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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 467

transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:13:20 AM | message detail
looks like Kefka is dropping for real now. hmm... I really don't know what to make of this match. I have faith in Fenix though just because he's Not Kefka.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:18:12 AM | message detail
the only reason I have any home for Kefka here is because of his morning vote. I expected him to lose like 200 votes come morning, but he didn't. it looks like he's in pure stall mode here, and if that continues during the daytime at all...

well, 1000 votes is tough to come back from. certainly not impossible, but you have to do something decent during the daytime. if memory serves, though, Gears kicked ass in that GOTY poll during the day, so this is probably just denying the inevitable.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 7:20:02 AM | message detail
Dropping for real? I see no difference in the past 30 mins. He's been hovering in the 800s for the past 4-5 hours it seems.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 7:20:30 AM | message detail
And transience has a home for Kefka. That's nice.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 7:21:15 AM | message detail
Kefka has dropped from 911 to 868 within the last half an hour.
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:21:51 AM | message detail
darn you typos
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 7:23:35 AM | message detail
He also dropped from 884 to 829 before going back up to pass 900. I see no difference yet.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/7/2007 7:26:48 AM | message detail
Whoa whoa whoa whoa.

Just looked at the poll for the first time.

Nice showing for Marcus. He could have a real shot to take 2nd next round.

And what the hell Nook/Zelos...I did a double-take when I first saw that. Holy crap.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:35:32 AM | message detail
grrr kefka you're supposed to be increasing
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/7/2007 7:38:49 AM | message detail
Like...seriously. How is Zelos doing so much worse than Kratos? Is Kefka SFFing him in the basis of them both being from RPGs?

...is Nook SFFing him on a Nintendo basis? I just can't figure this out.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 7:43:40 AM | message detail
So... just for curiosity sake, using 2k6 kefka, how badly does zelos look in the stats? I mean, holy hell he's bombing nearly as badly as vaan, but without any reasonable sff.
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JaKyL25 | Posted 9/7/2007 7:43:45 AM | message detail
I just realized what a dilemma my vote is tomorrow.

I love Cloud, Jill, and Ocelot. Ocelot > Jill > Cloud, but it's very close.

I love the concept of Zolom as an entrant and am compelled to vote for him.

My bracket needs me to vote for Jill.

Hmmm....
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 7:44:13 AM | message detail
Probably both... >_>
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:44:15 AM | message detail
it's just Kuja syndrome. if you look fruity as hell, very few are going to vote for you. also, Zelos isn't really prominent for the first half of the game. that's a good way to end up pretty weak. I never considered him to be close to Kratos's level, but I figured he'd get some votes based on his game affiliation.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 7:44:29 AM | message detail
How could you not vote for zolom? >_>
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lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 7:44:52 AM | message detail
You know you clearly want to vote Zolom. ¬_¬
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/7/2007 7:45:12 AM | message detail
I think I'm just more shocked that Nook is kicking some ass here.

IT'S A ****ING RACCOON!
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 7:45:15 AM | message detail
That's a response to The Mana Sword... <_<
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
Master Moltar | Posted 9/7/2007 7:46:09 AM | message detail
Looks like Kefka hasn't rolled over yet. If he can hold on for a couple more hours and not completely bomb during the day, he'll have a good shot at holding on to first.

....what am I saying, Kefka is so screwed.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Kefka/Marcus/Tom/Zelos - Bracket: Kefka > Marcus - Vote: Zelos (14/16)
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 7:48:41 AM | message detail
If it was anyone who wasn't named kefka, magus or donkey kong in first right now, I'd say they've probably won. >_>

The fact that he isn't gaining at all anymore isn't exactly going to help him when the "day" vote kicks in... hell, we should just call it the after school vote, and before school vote now on weekdays, night and day have nothing to do with it here. >_>
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The Mana Sword | Posted 9/7/2007 7:50:24 AM | message detail
I don't think Marcus is really going to benefit from the after-school vote too much either.

My bet is on Nook burying Zelos even farther into the ground. <_<;
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/7/2007 7:50:39 AM | message detail
Remember Tom Nook got 15% on Crono in 2k3.
That's how bad Zelos looks
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction:~ Kefka 31.87% - Marcus 29.94% - Tom Nook 15.48% - Zelos 22.71% ~ Status: Bad. Again
transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:50:58 AM | message detail
NookFAQs is our only hope here.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/7/2007 7:51:02 AM | message detail
I think I'm going to hold my vote and see if Jill needs it or not. If Ocelot and Cloud are turning her into a Jill Sandwich, I'll vote Zolom. If Jill's comfortably in 2nd, I'll vote Zolom. If it's tight at the end, I'll vote Jill.

I've only explicitly bracket-voted once so far (Midna), and that was reasonable to me because the only other person in the poll I knew was Scorpion, and I don't have any particular affinity for him.

Kefka, Frog, and Knuckles were favorites-votes which doubled as bracket votes, and I risked voting for Mega Man because I do love him and haven't played any of the others' games.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
Character Battle V Contest Winner!
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 7:51:14 AM | message detail
Kefka will probably find a way to lose to Nook in the school vote ¬_¬
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
transience | Posted 9/7/2007 7:51:19 AM | message detail
and uh holy
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 7:51:52 AM | message detail
Kekfa does not want to go over 900. I think it's because he has sand on his boots or something...
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Proud Supporter of Zero
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 7:52:14 AM | message detail
What the hell?

Kefka you fool!
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/7/2007 7:53:05 AM | message detail
I expected this. Kefka to build a lead over night, and Marcus to do a little stall with the before school vote. This is happening like Frog/Axel, except the vote swing won't be nearly as bad.

10,000 Kids?


~~~
Gears of War

Developer: Epic Games

ESRB Rating: M
~~~

maybe not...


Have you ever played Gears of War on X-Box live?

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/7/2007 7:53:34 AM | message detail
Kefka tanks during the after-school vote because kids hate vegetables.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/7/2007 7:55:08 AM | message detail
Kekfa does not want to go over 900. I think it's because he has sand on his boots or something...

Actually, the real reason is...

...

...

...

BARRIERS
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Kefka/Marcus/Tom/Zelos - Bracket: Kefka > Marcus - Vote: Zelos (14/16)
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/7/2007 7:56:08 AM | message detail
It has begun :(
I hope Marcus somehow still loses like what frog did to axel >_>
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/7/2007 8:09:04 AM | message detail
Kefka sux.
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Kleenex - Not on his computer.
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/7/2007 8:12:47 AM | message detail
If kefka isn't going to do something now he's going to drop below 800 which he hasn't done in a long time.
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 8:15:03 AM | message detail
Yeah, Marcus's percentage per update is spiking.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/7/2007 8:17:30 AM | message detail
And he actually did something. Not much, but yeah
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
THEVinceYoung | Posted 9/7/2007 8:18:58 AM | message detail
The thing that's impressing me most about Kefka is that he's actually increasing percentage right now. He couldn't increase his percentage against ONE character, and now he's doing it against three. Maybe it's because he only has 35% or so.

I kinda liked Kefka's chances because FFVI seems to have a strong support base in multiway polls in the past, but he looks like he's still going to blow it, but maybe not as hard as in the past.

Nook/Zelos one-on-one: Who wins?
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What now, Merril Hoge?
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/7/2007 8:19:00 AM | message detail
By the hour:

Time | Kefka . . | Fenix . . | Nook . . | Zelos
01:00 | 34.69% | 33.33% | 18.94% | 13.04%
02:00 | 37.44% | 34.06% | 16.49% | 12.01%
03:00 | 37.67% | 34.18% | 16.15% | 12.00%
04:00 | 37.45% | 33.30% | 17.69% | 11.56%
05:00 | 37.80% | 32.61% | 16.82% | 12.77%
06:00 | 36.79% | 34.34% | 16.94% | 11.93%
07:00 | 32.25% | 33.54% | 20.53% | 13.69%
08:00 | 32.98% | 32.85% | 21.41% | 12.75%
09:00 | 35.14% | 34.67% | 17.55% | 12.64%
10:00 | 35.76% | 34.52% | 17.28% | 12.44%
11:00 | 34.77% | 36.65% | 16.12% | 12.47%

Kefka stumbled in the morning, but so did Fenix. Like I was saying last night, he's still acting like a classic night character, which is weird. I haven't the slightest clue what happened last hour, though. 10-11 usually is just part of the day/during school vote, but Fenix did noticeably better for some odd reason.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/7/2007 8:20:59 AM | message detail
And... Marcus gets it under 800.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 8:21:17 AM | message detail
Even if marcus doesn't win here, I can still see him making it into round 3. Kefka will get sff'd by cloud after all, and jill probably isn't exactly stiff competition.
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MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 8:26:01 AM | message detail
Why do people seemingly throw Jill by the wayside? We're talking going even with Kefka here.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 8:28:53 AM | message detail
I will peg Jill to be slightly stronger than Kefka. I think Jill has a good chance of being second in the next match.
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/7/2007 8:30:11 AM | message detail
Look at MGS/RE in the Games Contest...that really looked like it was some big SFF. PS1 SFF (and LFF) can certainly hurt Jill badly. Marcus definitely has the most unique fanbase in that match.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
voltch | Posted 9/7/2007 8:32:33 AM | message detail
I still can't believe kefka the strongest character of the site's tenth most popular game is this weak.
even with pac-man and weaker than a weakened vercetti is something plain urgh.
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
Xuxon | Posted 9/7/2007 8:33:27 AM | message detail
Jill, Kefka and Fenix all seem roughly the same strength. I still wouldn't expect Jill to advance, though. I think Kefka has a more dedicated fanbase, even against Cloud, and Fenix is the only new character. My guess would be that he draws the most votes out of the "don't like/apathy for Cloud" group, which could easily put him over the top.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
KrahenProphet | Posted 9/7/2007 8:38:48 AM | message detail
Ill have to say is, Lloyd, you better damn well be more popular than Zelos.
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Official 4th place winner of Summer Contest 2k4
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/7/2007 8:39:09 AM | message detail
*wakes up*

*rubs eyes*

...Kefka still has his lead? Whoa. WTF is going on
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
swirIdude | Posted 9/7/2007 8:40:49 AM | message detail
Jill would definitely wipe the floor with Kefka.
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 8:40:50 AM | message detail
It's a school day, that's what's going on.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/7/2007 8:41:38 AM | message detail
Is this the lunch hour vote for Fenix or something?
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SC2k7: 16/16, tied for 1st
Today's Pick: Kefka > Zelos
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