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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 460

Osfan | Posted 9/5/2007 6:23:49 AM | message detail
So what does the consensus think about the 10:00 on vote, everyone will be up in America and off to school, does KH outperform CT before the American afterschool crisis?
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"I'll do it with my magic!" - Tellah FF4
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/5/2007 6:24:40 AM | message detail
I don't know how you hate Frog for being a "whiny little tool" and yet you like Raiden, who's the same but much worse.

And we're about to see the KH day vote collide with the CT day vote. We'll see if Frog can hold on like he did against Riku. He's stalling effectively right now.
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 6:25:47 AM | message detail
When is the day vote starting? Bloody time differences
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 6:26:36 AM | message detail
Inhere it's 3 in the afternoon >_>
somebody said that day vote should start at 9:30, that's in about 2 minutes
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:26:47 AM | message detail
The day vote will start in about 5 hours.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8
Osfan | Posted 9/5/2007 6:26:54 AM | message detail
15:15 the kids get home, then another rush at 16:15 and one final at 17:15.
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"I'll do it with my magic!" - Tellah FF4
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 6:27:14 AM | message detail
Oh no the polls don't change anymore at midnight, forgot that. DUnno then
:P
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:29:55 AM | message detail
Samus is just destroying everyone right now.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 9/5/2007 6:31:00 AM | message detail
Huh? Polls still change at midnight.
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 6:32:12 AM | message detail
Yeah midnight somewhere but not like it used to be right? It's like 8pm in the US now if I remember correctly>_> or have I been living in an imaginary world? Anyway seems like Frog is gaining again
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 9/5/2007 6:33:20 AM | message detail
It's the same as it was last year - Midnight EST.
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 6:33:51 AM | message detail
Polls change at 5AM GMT, meaning...uhh...12AM Eastern, right?
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Crimson Dragoon | Posted 9/5/2007 6:34:29 AM | message detail
Meaning the east coast of the US, like it was originally in 2k2 before GFaqs moved to PST for a few years, but they changed back to EST last year.
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/5/2007 6:34:40 AM | message detail
correct.

Really surprised at how much trouble Frog's having here. Though it's starting to make me feel good about Midna next round. Samus is just a freaking monster.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 6:35:52 AM | message detail
Yeah, I got it right! ^_^

OK, so...it's currently like 25 minutes to 10 Eastern, then.

Hah! You have most of the school day to go !!
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Warsola | Posted 9/5/2007 6:38:05 AM | message detail
ExTha, Samus being a monster does NOT bode well for Midna next round. <_<;;


However, I'm beginning to like my Scorpion upset pick :D
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 6:38:27 AM | message detail
When I go to school I vote before going to school though >_>

Anyway, I think there will be some comeback but not as epic as against master chief>_>
(and I had master chief back then so frog better win this time)
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/5/2007 6:38:56 AM | message detail
So let's see. Assume Frog's up by 1,400 by the time 10 oclock gets here... I'd say he can at least increase it to 2,000 by the time the after school vote gets here. At which point, in a one on one match, I'd say he'd be in some serious trouble...

But not in a Four way match. Too many of Axel's votes are going to be taken away by Samus for it to make much of a difference at that point.

I think it will be really hard to make an effective comeback in this contest after the 1,000 vote gap has been breached, just because of how many other people in the match can take votes from you.

Though if there was ever a day vote for me to NOT doubt, it'd be KH's. >.<
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/5/2007 6:41:47 AM | message detail
I think Frog will build up enough of a lead during school to render the KH after-school vote irrelevant. I do still think picking Axel was a good upset pick, though.

From LeonhartFour Posted 9/5/2007 9:24:40 AM #052
I don't know how you hate Frog for being a "whiny little tool" and yet you like Raiden, who's the same but much worse.

Raiden has a valid reason (his superiors are putting his life on the line without telling him why), plus he doesn't sit around whining about it. He's actually out there doing something.

~*ST*~
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transience | Posted 9/5/2007 6:41:54 AM | message detail
he's barely increasing this lead. I'm still trying to figure out why he lost 300 votes like it was nothing, then went right back to stalling. it was in the dead of the night.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Warsola | Posted 9/5/2007 6:43:54 AM | message detail
tranny, because he's Frog. That's how he rolls.
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Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 6:45:19 AM | message detail
Meh it's more of a up and down game right now, but it was weird yeah, anything weird with the vote totals?
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
therealmnm | Posted 9/5/2007 6:49:31 AM | message detail
*mild spoilers*

Frog sucks. Yeah, the concept of a Frog carrying the Masamune is different, and the critical hit percentage with said sword is nice, but as a character... Frog is a complete pansy. Every playthrough of the game reveals him to be even more of a pansy in my eyes. His mortal enemy joins the party, and instead of manning up and actually SPEAKING to Magus after he joins the party and making things right, he sits on the sideline and sulks and complains. NOBODY else in the party had a problem with Magus joining the party. Not to mention this is after Magus's true intentions were revealed and he's actually not the evil wizard of death and destruction that Frog built him up to be.
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2007 6:51:01 AM | message detail
Meaning the east coast of the US, like it was originally in 2k2 before GFaqs moved to PST for a few years, but they changed back to EST last year

Wrong in 2k2 and 2k3 the poll started at 12 Central, it changed to Pacific in 2k4 and went to eastern in 2k6.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/5/2007 6:59:09 AM | message detail
From therealmnm Posted 9/5/2007 9:49:31 AM #073
*mild spoilers*

Frog sucks. Yeah, the concept of a Frog carrying the Masamune is different, and the critical hit percentage with said sword is nice, but as a character... Frog is a complete pansy. Every playthrough of the game reveals him to be even more of a pansy in my eyes. His mortal enemy joins the party, and instead of manning up and actually SPEAKING to Magus after he joins the party and making things right, he sits on the sideline and sulks and complains. NOBODY else in the party had a problem with Magus joining the party. Not to mention this is after Magus's true intentions were revealed and he's actually not the evil wizard of death and destruction that Frog built him up to be.


That too.

~*ST*~
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Kyle Bowen | Posted 9/5/2007 7:11:30 AM | message detail
tag KB
Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/5/2007 7:11:46 AM | message detail
Knuckles came back 1700 votes a couple of days ago.

Rikku is much better in the day than Frog.
KH characters are -- get ready for it -- better than Sonic characters in the day.


The higher your percentage of the vote, the easier it is to make a comeback. Axel will have a much more difficult time here than Knuckles did.
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Master Moltar | Posted 9/5/2007 7:11:47 AM | message detail
Looks like at the moment, Frog and Axel are going back and forth. Kerrigan is still a bit too high for her own good, and Samus is quickly on the rise.
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Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8)
ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/5/2007 7:12:38 AM | message detail
Yeah.... this isn't cool. God damnit, Frog.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/5/2007 7:18:17 AM | message detail
Oh well. At the cost of Frog's victory being uncertain at least we get an uncertain match, and that's interesting
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 7:19:02 AM | message detail
Out of interest, what is the third-closest W2W match (behind Liquid/Frog and LttP/CT)?
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nintendogirl1 | Posted 9/5/2007 7:23:27 AM | message detail
W2W?
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Asplain.
jonthomson | Posted 9/5/2007 7:24:14 AM | message detail
wire to wire, i assume
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Jon Thomson - 6/8, next picks: Samus beats Frog
Bracket analysis: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37520975
Buzzup | Posted 9/5/2007 7:24:33 AM | message detail
Frog should increase his lead further if he wants to win I think. <_<
Osfan | Posted 9/5/2007 7:24:56 AM | message detail
Would it be Peach's match last year?
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"I'll do it with my magic!" - Tellah FF4
charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2007 7:26:16 AM | message detail
Closest matches we've had

Frog vs Master Chief - 7 votes
Ryu Hayabusa vs Jill - 27 votes
Peach vs Jill - 27 votes
Samus vs Sonic - 34 votes
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8
Crimson Dragoon | Posted 9/5/2007 7:28:14 AM | message detail
Jill is the Queen of close matches.
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~FFDragon. (at Work !!) The Cream of Resident Evil Fanboyism.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 7:29:43 AM | message detail
Peach/Jill and Ryu H/Jill were both by 27 votes.

last year, we figured it was Mega Man's fault that he collapsed after the first few hours of the poll. he was at 75% at 03:00 and ended up under 70%, bleeding percentage throughout the entire day (though it was worse during the daytime). maybe that was Axel's doing and he has some strange trend? I don't know, I'm overthinking this, but I guess it's possible.

Well no ****ing ****. I've been saying this since the day after that match, and only now does somebody agree with me?

Goddamn you CS&D

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 7:34:13 AM | message detail
And about this match,if Axel comes anywhere near Frog, this contest has lost all credibility. Some scrub from a crappy kiddy game beating the best character in the best RPG of all time? Schenanigans.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/5/2007 7:36:29 AM | message detail
Just got a chance to look at the poll for the first time today. Looks like Frog is steadily keeping Axel at bay, which is nice. We'll see what happens when school lets out, though. <_<

And holy crap at the leaderboard. We're going to be out of perfects after the first goddamn division at this rate.
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transience | Posted 9/5/2007 7:37:32 AM | message detail
whoa, Frog just jumped a hundred votes in 30 minutes.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
neonreaper | Posted 9/5/2007 7:39:14 AM | message detail
23 whowantsmynuts 8 Link
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/5/2007 7:39:17 AM | message detail
Remember, this is the timeframe that Claire took and built her lead against Kairi. It's entirely possible for Frog to get up to the 2000 vote lead. It all depends on how he holds up between 3 and 7.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/5/2007 7:41:03 AM | message detail
Bah, if Frog could get to 1500, I think that would be enough, its a lot harder to overcome that in a 4-way match. But then, I don't know how much the after-school vote for KH is.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 9/5/2007 7:41:53 AM | message detail
Well, like someone said, the day vote damage probably isn't going to be as bad here as it would be in a 1-on-1 setting. Still...I'd like to see a nice padding underneath Frog before that does happen.

Feeling really crappy about my Round 2 picks for this division at this point.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/5/2007 7:42:28 AM | message detail
KH rules the afterschool vote.
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 7:42:59 AM | message detail
I'd need to see a 2000 vote lead to feel safe. I'm probably overreacting there, but just remember Crono vs. Sonic.

the thing about these comebacks: we really don't know how the four-way format will affect them. it's a totally different dynamic.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
JaKyL25 | Posted 9/5/2007 7:44:31 AM | message detail
Assuming it has any effect at all, logically it could only make such comebacks more difficult.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/5/2007 7:45:08 AM | message detail
Yeah, what tranny said. 2,000 or I won't feel safe going to work. >>
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~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice.
This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07
The Mana Sword | Posted 9/5/2007 7:45:17 AM | message detail
If Frog keeps jumping 100 votes every half-hour until 2:30, I'll be happy. <_<
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