GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 459
| Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:25:38 PM | message detail |
|
Ah, I see. So then.... 93% had MM moving on. Wait... that seems high Not really. An NN (except maybe Crono) always has a high correct prediction. --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 9:25:45 PM | message detail |
|
Axel > Diablo? what? --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| Janus5000 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:25:45 PM | message detail |
|
Frog's slowing down a wee bit. --- "Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin |
| BDawg | Posted 9/4/2007 9:25:51 PM | message detail |
|
After looking at the statistics, does anybody still want to argue for
the intelligence of casuals when it comes to issues like zero suit
Samus and Solid ****. --- Should I start running now? |
| creativename | Posted 9/4/2007 9:26:36 PM | message detail |
|
Link could easily break 75% with the fodder he drew. I think he'll break 80%. Remember, he's not just against fodder, he's against the fodderiest fodder that ever foddered. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/4/2007 9:27:19 PM | message detail |
|
Now that we've been spoiled by 2 questionable matches, it kinda sucks
that this one is going exactly as we saw it. I guess tomorrow should be
interesting. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/4/2007 9:27:25 PM | message detail |
|
I honestly am not trusting this to Frog until he gets up to a 1500+
lead. He is too horrible in the day-vote to trust in below that against
a KH character. --- Demyx is better than Axel. I don't like Haley Scarnato |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2007 9:28:13 PM | message detail |
|
FOOD FOR THOUGHT UTILIZING A MISLEADING AND INACCURATE COMPARISON: 25 minutes in, Frog had 61% and a 603 vote lead on Riku. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 9:28:22 PM | message detail |
|
I think you misunderstand me when I say "huge percentage". I've seen a
lot of people saying 85, 90%. that's nuts to me. I even question 80%
with the way the top character is being anti-voted. it's not a
significant percentage of the votes, but I think it's enough to stop a
huge score. look at Samus here. the NPH may end up being her worst time. --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| creativename | Posted 9/4/2007 9:28:33 PM | message detail |
|
I would personally place Frog and Axel safely above KOS-MOS and
Diablo... it's Kerrigan that makes things wonky, as she *really*
doesn't warrant much of the vote. But considering the hardcore nature
of SC and her iconic, she had a definite floor in this format. I would place Frog above KOS-MOS, but not safely. And I wouldn't place Axel above her at all...but that might be a close match. And I can guarantee you that Kerrigan has no such thing as a floor in this format. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/4/2007 9:28:46 PM | message detail |
|
My comment about 93% being high was because Mega Man has traditionally
had terrible bracket support compared to the rest of the Noble Niners TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:29:02 PM | message detail |
|
Remember, he's not just against fodder, he's against the fodderiest fodder that ever foddered. No, he is against at least 2 hyped joke characters. He won't get above 80% I am sure. --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/4/2007 9:29:22 PM | message detail |
|
Wait, didn't Frog keep increasing even during Riku's day vote? --- doo doo doo I got no sig |
| creativename | Posted 9/4/2007 9:29:44 PM | message detail |
|
Now that we've been spoiled by 2 questionable matches, it kinda
sucks that this one is going exactly as we saw it. I guess tomorrow
should be interesting. Please don't jinx Frog here! This is just foreshadowing some sort of Axel comeback. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:29:47 PM | message detail |
|
A day vote comeback is going to be hard to do with Samus in there. I say Frog hits 1000 and he is safe. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2007 9:29:53 PM | message detail |
|
And I can guarantee you that Kerrigan has no such thing as a floor in this format. There's not a group of people out there who will vote Kerrigan over any and every character? Don't be naive. --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/4/2007 9:30:09 PM | message detail |
|
Aight, I can tell this match is gonna be pretty dull. Yay for Samus and Frog though! *Goes back to playing Metroid Prime 3* --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/4/2007 9:30:23 PM | message detail |
|
IIRC it was the mid-afternoon vote where Riku took some cuts. TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| ZFS | Posted 9/4/2007 9:31:09 PM | message detail |
|
Kerrigan and her lame percentage increases! --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/4/2007 9:31:13 PM | message detail |
|
Please don't jinx Frog here! This is just foreshadowing some sort of Axel comeback. Good point. Frog is the absolute last character I want to jinx TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| KamikazePotato | Posted 9/4/2007 9:31:16 PM | message detail |
|
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=2071&num=2 It doesn't look like Riku did anything, really. --- doo doo doo I got no sig |
| Zaphod H | Posted 9/4/2007 9:31:22 PM | message detail |
|
Hm yeah it makes much more sense that 93% had MM going past the 1st
round considering that he got 90+% bracket support in the first round
of previous contests... Nearly half the brackets having 2 of Arthas/Diablo/Kos -Mos going through... *head implodes --- SSBM. Rock rock on! |
| Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:31:54 PM | message detail |
|
My comment about 93% being high was because Mega Man has
traditionally had terrible bracket support compared to the rest of the
Noble Niners We have less brackets, so maybe less 0 brackets? C'mon Mega Man is like a must pick in that fourpack (first or second depends on whether they read the rules or not) --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 9:32:27 PM | message detail |
|
Kerrigan is..shooting up here at the expense of everyone else? --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:33:05 PM | message detail |
|
Kerrigan is..shooting up here at the expense of everyone else? OH GOD GUYS THEY BROADCAST THE MATCH ON KOREA'S NATIONAL TV!!!! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| rpgapzx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:33:25 PM | message detail |
| I wish we had Link's match tomorrow so we could put an end to all this prediction percentage confusion. |
| creativename | Posted 9/4/2007 9:34:35 PM | message detail |
|
There's not a group of people out there who will vote Kerrigan over any and every character? Don't be naive. You're talking ridiculously extreme, to the point of totally irrelevant and not worth mentioning, "floor" then. Certainly some people have Kerrigan as their favorite character, maybe that's her "floor". But in any terms that matter, it's about the competition. Kerrigan's doing lousy enough here as it is, add more competition to this match and it would be worse, simple. Frog looking very questionable for staying above 20% right now. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| HaRRicH | Posted 9/4/2007 9:34:46 PM | message detail |
|
Remember, he's not just against fodder, he's against the fodderiest fodder that ever foddered. I want to frame this quote. Now, that said, Link barely got 90% on AiAi. Him hitting 80% seems like a tall order...I'll side with over 75% though. --- PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580 |
| Zaphod H | Posted 9/4/2007 9:35:54 PM | message detail |
|
Samus' percentages should be good enough to indicate how to interpret the numbers. --- SSBM. Rock rock on! |
| Mumei | Posted 9/4/2007 9:36:02 PM | message detail |
|
There's not a group of people out there who will vote Kerrigan over any and every character? Don't be naive. They don't exist, I tell you! Also, I'm finding these last few updates to be hilarious, watching as Samus goes from 50.75% to 50.45% to 50.30% to 50.26% to 50.12% while Kerrigan simultaneously goes from 10.17% to 10.57% to 10.79% to 11.05% to 11.32%. Mostly because it's driving Heroic Mario nuts. woo 65%. --- "I believe that words uttered in passion contain a greater living truth than do those words which express thoughts rationally conceived" - Sensei |
| ZFS | Posted 9/4/2007 9:36:10 PM | message detail |
|
Kerrigan with the crazy ass percentage jumps. what --- Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion. |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/4/2007 9:36:34 PM | message detail |
|
So how's this poll faring in the votals department? --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| trannyscience | Posted 9/4/2007 9:36:47 PM | message detail |
|
wow, go Kerrigan. pulling in 13.3% of that last update! she's a beast! she's got maybe the worst day vote ever, though. I think she lost it to freaking Terra. --- http://img212.imageshack.us/img212/258/cloudvsjillvsocloectvsmfw4.jpg now playing: PW3, Jeanne d'Arc |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:36:57 PM | message detail |
| Link is against a guy who will probably get more
votes from people thinking he's Tommy Lee Jones and a stupid looking
Rattatta wannabe. He should clean house. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:38:30 PM | message detail |
|
So how's this poll faring in the votals department? Lower than the last two matches by over 1000. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:39:05 PM | message detail |
|
Kerrigan needs to collapse already. My percentages are actually looking good this match without her screwing things up! --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Axel/Frog/Samus/Kerrigan - Bracket: Samus > Frog - Vote: Samus (8/8) |
| Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:39:53 PM | message detail |
|
lol Face Kerrigan? --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks |
| creativename | Posted 9/4/2007 9:39:53 PM | message detail |
|
Now, that said, Link barely got 90% on AiAi. Him hitting 80% seems like a tall order...I'll side with over 75% though. Good chance you're right. But these guys are competing with each other as well, not just Link...and while most of their votes will be taken away from Link rather than each other, due to Link having more strength, there could well be some weird correlation between their own "non-Link voter" fanbases. I think 80% is quite possible, 70% is a virtual lock, and 75+% is likely. --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
| Yesmar | Posted 9/4/2007 9:41:13 PM | message detail |
|
I really can't see both Bidoof and Edgeworth doing "well." A lot of the
hardcore Phoenix Wright fans on the board are the same people who would
be joke voting Bidoof, so I would expect either one to benefit at the
other's expense or for both to "flop." --- Twisted Misters: 2007 World Series of Pop Culture Champions!!! |
| wavedash101 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:42:23 PM | message detail |
|
Gears of War sold twice as much as Twilight Princess. No TP has well outsold GeoW, and on GFAQs, Zelda's fanbase is unrivaled and they have a recent release and an up coming one too --- Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude! Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru] |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:43:19 PM | message detail |
|
Well I'm off to bed since the real match won't start until morning though Kerrigan may keep it interesting during the night. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8 |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/4/2007 9:46:07 PM | message detail |
|
For each of the 63 battles, pick the first and second place
characters who will move on from each day's poll. For the first round
of 32 polls, picking each one of the correct characters to move on from
day's poll will score two points each for the correct order, and one
point for the wrong order (i.e. picking the first place character to
finish second or vice versa). For each successive round, picking the
winners will earn double the points of the round before (Round 2: 4/2
points, Division Final: 8/4 points, Quarter-Finals: 16/8 points,
Semi-final: 32/16 points, Final: 64/32 points). The sum of all points
earned is your final score. So you get one point if you pick the correct character and put them in the wrong spot, right? People were saying a score of 3 after the first day is impossible, but that's not the case if I, say, picked Vaan > Yoshi. Or maybe I'm just an idiot. Probably that. ~*ST*~ --- Petition for a system notification when a contribution is removed: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=37308859 |
| redrocket | Posted 9/4/2007 9:47:56 PM | message detail |
|
Vaan>Yoshi would get you one point. --- http://www.pacifier.com/~zen/creepy.jpg http://content.answers.com/main/content/wp/en/thumb/5/56/250px-Clock_Spider.jpg |
| greatone10 | Posted 9/4/2007 9:48:02 PM | message detail |
|
No, if you picked that, you would only have one point for having Yoshi period. --- Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest. This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2. |
| Lopen | Posted 9/4/2007 9:48:08 PM | message detail |
|
A score of 3 after the first day is impossible because you'd have to
get one in the right slot and one in the wrong slot to get 3 points. But if you got one in the right slot, you can't have the other one in the wrong slot, there are only two slots! --- "GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 9/4/2007 9:48:22 PM | message detail |
|
People were saying a score of 3 after the first day is impossible, but that's not the case if I, say, picked Vaan > Yoshi. That would get you one point, since Vaan lost. >_< --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| rpgapzx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:49:08 PM | message detail |
|
So you get one point if you pick the correct character and put them
in the wrong spot, right? People were saying a score of 3 after the
first day is impossible, but that's not the case if I, say, picked Vaan
> Yoshi. That nets you 1 point. On any given day you can get 0, 1, 2 or 4 points. 3 was impossible yesterday. 7 is impossible today. |
| CidGregor | Posted 9/4/2007 9:49:10 PM | message detail |
|
If you picked Vaan > Yoshi you'd only get one point. One correct
guess in the wrong spot = 1 point.You can get 0, 1, 2, or 4 points on
any one round, but never 3. --- "This is it......This is your story......It all begins here." - Auron, FFX |
| rpgapzx | Posted 9/4/2007 9:49:58 PM | message detail |
|
C-C-C-C-COMBO BREAKERRRR! ULTI OWNED! XD |
| Karma Hunter | Posted 9/4/2007 9:50:12 PM | message detail |
|
guys let's correct Ulti some more lol Peach = Joke Fodder --- delicious cats Commit it to memory. |
