GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 466
| swirIdude | Posted 9/6/2007 4:21:02 PM | message detail |
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The problem Bowser has is he is going to get votes leeched from him
by Toad and Mewtwo (especially Mewtwo) which will drag him down to
second. No, if anything Toad helps him because he'll steal Toad's votes, and that will put Bowser in 1st. --- Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148 Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334 |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:21:07 PM | message detail |
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Yes, he is a lock to win. I also said KOS-MOS was a lock to win and
guess what, she won. You people don't seem to take LFF (Leaching Fan
Factor) into account. Bowser would probably be hindered by toad alone.
consider this if it were a three way match Ryu: 39% Toad: 18% Bowser: 43% Toad alone makes it pretty damn close. now include Mewtwo. Who do you think Mewtwo is going to hurt more, Ryu or Bowser? Ryu: 34% Toad: 11% Boser: 31% Mewtwo: 24% Voila, Ryu wins --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/6/2007 4:21:44 PM | message detail |
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Viola, you're using random numbers <_< And there's no way Toad would get 18% in that three-way. --- Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148 Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334 |
| H__RR____H | Posted 9/6/2007 4:22:31 PM | message detail |
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I don't like Mewtwo too much and only kept Mewtwo at an upset-second
place out of admittedly being stubborn to keep a faster bracket...but
if Mewtwo took first, I'd rub that in everybody's face. I don't count on that happening, of course, but I can think of some deserving people for it. --- Damn, most of my dates involve mocking and/or beating up people like you and your bride-to-be, so I really have no advice --Horatio |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:22:53 PM | message detail |
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Are you kidding? Of course Toad could manage 18%. He got 8% against MARIO and YOSHI and BOWSER and LUIGI --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/6/2007 4:23:33 PM | message detail |
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uh... yeah. Toad "helping" Bowser would only be true if Bowser gets all his votes. and that's not going to happen. --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/6/2007 4:24:32 PM | message detail |
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No He doesn't get 18%. That's it. --- Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Agent 47 12.88% - Kratos 26.78% - Midna 31.29% - Scorp 29.05% ~ Status: Horrible |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/6/2007 4:25:31 PM | message detail |
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es, he is a lock to win. I also said KOS-MOS was a lock to win and guess what, she won. Oh mans I forgot that if you said a random match was a lock, then there's no POSSIBLE way it can't be true! --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/6/2007 4:25:41 PM | message detail |
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Of course Toad could manage 18%. He got 8% against MARIO and YOSHI and BOWSER and LUIGI Please link me to the Character Battle match where this happened. Oh wait, you can't. --- Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148 Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334 |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 9/6/2007 4:25:48 PM | message detail |
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No, if anything Toad helps him because he'll steal Toad's votes, and that will put Bowser in 1st. Bah, right, my mind is wandering. My question, will Mewtwo take some of Bowser's votes and potentially cancel out any gains he gets from Toad? --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| MMXcalibur | Posted 9/6/2007 4:25:52 PM | message detail |
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Toad was in a character contest? --- KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0) |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 4:27:06 PM | message detail |
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I still don't get why people think Mewtwo will do anything here. Any other draw and he might've turned heads, but he's got 2 other Nintendo characters in there leeching his support. As a matter of fact, as of now I'll be surprised if Ryu > Bowser >>>>>>>>>>> the other 2 is what happens. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/6/2007 4:27:41 PM | message detail |
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Bowser > Ryu SF has been obvious from day one --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:29:55 PM | message detail |
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swirldude, I can. Have some humble pie http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328 --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:30:43 PM | message detail |
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Toad finishes ahead of Wario who everyone thinks is going to be beating Fox --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:30:49 PM | message detail |
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lol humble pie --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/6/2007 4:31:08 PM | message detail |
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That Character Battle match looks suspiciously like a regular PotD --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 4:31:18 PM | message detail |
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No, if anything Toad helps him because he'll steal Toad's votes, and that will put Bowser in 1st. lol wut? ( ) <--- this represents the Nintendo fanbase ( ) <--- this represents the rest of the voters This is what happens when you have Bowser Mewtwo and Toad in the poll. ( ) ( ) () ( ) <--- And there's Ryu If this isn't obvious enough for you, I suggest you go look at the results of the first 2 matches again. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:31:38 PM | message detail |
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That being said, the only thing that poll really proves is that Toad will pull at least ~8%. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:32:09 PM | message detail |
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Don't you see? That poll is actually more valuable to this format than a regular match --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| ZFS | Posted 9/6/2007 4:32:17 PM | message detail |
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Little late, but Bowser's picture is awesome. --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:32:40 PM | message detail |
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That entire match picture rocks, yo. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:33:19 PM | message detail |
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That being said, the only thing that poll really proves is that Toad will pull at least ~8%. That's what i have in my second and more important example. Why is everybody jumping me for the first example with the three way match? It doesn't really matter --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:34:18 PM | message detail |
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If we're being perfectly honest, I don't normally read your posts, so I didn't see this second example of yours. --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| swirIdude | Posted 9/6/2007 4:34:56 PM | message detail |
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328 Please link me to the Character Battle match where this happened. Oh wait, you can't. --- Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148 Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/6/2007 4:37:50 PM | message detail |
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still an interesting poll. Toad will indeed get at least 8%. --- Today: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna. Tomorrow: Kefka > Marcus Fenix - Vote: Kefka - Points: 12/12 |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/6/2007 4:39:37 PM | message detail |
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Uhhh, the spaces I put in between the brackets didn't transfer over when I hit the post button. But you get the point. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| ZFS | Posted 9/6/2007 4:39:55 PM | message detail |
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why are we talking about toad --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/6/2007 4:40:31 PM | message detail |
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I hope Kefka wins tomorrow.. but not by all that much. Maybe 1% or 2,
because if Marcus can keep it that close, I think he should be able to
beat out Kefka next round thanks to Cloud. That is if he can beat Jill,
that is if she can be Ocelot. I feel pretty good about it right now, I think Marcus has the potential to be just as strong as Kefka, if not stronger, but I feel like Kefka will be better in this kind of a battle as opposed to the traditional. --- Explicit Content. I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken |
| FFDragon | Posted 9/6/2007 4:42:41 PM | message detail |
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According to this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328 This should have never happened: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1342 Don't take those "favorite of the series" polls seriously. --- Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE! The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2) |
| MMXcalibur | Posted 9/6/2007 4:43:10 PM | message detail |
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^ Win. --- KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (0-0) : AFC Wildcard NEXT: at Houston Texans (0-0) |
| Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/6/2007 4:43:18 PM | message detail |
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lol Marcus. I just can't see him doing well. --- It's not trolling. It's Justice. AIR CONDITIONER. |
| Yesmar | Posted 9/6/2007 4:43:40 PM | message detail |
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Why can't we just get Laughing Sprite Kefka one time? There's pretty
much no shot at him not advancing so can't one of the admins just say
"**** the 'rules'" for once. It's so unfair. Kefka is 26.26 on Base Link based just on his Final Battle Sprite, assuming you base him off of 2k5 Wesker. Even if the Laughing Sprite is only as popular as that that's more than enough of a reason to actually use it one of these days. --- Twisted Misters: 2007 World Series of Pop Culture Champions!!! |
| Lopen | Posted 9/6/2007 4:44:34 PM | message detail |
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I don't see how it being a character battle match makes it any
different than a favorites poll. And I think Toad will surprise here. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:45:14 PM | message detail |
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Jill is not that much stronger than Kefka: Tifa (2005c) VS Kefka (2005c) Tifa has a strength of 33.57. Kefka has a strength of 22.71. Tifa wins with 66.18% of the vote! A win of 33,395 with 103,229 total votes cast. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2548 Granted, Peach (who practically tied Jill) faced post-KH2 Tifa, but the disparity in strength isn't so great. It's why I took Ocelot to survive until Round 3. --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
| Lopen | Posted 9/6/2007 4:49:32 PM | message detail |
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According to this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2328 This should have never happened: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1342 Well, they combined only got like 35% in that favorites poll, of course there's gonna be some differences when you expand it to the whole voting base in a 1v1 match. But as you add more and more entrants to a Character Battle match, I'd imagine it gets closer and closer to the favorite character polls. 4 way poll with Mario, Yoshi, Bowser, and Toad, are you honestly going to take Bowser to advance over Yoshi there with any confidence? I wouldn't. --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/6/2007 4:54:09 PM | message detail |
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Draco. you just made a line of chains to make Jill > Ocelot work statistically (without any sort of MGS4 boost) Kefka > Ocelot in 2005. Tifa is expected to get 66% on Kefka. Jill nearly beats Peach, who gets 34% on KH-2 Tifa. if anything, Jill would beat Ocelot one-on-one, but we have no idea if Ocelot drops or falls. I have Ocelot in the third round, though, and it's not because I think he's statistically stronger. --- Today: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna. Tomorrow: Kefka > Marcus Fenix - Vote: Kefka - Points: 12/12 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/6/2007 4:55:02 PM | message detail |
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increases*. not drops. --- Today: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna. Tomorrow: Kefka > Marcus Fenix - Vote: Kefka - Points: 12/12 |
| hochiminh155 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:57:45 PM | message detail |
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Would Jill lose to Pac-Man? Would Jill get more than 54% on Nemesis? --- Fc: 4768 3939 5325 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/6/2007 4:58:28 PM | message detail |
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I know Jill beats Ocelot one-on-one, but in this format, I think Ocelot can win. --- Today: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna. Tomorrow: Kefka > Marcus Fenix - Vote: Kefka - Points: 12/12 |
| Draco1214 | Posted 9/6/2007 4:59:36 PM | message detail |
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Except we don't know where Ocelot is since he was behind Pac-Man
getting SFF'd by Yoshi. I tend to give Pac-Man a lot more credit than
most people on this board. Since Pac-Man is able to get SFF'd by
characters like Luigi and Yoshi, I think that he's a Nintendo character
by proxy (like Mega Man), and that he may have benefited from the big
2005 Nintendo boost. That makes Ocelot look much better and much more
able to take down Jill and Kefka. --- Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3 |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/6/2007 5:03:12 PM | message detail |
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I switched to Bowser > Ryu on the last day, but god damn if Mewtwo doesn't have my vote. He *needs* to advance. ~*ST*~ --- Petition for a system notification when a contribution is removed: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=37308859 |
| MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/6/2007 5:05:15 PM | message detail |
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Scorpion's best updates yet. --- Today: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna. Tomorrow: Kefka > Marcus Fenix - Vote: Kefka - Points: 12/12 |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 9/6/2007 5:09:13 PM | message detail |
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I bet I'm the only one worrying about Tom Nook. Sure, he did worse on
Crono, but...Kefka seems to me like the most overrated character ever.
Nintendo character vs. lettuce who I think will suck in a 4-way poll. --- caps |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/6/2007 5:11:49 PM | message detail |
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you know... 128 characters is just too much to write about at once. so I'm gonna do it one division at a time. Division 1 - Winners and Losers Star of the Division - Yoshi - in a match billed as two fan-favourites squaring off, Yoshi showed Knuckles what was up. he started the day out with a ridiculous board vote and cruised to a huge victory over Knuckles and Rikku. within 24 hours, Yoshi went from character that would lose in round 2 because of "SFF" with Mega Man to the popular pick to get killed by Samus and Mega Man in round 3. Other Winners: Scorpion - if Yoshi is #1, Scorpion is 1a. Scorpion started dominating his match three minutes in and just kept on increasing throughout the night and into the day. the only thing keeping him from the top spot is that you can't really tell if Scorpion is impressing like hell or if Midna is flopping badly. either way, Scorpion has to be the big favourite over Frog in the next round. Agent 47 - 17%?? I expected him to be in single digits. maybe I had low expectations, but just about nobody sans Leonhart had him even close to being this high. 47 is only a few percentage points behind Kratos, who's legitimately at the fodder line and was supposed to thrive in this format. Arthas - he started slow, but after the board vote ended, Arthas just kept on rising and rising, eventually topping Diablo. Arthas is a character that was talked about more for his rallying power than his character strength, but at the end of the day he had some consistent, impressive updates that made many people want to see him in a 1v1 format. Arthas looks to be firmly above the fodder line despite the possibility of a shared fanbase with Diablo, something not many expected. Rikku - even being handcuffed by Vaan, she still almost pulled off a large upset in our first day. Rikku had people wondering how strong Square characters could be in this format if she could compete with the mighty Knuckles. Loser of the division: Midna. yeah, we had no idea what to make of her. she could have been anywhere, but most people decided to play it safe and take her to win her match out of "Zeldafear". the result? she's fighting to get 25% and is a virtual lock to finish last next round. she isn't so much a loser as a disappointment based on high expectations, but we all expected more out of the star of 2006's GOTY. Other Losers: Diablo - stronger than KOS-MOS? maybe, but certainly not in this format. that wasn't as embarrassing as being shown up by an unknown from his own company. Arthas took the lead after a few hours and Diablo was never able to do anything about it, no matter how hard he tried. Knuckles - he's a tough one to figure out. did he get hit with "SFF" with Yoshi? who knows. has he declined, or is he susceptible in this format? it probably won't matter in the end, as we're never going to get to see him away from Yoshi since he's likely to lose in round 2. Frog - this is probably an unpopular pick, but the fact remains that he needed the wildest comeback we've seen in three years in order to beat Axel. for a guy with what seems like a hardcore fanbase, it apparently isn't very big, and they certainly don't exist during the daytime. Frog has gone from a pretty popular pick to round 3 to a likely third place finish. Vaan - lol 9% Round 2 Match to Watch - Mega Man/Knuckles/Yoshi/KOS-MOS - this match is fairly unpredictable. Mega Man crushed Yoshi in 2005, causing some to expect him to do it again. but will he? Knuckles didn't look all that great in round 1, but he at least has some separation from Mega Man and might be able to exploit that. then there's KOS-MOS, who has by far the most independent fanbase in the match. if Mega Man SFFs both Yoshi and Knuckles, KOS might be able to sneak into second. --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:14:05 PM | message detail |
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I'm not too worried about Marcus losing to Fenix... there's no proof
Lettuce Kefka does worse than FMV Kefka, and I think the FMV Kefka is
more ugly. I think 4-way is gonna make Kefka the strongest we've seen
(save Kefka/Wesker). As for how WELL Marcus will do... I'm pretty
clueless. I think second is nearly locked up, as he certainly is
recognizable., and I just don't see Zelos doing well (or Tom). I'm more
concerned about the percentages for the Oracle, and I'm so sure Marcus
will mess me up. =P --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/6/2007 5:15:29 PM | message detail |
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I'm not too worried about Marcus losing to Fenix !! --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| Crossfiyah | Posted 9/6/2007 5:16:24 PM | message detail |
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So, what percentage roughly are we looking at Mewtwo needing to score
to guarantee enough support for him to be in next year's contest? --- Number of people who have said "CROSSFIYAAAAAAH!" in a topic I was involved in and don't like Haley Scarnato: 1449 |
| KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/6/2007 5:18:40 PM | message detail |
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100% --- Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor. CB6 - 12/12; Oracle - 1st |
| Crossfiyah | Posted 9/6/2007 5:19:55 PM | message detail |
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Ok, what's the lowest percentage Mewtwo could score and still probably make next year's contest then? >.> --- Number of people who have said "CROSSFIYAAAAAAH!" in a topic I was involved in and don't like Haley Scarnato: 1449 |
