GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 466
| MMXcalibur | Posted 9/6/2007 5:21:07 PM | message detail |
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We had 2 Pokemon make apperances in the last 5 contests (Pikachu,
Nidoran F). In this contest, we have 4. Next contest, we'll have 8 and
so forth, until we have the whole PokeDex. --- KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0) |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:21:14 PM | message detail |
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99% --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| Gaddswell | Posted 9/6/2007 5:21:53 PM | message detail |
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CROSSFIYAAAAAAH! --- Finally a damn bracket! |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:22:37 PM | message detail |
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Seriously, though. I don't want to say Mewtwo needs to give Ryu or
Bowser a scare (because that's pretty unlikly), but if puts up solid
numbers and/or draws a good amount of votes from like...Bowser I guess,
I think he'd be worth seeing in a 1v1 environment. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/6/2007 5:23:31 PM | message detail |
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I love Mewtwo but if gets 25% I'll be ecstatic. He was really screwed in that match. --- doo doo doo I got no sig |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/6/2007 5:24:04 PM | message detail |
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According to this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328 This should have never happened: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1342 Obviously, this tells us that Bowser gets most of his support from non-Nintendo fans, and therefore will not suffer from SFF from Mewtwo and Toad. 4 way poll with Mario, Yoshi, Bowser, and Toad, are you honestly going to take Bowser to advance over Yoshi there with any confidence? I wouldn't. Uh, Bowser did about as well against Mario as Yoshi did against Mega Man. Increased vote totals matter a lot, you know. Things work very differently in a contest environment. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:26:02 PM | message detail |
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The only reason Mewtwo did make it was because of board 8 so unless he
beats or almost beats Bowser or Ryu I don't think we'll be seeing him. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 4: Midna > Scorpion Points: 12/12 |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:35:12 PM | message detail |
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Lettuce? I don't think it'll hurt Kefka - most of the people voting for
him will probably be able to recognize his name, which can't be said in
a general 1v1 - but why do we have to see that again? Even FMV Kefka
would be better than this. The other pictures all look pretty good. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:36:05 PM | message detail |
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I hope Kefka makes Round 3 if only for the possibility of sprite Kefka. That would be amazing. --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:37:01 PM | message detail |
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I get the feeling sprite round won't happen until at least round 4 this year. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/6/2007 5:37:08 PM | message detail |
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Kefka making round 3 with Cloud in the same poll? >_> <_< --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| Lopen | Posted 9/6/2007 5:45:43 PM | message detail |
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Uh, Bowser did about as well against Mario as Yoshi did against Mega
Man. Increased vote totals matter a lot, you know. Things work very
differently in a contest environment. Things also work very differently in a 1v1 match as opposed to a 4 way match. For every time you kids mock bringing up the favorites polls, I'm going to mock bringing up 1v1 contest matches. Yoshi just seems more likely to have more people who have him as close to his favorite character than Bowser, meaning he gets hurt less than Bowser as you add more and more entrants to the poll. I don't expect Bowser will be doing nearly as well in these polls as his contest history would indicate. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Lopen | Posted 9/6/2007 5:48:17 PM | message detail |
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Nintendo character vs. lettuce who I think will suck in a 4-way poll. If you wanna bank on Nintendo character, Zelos is the one to go for. Company name be damned, Tales of Symphonia is so Nintendo. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| creativename | Posted 9/6/2007 5:57:00 PM | message detail |
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Things also work very differently in a 1v1 match as opposed to a 4
way match. For every time you kids mock bringing up the favorites
polls, I'm going to mock bringing up 1v1 contest matches. 1-on-1 matches are like a bazillion times more relevant than favorites polls. Maybe even a gajillion times. Infinity plus 1 times even? You get the point. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| KnuxBeatMagus | Posted 9/6/2007 5:58:16 PM | message detail |
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Whew, finally caught up on the stats topics. Took long enough! Entertaining reading though! And wow, I am impressed with how well Scorpion is doing here. I had Kratos and Agent 47 fairly well pegged (...I don't know why people had Agent 47 so low. It's not like he had some super strong competition to push him way down closer to 10% here), but Scorpion is dominating. I had a feeling that fighting game fans might be more loyal than some others, and this might be showing itself true here. I'll have to wait and see though. This does make me feel better about having Ryu win the first match and advancing out of the division if that loyalty comes through. As far as pictures go: I'm almost positive Bacon gave Kefka his lettuce picture on purpose, what with the green background and all. No one really looks that good in the first picture, and surprisingly, Tom Nook stands out the most here. Cloud is Cloud. Didn't expect much else than that. That Jill picture is weird. It's way too...bright. I was hoping Ocelot would get MGS4 art or something. Oh well, he can still pull it off. ...Why in the world is Shadow the Hedgehog so photogenic? Man, he steals ALL the attention in that picture. The last picture is very well balanced, though I'd have to give the advantage to Toad if I had to pick as far as the one who stands out most. And on the subject of Auron/Shadow, I don't expect Shadow to give Auron much of a scare. I mean, if Rikku can nearly beat Knuckles, someone who's probably as much of a fan favorite as Shadow (or at least close), there ain't no way Shadow even touches Auron here. Remember that Auron got over 40% in that Favorite FFX Character poll, and Rikku got 15% for second place. That's just ridiculous. Auron will be a beast with this format, I think. If he wasn't stuck against Cloud later in this division, I'd take him to go far. --- http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2088 Never forget. |
| creativename | Posted 9/6/2007 5:58:26 PM | message detail |
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I don't expect Bowser will be doing nearly as well in these polls as his contest history would indicate. Note that there is reason to be concerned about Bowser in this match, Ryu could pull it off. But that's because of Toad and Mewtwo and the obvious fanbase overlap, nothing to do with Bowser's performance in favorites polls. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Lopen | Posted 9/6/2007 6:00:55 PM | message detail |
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Can you say that as a fact in this format after all four matches we've seen? In a lot of cases I honestly don't think either
will be terribly relevant, but I do think it says bad things when a
character falls way behind in a favorites poll yet has good performance
in the contests for this format. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/6/2007 6:03:03 PM | message detail |
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Also, adding up prediction percentages so far gives us this: Samus Aran – 96.93% Mega Man – 93.59% Yoshi – 80.87% Knuckles the Echidna – 59.12% Frog – 42.74% KOS-MOS – 30.09% And for the record, Kerrigan outdrew Vaan by 9 votes, leaving the FFXII "lead" as the least voted character so far. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 6:04:37 PM | message detail |
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Those favourites polls are so outdate, with such low votals that I
don't take any of them with a grain of salt. You also have to remember
that we're only seeing 2 of the characters that were in that PotD. The
votes from all the characters NOT in that match have to go to someone,
and it's obviously going to be the stronger character overall (Bowser
in this case) This is clearly shown in Bowser/Yoshi (lol censor bypass again) TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Lopen | Posted 9/6/2007 6:08:02 PM | message detail |
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And yes, obviously the hugely dated favorites polls can be taken with a
grain of salt. But some of the more recent ones where votals near
100000, I don't ignore them. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/6/2007 6:10:08 PM | message detail |
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Hey, instead of typing "censor bypass," just put a space after Yoshi's name. Also, BT, will you stop being so obnoxiously arrogant about things you have no business being obnoxiously arrogant about? I'd greatly appreciate it. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 9/6/2007 6:10:59 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, they're old, but the Favorite Mario Character poll didn't really
change that much at all, except for Mario taking a huge leap forward. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| ZFS | Posted 9/6/2007 6:19:46 PM | message detail |
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Those favorite polls, particularly the more recent ones, can be pretty useful. They're not law,
but there's definitely something that can be taken from them,
especially when there is one character who is dominating over the rest
of the characters. The multi-polls we've had before are certainly not
nearly as useless as they would be in a one-on-one format. You just have to look at them as rough guidelines (much like one-on-one polls for this format). Seeing a character dominate his/her favorite character poll, or some type of multi-poll, probably an indication that they're going to be pretty good here, I'd say. But at the same time, you couldn't look at someone like Bowser and determine that he's going to suck just because he barely did better than Toad. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/6/2007 6:21:05 PM | message detail |
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I'm skeptical on them, but they're worth considering. I think Link beat
Yoshi worse than that entire poll beat Yoshi. that makes me pause. --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/6/2007 6:21:48 PM | message detail |
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I hate Link. --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| MMXcalibur | Posted 9/6/2007 6:48:45 PM | message detail |
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Kefka better take 1st tomorrow or so help me god I'll....um.....not
pick him ever again and then probably make a sandwich! IF I FEEL LIKE
IT! --- KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0) |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/6/2007 6:52:22 PM | message detail |
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Match V: Kefka vs Marcus Fenix vs Tom Nook vs Zelos Information Name: Kefka Palazzo Game/Series From: Final Fantasy VI Past Contests: CB2k3, CB2k4, VC2k5, CB2k5 Wins: Pac-Man (2k3), Mithos (VC), Albert Wesker (VC) Losses: Crono (2k3), Knuckles (2k4), Diablo (VC), Tommy Vercetti (2k5) Name: Marcus Fenix Game/Series From: Gears of War Past Contests: None Wins: N/A Losses: N/A Name: Tom Nook Game/Series From: Animal Crossing series Past Contests: CB2k3 Wins: None Losses: Crono (2k3) Name: Zelos Wilder Game/Series From: Tales of Symphonia Past Contests: None Wins: N/A Losses: N/A Analysis This match is looking a lot like yesterday’s match; we only have one established character, a character that has only appeared in one match, two new characters, three out of the four characters can place in the top two (though the fourth does have a slim chance) and to top it all off one of the characters is from Tales of Symphonia. The only difference in today’s match is the established character is the favorite over the new character. Kefka may not be anywhere near strongest character in the bracket, but in a match like this it isn’t hard to see why he is the favorite. In 2003 both Kefka and Tom Nook had the same opponent and Kefka did better despite being SFF harshly. In the Villains Contest Kefka lost to Diablo and in a couple of months later Diablo beat Kratos by much more than he did against Kefka. Zelos may be a fan favorite, but most ToS fans agree that Kratos is the most popular one. The only character that most people are taking over Kefka is Marcus and since we don’t have any data on him we don’t really know much about him. Along with Midna and Nathan Hale Marcus’ first game came out around last Christmas. The three also have something else in common their games are one of the games to get on their respective systems. Judging his strength can be hard as he is one of those characters where fans of Gears of War may not recognize his name, but a proper picture may help him. I would rank him anywhere from beating Kefka with almost 60% to letting Kefka beat him with almost 70%. Also from looking at Midna’s performance yesterday Marcus may be suffering from old enough not to be front page news, but still recent enough to not have his potential strength. The only way I can see Zelos advancing is if Marcus is really weak. I’ve already said that Kefka is stronger than Kratos and I don’t see Zelos being so near to Kratos, I would rank him at around Lloyd’s strength. Same can be said for Tom Nook except both Marcus and Zelos has to be overrated. Sure he has gotten a new game since then, but I don’t think that’ll be enough to catch up to the other characters. After reading this analysis one would think I was going Kefka > Marcus, but really I’m going the other way. I may not be as confident as when I was predicting my bracket, but I still think Marcus has a chance at advancing though I won’t be surprised if Kefka took the match. Also Marcus got probably the best picture he could have hoped for, one where you can tell that it is him and lettuce Kefka. charmander6000’s Bracket: Marcus > Kefka charmander6000’s Prediction: Marcus Fenix - 34.35%, Kefka Palazzo - 33.75%, Zelos Wilder - 20.33%, Tom Nook - 11.57% --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 4: Midna > Scorpion Points: 12/12 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 6:52:56 PM | message detail |
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I'm not saying to completely disregard the polls, but alot of people
are basing their entire arguments around them despite more solid
contradicting evidence (Bowser beating the hell out of Yoshi and being
generally strong in past contests). TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 6:55:56 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, charmander's reasoning (and even percentages) are pretty much
along the lines of what I was thinking. Then I saw the match pic and
juiced Fenix up a little bit. It still boggles my mind that people keep nominating ToS characters. Have any of them even won a match aside from that horrible fodder on fodder match in 2k5? TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| creativename | Posted 9/6/2007 6:56:18 PM | message detail |
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I'm going to make Facts page on my site. Contest facts, fun facts, and trivia and the like. Need some help compiling stuff. For instance, I remembered that Link vs. Jay Solano match the other day. Whatever happened with that? Anyone care to write a snippet? Also, there was one match that was run twice. Which one was it and what was the story? And I think it should have the poll start times for the various contests (EST). Anyone know what they were? Any other fun facts you think of, let me know. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| FFDragon | Posted 9/6/2007 6:58:51 PM | message detail |
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Jill/Ryu was run twice I believe, because CATS set up them the bomb. --- Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE! The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2) |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 6:59:38 PM | message detail |
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Whoa, only now realizing Mithos is a ToS character. Man, ToS characters
really have a lot to say about this division. Jill/Sheena, anything
involving Kefka, Kratos and Lloyd in 2k5 and now Mithos getting his
(her?) ass handed to him (her?) by Kefka. Very interesting indeed. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/6/2007 7:00:51 PM | message detail |
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Xenogears/Pokemon was also run twice, because only registered users were allowed to vote the first time. Beyond CATS' antics, roughly half of the time the front page during Hayabusa/Jill showed Sora/HK-47 instead. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg |
| FFDragon | Posted 9/6/2007 7:00:51 PM | message detail |
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Yep. Jill/Ryu with CATS wrecking shop. http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/albums/sc2k4/sum04b30oops.jpg --- Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE! The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2) |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 7:01:06 PM | message detail |
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Know for a fact it was 3am EST in 2k5, then starting with the series contests it was midnight EST. There's a page like that on the freewebs site isn't there? TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/6/2007 7:02:12 PM | message detail |
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Also, there was one match that was run twice. Which one was it and what was the story? Two actually, Pokemon/Xenogears and Ryu H/Jill Pokemon vs Xenogears's original run only allowed registered users. I forget what happened in Ryu H/Jill. --- Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148 Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 7:04:49 PM | message detail |
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Of course you'll want to write articles on the Mario/Crono saga, Mario/Cloud 2k2 and Vercetti/Kefka. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/6/2007 7:05:13 PM | message detail |
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http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Jay_Solano you can use anything you want from this article, creative. --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 7:05:57 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=-4 There's the link to Solano/Link BTW. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/6/2007 7:09:00 PM | message detail |
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Also, there was one match that was run twice. Which one was it and what was the story? Xenogears/Pokemon G/S/C because only registered users could vote, GTA: VC/KotOR ran for two days because the site was down for almost half of the two days, Ryu H/Jill because the Sora/HK-47 match would pop up about half the time. And I think it should have the poll start times for the various contests (EST). Anyone know what they were? 2k2-2k3: 2am EST 2k4-2k5: 3am EST 2k6-Now: 12am EST Any other fun facts you think of, let me know. Say something about the Noble 9, characters that have appeared in every Character Battle, Mario vs Crono I and II, Mario vs Cloud, Samus vs Sonic I (the match started two hours late IIRC), Nintendo vs Square. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 4: Midna > Scorpion Points: 12/12 |
| Samurai7 | Posted 9/6/2007 7:18:44 PM | message detail |
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2k2-2k3 were actually 1 am EST not 2am --- It's a sad fact that you had to derail this topic because you are afraid of the power of the PS3 -- cade |
| Keno316 | Posted 9/6/2007 7:20:34 PM | message detail |
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Man, the match pics are looking great this year. Well...save Kefka and Zolom, pretty much all great pics so far. And I feel good about Ryu's chances to pull an upset that match. Pretty unlikely since Bowser's a powerhouse, but who knows. --- "Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB *Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants* |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/6/2007 7:25:35 PM | message detail |
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Zolom's gonna be crushed, ha. It's amazing it got in, and even moreso that it's facing Cloud. --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
| creativename | Posted 9/6/2007 7:27:08 PM | message detail |
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Put a preliminary page up. http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/47 --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Adamantno1 | Posted 9/6/2007 7:32:33 PM | message detail |
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Wow, this is the stalest match that ever... staled? Bleh. --- My nick's Adamant. I have a "no 1" that looks stupid. Would've changed it if I could without losing karma. So it's Adamant, not Adamanto or Adamantno. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 7:33:39 PM | message detail |
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Bowser's a powerhouse, but there isn't much he can do with 2 weaker Nintendo characters leeching all his support. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| ZFS | Posted 9/6/2007 7:34:51 PM | message detail |
| I'm a bit hesistant to say that Mewtwo and Toad
are going to be leeching all his support. He's certainly not out of the
running for first in that match. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| Majin Lou | Posted 9/6/2007 7:36:15 PM | message detail |
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Ryu getting first would kick all sorts of ass. Anyway, I hope Zelos looks respectable tomorrow. --- http://danceandstomp.net/forum/ Desert Rose, why do you live alone? If you are sad, I'll make you leave this life. |
| bloodhawks return | Posted 9/6/2007 7:38:52 PM | message detail |
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Is Tom Nook going to advance tomorrow? I have him 2nd, but I can't tell. --- Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today! Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07 |
| Majin Lou | Posted 9/6/2007 7:39:55 PM | message detail |
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He'll probably get last unless Zelos does a sucky job tomorrow. --- http://danceandstomp.net/forum/ Desert Rose, why do you live alone? If you are sad, I'll make you leave this life. |
