GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 458
| emanresU weN | Posted 9/4/2007 5:57:22 AM | message detail |
|
Why the hell did I switch from KOS MOS to Diablo at the last minute? I
remember looking at the four pack, seeing two Blizzard characters and
instantly choosing KOS MOS. I don't know what my rational for switching
to Diablo was, ah well this is fun anyways. Hopefully Arthas can get a
bit closer to make this exciting. --- This is The_Ocelot |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:02:50 AM | message detail |
|
Aww yeah... Warcraft again screws with CSD's predictions. So, I might be wrong with MM > Arthas. But to me this like my Warcraft > GTA pick all over again. =) I warned you guys! I warned you the day the bracket came back! I even told you it'd be a Tuesday! (Though the lack of maintenance kind of negated that) --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:04:36 AM | message detail |
|
Every Arthas cut is pure gold. As far as I'm concerned, 3rd place is a victory; but damn if he can give KOS a scare I'll be so giddy. This is the perfect "day before school starts" present. =) --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| CC2680 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:06:40 AM | message detail |
| The pact is sealed |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:06:57 AM | message detail |
|
Starting from the peak of KOS-MOS's lead (1470) Arthas has been able to
cut 7 votes an update, and will break even by 11pm PST (or two hours
after the match has ended.) --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4 |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:08:18 AM | message detail |
|
Starting from the peak of KOS-MOS's lead (1470) Arthas has been able
to cut 7 votes an update, and will break even by 11pm PST (or two hours
after the match has ended.) Oh, he's cutting a bit more now. At least if the last two updates were any indication. Though only 2 updates isn't enough for me to call an incoming trend. It is encouraging though. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:09:24 AM | message detail |
|
Just as I finish that Diablo makes another big cut. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4 |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2007 6:09:26 AM | message detail |
|
....if Arthas is able to overtake KOS MOS with Diablo syphoning votes off him... it will be absolutely ****in' legendary. --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:10:08 AM | message detail |
|
....if Arthas is able to overtake KOS MOS with Diablo syphoning votes off him... it will be absolutely ****in' legendary. I said it in the last one, but... FROSTMOURNE HUNGERS... FOR VOTES! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 9/4/2007 6:11:37 AM | message detail |
|
>.> COME ON KOS MOS SERIOUSLY I LOOKED BRILLIANT WITH THIS ONE, DAMNIT. --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I do a lot of pushups and situps, and I drink plenty of juice. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| emanresU weN | Posted 9/4/2007 6:12:37 AM | message detail |
|
No cut there. --- This is The_Ocelot |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 9/4/2007 6:15:33 AM | message detail |
|
This contest is going to get so very interesting with SFF being such a high factor in every match-up. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| transience | Posted 9/4/2007 6:19:20 AM | message detail |
|
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=534914&topic=38010412 heh, there's your rally. --- "where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:19:20 AM | message detail |
|
WTF KOS_MOS? Where'd this come from? =( --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:27:56 AM | message detail |
|
I'm too lazy to check myself, but is this KOS-MOS surging or Arthas dropping off? --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:28:16 AM | message detail |
|
Lol Diablo cut into Arthas' lead --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4 |
| JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:29:35 AM | message detail |
|
KOS MOS went from 1412 to 1468 in the last 15 mins. Knuckles yesterday already managed to cut Rikku leads by 100 at this time, not looking too good for Arthas. |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:30:10 AM | message detail |
|
She was pretty constant until the last update. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4 |
| transience | Posted 9/4/2007 6:34:20 AM | message detail |
|
heh, wow. 1500 vote lead just like that. --- "where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch |
| shadow8021 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:35:21 AM | message detail |
|
Wow, I'm really glad I switched now! What does Arthas' performance today signify for Thrall later on? Is it too early to start a Th-RALLY? lololololololololol --- Character Battle Score: 4/4 Today's Pick: Mega Man > KOS-MOS |
| RPGuy96 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:36:22 AM | message detail |
|
1500, and she'll continue to gain until 3 PM EST or so. KOS-MOS is
pretty safe here, but Arthas will make a run for it before it's all
said and done. Like Rikku, Arthas definitely deserves a lot of credit
for this showing. --- Mustache...and green... http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:38:29 AM | message detail |
|
At least Arthas threw up a stall, that was getting anticlimactic. I mean, I fully expect KOS-MOS to hold on when all is said and done, but I'd like to at least see Arthas give her a scare. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:40:03 AM | message detail |
|
*Looks at bracket* Hmmm I have Ganondorf > Ratchet. --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4 |
| AmazingKirby | Posted 9/4/2007 6:40:50 AM | message detail |
|
I have Ganondorf > Vergil. Uh-oh... --- caps |
| Djungelurban | Posted 9/4/2007 6:41:25 AM | message detail |
|
I'm thinking that MegaMan is eating away at Arthas chances of making a
splash with the day vote. Ever since the "start" of the day vote he's
been increasing his vote percentage and that's not something clear cut
winners usually do this late in the day. Had Yoshi been today instead
of MegaMan I think Arthas would have overtaken KOS-MOS by now. --- Vote for Wander from Shadow of the Colossus... You know you wanna... |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:43:03 AM | message detail |
|
Holy ****, KOS-MOS is all of a sudden returning to her performance from the first hour. THIS IS MADNESS! --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| transience | Posted 9/4/2007 6:44:03 AM | message detail |
|
hey RPGuy, can you post your hourly splits? --- "where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch |
| charmander6000 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:44:52 AM | message detail |
|
THIS IS MADNESS! ^_^ This is GAMEFAQS! --- The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4 |
| The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/4/2007 6:45:25 AM | message detail |
|
Seems like the morning vote is dying down. Things will probably look grim for Arthas until school lets out --- This story is not an end yet. Because only you are in the infinity loop. |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:46:19 AM | message detail |
|
KOS-MOS should be able to enjoy at least a few more hours of this. I'm
not hoping for a miracle lead - just 1700+. That would force Arthas to
outperform Knuckles with much less time and many fewer votes. Think
you're up to the challenge, Blizzard? --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| Master Moltar | Posted 9/4/2007 6:47:31 AM | message detail |
|
Alright, KOS-MOS is holding up. Looking really good to take 2nd. Man, Arthas is really impressing me. I didn't think the two characters I would have pegged in this match would be KOS-MOS and Diablo. Take about 6% away from Arthas and give it to Mega Man and that was my prediction. Speaking of Diablo, multi-poll bomba confirmed. --- Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe Arthas/Diablo/KOS-MOS/Mega Man - Bracket: Mega Man > KOS-MOS - Vote: Mega Man (4/4) |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:50:21 AM | message detail |
| [This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 6:51:22 AM | message detail |
|
Anyway, I'm feeling really confident
about Thrall's chances now. If Arthas can put up 16%+ against this
competition, Thrall should at least be able to match that against his
weaker opponents. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| KrahenProphet | Posted 9/4/2007 6:52:57 AM | message detail |
|
Haste_2- I've been thinking about how to calculate a the perfect percentage, but it doesn't really seem possible. We are given information about how everyone does in predicting each character separately, and just that. There is no information about how people do at predicting both characters simultaneously, except for today of course. Also, it doesn't seem like there would be anyway to work backwards from the data we get today either, because there will be no way of knowing if the 4's tomorrow are from people who got the 4 in the 1st round, 2nd round, or simply got 2's in both rounds. --- Official 4th place winner of Summer Contest 2k4 |
| ToadYoshi | Posted 9/4/2007 6:55:38 AM | message detail |
|
THIS IS MADNESS! ^_^ This is GAMEFAQS! Their brackets will block out the sun! Then we will vote in the shade... --- Bracket Score: 4 Today: Mega Man > Diablo Upcoming Upset: Apparently Today's match... |
| bloodhawks return | Posted 9/4/2007 7:01:04 AM | message detail |
|
I just woke up, and Arthas is in 3rd?!? I had him pegged for around 9%,
with it being much closer between KOS-MOS and Diablo, KOS winning. --- Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today! Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07 |
| transience | Posted 9/4/2007 7:01:50 AM | message detail |
|
Anyway, I'm feeling really confident about Thrall's chances now. If
Arthas can put up 16%+ against this competition, Thrall should at least
be able to match that against his weaker opponents. I want to agree here, but I heard this line used about Kerrigan. I think it's best to treat them as separate entities until we see Thrall at work. --- "where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:04:22 AM | message detail |
|
I don't know anything about the Warcraft characters, so I just used my brother and his expert WoW friends as my main reference. "Dude, everyone knows Thrall. Dude, man. Thrall. He's in-game. Trust me. Vergil? No, dude, Thrall. Dude." I plan to go over this in much greater detail in my analysis. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:07:44 AM | message detail |
|
I made the argument yesterday in passing, but if we say that the main draw for Arthas/Thrall is WoW, Advantage Thrall. Thrall is in-game, a faction leader, quest-giver, has an instance over him, etc. Arthas is still out of the game. You'd have to know lore to know who he is. However, if we give their main draw to WC3, then yes, Arthas wins rather comfortably. While Thrall is still pretty big in WC3, he's not Arthas big by any measure. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| YoAriel33 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:08:35 AM | message detail |
|
Wait, Thrall is in other Warcraft games as well? Dude. Thrall. --- yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world! |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:12:00 AM | message detail |
|
Yeah. Arthas is in WC3, TFT, and soon to be WoW (technically you hear
his voice in WoW if you count Naxx, but like no one except the hardcore
have been there) Thrall has been in WC3 and WoW (and an unofficial expansion to TFT, IIRC) Thrall was basically the leader of the Orc Campaign in WoW and was pretty prevalent, but Arthas was easily the main character in WC3. He was the leader of the Human and Undead Campaigns, and returned in TFT. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:13:34 AM | message detail |
|
Actually, back to WoW technicalities, you also hear Arthas' voice if
you sit in the Undercity Throne Room where you can hear the echoes of
major events that occurred there in WC3, but that's like an Easter Egg
that no one would realize unless they played WC3 and knew what was
going on. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| Majin Lou | Posted 9/4/2007 7:15:11 AM | message detail |
|
*wakes up* Diablo last? Holy ****. --- http://danceandstomp.net/forum/ Desert Rose, why do you live alone? If you are sad, I'll make you leave this life. |
| transience | Posted 9/4/2007 7:16:05 AM | message detail |
|
maybe I'm looking at this the wrong way, but I see weaker characters as
being more of a problem for Thrall. it seems like he'll have a core
fanbase that knows and likes him, but will have trouble getting a large
percentage of votes. he'd be best off if there were a handful of strong
characters in the poll that would split the vote instead of just
Ganondorf. I don't know if he can get enough votes. also, Thrall kind of scares me. I had him for a good 2-3 weeks but kinda gave up on him. he definitely has a chance to win, but he has to be significantly stronger than Kerrigan to compete with Vergil. possible, but I'm always skeptical. --- "where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:16:41 AM | message detail |
|
Thrall was basically the leader of the Orc Campaign in WC3 and was pretty prevalent Gah, fixed. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 9/4/2007 7:19:11 AM | message detail |
|
Thrall's chances are already looking pretty good, if it wasn't for
Diablo I would expect Arthas to have overtaken KOS-MOS by now. Thrall/Vergil was a very hard pick for me, I just went with Thrall which was a total risk. Looks like it's paying off. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/4/2007 7:19:49 AM | message detail |
|
Thrall is unrecognisable if people have not played Warcraft games, just
like non-face Arthas pics (search Arthas in google and the three
pictures there are unrecognisable to me, non-Warcraft player). If
Thrall is here, Diablo is sure to take the third or even second place.
Can't speak for Vergil though... --- Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination. Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks |
| xp1337 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:20:07 AM | message detail |
|
At the same time, if we give any credence to the fact that Blizz, at
least in their forum topics, is scorning Arthas; I honestly don't see
that happening to Thrall. Arthas is far more of a polarizing figure. He does have some rabid fanboys, but at the same time those fanboys, as well as just other dislike/apathy is also heavy with Arthas. Meanwhile, I can't think of many who would feel that way about Thrall. He's almost universally loved. I'd be wary with this argument though, because I'd be skeptical of giving the scant few posting in the WoW forums as indicative of the general effect the rally has. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile |
| Haste_2 | Posted 9/4/2007 7:21:37 AM | message detail |
|
Well, if you put Arthas amongst Ratchet and Vergil I think Arthas would
win fairly comfortably... looking at today's results, that is. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 9/4/2007 7:21:42 AM | message detail |
|
Thrall is unrecognisable if people have not played Warcraft games,
just like non-face Arthas pics (search Arthas in google and the three
pictures there are unrecognisable to me, non-Warcraft player). If
Thrall is here, Diablo is sure to take the third or even second place.
Can't speak for Vergil though... The thing is Thrall is an Orc, that's a signifigant picture advantage because nearly everyone knows what a WarCraft Orc looks like at least. Even if they aren't familiar with the character himself. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
