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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 462

jonthomson | Posted 9/5/2007 4:32:37 PM | message detail
lol 501

Updates left: 54
Votes needed: 205
Votes/update: 3.80
Comeback rate (last 30/last hour): 35.83/31.67
Doomsday: 8:01 EST
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Jon Thomson - 6/8, next picks: Samus beats Frog
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/5/2007 4:33:20 PM | message detail
Sonic's comeback was nothing. Well, it meant a lot in terms of Crono losing, but the comeback itself was obvious at 6 or 7 AM so it wasn't really that great and the amount come back from wasn't unprecedented. It was just a matter of waiting for it to happen. In this case, it was like waiting for Axel to make a comeback but being surprised that it was actually successful. Especially under this format
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/5/2007 4:33:29 PM | message detail
205 left to go!!

~*ST*~
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Ed Bellis | Posted 9/5/2007 4:33:51 PM | message detail
I wish we had a four-way poll with Frog, Master Chief, Jill Valentine, and Donkey Kong. Think of it!
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/5/2007 4:34:32 PM | message detail
Born from an egg on a mountain top!
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Hi
Yesmar | Posted 9/5/2007 4:34:39 PM | message detail
Also, if you adjust Sonic's comeback for vote inflation, it's not THAT impressive. It's still pretty big, but not anything absolutely shocking.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/5/2007 4:34:51 PM | message detail
*thinks of it*
*brain explodes*
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Axel 16.20% - Frog 20.72% - Samus 52.80% - Kerrigan 10.28% ~ Status: Good
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 4:34:56 PM | message detail
Oh man, even if Frog loses this match has been awesome.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
DpObliVion | Posted 9/5/2007 4:35:11 PM | message detail
But it was Sonic beating Crono, so it was ****ing awesome!

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lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 4:35:20 PM | message detail
From Ed Bellis | Posted 9/6/2007 12:33:51 AM | #054
I wish we had a four-way poll with Frog, Master Chief, Jill Valentine, and Donkey Kong. Think of it!

Board 8 is not ready for such a thing.
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/5/2007 4:35:56 PM | message detail
I don't care who loses. **** my bracket, I was pleased by this match, and still will be in the next hours
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Axel 16.20% - Frog 20.72% - Samus 52.80% - Kerrigan 10.28% ~ Status: Good
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:09 PM | message detail
^Meh I think Master Chief is a bit ahead of the rest with Halo 3 Coming out.
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:14 PM | message detail
The universe is not ready for such a thing.

THINK OF IT
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:37 PM | message detail
grrr under clearly 200
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Axel 16.20% - Frog 20.72% - Samus 52.80% - Kerrigan 10.28% ~ Status: Good
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:43 PM | message detail
27.

ACTIVATE 150 VOTE BARRIER
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doo doo doo I got no sig
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:44 PM | message detail
Under 180!

~*ST*~
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jonthomson | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:47 PM | message detail
And now, the end is near...
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Jon Thomson - 6/8, next picks: Samus beats Frog
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/5/2007 4:36:56 PM | message detail
Now that this match is clearly over, let's change topics a bit and discuss future matches. Magus's place this year is cemented, but this raises so, so many questions about Crono. Personally, I don't see how the showdown with Vincent can be considered anything other than a total coin flip now. In fact, if I were forced to choose a favorite, it would be Vincent. Crono dropped last year, Frog is certainly doing his best to prove it wasn't a fluke, Vincent is a fan favorite from the site's biggest game, and to top it all off, he has no connection to Link whatsoever.
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swirIdude | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:01 PM | message detail
A 5 way with Gordon Freeman in the mix.

The universe hasn't recovered from last year!
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:06 PM | message detail
I wish we had a four-way poll with Frog, Master Chief, Jill Valentine, and Donkey Kong. Think of it!


Jill Loses by 27 votes. Calling it now.
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Hi
wavedash101 | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:07 PM | message detail
BARRIERS WILL BE BROKEN!

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MadGamer_11 | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:15 PM | message detail
GOD DAMNIT FROG GET A FREAKIN UPDATE!!!
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:18 PM | message detail
*puts up 10 brick walls at 150 vote barrier*
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
Gaddswell | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:43 PM | message detail
Anyone else starting to think the format by itself isn't going to have too much of an effect when it comes to comebacks and vote swings? We did have both Knuckles and Axel swing an impressive amount of votes throughout the day.
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Finally a damn bracket!
Kefka_of_Light | Posted 9/5/2007 4:37:46 PM | message detail
lol, if Axel wins, there's only gonna be like 200 perfects left.
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:00 PM | message detail
Bah, I knew Frog's declining growth rate was a bad sign.
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Feel my truth.
Forceful Dragon | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:02 PM | message detail
Axel hasn't had an update with less than 100 votes in over 2 1/2 hours. He's getting closer though...

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Eff Dee
NClark128 | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:06 PM | message detail
lol, if Axel wins, there's only gonna be like 200 perfects left.

And mine will be one of them! MWAHAHAHAHA!
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Orioles
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KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:22 PM | message detail
Anyone else starting to think the format by itself isn't going to have too much of an effect when it comes to comebacks and vote swings? We did have both Knuckles and Axel swing an impressive amount of votes throughout the day.

Actually, this format makes it EASIER to come back, as the characters aren't seperated by as many votes and the pace of the comeback seems to be the same as last year.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
Majin Lou | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:33 PM | message detail
I won't be perfect because KOS-MOS is a blue-haired whore. Oh well.
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:39 PM | message detail
lol, if Axel wins, there's only gonna be like 200 perfects left.

And mine will be one of them! MWAHAHAHAHA!


*high-fives*

me, too!
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One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. ~ Lemony Snicket
Ed Bellis | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:56 PM | message detail
lol, if Axel wins, there's only gonna be like 200 perfects left.

I'd actually think casual bracketmakers would have been more likely to take Axel in second over Frog.
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This was KING BELLIS LOL
Zaphod H | Posted 9/5/2007 4:39:59 PM | message detail
So Axel seems to continue to chug along...

All square around 8 EST?

Depends if Frog has enough of a night vote to pull this out, iffy on that though (espicially if Axel can build a couple hundred vote lead by 9 EST)
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SSBM. Rock rock on!
December 3, 2007.
ffmasterjose | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:09 PM | message detail
BAH GAWD! FROG IS TANKING, FROG IS TANKING! SEVERAL BRACKETS DEAD!


coooome on you slimy green bastard!
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X_Dante_X | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:32 PM | message detail
came back after 20-30 minutes. Has frog put up any fight.... at all?
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Temp sig until I lose the Guru. Then I'll actually make a meaninful one.
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:35 PM | message detail
STALL
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doo doo doo I got no sig
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:40 PM | message detail
mmm could be worse, I suppose
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Oracle Challenge - Today's prediction: ~ Axel 16.20% - Frog 20.72% - Samus 52.80% - Kerrigan 10.28% ~ Status: Good
emanresU weN | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:42 PM | message detail
168...
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This is The_Ocelot
creativename | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:46 PM | message detail
Two topics+ were filled by this match? Damn. Was it all just update type discussion or was anything meaningful discussed?

I hope Frog can hang on here...even if he does, he'll be the huge dog now in the next round, but it would suck if he loses here.

I get the feeling though that Axel is going to take the lead, and just when he starts building it a little bit, Frog's night vote will kick in and reverse the trend. That would be great.

(though the thing is, with cheating having such a leveraged effect in this match, Frog's night vote could easily by countered by it)
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entropyx | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:52 PM | message detail
stall followed by another 40
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Philadelphia Eagles [0 - 0]
4 days until kickoff!
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:53 PM | message detail
168, thats much better for frog.
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
jonthomson | Posted 9/5/2007 4:41:55 PM | message detail
Only ten. Cue a couple of 40+ updates
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Jon Thomson - 6/8, next picks: Samus beats Frog
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
RyanBaer | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:07 PM | message detail
Frog is stalling
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:08 PM | message detail
Only 102 for Axel that time.
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SC2k7: 8/8, tied for 1616th
Today's Pick: Samus > Frog
emanresU weN | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:11 PM | message detail
From X_Dante_X
came back after 20-30 minutes. Has frog put up any fight.... at all?

A few good stalls here and there.
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This is The_Ocelot
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:12 PM | message detail
Keep stalling frog!

Who am I kidding? Axel will just break 100 next turn. <_<
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Starion | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:18 PM | message detail
I'd actually think casual bracketmakers would have been more likely to take Axel in second over Frog.

Nah if the theory about people not reading the rules is correct, we should see more Axel > Samus and Frog > Samus due to where they are placed in the match.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
MadGamer_11 | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:26 PM | message detail
woot only 10......only......
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:26 PM | message detail
well.. it was nice having a perfect bracket with that many people left for a while.. once again, another KH character slashes my perfect bracket to pieces, and this time, it's double damage because I have Frog in the third round.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 4:42:28 PM | message detail
In the last 7 updates Axel hasn't gone over 130 votes. He's truly slowing down this time.

Now only if Frog stopped sucking...
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doo doo doo I got no sig
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