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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 462

ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/5/2007 5:49:06 PM | message detail
I just realized there's no point in hoping for Frog to win this match. ExLax is rooting for Frog... and as we all know, whoever ExLax is rooting for has to lose in hilariously bad fashion, so he can overreact horribly and make an ass out of himself. Everyone will then comment on his popularity, and question liking him, and in a couple of weeks all we be forgotten and everyone will be on his wang again.

Hey you're just jealous that they're on my wang more nowadays. MAYBE IF YOU CARED WHAT PPL THINK OF YOU AND VOTE IN USER CONTESTS THEYD BE ON YOURS
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/5/2007 5:50:24 PM | message detail
It's always another 5 minutes that Frog will start his bleeding of Axel's lead.
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caps
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/5/2007 5:51:04 PM | message detail
Nintendo characters can do badly during the night, and Resident Evil is a beast during the night. KH has a good night vote, but it gets overlooked because of it having the best day vote of anyone. See the post I made earlier about Axel and Sora both bleeding MM'd percentage until the end, Kairi bleeding Rikku's percentage until the end and Frog going even with Riku during the late evening vote in 2005.

~*ST*~
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 5:51:44 PM | message detail
Hell, even Kairi slowed down a bit against Claire at this time. Whether he makes it or not remains to be seen, but I'm almost willing to account bet that Frog makes a final push starting in about 45 minutes.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Keno316 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:52:47 PM | message detail
Prediction. Every match with a clear cut winner will have something unexpected happen.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 5:54:21 PM | message detail
No comments on the stall? Or is Frog truly done for?
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doo doo doo I got no sig
greatone10 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:54:50 PM | message detail
I'm waiting for the next update to see what it actually means.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 5:55:00 PM | message detail
meh. he's done for.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
entropyx | Posted 9/5/2007 5:55:04 PM | message detail
STALL
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4 days until kickoff!
MadGamer_11 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:55:06 PM | message detail
FROG I WILL EAT YOU AND YOUR FAMILY IF YOU DON'T COME BACK!!!!#E @QR{_tj43
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"To be forgotten is worse than death"-Freya FFIX
Lightning Strikes | Posted 9/5/2007 5:56:01 PM | message detail
And also...

Frog's best time, the 2nd night, is not featured here.

"lol" Without that, NONE of his legendary comebacks would have happened. He's already gained whatever he would have. It's over for him.

And did you not read the part about RE having the best night vote flt-out, most likely at least. That's why Kairi bled votes to Claire.
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Tai | Posted 9/5/2007 5:56:28 PM | message detail
Nice stall, but it's still for a loss for Frog.
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Chris Benoit - Showing you how roid rage brings out the monster in all of us. :-) Shall he burn in hell.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/5/2007 5:57:16 PM | message detail
Instead of his legendary comebacks, they would have just been failed comeback attempts by the other character instead. Both are exciting.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 5:57:47 PM | message detail
*sticks fork in Frog*

Frog's legs, anyone?
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doo doo doo I got no sig
entropyx | Posted 9/5/2007 5:58:11 PM | message detail
yeah, serve em' up.
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Philadelphia Eagles [0 - 0]
4 days until kickoff!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 5:58:19 PM | message detail
RE having the best night vote......what? RE had the best night vote compared to its day vote, but Frog's night/day parity isn't that much different than say, Jill. The point I'm trying to make is that even last year with the midnight start time, when you have 2 characters with such polarizing trends, there IS a "second night vote" so to speak. It's nowhere near as potent or drawn out as it used to be, but in a close match like this, it could make all the difference in the world.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Tai | Posted 9/5/2007 5:58:26 PM | message detail
I'll pass. 14 vote gain.
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Chris Benoit - Showing you how roid rage brings out the monster in all of us. :-) Shall he burn in hell.
DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/5/2007 5:58:31 PM | message detail
140 now. If Frog can hold to under 200 until 9:30 I think he's got a good shot. Depends if Axel can keep holding out through the second night vote.
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SC2k7: 8/8, tied for 1616th
Today's Pick: Samus > Frog
satai_delenn | Posted 9/5/2007 5:58:40 PM | message detail
Mmmm, delicious fried frog's legs. BURN BABY!

^_^
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/5/2007 5:59:11 PM | message detail
Frog need to keep it under 250 and start his push by 10:30 in my mind. That'd assume he would need to make up 8.3 votes per update to complete the comeback. Very possible, but Axel should still be considered the favorite.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
creativename | Posted 9/5/2007 5:59:16 PM | message detail
Funny how people always totally write off characters just before the time at which a comeback makes the most sense :)

Axel is the clear favorite here, but Frog's got a shot.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 5:59:36 PM | message detail
Frog's legs, turtle soup, you people make me SICK

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/5/2007 6:00:19 PM | message detail
you forgot ec semen... i mean poland

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 6:00:45 PM | message detail
And Ulti, thanks for the apology. I guess you aren't such a bad guy after all =)

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
shadow8021 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:01:00 PM | message detail
Wow, I think that if Axel holds on here, this result will DEFINITELY not bode well at all for Crono in Round 3.

In other words: lol Vincent over Crono CONFIRMED!
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Character Battle Score: 8/8
Today's Pick: Samus Aran > Frog
Kratos_42 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:01:05 PM | message detail
I'd say Frog's chances are at about 25% right now. They all hinge on him stalling now, and starting his comeback within the next hour.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/5/2007 6:01:59 PM | message detail
From: PortugalTheMann
Frog need to keep it under 250 and start his push by 10:30 in my mind. That'd assume he would need to make up 8.3 votes per update to complete the comeback. Very possible, but Axel should still be considered the favorite.

That would be 13.8 by my calculations...
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SC2k7: 8/8, tied for 1616th
Today's Pick: Samus > Frog
Tai | Posted 9/5/2007 6:02:26 PM | message detail
17 vote gain, it seems.
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Chris Benoit - Showing you how roid rage brings out the monster in all of us. :-) Shall he burn in hell.
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/5/2007 6:02:41 PM | message detail
Wow, I think that if Axel holds on here, this result will DEFINITELY not bode well at all for Crono in Round 3.

That's one of the dumber things I've heard. You're telling me your beliefs on Crono/Vincent are going to change whether Frog wins by 50 or loses by 200?

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 6:03:34 PM | message detail
And again looking at a past match, around this time is when Mega Man started pulling in high 60's updates again and started to stem the bleed compared with the 3-8 timeframe. Expect Axel to start sputtering soon.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Keno316 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:03:57 PM | message detail
Again...still confident on Crono.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/5/2007 6:04:26 PM | message detail

That would be 13.8 by my calculations...


Uh yeah... I don't know why I thought there were 20 updates in an hour (100 minutes in an hour?). This is what happens when I try to reorganize my dorm room and check my computer at the same time!

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 6:04:40 PM | message detail
Vincent over Crono? moar like Zero over Vincent AND Crono

aww yeah

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:04:58 PM | message detail
By the hour:

Time | Axel | Frog | Samus | Kerrigan
01:00 | 15.49% | 22.75% | 50.28% | 11.49%
02:00 | 15.67% | 21.55% | 50.58% | 12.20%
03:00 | 15.68% | 21.37% | 49.87% | 13.08%
04:00 | 17.24% | 18.54% | 50.83% | 13.39%
05:00 | 18.55% | 17.94% | 49.49% | 14.01%
06:00 | 19.95% | 17.44% | 50.22% | 12.39%
07:00 | 18.83% | 16.01% | 54.45% | 10.71%
08:00 | 18.76% | 16.32% | 54.97% | 09.95%
09:00 | 17.36% | 17.51% | 54.62% | 10.50%
10:00 | 17.20% | 18.17% | 52.96% | 11.68%
11:00 | 16.06% | 18.59% | 54.08% | 11.27%
12:00 | 17.37% | 19.29% | 52.86% | 10.48%
13:00 | 15.73% | 19.81% | 52.55% | 11.91%
14:00 | 18.64% | 19.25% | 50.78% | 11.33%
15:00 | 17.49% | 18.85% | 52.83% | 10.83%
16:00 | 19.69% | 16.43% | 53.86% | 10.02%
17:00 | 21.23% | 15.90% | 53.28% | 09.60%
18:00 | 21.26% | 15.40% | 53.83% | 09.51%
19:00 | 21.92% | 16.43% | 51.72% | 09.93%
20:00 | 21.87% | 15.37% | 52.09% | 10.67%
21:00 | 21.24% | 18.84% | 49.65% | 10.26%

Enormous improvement for Frog, but he didn't slow down Axel much at all. Cutting into Axel's percentage rather than Samus's is going to be crucial if Frog wants to come back, because he simply can't reach the low 20's.
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YoAriel33 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:05:25 PM | message detail
I'd say Frog's chances are at about 25% right now.

About 24% too high. Put a fork in this match.
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DaruniaTheGoron | Posted 9/5/2007 6:07:33 PM | message detail
1 vote gain?! XD
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SC2k7: 8/8, tied for 1616th
Today's Pick: Samus > Frog
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/5/2007 6:07:47 PM | message detail
XD

I laughed for some reason.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/5/2007 6:07:56 PM | message detail
...le snore.

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Majin Lou | Posted 9/5/2007 6:08:01 PM | message detail
Eww, 1 vote gain by Frog.
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greatone10 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:08:05 PM | message detail
FROG WON AN UPDATE BY ONE VOTE!!!!

Yeah, that's nothing to get excited about, but who really cares?

GO FROG!
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
xp1337 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:08:24 PM | message detail
1 vote gain?

It's over. Frog has this. No one is stopping that train of momentum.
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SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
Crossfiyah | Posted 9/5/2007 6:09:09 PM | message detail
...Why are so many people calling the match over exactly, with a whopping 3 hours left, and less than 300 votes between them?

Is it the new format? Is it just plain ignorance? I'm not calling it either way personally, because frankly, that's a lot of votes that still haven't been cast.
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Evil_REmade | Posted 9/5/2007 6:09:35 PM | message detail
Aww yeah Frog! Come back now!
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:09:43 PM | message detail
Put a fork in this match.

Because it's delicious.
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Cecil XIX | Posted 9/5/2007 6:10:30 PM | message detail
Crossfiyah?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7FFJ2sAN3Bc
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Crossfiyah | Posted 9/5/2007 6:11:47 PM | message detail
Seeeeeeeeeeeen it.
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ffmasterjose | Posted 9/5/2007 6:12:06 PM | message detail
You can start that comeback anytime now Frog...
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Majin Lou | Posted 9/5/2007 6:12:14 PM | message detail
14 vote gain.
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Desert Rose, why do you live alone? If you are sad, I'll make you leave this life.
redrocket | Posted 9/5/2007 6:12:20 PM | message detail
CROSSFIYAAAAAAH!!!
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Evil_REmade | Posted 9/5/2007 6:12:21 PM | message detail
Frog > Axel!

Got it memorized?
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