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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 459

MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 2:45:55 AM | message detail
hmm.. Frog hasn't made much of a lead. he better stand strong around the afterschool vote. I fear for the worst, once again.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 2:48:40 AM | message detail
.. well, I actually fear for the worst now.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
Gaddswell | Posted 9/5/2007 2:53:40 AM | message detail
I would say Axel has an outside shot. 1500 is a lot but Axel is stalling and cutting into Frog in Frog's best time. Come the morning/day/afterschool votes and we'll see Axel start taking bigger cuts. At the least, Axel gets this down to 650.
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Finally a damn bracket!
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/5/2007 2:59:18 AM | message detail
Seriously, KH day votes is just almost as good as Sonic day votes while Chrono Trigger is getting older by another year. I am not surprised if 80% of the kiddies had never heard of Chrono Trigger game before. If Axel can stall during Frog best night hours, i think Axel can get second by destroying Frog with ease with the day votes.

BTW, i have Samus>Frog but i am not having any faith on Frog anymore.
greatone10 | Posted 9/5/2007 3:02:35 AM | message detail
A 1500 vote comeback with 4 participants is like trying to do a 3000 vote comeback in a 2 way poll. It's not out of the question, but Axel needs to actually do damage now because the day vote alone may not be enough.
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Donkey Kong Country 2 for next Games contest.
This line reserved for next Guru winner. Unless it's me, therefore reserving plenty of noms for Dixie/DKC2.
Haste_2 | Posted 9/5/2007 3:12:23 AM | message detail
Kefka's match is just around the corner... anyone see Kefka being somewhat of an anomaly when it comes to 4-way matches? He's, like, the most "ew" character ever to be in a contest, yet he still manages to be above the fodder line. Those anti-votes (i.e. who's that ugly guy? votes) will now be gone.

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"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/5/2007 3:14:26 AM | message detail
I think Kefka will be a beast.

also, I think Frog will increase his lead more around the same morning time KOS-MOS did.
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Today: Samus > Frog - Vote: Frog.
Tomorrow: Midna > Scorpion - Vote: Midna - Points: 8/8
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/5/2007 3:17:22 AM | message detail
4 big % jumps there by Samus.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/5/2007 3:22:43 AM | message detail
Well, Kefka certainly does not have a badass or appealing villian looks but anyone who played FF6 knows that he is a well developed character. Kefka is a raving psychopath and is certainly few times more evil than other FF villian like Kuja and Sephiroth. I think Kefka will fare well in his match due to those loyal FF6 fans.
AmazingKirby | Posted 9/5/2007 3:54:05 AM | message detail
whoa axel slow down
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caps
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 3:54:45 AM | message detail
I'm not liking the look of this. Frog is going to lose it. ¬_¬
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
CP724 | Posted 9/5/2007 3:55:11 AM | message detail
nice gain by axel
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/5/2007 3:58:21 AM | message detail
Luckily, i have Vincent > Crono for my bracket.
Guess how many teens | Posted 9/5/2007 4:52:55 AM | message detail
Gains seem to slow down. 1400-1300 was crazy ****
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I got owned by Rufus Shinra, the 2k6 CB Guru Champion!
The Cream of Smurf FODDER
__hiei__ | Posted 9/5/2007 4:53:30 AM | message detail
luckily for everyone else,since you'll lose.
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 4:54:47 AM | message detail
Come on, Axel!
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Djungelurban | Posted 9/5/2007 5:00:10 AM | message detail
I think Frog is lost to us. When the kiddies come out in force later today Axel will just eat away at that lead. Dammit...
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Vote for Wander from Shadow of the Colossus... You know you wanna...
swirIdude | Posted 9/5/2007 5:02:51 AM | message detail
Come on Frog, don't make me regret sticking to the Contest Veteran fraternity!
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
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XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 5:07:53 AM | message detail
I'm so happy I picked Axel >_>
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Starion | Posted 9/5/2007 5:09:26 AM | message detail
Uh, Frog is stalling Axel at the 1260 mark. Don't celebrate the Axel thing just yet.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
Warsola | Posted 9/5/2007 5:11:35 AM | message detail
I don't see what everybody is so worried about. At this time in the Frog/Riku match, Frog had a 1500 vote lead. He had a 3k vote lead at midnight EST. >_>
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It is pitch black. I don't like Haley Scarnato
Proud Member of the RAGE OF WARCRAFT! *War13104*
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 5:15:24 AM | message detail
hahaha. Frog, you pathetic bastard.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/5/2007 5:15:58 AM | message detail
lol Samus is taking many Kerrigan's % away.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 5:17:19 AM | message detail
that makes no sense, though. why would Frog win the first three hours so easily and then fall apart when the "true night vote" comes? it's almost like he's going to win the day vote.

...and that's completely impossible.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 5:19:56 AM | message detail
I miss the Frog that beat MC and gave Snake a scare. =(

Frog winning the day vote, while its not going to happen, would be badass!
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
red sox 777 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:22:35 AM | message detail
Eh, Chrono Trigger characters do much better during the first half of the night than the second half (unlike most characters good at night). Looking at Frog/Riku, Riku has able to go roughly even with Frog from 6-8 Eastern, which he wasn't able to do again until afternoon. But Riku never actually managed to gain any real amount on Frog......
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 8/8 -- T-1 (1616 way)
Bracket: Samus > Frog -- Vote: Frog
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 5:27:11 AM | message detail
for whatever it's worth, Frog had more than 58% of the votes between he and Axel at 3am. that's one hell of a collapse.

..and now that 8am has come, he's winning updates again. I agree that CT looked better at the very beginning of the poll, but what the hell?

if this plays to expected trends, Frog is going to lose, and badly.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
linkhatesganon | Posted 9/5/2007 5:27:11 AM | message detail
Is it likely that Axel can upset Frog? Meh, I have Frog, but this is becoming near.
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Onimimi's films rules!
XIII_rocks | Posted 9/5/2007 5:27:28 AM | message detail
Uh, Frog is stalling Axel at the 1260 mark. Don't celebrate the Axel thing just yet.

Doesn't mater. When I checked my bracket a couple of days ago and looked at some of the picks I made I was like "w...tf?". If Axel keeps it close, it becomes less stupid than I thought.
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Warsola | Posted 9/5/2007 5:32:38 AM | message detail
Frog will totally conquer the day vote...starting with the next update!
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It is pitch black. I don't like Haley Scarnato
Proud Member of the RAGE OF WARCRAFT! *War13104*
red sox 777 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:32:44 AM | message detail
Well, at 8:30 Eastern in Frog/Riku, he had 55.02%, whereas now he has 53.92% of the votes between him and Axel. Frog finished with 51.67% in the Riku match. But that match started at 3 AM, which should be better for Axel here, although that match was not on a school day I think (hence the morning vote would start a little earlier than usual today, and then fade until 3 PM.)
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Character Battle VI -- Points: 8/8 -- T-1 (1616 way)
Bracket: Samus > Frog -- Vote: Frog
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 5:33:47 AM | message detail
wow. I thought the people who picked Axel were nuts. I can't believe CT has fallen this far.

...Frog or KOS-MOS?
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 5:35:37 AM | message detail
Before this contest, I'd have been like "Psssh. Frog." without thinking. But now, KOS-MOS would probably have to be the favourite. =(
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Warsola | Posted 9/5/2007 5:37:15 AM | message detail
Frog hasn't dropped THAT far yet, tranny.


But if KOS-MOS were to put 55% on Frog, oh god the inequalities....


Through direct matchups on Frog (and other fun pieces of abuse)...

Samus > KOS-MOS > Solid > Sonic > Crono > Link > CATS > Ganondorf > Auron > Master Chief > Donkey Kong > Duck Hunt
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It is pitch black. I don't like Haley Scarnato
Proud Member of the RAGE OF WARCRAFT! *War13104*
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:38:11 AM | message detail
...Frog or KOS-MOS?

I will still take Frog over KOS-MOS however Frog will just barely win within 100 votes.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:39:22 AM | message detail
Looks like they switched the prediction numbers around.

So more people took Mega Man as second than first? Even if I do terrible this contest I think I'll still rank in the top 10%
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 5:40:16 AM | message detail
uh. no.

anyway, I'm wondering if this is just Frog not being the fan-favourite that people like to think. I've questioned that ever since Lavos got 45% on Liquid Snake. what the hell? that's only 5% worse than what Frog got. it seems like simply being CT will put you near the fodder line (see Marle), and everything else depends on your appeal. Frog is, uh, a frog spitting Shakespeare with a cape and a sword. I know he has some people who think he's great, but I'm not convinced they're actually numerous.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/5/2007 5:43:24 AM | message detail
So more people took Mega Man as second than first? Even if I do terrible this contest I think I'll still rank in the top 10%

lol IlliterateFAQs
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
voltch | Posted 9/5/2007 5:49:56 AM | message detail
axel is doing well considering his role KHII.
i get the feeling anyone from that game will have a minimal amount of strength that prevents total humiliation.
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 5:50:15 AM | message detail
Do you guys think any of the other CT characters not in the contest could do better than Frog?
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Starion | Posted 9/5/2007 5:51:12 AM | message detail
Sigh, back and forth, back and forth. Samus must be grabbing votes from both of them is such a way that they're stalling each other now. She's the only who's rising in percentage.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
voltch | Posted 9/5/2007 5:53:01 AM | message detail
Robo might do just as well as frog.
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Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:54:02 AM | message detail
That's good I need everyone to drop a percent and Samus to gain it all then my Oracle prediction will be almost perfect.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 3: Samus Aran > Frog Points: 8/8
Luis_Sera89 | Posted 9/5/2007 5:54:20 AM | message detail
Go Samus! You can still save us from letting Axel take second place!
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"Eet's game time..."
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/5/2007 5:55:14 AM | message detail
Samus is going to own today, she'll prolly gain a % on everyone else.
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
transience | Posted 9/5/2007 5:56:19 AM | message detail
Frog would probably do as well as Robo. the girls in CT are utterly crap, so they'd probably be below him. other than Crono and Magus, I'm not too convinced.. and I'm kind of curious to see what happens with Magus, even if his path is utterly boring.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/5/2007 5:57:19 AM | message detail
I don't know, I think Robo would do a bit worse.

Or maybe thats just my biased opinion, I didn't like him at all.
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
lettuce Kefka | Posted 9/5/2007 5:58:24 AM | message detail
I say we get Robo in next year as Robo is cool!
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Osfan | Posted 9/5/2007 5:59:15 AM | message detail
Frog's only hope at this point has to be Samus killing Axel's after school push otherwise I have a hard time believing he can hold on at this rate.
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"I'll do it with my magic!" - Tellah FF4
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/5/2007 5:59:27 AM | message detail
Samus is there to save the day.

Robo isn't as stand out as Frog though, and I think he will do just a bit better than Marle.
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
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