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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 467

MMXcalibur | Posted 9/6/2007 5:18:24 PM | message detail
Early? Yes....but I've never had one of these topics, nor a 500 post topic. Take out two birds with one stone. So, c'mon guys...just humor me.

*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php

!yawa tsoP
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard
NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0)
trannyscience | Posted 9/6/2007 5:18:58 PM | message detail
dear god why
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now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc
Draco1214 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:19:08 PM | message detail
As the match draws near, my confidence in Marcus getting second decreases.
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Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3
Gaddswell | Posted 9/6/2007 5:19:45 PM | message detail
Zelos > Marcus

>_<
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Finally a damn bracket!
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/6/2007 5:22:00 PM | message detail
*humors*
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doo doo doo I got no sig
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 7:06:57 PM | message detail
Tag.

~*ST*~
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/6/2007 7:09:11 PM | message detail
We...really don't need these before post 400 anymore, IMO. Not if it's a slow day like this.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/6/2007 7:10:41 PM | message detail
Wow @ the new pics...
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
shadow8021 | Posted 9/6/2007 7:24:24 PM | message detail
"As the match draws near, my confidence in Marcus getting second decreases"

I know...

Cause he is getting FIRST baby!
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Character Battle Score: 12/12
Today's Pick: Midna > Scorpion
creativename | Posted 9/6/2007 9:12:09 PM | message detail
Was I the first one to mention Tom Nook>Zelos as a possibility?

I didn't think it would happen though.

Looks like Kefka/Marcus won't be decided for a while.
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 9:12:52 PM | message detail
Up.

~*ST*~
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swirIdude | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:10 PM | message detail
Augh I almost picked Marcus > Kefka too.
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:21 PM | message detail
From Mac Arrowny Posted 9/6/2007 10:09:11 PM #007
We...really don't need these before post 400 anymore, IMO. Not if it's a slow day like this.

Eh who cares.

I'm loving my Fenix pick right now.

~*ST*~
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ZFS | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:25 PM | message detail
I can get behind this newly found Nook strength we've got going here!

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Keno316 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:25 PM | message detail
Well...I know I'm not underestimating the XBox fanbase anymore. Good thing I have Master Chief going into the Semis. >>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:29 PM | message detail
XD at Zelos being weaker then Tom Nook.

GO MARCUS GO!
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Owner of TWO sticky topics!
Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488
Team Rocket Elite | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:36 PM | message detail
44 people fell off the Top 50 today. AerisDS, evafan1011, TheAlmightyDarc, Wings__of_Chaos, Zico_, Remen_s, badazzbuddy117, Mr_Baller, Kilgamayan, DarkKnuxChao911, ihavespaceballs, LCZeroro, whowantsmynuts, Mac_Arrowny, chris1815, TMLink86, FallenTabris, Ben_8_Chicken, Ness_Ascendant, Thunderjeep, Dark_SS, Bushido_G, charmander6000, Tw0Bit, plasmatic7, hybridrainbow, Liolel, KnuxBeatMagus, Yoshi_Lord, RPGuy96, lion7071, Kairui, Deucon, SineNomine, Magus_Winnfield, PepsiPlunge8, toroidalworld, Lontepark, muhammdajraba, Ruky20, twilightriku1, BC4EVER25, J0hnnyboy33 and the Link killer JaySolano did not have Scorpion winning over Midna is yesterday's battle.
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MMXcalibur | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:46 PM | message detail
I forget....how is Kefka's day vote?
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard
NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0)
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 9:13:55 PM | message detail
Zelos being this weak isn't a surprise to me, and I love the guy.

~*ST*~
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:11 PM | message detail
Well, unless Kefka sucks during the Power Hour for some reason, he's toast.

Go Nook, though.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
TimJab | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:14 PM | message detail
I suspect Lettuce Kefka has a lot to do with this. Fenix will have a weak day vote altogether, but will get the after school (high school at least) vote for sure.
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alt.8: http://alt8.proboards56.com
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:19 PM | message detail
I like how we have a newblood X-Box FPS lead possibly upsetting a contest vet and all anyone can talk about is Tom Nook beating out some kind of uber fodder.

Hilarious


TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Draco1214 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:20 PM | message detail
Kefka's day vote is notoriously awful.
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Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3
earth angel | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:23 PM | message detail
Not a surprise to me either, but I still wanted him to do well.
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hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:25 PM | message detail
Kefka's day vote is worse than Frog's
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Fc: 4768 3939 5325
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:28 PM | message detail
From Team Rocket Elite Posted 9/7/2007 12:13:36 AM #017
44 people fell off the Top 50 today. AerisDS, evafan1011, TheAlmightyDarc, Wings__of_Chaos, Zico_, Remen_s, badazzbuddy117, Mr_Baller, Kilgamayan, DarkKnuxChao911, ihavespaceballs, LCZeroro, whowantsmynuts, Mac_Arrowny, chris1815, TMLink86, FallenTabris, Ben_8_Chicken, Ness_Ascendant, Thunderjeep, Dark_SS, Bushido_G, charmander6000, Tw0Bit, plasmatic7, hybridrainbow, Liolel, KnuxBeatMagus, Yoshi_Lord, RPGuy96, lion7071, Kairui, Deucon, SineNomine, Magus_Winnfield, PepsiPlunge8, toroidalworld, Lontepark, muhammdajraba, Ruky20, twilightriku1, BC4EVER25, J0hnnyboy33 and the Link killer JaySolano did not have Scorpion winning over Midna is yesterday's battle.

Holy....

~*ST*~
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red sox 777 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:35 PM | message detail
I forget....how is Kefka's day vote?

As bad as Frog's.
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 12/12 -- T-1 (926 way)
Bracket: Midna > Kratos A. -- Vote: Kratos A.
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:35 PM | message detail
Wooooo, Kirby > Nathan Hale confirmed
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
Keno316 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:35 PM | message detail
I forget....how is Kefka's day vote?


.....BAD!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:51 PM | message detail
Kefka got beaten by Crono during the day, IIRC.
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/6/2007 9:14:54 PM | message detail
Not good.

I'll be happy to see Fenix win today, despite my bracket. if Kefka could pull it out, I'd be happy, but I won't be upset with it.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/6/2007 9:15:00 PM | message detail
Nathan Hales from a PS3 game, that means he automatically fails on GameFAQS.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
transience | Posted 9/6/2007 9:15:17 PM | message detail
heh. 'night, Kefka.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
__hiei__ | Posted 9/6/2007 9:15:20 PM | message detail
Tom Nook is already uber fodder

Zelos is probably the ultimate fodder
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/6/2007 9:15:26 PM | message detail
Marcus is going to take the lead by 12:30 at this rate.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:15:41 PM | message detail
Stall. Unless Gears fans are night voters (lolol), put a fork in this one.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:01 PM | message detail
Oh, and Ganondorf > Master Chief in the Quarterfinal confirmed.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
Keno316 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:10 PM | message detail
This is no stall...this is a comeback!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:16 PM | message detail
12 Gyrating/Grandma 16 Link

Aww yeah, you go granny!

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:36 PM | message detail
Doesn't Kefka usually kick ass at night?

~*ST*~
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:47 PM | message detail
On a side note...

Scorpion 20.12% / 46.59%
Midna 26.05% / 18.69%

lol Agent 47 was the favorite for first?!
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Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:48 PM | message detail
argh, and I had Marcus > Kefka for the longest time too...

I'm more upset though at Zelos bombing this hard though. Yikes.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Kefka/Marcus/Tom/Zelos - Bracket: Kefka > Marcus - Vote: Zelos (14/16)
Gaddswell | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:54 PM | message detail
The good thing that came from this is that it gives me more confidence in Chief.
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Finally a damn bracket!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 9:16:56 PM | message detail
Soul! Dude! Did you not put in a prediction for the oracle yesterday?

I counted on you man....

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:17:19 PM | message detail
I may have reversed the order again, but I'm still feeling good about Jill beating out Fenix in the next round.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:17:28 PM | message detail
Selected Division 1 lists:

Highest Votals:

01. 157822 - Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
02. 140118 - Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
03. 136313 - Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)
04. 130254 - Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)

Closest Matches by Vote Difference:

01. 00128 Frog/Axel in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)
02. 00347 Arthas/Diablo in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
03. 01109 Knuckles/Rikku in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
04. 03872 KOS-MOS/Arthas in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
05. 04600 Kratos/Agent 47 in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
06. 04708 Midna/Kratos in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
07. 10207 Axel/Kerrigan in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)
08. 12050 Yoshi/Knuckles in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
09. 15542 Scorpion/Midna in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
10. 27766 Rikku/Vaan in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
11. 44921 Mega Man/KOS-MOS in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
12. 45136 Samus/Frog in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)

Lowest Prediction Percentage (Correct Place):

01. 18.17% KOS-MOS in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
02. 20.12% Scorpion in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
03. 21.34% Knuckles in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
04. 25.40% Frog in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)
05. 26.05% Midna in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
06. 29.96% Yoshi in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
07. 43.16% Mega Man in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
08. 58.33% Samus in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)

Lowest Prediction Percentage (Advancing):

01. 30.09% KOS-MOS in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
02. 42.74% Frog in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)
03. 44.74% Midna in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
04. 59.12% Knuckles in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
05. 66.74% Scorpion in Scorpion vs Midna vs Kratos vs Agent 47 (Round 1)
06. 80.87% Yoshi in Yoshi vs Knuckles vs Rikku vs Vaan (Round 1)
07. 93.59% Mega Man in Mega Man vs KOS-MOS vs Diablo vs Arthas (Round 1)
08. 96.93% Samus in Samus vs Frog vs Axel vs Kerrigan (Round 1)
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/6/2007 9:17:31 PM | message detail
Is Kefka losing a **** load of votes? Also, I had bad feelings about him as soon as I saw lettuce kefka. Sorry guys, just trying to catch up on wtf I've been missing here.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Tediz247 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:17:40 PM | message detail
If Zelos is this bad, imagine how Jade will be.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
transience | Posted 9/6/2007 9:18:14 PM | message detail
yeah I had Marcus over Kefka for a good while too. and Marcus to round 3.

ah well, that's just how it goes.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/6/2007 9:18:37 PM | message detail
Doesn't Kefka usually kick ass at night?

This isn't night, this is the Nintendo Power Hour (for the next two hours or so). Still, he has pretty good reasons to do well here, and will almost certainly do worse during the day.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
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