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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 460

HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:06:22 PM | message detail
This match has been pretty boring for the parts I've actually paid attention to. Oh well. Rack up more votes Frog!
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 12:07:14 PM | message detail
So when is this comeback supposed to start happening >_>? A 2000 lead with such small percentages (50% of the votes go to samus and some to kerrigan) takes some time to comeback to, you know :P
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:07:45 PM | message detail
That's the thing. The comeback isn't happening. Myth busted.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/5/2007 12:08:20 PM | message detail
I dunno. 3:30?

The odds of it happening successfully at this point seem to be too slim to consider anyway
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:08:47 PM | message detail
If it was going to happen, Axel would have made big cuts into Frog's lead starting from about 2:45 and huge ones starting from 3:30.
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MMXcalibur | Posted 9/5/2007 12:10:09 PM | message detail
This match is over. Moving on to tomorrow.....it's going to be interesting to see exactly how many votes Midna receives, but I'm a bit more interested in seeing how Kratos Aurion does. If he does well, this means Lloyd and maybe Zelos might put up more of a fight than I anticipated later on.
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transience | Posted 9/5/2007 12:10:39 PM | message detail
yeah. usually we would have seen more than a boring stall by now. Axel may end up doing something, but it looks more likely that he'd cut the lead to 1000, not actually threaten.

but man, after seeing those 2-300 votes disappear overnight, I'm confused.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:11:58 PM | message detail
I guess everyone expects old 47 to beat out by Kratos A for 3rd place then? I'm not so sure I would agree with that...
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:12:21 PM | message detail
*to be beat out by Kratos A
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voltch | Posted 9/5/2007 12:14:39 PM | message detail
when i saw agent 47 was in this contest i thought it was the farmer from thunderbirds,then i remembered neo-tanner.
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
Buzzup | Posted 9/5/2007 12:14:58 PM | message detail
I really don't know why everyone is counting out Kratos A for second place, Scorpion performed pretty weak in 2k4 and he really hasn't got much reason to rise.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:16:44 PM | message detail
The way I see it, Kratos A and Agent 47 are a little below Scorpion regardless. But I think 47 has more casual appeal than Kratos A.
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BDawg | Posted 9/5/2007 12:17:07 PM | message detail
Hey, I'll vote for Kratos but I don't even believe he can do anything. Third place would be fine with me.
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Should I start running now?
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 12:17:29 PM | message detail
I'm pretty confident in Scorpion now.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 12:18:49 PM | message detail
Midna will probably do well in a match without any strong opponents (tomorrow). But throw someone like Samus in the mix (next round) and Midna could suffer quite bad. Midna strikes me as the sort of character people will vote for if there's no one better to vote for in large numbers, but no one really feels that strong about. As for Kratos he might suffer from having midna in the poll, being on the 'cube and all.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:19:09 PM | message detail
Agent-47 did quite a bit worse than Gordon Freeman on Sora.

At least he did better than Tingle, but that is not something to proud of.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 12:20:56 PM | message detail
Agent-47 did quite a bit worse than Gordon Freeman on Sora.

Completely different Soras, though.
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BDawg | Posted 9/5/2007 12:21:04 PM | message detail
You act like Gordon Freeman is bottom of the barrel or something. He has won a match now after all (and he looks pretty good in his crummy region this year.)
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Should I start running now?
Buzzup | Posted 9/5/2007 12:21:06 PM | message detail
Tales has a pretty dedicated fanbase though, and it doesn't look like it's getting much weaker. Sheena didn't exactly embarrass herself last year.
swirIdude | Posted 9/5/2007 12:21:09 PM | message detail
I think we can all agree that using Gordon Freeman matches to determine another character's strength is probably the worst thing you can do.
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transience | Posted 9/5/2007 12:21:43 PM | message detail
ahh, here we go. looks like we're about to see some action now.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
HaRRicH | Posted 9/5/2007 12:21:51 PM | message detail
The way I see it, Scorpion's stronger than both Agent 47 and Kratos Aurion. He's more wide-spread, more known, and been around longer than them as well. Scorpion's only competition tomorrow is Midna.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:23:04 PM | message detail
Completely different Soras, though.

Yeah, Gordon's Sora was stronger (hello, KHII!). Which makes 47 look even worse.
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BDawg | Posted 9/5/2007 12:23:41 PM | message detail
As long as that action includes a surge in Samus' percent, Frog is still fine.
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Should I start running now?
HaRRicH | Posted 9/5/2007 12:24:00 PM | message detail
At least he did better than Tingle, but that is not something to proud of.

Keep in mind Agent 47 faced Sora pre-KH2 -- Tingle had him post-KH2...which then makes comparing Agent 47 to Gordon even more embarrassing.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:24:45 PM | message detail
I think Midna can avoid SFF from Samus next round and manage her way around Frog. Scorp will just have too many obstacles in his way to manage anything but 4th place by then.
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Buzzup | Posted 9/5/2007 12:25:35 PM | message detail
I really think Kratos A has a shot, but we'll see.
I just had this crazy thought btw, what if Gordon Freeman could actually beat Sub-Zero for a third place round? He wasn't that much weaker than Sub last year and has a very dedicated fanbase.

I know I'm probably underestimating the MK guys here, but both upsets could happen!
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:25:49 PM | message detail
You act like Gordon Freeman is bottom of the barrel or something. He has won a match now after all (and he looks pretty good in his crummy region this year.)

Serious Sam won a match, too, and he's one of the weakest characters to ever appear. Gordon's a lot stronger than he used to be, but doing significantly worse than him on a weaker opponent is not the mark of strength.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 12:26:16 PM | message detail
I think Midna will suffer with Samus in the poll. she doesn't have to get SFF'd directly to split anything with Samus. I don't think she's that much stronger than either Frog or Scorpion.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 12:27:46 PM | message detail
Yeah, Gordon's Sora was stronger (hello, KHII!). Which makes 47 look even worse.

...ah. >_<

(say things slowly to yourself before posting)
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:28:31 PM | message detail
Frog is a machine.
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__Smurf__ | Posted 9/5/2007 12:28:46 PM | message detail
wtf are you doing Frog? >_<
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 12:28:57 PM | message detail
:O we have some axel action.
It's still not enough to do a succesful comeback tho.
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RPGuy96 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:29:01 PM | message detail
I just had this crazy thought btw, what if Gordon Freeman could actually beat Sub-Zero for a third place round? He wasn't that much weaker than Sub last year and has a very dedicated fanbase.

The whole point of why Gordon is so funny is that his potential fanbase (HL/CS players) doesn't even know he exists! That's pretty much the opposite of a dedicated fanbase.

Also, um, Master Chief/Gordon Freeman. Probably not close.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:29:53 PM | message detail
If Frog is having trouble with Axel...I'm not gonna doubt Midna for a second.
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/5/2007 12:30:11 PM | message detail
Question: what does Frog get against Samus head-to-head now? In 2k5, he got just under 30% against her. This year, he's currently got over 19% with Axel getting 17% in the poll and Kerrigan has 11% that's up for grabs as well. Granted, I think Frog's got a decent core fanbase in this match...but given that MP3 is out now and CT-related characters have been looking more capable of dropping since we last saw Frog, I wonder how much differently a Samus/Frog rematch would go.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 12:32:04 PM | message detail
...Frog just gained 5. Not much going on.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 12:32:56 PM | message detail
If Frog is having trouble with Axel...I'm not gonna doubt Midna for a second.

Axel isn't a joke, though. it's not like Frog needs a whole lot of support.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
swirIdude | Posted 9/5/2007 12:33:07 PM | message detail
If there's a difference, it's Samus kicking Frog's ass harder than last time.
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 12:33:44 PM | message detail
But the percentages are going closer and closer!!!!
>_>
<_<
*runs*

Well I have frog anyway, but wanted to see a good match :(
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:35:29 PM | message detail
Axel isn't a joke, though. it's not like Frog needs a whole lot of support.

Axel isn't a joke, but if your telling me you'd take Axel over Midna, I'd say your crazy.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:36:05 PM | message detail
So if Frog actually maintains this and doesn't crumple during the day like we thought...

Anyone feeling better about Crono making it out of his division?
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Adept of Aiur | Posted 9/5/2007 12:36:14 PM | message detail
There's really know guarantee Midna's gonna be anything more than fodder. It's not even slightly outside the realm of possibility....
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lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 12:36:27 PM | message detail
I'd take Axel over Midna if Samus was also in the poll.
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/5/2007 12:36:39 PM | message detail
Pretty big cut there, looks like Axel's about to kick into high gear.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/5/2007 12:37:09 PM | message detail
"whoops"
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 12:37:47 PM | message detail
Axel isn't a joke, but if your telling me you'd take Axel over Midna, I'd say your crazy.

nobody said such a thing. I'm just saying if Samus is also in the poll, Frog wouldn't need that much support if the split was serious.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:38:21 PM | message detail
Your saying that Midna will be on the fodder level? I don't even consider that a possibility. She's basically the second most important character in the most recent and one of the most critically acclaimed Zelda games. And your saying Midna can be on the fodder level? I don't buy it.
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WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 12:39:58 PM | message detail
That was a bad update
>_>
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/5/2007 12:40:18 PM | message detail
I'd take Axel over Midna if Samus was also in the poll.

Then you trust Samus' SFFing abilities too much. Even with MP3, I don't think the split will have more of an effect on Midna. But you know what, Frog is no joke. He's damn strong, even with CT on the decline. It'll be a fight no doubt, but I have my faith.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
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