31:42 PM | message detail |
Jill spent the entire day heavily bleeding percentage to Sheena. I'll eat my hat if she wins the day vote here. --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
MMXcalibur | Posted 9/7/2007 9:31:43 PM | message detail |
RAWR! I ***(&()S&D*)(F7 HATE THIS CONTEST!
ARRRRRRRRRRRRRGGGGGGGGGGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!
KZSUDOIFYQU()*#&$(*)#Q&%$! --- KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0) |
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 9:32:31 PM | message detail |
The first hour ior so of the match always has had a unique trend since
the poll start time changed to 12 eastern. We need to wait at least
another hour or so to see if they're going to start going more 50/50
each update. --- sig |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/7/2007 9:32:40 PM | message detail |
If this ends up with Ocelot anywhere near Jill, I'll worry about my
Peach to round 2 pick. CATS might have a legitimate shot there.... CATS always had a legitimate shot. --- Today: Kefka > Marcus - Vote: Kefka Tomorrow: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot - Points: 14/16. |
Draco1214 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:33:01 PM | message detail |
I think people got so absorbed by "Jill's day vote sucks" that they
forget this isn't really her time. She only had 46% against Peach right
now, and went up significantly from it. The difference here is that Ocelot actually has a very good night vote, or at least, on par with Jill. I don't think Peach is the kind of character who would do well in the night. --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2007 9:33:21 PM | message detail |
I think people got so absorbed by "Jill's day vote sucks" that they
forget this isn't really her time. She only had 46% against Peach right
now, and went up significantly from it. Again, it's not exactly likely that this is "Ocelot's Time" either. These are night owls. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
Kegger9 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:33:42 PM | message detail |
I'm not worried about having Peach in round 2, the dynamics of every match are different --- what ever i always new bruce wayne was batman anyway - ertyu |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:33:43 PM | message detail |
I hate it when people have no concept on how voting trends work come in here and make hilariously wrong statements. Jill bleeding percent wasn't her sucking with the day vote so much as it was Sheena's night being stronger than her day. We're talking about Revolver Ocelot here. The guy who bled percentage to Nemesis all day. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
Haste_2 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:33:58 PM | message detail |
I hope Jill really blows it in order to make Peach look worse. That way CATS will have a better chance. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
creativename | Posted 9/7/2007 9:34:34 PM | message detail |
Not like Jill is looking solid here, but she'll probably finish above
where she is now (18.5%), and Ocelot should finish under where he is
now (20.6%). Also, as for Cloud getting 60%, I'd be surprised. He should pass 55% and maybe get close to 60%, but I don't think he can hit 60%. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:34:44 PM | message detail |
As much as it would ruin my bracket, I'd pay to see CATS win that match. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
DpObliVion | Posted 9/7/2007 9:35:16 PM | message detail |
Peach has 2nd locked up, regardless of what happens in this match. --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 17/20 : ( |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/7/2007 9:35:49 PM | message detail |
Cloud raised of almost 1% in just one update --- Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Cloud 59.23% - Jill 18.98% - Zolomy 5.63% - Ocelot 16.16% ~ Status: OK |
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:35:49 PM | message detail |
I'd literally pay to see CATS win a match. Like... at least six thousand dollars. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
__Mega64__ | Posted 9/7/2007 9:36:03 PM | message detail |
Yeah, Cloud's definitely heading to 55%. --- I'm an eel. |
Draco1214 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:36:16 PM | message detail |
CATS winning his match depends solely on how badly Sephiroth mauls his
fourpack. CATS is guaranteed 12-13% of the vote, so the better
Sephiroth does, the less votes there will be for Peach to eat up. --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:36:26 PM | message detail |
Yeah, Zolom is already dropping like a rock, and most of it is going to Cloud TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2007 9:36:27 PM | message detail |
annnnnnd there goes Cloud. Everyone say "bye Cloud" --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
creativename | Posted 9/7/2007 9:36:44 PM | message detail |
Again, it's not exactly likely that this is "Ocelot's Time" either. These are night owls. But Jill doesn't seem to be a night owl at this time of night. This actually looks to be a below average time for her given the Peach match. Now some of that was probably board Peach favoritism, but then isn't Ocelot a board favorite too? Jill's a night owl, but she should ramp it up later on. Whether that will be enough, it's too early to tell. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Haste_2 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:37:03 PM | message detail |
I will only concede CATS' chance of winning if Bowser beats Ryu by a decent margin. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
greatone10 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:37:03 PM | message detail |
CATS isn't winning crap. Any support Meta Knight has from SSBB is going
to Peach and he is not strong enough without it to bring down Peach to
that degree. Don't believe me? Look at how the Kirby series did in the
Series contest. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 9:37:45 PM | message detail |
The first hour ior so of the match always has had a unique trend
since the poll start time changed to 12 eastern. We need to wait at
least another hour or so to see if they're going to start going more
50/50 each update. Of course you all know this, and are just calling matches 30 minutes in for fun, but still. >_> --- sig |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/7/2007 9:37:57 PM | message detail |
Peach has 2nd locked up, regardless of what happens in this match. we will see, my friend. I chose CATS > Peach the same reason I chose Ocelot > Jill. --- Today: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot Tomorrow: Auron > Shadow - Vote: Shadow - Points: 16/20. |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:38:25 PM | message detail |
It doesn't matter that Peach will be on the good side of the SFF there,
Meta Knight's presence alone is a split in the Nintendo core. Any vote
Meta Knight gets is a vote Peach doesn't get. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/7/2007 9:38:41 PM | message detail |
So... how are things looking for the delicious jill sandwich atm? >.> Coz I'm pretty concerned at the moment... --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/7/2007 9:38:48 PM | message detail |
If CATS actually advanced I'd have a seizure. --- SC2k7: 17/20, tied for 308th Today's Pick:Cloud > Jill |
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2007 9:39:14 PM | message detail |
But Jill doesn't seem to be a night owl at this time of night. This
actually looks to be a below average time for her given the Peach match. Well, this time of night tends to act somewhat like a miniature day vote. It's possible - probable, even - that while Jill does poorly here, so does Ocelot relative to his best times. Now some of that was probably board Peach favoritism, but then isn't Ocelot a board favorite too? I might be wrong, but I thought Jill was a heavy favorite in the Guru. I didn't check, so I might be wrong... --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 9:39:14 PM | message detail |
the same reason I chose Ocelot > Jill. And of course that's a lock/. I mean look at ocelot's massive lead there. We've never seen anyone come back from that much before! --- sig |
Riku11 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:39:16 PM | message detail |
nor is it a vote CATS gets... --- Pokemon Pearl FC-0945 9482 2053 PBR Code-236329131319 |
Riku11 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:39:41 PM | message detail |
my post was towards BT. --- Pokemon Pearl FC-0945 9482 2053 PBR Code-236329131319 |
Kegger9 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:40:02 PM | message detail |
CATS isnt going anywhere guys, stop dreaming --- what ever i always new bruce wayne was batman anyway - ertyu |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:40:26 PM | message detail |
I'm not going to call anything just yet. We need to see what happens
when the NPH ends. If Ocelot starts making meaningful gains, then Jill
will have to rely on her Nintendo backing during the day. If Jill
starts pulling away overnight, I'll be willing to call it in her favour. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:40:42 PM | message detail |
People who think this current result favors
CATS are sadly drawing the wrong conclusion from the same evidence.
Most of the people who gambled and went with CATS did it with the hope
that Sephiroth would absolutely maul his fourpack, to the tune of 60%+.
If Cloud can't reach that number, can Sephiroth? The worse Seph cleans
house, the better Peach will do. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/7/2007 9:40:53 PM | message detail |
I don't see why CATS can't win in this format. --- Today: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot Tomorrow: Auron > Shadow - Vote: Shadow - Points: 16/20. |
Kegger9 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:41:17 PM | message detail |
*does hand gesture* --- what ever i always new bruce wayne was batman anyway - ertyu |
creativename | Posted 9/7/2007 9:41:48 PM | message detail |
CATS does have a shot. Peach has to be favored, but CATS winning is within the realm of possibility. I might be wrong, but I thought Jill was a heavy favorite in the Guru. I didn't check, so I might be wrong... I meant board favorite in terms of preference, not bracket. Ocelot is popular here right? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
MadGamer_11 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:41:53 PM | message detail |
because he's freaking CATS --- "To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX |
DpObliVion | Posted 9/7/2007 9:41:58 PM | message detail |
Dude....CATS has absolutely no chance. --- Dp, you are one awesome, sexy bastard. I less than 3 you. -Shadow Ryoko See Quote for Character Battle VI Printable Bracket 17/20 : ( |
charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:42:17 PM | message detail |
Whoever gets a lead of 1000 first wins, both of these characters have similar voting trends that anymore and it'll be too much. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 6: Cloud Strife > Jill Valentine Points: 18/20 |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/7/2007 9:42:26 PM | message detail |
Dude....CATS has absolutely no chance. do you at least have a reason for it? --- Today: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot Tomorrow: Auron > Shadow - Vote: Shadow - Points: 16/20. |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:42:44 PM | message detail |
Match #6 [Who Picked Whom] Group Winner Cloud - 181 (99.45%) Ocelot - 1 (0.55%) --- Second Place Jill Valentine - 148 (81.32%) Ocelot - 32 (17.58%) Cloud - 1 (0.55%) Zolom - 1 (0.55%) Jill was a pretty big favourite in the guru, but I don't think the Board vote counts for much outside the first 10 minutes. And the first hour of the vote is so radically different every match that it's hard to pinpoint what exactly is going on here. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
ZFS | Posted 9/7/2007 9:43:20 PM | message detail |
then Jill will have to rely on her Nintendo backing during the day. what --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 9:43:20 PM | message detail |
I'd literally pay to see CATS win a match. Like... at least six thousand dollars. SBAllen may take your offer... :p --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks |
MadGamer_11 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:43:49 PM | message detail |
Dude....CATS has absolutely no chance. do you at least have a reason for it? Because he's freakin CATS. --- "To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX |
greatone10 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:44:18 PM | message detail |
It should be pointed out the Board vote is probably the most divided it
will probably ever be. This board loves MGS and Ocelot, backs Jill in
their favorites, and is obsessed with Zolom ASCII. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2007 9:44:19 PM | message detail |
I meant board favorite in terms of preference, not bracket. Ocelot is popular here right? Yeah, but that tends to mean little when the brackets are on the line *checks Guru* Jill has 128 brackets as opposed to Ocelot's 30-something. If there were any bracket (read: non-Zolom) votes from this pool, I'm almost positive they went to Jill. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
wavedash101 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:44:24 PM | message detail |
what this --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru] |