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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 458

UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/3/2007 9:49:30 PM | message detail
Two days in a row in which the last place character is *totally* screwing over the third place character. I picked Diablo, but like this anyway. It's awesome.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



Post!
neonreaper | Posted 9/3/2007 9:50:02 PM | message detail
who wants my nuts
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cherish the certainty of now, it kills you a bit at a time
Team Jägermeister
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/3/2007 9:50:37 PM | message detail
this contest is badass
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/3/2007 9:50:57 PM | message detail
Boobs are prevailing apparently.
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Hi
Draco1214 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:51:23 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised if Axel takes second place tomorrow.
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Currently Playing: Metroid Prime 2: Echoes, Persona 3
NClark128 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:51:38 PM | message detail
KOS is building a nice lead here... is Diablo still likely to come back?
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Rangers 0 0 0 5 0 9 0 10 6 . 30 29 1
Orioles
... 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 . 0 . 3 .. 9 ..1
Tequilla Gundam | Posted 9/3/2007 9:53:57 PM | message detail
Have a really bad feeling about the Riku/Roxas/Ryu H fourpack now ;(
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Feel my truth.
Cecil XIX | Posted 9/3/2007 10:37:27 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
Janus5000 | Posted 9/3/2007 10:38:24 PM | message detail
The question is: Who ends up being the fourth place character?
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
TimJab | Posted 9/3/2007 10:38:49 PM | message detail
too early
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alt.8: http://alt8.proboards56.com
xp1337 | Posted 9/3/2007 10:39:14 PM | message detail
The question is: Who ends up being the fourth place character?

Diablo.

Aww yeah
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/3/2007 10:39:20 PM | message detail
Have a really bad feeling about the Riku/Roxas/Ryu H fourpack now ;(

Ehh... I can't see Roxas splitting the KH vote with Riku.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
wavedash101 | Posted 9/3/2007 10:50:00 PM | message detail
Roxas shouldnt give Riku enough trouble for Ryu to pass him
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/3/2007 11:22:22 PM | message detail
Arthas is really putting on a clinic now.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/3/2007 11:23:06 PM | message detail
Holy Crap Arthas
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Hi
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 11:23:09 PM | message detail
XD! I think Arthas might actually take 3rd place here.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
ZFS | Posted 9/3/2007 11:23:27 PM | message detail
Well, hello there Arthas.

---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
ThatsRidiculous | Posted 9/3/2007 11:24:32 PM | message detail
Due to the fact that I chose Diablo, GO ARTHAS!

If I go down, I want everyone to come with me BWahahahaha!
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Go Pack Go!
cavedog0: December 2003 - August 2005
transience | Posted 9/3/2007 11:24:46 PM | message detail
it's kinda sad how Diablo can make the final four of one tournament, yet will maybe end up in fourth in this poll.

man, the villains contest sucked.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Xcarvengerx | Posted 9/3/2007 11:25:09 PM | message detail
I think Arthas might actually take 2nd place here.

Fix'd.






Not gonna happen. :p
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Xcarvengerx (scar-fan-gear-rex) /n/ = A plethora of quixotic illumination.
Common mispronounce = eks-car-fan-gear-eks
Warsola | Posted 9/3/2007 11:25:58 PM | message detail
yay this time underestimating the unknown!

...


...



lol diablo! yay KOS-MOS, for now.
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It is pitch black. I don't like Haley Scarnato
Proud Member of the RAGE OF WARCRAFT! *War13104*
Haste_2 | Posted 9/3/2007 11:26:14 PM | message detail
I wouldn't count out Diablo against KOS-MOS yet... KOS-MOS is ahead by quite a bit (an equal of 55.5% to 45.5% over Diablo), but we're talking about a night owl against a day-vote king. I doubt it will be enough, but Diablo will probably chip into KOS-MOS' lead a lot of the day.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Starion | Posted 9/3/2007 11:26:18 PM | message detail
Diablo is just showing his age. Just like Mega and Crono have and will in their matches.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/3/2007 11:26:22 PM | message detail
Silence! The Villain Contest was awesome >_>
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Hi
ThatsRidiculous | Posted 9/3/2007 11:27:19 PM | message detail
Sure it was...
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Go Pack Go!
cavedog0: December 2003 - August 2005
ZFS | Posted 9/3/2007 11:27:26 PM | message detail
The problem for Diablo is that he's got competition for that day vote.

---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/3/2007 11:28:38 PM | message detail
Damn that Arthas. I was really, really hoping he'd bleed some votes over to Diablo in a SFF fashion. And if he would, Diablo would win this easily.
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Once I was human. Now I am far more.
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 11:28:51 PM | message detail
I wouldn't count out Diablo against KOS-MOS yet... KOS-MOS is ahead by quite a bit (an equal of 55.5% to 45.5% over Diablo), but we're talking about a night owl against a day-vote king. I doubt it will be enough, but Diablo will probably chip into KOS-MOS' lead a lot of the day.


First of all, He's not Knuckles. KOS-MOS is already way ahead of anywhere Rikku was when she peaked, and KOSMOS still has a good 4~5 hours to go.


Meanwhile, Diablo is having problem just staying in 3rd place...I honestly think that Arthas will take the Day Vote at this rate.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/3/2007 11:29:04 PM | message detail
Or, rather, take second easily. But you should all have understood that >_>
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Once I was human. Now I am far more.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/3/2007 11:30:28 PM | message detail
I would love to see Arthas turn out to be a day vote beast and give KOS a scare. As it is, he'll have to settle for beating the devil it seems... if all goes well.
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/3/2007 11:30:53 PM | message detail
Arthas is doing really well right now. He's been constantly 3rd in the updates for 30 minutes.
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Finally a damn bracket!
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/3/2007 11:31:01 PM | message detail
Knux has a terrible night vote, but godly day vote.

Whether Diablo or Arthas have a day vote like that is irrelevant scince itll most likely be split among the 2.
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Hi
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/3/2007 11:32:01 PM | message detail
I'd like to see KOS take a complete dive during the day and potentially give way to both Diablo and Arthas. That'd be bad ass.
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Once I was human. Now I am far more.
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 11:32:16 PM | message detail
And Arthas beats KOS MOS in that one...


OK...I'm starting to think Mega Man > Arthas is actually possibly on the table here...
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 9/3/2007 11:32:36 PM | message detail
I forgot how KOS handles during the morning and day.

Anyone remember?
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Hi
HaRRicH | Posted 9/3/2007 11:33:34 PM | message detail
Diablo/Arthas might fight over who wins the day-vote more, but KOS/Mega will fight over who loses it harder. I still wouldn't count either of them out...

...but KOS-MOS is going to change that very soon if she keeps this up.
---
PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580
Ayvuir | Posted 9/3/2007 11:33:49 PM | message detail
When is Diablo's prime time of the day.

It better not be now?!
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I don't like Haley Scarnato
ThatsRidiculous | Posted 9/3/2007 11:33:52 PM | message detail
OK...I'm starting to think Mega Man > Arthas is actually possibly on the table here...

Can Arthas get support from WoW? Or are the servers down on Tuesday or something stupid like that?
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Go Pack Go!
cavedog0: December 2003 - August 2005
Lopen | Posted 9/3/2007 11:35:19 PM | message detail
What do you mean KOS-MOS and Mega Man fight for who loses it? Since when is Mega Man a slouch with the day vote?
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
ZFS | Posted 9/3/2007 11:35:23 PM | message detail
Eh, I'm not sure of how KOS-MOS does during the day, but she's almost up to a 1,000 vote lead over Diablo, no need to even mention Arthas. That's a tall order to comeback from, especially when it'll keep rising for a few more hours. It's possible something could happen, but I'd doubt it.

---
Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
mr wednesday | Posted 9/3/2007 11:36:44 PM | message detail
I think it's sad the KOS-MOS needs heavy SFF to make it out of the first round. Without Arthas in the Group, Diablo easily takes second. And without Diablo, Arthas probably easily takes second. These two never should have been grouped first round.
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Twelve Fail-Safe Ways to Charm Witches
~You'd be surprised, it's not all about wandwork either.
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/3/2007 11:37:13 PM | message detail
"When is Diablo's prime time of the day.

It better not be now?!"

Relative to KOS and MM, it's not. In 2k5 he gained % in the middle of the day on Sonic the Hedgehog.
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Once I was human. Now I am far more.
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/3/2007 11:37:32 PM | message detail
Holy crap Arthas has broke 15%. Nice.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Lopen | Posted 9/3/2007 11:37:55 PM | message detail
This is Mega Man hitting Diablo and Arthas with some "casual vote SFF!" There is no Blizzard SFF!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
HaRRicH | Posted 9/3/2007 11:39:31 PM | message detail
Again, Diablo was linked halfway into his match. That likely played a difference, though Diablo would have still fought with Sonic over it.


Isn't Mega Man notorious for losing the morning vote? I know he's not all that hot with the day-vote either...average, maybe?
---
PETITION: a "Contest Suggestions" board. Life-changing details below:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=35717580
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/3/2007 11:39:54 PM | message detail
"There is no Blizzard SFF! "

That's only because they've all hacked the poll to allow themselves to vote for both Diablo and Arthas, obviously!
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Once I was human. Now I am far more.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/3/2007 11:41:33 PM | message detail
Mega Man has *traditionally* been good with it... it's only last year that he really stunk it up with the day. Granted two of those matches were against Kingdom Hearts and he did alright against Ryu, so only time will tell if he follows that trend this time around.
---
delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Lopen | Posted 9/3/2007 11:41:57 PM | message detail
Knowing the Diablo 2 community, I wouldn't doubt it!
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"GUYS I JUST DRANK A MASTER CHIEF SODA, MASTER CHIEF FOR 2007!" - Swirldude
ChichiriMuyo | Posted 9/3/2007 11:42:15 PM | message detail
Damn, all of Diablo's other matches were pretty much a crap-shot in terms of figuring out what voting trend he follows. Though it does look like he's more of a daytime beast (which seems odd to me). Relative to KOS, though, I feel quite confident in saying that he should get the day vote.
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Once I was human. Now I am far more.
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 11:42:23 PM | message detail
Well...once Arthas gets by Diablo...things will REALLY start to look interesting.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
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