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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 469

PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/7/2007 8:32:35 PM | message detail
people trying to make haiku
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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/7/2007 8:32:53 PM | message detail
Old people.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
BDawg | Posted 9/7/2007 8:34:53 PM | message detail
Hmm now this is what the contest has been missing the last two years. It just isn't the same without Clinkeroth being able to flex their muscles crushing insignificant chumps. Jill sandwiches for all!
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Should I start running now?
MMXcalibur | Posted 9/7/2007 8:37:03 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
Yesmar | Posted 9/7/2007 8:41:09 PM | message detail
Just for fun, I took some hours of character's comebacks/voteshifts, and adjusted for vote inflation (divided the number of votes by (match in question's votals*) X 10^-6 [I used 100,000 as my base for votals] )

Clearly this will not be accurate, since you would have to further make adjustments based on how many votes were coming in at the time that the comeback occured as well, and when it comes to vote shifts (which I'm really only using for Master Hand/Fenix) you have to make further adjustments for how much the lead would increase naturally if the previous update's percentage had stayed the same.

Note: All times are EST

Marcus Fenix against Kefka:

(1st part of comeback [until ~2:30])= 83.3333 votes per hour
(2nd part of comeback/voteshift) [until ~3:30])= 513.333 votes per hour
(3rd part of comeback/voteshift [until~7:30])= 739.167 votes per hour

Axel against Frog:

(1st part of comeback [~3:00-4:30]) = 217.15 votes per hour
(2nd part of comeback [until 8:00]) = 299.73 votes per hour

Frog against Axel = 220.08 votes per hour

Some other classic matches

Mario against Crono (final hour and 45 minutes) = 367.33 votes per hour

Duck Hunt against Donkey Kong = 244.70 votes per hour


Halo against Starcraft (until ~5:45 PM): 120.62 votes per hour
Starcraft against Halo (from ~ 10 PM until the end): 244.49 votes per hour

Starcraft against Wind Waker (from ~9 PM until 2:30 AM) = 455.48 votes per hour

Master Chief against Frog (from ~3 PM until ~8 PM) = 554.04 votes per hour

Master Hand against Kuja (from ~7:15 AM until ~1:45 PM) = 126.35 votes per hour

Now, here I'm gonna actually play nice and take Master Hand's percentage from almost seven hours ago, and see what he *should have* as a vote lead for these votals

Master Hand against Kuja (from ~2:50 PM until ~9:30 PM) = 882.53 votes per hour


Final note: If you apply my previous calculations (in MH Vs. Kuja) to Super Mario RPG Vs. Street Fighter II from the time SMRPG's comeback starts to the moment the percentage starts to stabalize you get 953.38 votes per hour.

Phew, I'm done.

*I used 120,000 for today's match up.
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Twisted Misters: 2007 World Series of Pop Culture Champions!!!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/7/2007 8:42:50 PM | message detail
And tranny was worried about Feni being wasted in this bracket =p

I love how he went from slug to potential threat in the second round over a span of 12 hours.

~*ST*~
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Petition for a system notification when a contribution is removed: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=37308859
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/7/2007 8:44:20 PM | message detail
I like how I had him as a potential threat a month ago.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 8:51:05 PM | message detail
I've been calling for Fenix to surprise Board 8 since the bracket came out.

Granted, most of that was Board 8's constant underrating of mainstream characters, and chronic overrated of Kefka and ToS characters.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 8:52:12 PM | message detail
Granted, most of that was Board 8's constant underrating of mainstream characters, and chronic overrated of Kefka,Midna and ToS characters.
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/7/2007 8:53:11 PM | message detail
I ignored the Midna hype, cannot believe I didn't ignore the Kefka hype considering all the warnings to do so.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 8:54:52 PM | message detail
Well, I was talking about this match specifically.

Though the Midna overrating was more Zeldafear than anything else.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Nobody9090 | Posted 9/7/2007 8:55:27 PM | message detail
What can I say, Kefka always screws my brackets because my blind fanboyism for him clouds my judgment. In any case, even with the two Kefka screwups (one which will be a red, as opposed to yellow) I still don't think I'm completely out of it yet since this particular contest is going to be real nasty to probably everyone's brackets at one time or another.

And at least I'm beating Ulti, hah.

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~Love a Nobody~
~Straight Outta PotD~
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 8:58:06 PM | message detail
Hehe, get ready for your F5 button, guys.
Keno316 | Posted 9/7/2007 8:58:21 PM | message detail
GO ZOLOMY!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Master Moltar | Posted 9/7/2007 8:59:40 PM | message detail
Alright Ocelot, time to show them why your handgesture strikes fear in the hearts of all!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Cloud/Jill/Zolom/Ocelot - Bracket: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (16/20)
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 8:59:48 PM | message detail
With the amount of points later rounds will be worth, an early loss won't doom you.

Then again, most of the last chunk of the contest is pretty much set in stone, so if you want to win among Board 8ers, you might need the early points.

Meh

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 22.22%

2
Jill Valentine 11.11%

1
Midgar Zolom 55.56%

5
Revolver Ocelot 11.11%

1
TOTAL VOTES 9

First vote for Ocelot!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Cloud/Jill/Zolom/Ocelot - Bracket: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (16/20)
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:23 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 20.83%

5
Jill Valentine 16.67%

4
Midgar Zolom 45.83%

11
Revolver Ocelot 16.67%

4

GO MIDGAR ZOLOM!
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
Tediz247 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:25 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 20.21%

19
Jill Valentine 21.28%

20
Midgar Zolom 44.68%

42
Revolver Ocelot 13.83%

13
TOTAL VOTES 94
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Gaddswell | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:27 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 21.57% 22
Jill Valentine 21.57% 22
Midgar Zolom 43.14% 44
Revolver Ocelot 13.73% 14
TOTAL VOTES 102
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Finally a damn bracket!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:37 PM | message detail
Zolom with 44.21% when I voted
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Cloud 59.23% - Jill 18.98% - Zolomy 5.63% - Ocelot 16.16% ~ Status: Unknown
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:42 PM | message detail
lol
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:46 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 31.71%

91
Jill Valentine 18.12%

52
Midgar Zolom 30.66%

88
Revolver Ocelot 19.51%

56
TOTAL VOTES 287
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doo doo doo I got no sig
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/7/2007 9:00:51 PM | message detail
Zolom had the lead for 30 seconds.

Not bad.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
ZFS | Posted 9/7/2007 9:01:08 PM | message detail
This contest is over, gentlemen, Zolom wins!

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:01:08 PM | message detail
...****. Zolom is SFFing Ocelot.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
ejm5446 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:01:10 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 20.99% 17
Jill Valentine 24.69% 20
Midgar Zolom 39.51% 32
Revolver Ocelot 14.81% 12
TOTAL VOTES 81
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/7/2007 9:01:43 PM | message detail
How is Zolom still beating Jill and Ocelot?
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
Gaddswell | Posted 9/7/2007 9:01:49 PM | message detail
Cloud Strife 42.9% 260
Jill Valentine 17.82% 108
Midgar Zolom 21.78% 132
Revolver Ocelot 17.49% 106
TOTAL VOTES 606

Zolom still 2nd!
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Finally a damn bracket!
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/7/2007 9:02:00 PM | message detail
I love how Zolom isn't dropping like a rock... wait, no I don't.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Keno316 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:02:20 PM | message detail
Jill and Ocelot are going even...lol Zolom!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:02:26 PM | message detail
Okay Ocelot... slow down buddy

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 9/7/2007 9:02:35 PM | message detail
Ocelot's pulling away!
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Cloud/Jill/Zolom/Ocelot - Bracket: Cloud > Ocelot - Vote: Ocelot (16/20)
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:02:43 PM | message detail
Ocelot taking control of Jill. That lucky son of a...
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/7/2007 9:02:47 PM | message detail
Only 11 perfects left...that last match killed over 100 of them.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
RockMFR 5 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:03:02 PM | message detail
Ocelot's looking good :(
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Save the cheerleader, save the world. o_0
The Ohio State University: We are so much better than m*ch!g@n.
ejm5446 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:03:07 PM | message detail
oh noes

Cloud Strife 44.77% 432
Jill Valentine 17.82% 172
Midgar Zolom 17.72% 171
Revolver Ocelot 19.69% 190
TOTAL VOTES 965

Zolom goes to 4th
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/7/2007 9:03:09 PM | message detail
Ocelot is pulling away... Who has the better day vote?
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:03:21 PM | message detail
Ocelot and Zolom with the board vote. No surprises there.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Big Bob | Posted 9/7/2007 9:03:22 PM | message detail
Go Ocelot!
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"It's Meta Knight, whose introduction was delayed for some reason." - Sakurai
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:03:22 PM | message detail
I'm loving how I have 6 out of less than 200 brackets with 18+ points, and none of them are in the top 50. =/
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
Embok.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/7/2007 9:04:17 PM | message detail
Really close right now.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:04:51 PM | message detail
15 charmander6000 18 Link

Back so soon?
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 6: Cloud Strife > Jill Valentine Points: 18/20
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:04:59 PM | message detail
Eleven perfect brackets after five matches. Welcome to the toughest contest EVER.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
sexyman189 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:05:21 PM | message detail
aww yeah Zolom kicks ass

also WTF Jill do something good

- Hiko
Keno316 | Posted 9/7/2007 9:05:37 PM | message detail
Not bad! Really close. Looking like a good match!


Well...Ocelot did lose the day to Pac Man...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Gaddswell | Posted 9/7/2007 9:05:39 PM | message detail
Freeze:

Cloud Strife 47.98% 818
Jill Valentine 18.65% 318
Midgar Zolom 13.72% 234
Revolver Ocelot 19.65% 335
TOTAL VOTES 1705
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Finally a damn bracket!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 9:05:42 PM | message detail
If I had to guess, I would say Jill would be a bit better in the day, what with Resident Evil having a second home on the Gamecube/Wii.

Hopefully she doesn't need it and can start pulling away during the night.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/7/2007 9:05:45 PM | message detail
Nice early showing from Ocelot, 'specially since I think most board brackets have Jill. He'll do worse than Jill in the day but it shouldn't be THAT bad... he could do this. And it's two points I'll gladly give up to see it happen.

lol 5 minutes
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/7/2007 9:05:55 PM | message detail
Cloud below 50% initially? didn't see that coming even with the board vote.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
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