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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 467

MMXcalibur | Posted 9/7/2007 3:45:53 AM | message detail
Kefka has lost updates for the past 40 minutes. His lead has gone down 58 votes (867 to 809).
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard
NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0)
AndrewWarner | Posted 9/7/2007 3:52:26 AM | message detail
tag
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"You see him there - a man snared by destiny, a lonely figure with his light dimmed behind the glory of his son." - Dune
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/7/2007 3:54:07 AM | message detail
just went up 25 >_>

Marcus could easily take the day vote though. I'tll be interesing how close it gets.

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Eff Dee
Xuxon | Posted 9/7/2007 4:44:16 AM | message detail
Looks like Kefka's dropping in percentage and nothing definitive with the rest of them, really. They've all gained a bit but not much. Fenix actually was dropping also until that last update, so I'm not really sure what to expect. If Fenix drops in percentage also, but by less than Kefka, we could still have a match here.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Whit3_Rabb1t | Posted 9/7/2007 4:51:08 AM | message detail
After this match is looks like we have 4 straight-forward matches ahead of ourselves.

For the first time of the contest!
Xuxon | Posted 9/7/2007 4:54:25 AM | message detail
Nook's definitely rising, Zelos seems to be a bit as well. Seems like Kefka's lead will remain about the same through the morning vote, at least.

Four straight-forward matches? Perhaps more straight-forward than most, but Jill/Ocelot, Bowser/Ryu and yes, even Peach/CATS are still up in the air.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Whit3_Rabb1t | Posted 9/7/2007 4:55:53 AM | message detail
Bowser/Ryu is the only one I have any doubt about.
Xuxon | Posted 9/7/2007 4:56:12 AM | message detail
Actually, if I'm going to mention CATS, I may as well say Auron and Shadow could swap, and Mewtwo might place. This thing is way too unpredictable to feel completely safe about anything.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 5:00:28 AM | message detail
After this match is looks like we have 4 straight-forward matches ahead of ourselves.

Ocelot > Jill by 27 votes confirmed.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
Whit3_Rabb1t | Posted 9/7/2007 5:02:45 AM | message detail
I'd account bet on Jill being second!!
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 5:04:52 AM | message detail
After this match is looks like we have 4 straight-forward matches ahead of ourselves.

WTF you talking, Jill/Ocelot, Ryu/Bowser and Meta/Cats/Peach will all be a close match
DeathChicken | Posted 9/7/2007 5:07:08 AM | message detail
Yeah, Zolomy's SO gonna SFF Cloud to hell and back. Jill or Ocelot for first
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We are thought, and reality, and concept, and the unimaginable
Heroic Viktor | Posted 9/7/2007 5:09:41 AM | message detail
Will the legendary XBox day-vote bring Marcus victory? I certainly think so.

And what is happening to Zelos??? Almost half of what Kratos did against weaker competition.

Jill>Revolver should not be in question, but given Jill's propensity for the nailbiter, I am sure she will not disappoint. This contest setting is absolutely awesome.

Go Marcus!

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128 character battle royale? My head hurts.
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/7/2007 5:09:44 AM | message detail
Still hovering around 800...

But if we suppose Marcus does take a huge chunk of the day vote, I think he would need to pass Kefka and build a 500 vote lead to be safe. Kefka is no Frog but he could still rally back.

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Eff Dee
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 5:09:48 AM | message detail
I'd account bet on Jill being second!!

Wow, I hope nobody take your challenge. I like you, see...
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
Jack White | Posted 9/7/2007 5:12:18 AM | message detail
This is great. If it stays like this then it's another nail in my bracket (I had Fenix winning), but who cares... go Kefka!! <3
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Moo
I like shorts! They're comfy and easy to wear!
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 5:16:56 AM | message detail
If this match bears any resemblance to Frog/Axel match, Kefka will most likely stall Marcus here until 11 EST time before Kefka starts building up leads again. After that, the afternoon kiddies vote will hit Kefka hard and we will see whether Kefka can survive against the onslaught of 10000 kids.
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/7/2007 5:19:37 AM | message detail
Whit3_Rabb1t
Posted 9/7/2007 5:02:45 AM
message detail I'd account bet on Jill being second!!


That's fairly tempting, I hope someone takes you up on it.

I will not, though I want to. With the new 4-pack style I wouldn't feel comfortable making account bets. Maybe next year ^_^.

If no one takes you up on it though, how about a sigbet?

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Eff Dee
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/7/2007 5:21:34 AM | message detail
If this match bears any resemblance to Frog/Axel match, Kefka will most likely stall Marcus here until 11 EST time before Kefka starts building up leads again. After that, the afternoon kiddies vote will hit Kefka hard and we will see whether Kefka can survive against the onslaught of 10000 kids.

10,000 Kids?


~~~
Gears of War

Developer: Epic Games

ESRB Rating: M
~~~

maybe not...


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Eff Dee
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 5:23:17 AM | message detail
10,000 Kids?

It should be Over Nine Hundred Thousand kids.
leadrboardsteve | Posted 9/7/2007 5:26:06 AM | message detail
The 1000 nations of the kiddie empire rise against you!
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I'm literally crying. Stop the match. Please.-Fenrir
"I didn't think ninjas had super strength... He's a doctor too!"
Xuxon | Posted 9/7/2007 5:28:41 AM | message detail
Axel in this time was going up slowly in percentage and Frog was just bleeding percentage. Fenix isn't going up at all and Kefka's losing it much more slowly than Frog. Of course, Kefka's lead is much smaller also, and combined these two are a much higher percentage of the vote (thus a much smaller shift is needed). I'm not sure who to favor at this point.
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FFXII NLB - finished - 39 marks
FFXII LLIENANMiNDM - Bhujerba (post-Ba'Gamnan)
Whit3_Rabb1t | Posted 9/7/2007 5:28:54 AM | message detail
If no one takes you up on it though, how about a sigbet?


If no one over 400 karma takes me up, sure.
Djungelurban | Posted 9/7/2007 5:29:10 AM | message detail
Meta-Knight will kill the CATS joke vote by being totally awesome!
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The apples were too strong for him.
neonreaper | Posted 9/7/2007 5:35:05 AM | message detail
:)

Lightning Strikes
Posted 9/6/2007 2:41:03 PM
People who pick Fenix really need to consider the following:

X-BOX Shooter character.
Unpopular console on GameFAQs.
Random Hero Factor.
NOT. AN. ICON. Master Chief is, hence he does decently.
His game got less than Kratos is getting now by two thousand in the race for game of the year.
His game is mainly only popular for the Multiplayer.
He isn't recognizable at all within the game.
Nor is his name.
The Anti Voting of X-BOX dudes.



Lightning Strikes
Posted 9/6/2007 3:18:50 PM
Random Hero factor is going to KILL Fenix.

Book it.



Lightning Strikes
Posted 9/6/2007 7:43:18 PM
lol Marcus. I just can't see him doing well.

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cherish the certainty of now, it kills you a bit at a time
Team Jägermeister
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 5:35:50 AM | message detail
Meta Knight will kill the CATS joke vote by being totally awesome!

Fix'd (no dash... -_-)
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 5:45:29 AM | message detail
If Kefka can keep increasing his lead until the school vote, he can still win. Fenix hopefully shouldn't be anywhere near Axel level for the day vote. ¬_¬
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
linkhatesganon | Posted 9/7/2007 5:49:42 AM | message detail
DAMN YOU, ZELOS!!!!!!!
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Onimimi's films rules!
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 5:53:14 AM | message detail
Yay, tomorrow will be the day for our first joke character this year! ^_^
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2007 5:54:34 AM | message detail
CATS will set the bar for joke characters
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 5: Marcus Fenix > Kefka Palazzo Points: 14/16
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 5:55:15 AM | message detail
Cloud isn't a joke. ¬_¬
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/7/2007 5:56:31 AM | message detail
Zolom-36%
Cloud-34%
Jill-15.01
Ocelot-14.99%

Bank on it.
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 5:57:48 AM | message detail
Cloud isn't a joke. ¬_¬

YOUR FACE IS A JOKE! >>>>>>>>_<<<<<<<<
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 6:01:27 AM | message detail
=(
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/7/2007 6:02:38 AM | message detail
but I hope you win today... <3 ^_^
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
MnMZero | Posted 9/7/2007 6:05:07 AM | message detail
I actually JUST noticed how badly Zelos is getting his face kicked in... We have GOT to figure out a way to statistically show how much he's sucking compared to all the other contestants.
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Proud Supporter of Zero
__hiei__ | Posted 9/7/2007 6:06:17 AM | message detail
is he sucking more than Vaan?
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 6:07:20 AM | message detail
Considering Vaan was against strong people, and potential SFF. Easily.
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 6:09:45 AM | message detail
I guess since a weekday and kids are back in school, we'll have to wait until about 3pm eastern before seeing the day vote shift set in. While it isn't a sure thing fenix will start a huge rally when it occurs, I'll be surprised if this match doesn't end up really close.

I hope so anyways, since I have marcus going to round 3. >_>
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sig
Draco1214 | Posted 9/7/2007 6:11:30 AM | message detail
I'm actually impressed that Kefka is still holding on at this hour.
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Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 6:12:29 AM | message detail
The thing is that since it's a weekday with school on, the "night" vote effectively lingers on until about 3pm... I think.
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sig
dragoontheguy | Posted 9/7/2007 6:12:58 AM | message detail
3pm eastern time that is.
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THEVinceYoung | Posted 9/7/2007 6:20:37 AM | message detail
Hmmm...Kefka's stalling pretty effectively right now. Usually he starts dropping the moment the sun rises. He's still probably going to get killed once school lets out though.

Poor Zelos. I definitely wasn't expecting him to do THIS poorly. I'd feel bad for those who picked Lloyd for second in his match, but...I tried to warn you. Man, I'd love to see Nook beating Lloyd right now. That'd be priceless. Instead, I'll settle for Jak and HK-47 doing it.

And huzzah for me with three perfect brackets on the leaderboard! 'Tis a shame they all have Kefka > Fenix though. Apparently, the one or two Fenix > Kefka brackets have already fallen.
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What now, Merril Hoge?
charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2007 6:23:05 AM | message detail
Axel didn't do much to Frog in the morning, except for that 300 vote drop in the middle of the night.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 5: Marcus Fenix > Kefka Palazzo Points: 14/16
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/7/2007 6:23:09 AM | message detail
Zero>Lloyd is feeling so bad right now:(
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2007 6:24:25 AM | message detail
Zero > Lloyd was always a bad pick, I never knew why about half the BOP took that pick.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 5: Marcus Fenix > Kefka Palazzo Points: 14/16
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 9/7/2007 6:29:50 AM | message detail
Lloyd could still get 2nd. Maybe I just don't have much faith in HK-47 or Jak, but that's how I see it.
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"Eet's game time..."
Haste_2 | Posted 9/7/2007 6:50:05 AM | message detail
Kratos' performance means more for Lloyd than that of Zelos... at least he didn't disappoint as much. However, we do know that Scorpion killed Kratos (and Midna, too, of course) more than he really should've, so that doesn't bode too well for Lloyd, even in relation to his 17% on BL.

For the record, HK-47 did 5% better than Agent 47 against Sora. Agent 47 was about 4% off Kratos. I know those were multiple years ago... who knows what's changed now... But, considering Kratos is significantly above Lloyd, that makes Lloyd look pretty bad. HK-47 was in KOTOR2, which I'm pretty sure was released after HK-47's last appearance.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
charmander6000 | Posted 9/7/2007 7:07:07 AM | message detail
Depending on how well Kefka does for the next few hours will determine the match. I think 1500 votes will be enough. Also take a look at the upset in the guru contest if Marcus manages to win.

Kefka - 154 (84.62%)
Marcus Fenix - 26 (14.29%)
Zelos Wilder - 2 (1.10%)
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Marcus Fenix - 112 (61.54%)
Kefka - 27 (14.84%)
Zelos Wilder - 34 (18.68%)
Tom Nook - 9 (4.95%)


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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 5: Marcus Fenix > Kefka Palazzo Points: 14/16
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/7/2007 7:09:47 AM | message detail
Kefka isn't really doing anything right now. At this point Frog was pulling away. It's not looking like Kefka can get 1500.
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
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