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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 457

Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 8:57:40 PM | message detail
I'll go with 55% right.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/3/2007 8:57:43 PM | message detail
Get ready to press your f5 button, guys.
swirIdude | Posted 9/3/2007 8:57:55 PM | message detail
F5 BUTTON LOCKED AND LOADED
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
Mithrandir1331 | Posted 9/3/2007 8:58:24 PM | message detail
Prediction: 46% correct.
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Carpe Diem, or so some say, I don't really know
I will let you down, I will make you hurt...
Haste_2 | Posted 9/3/2007 8:58:27 PM | message detail
It's not Vaan doesn't hurt Rikku, it's Vaan hurts Rikku the least because most Rikku voters like Rikku more Vaan.

I highly disagree with that statement. SFF is not like a 10:1 one-sided thing. Usually SFF results from, say, a 60/40 result to a 70/30 result. It's noticeable, but it actually isn't massive. So, if you take away the one-sidedness of the SFF, we'd probably be seeing Vaan with 13% and Rikku with 24% (I don't think that's too far off). I'm quite sure if you took Vaan away from there, Rikku would get the majority of that 13%, or at least much more than 3%.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/3/2007 8:58:54 PM | message detail
bout a minute left
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Yesmar | Posted 9/3/2007 8:59:13 PM | message detail
I was gonna mention how unlikely a double tie was in my original post, but I forgot.
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Twisted Misters: 2007 World Series of Pop Culture Champions!!!
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 8:59:45 PM | message detail
LETS GO ROBOTS!!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/3/2007 8:59:54 PM | message detail
That doesn't really make sense. You're saying if it was a three-way poll it would be Yoshi > Rikku > Knuckles but if a fourth character was added, Knuckles would overtake Rikku. Unless the new character was biased towards hurting Rikku over Knuckles, I don't see why Rikku would be hurt more than Knuckles.

Short version: SFF in the classic sense helps Rikku...SFF she wouldn't get if Vaan was replaced with a character with the same strength but no overlapped fanbase. This bonus to Rikku could potentially be greater than the damage done by Vaan's presence in the poll.

Longer version:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/detail.php?board=8&topic=37981187&message=416565316
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:03 PM | message detail
The extreme example brought up earlier was Cloud vs. Link vs. Ganon. Ganon would obviously get almost nothing here, not only does he lose the Zelda votes to Link, but he loses the anti-Link votes (from his match with Link) to Cloud.

However, the votes that he does get will be primarily siphoned away from Link. There are two potential voting groups here, Ganon>Link>Cloud voters and Ganon>Cloud>Link voters. Which of those do you think would be more prevalent? I'm going with the former by a landslide. Compared to a neutral character that hurts both Link and Cloud the same (or proportionally), this would definitely be more favorable to Cloud. I really don't see how you could ever have a situation where SFF is favorable in this setup. Link would get a better percentage with Ganon in there compared to the other character, but he would not do better against Cloud with Ganon in there.
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:22 PM | message detail
23rd vote
12th vote for KOS-MOS
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Master Moltar | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:24 PM | message detail
KOS-MOS with the board vote?!?
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Arthas/Diablo/KOS-MOS/Mega Man - Bracket: Mega Man > KOS-MOS - Vote: Mega Man (0/0)
Janus5000 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:24 PM | message detail
Arthas Menethil 11.63%

5
Diablo 18.6%

8
KOS-MOS 46.51%

20
Mega Man 23.26%

10
TOTAL VOTES 43

TJF8
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
PortugalTheMann | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:28 PM | message detail
Arthas Menethil 9.52%

4
Diablo 19.05%

8
KOS-MOS 47.62%

20
Mega Man 23.81%

10
TOTAL VOTES 42

Go go KOS!

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Explicit Content.
I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
Tediz247 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:32 PM | message detail
Arthas Menethil 9.84%

18
Diablo 25.14%

46
KOS-MOS 32.24%

59
Mega Man 32.79%

60
TOTAL VOTES 183
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:40 PM | message detail
Arthas Menethil 12.9%

4
Diablo 16.13%

5
KOS-MOS 48.39%

15
Mega Man 22.58%

7
TOTAL VOTES 31

lol Mega Man.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
ZFS | Posted 9/3/2007 9:00:57 PM | message detail
Gogogogo KOS-MOS

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Haste_2 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:06 PM | message detail
Mega Man! What's wrong with you!?

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:11 PM | message detail
Mega Man will mop up after everyone is done bracket voting.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:12 PM | message detail
I liked how Kosmos was winning for 15 seconds.
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
GrapefruitKing | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:21 PM | message detail
GOGOGO Diablo kill it with fire
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It's a penguin murder mystery !!!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:35 PM | message detail
Hurry up and catch up Big D!!!
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:53 PM | message detail
So what does a bracket look like with the winners switched around?---
DC
Mega Mana | Posted 9/3/2007 9:01:53 PM | message detail
Arthas 13, Diablo 40, KOS 49, Mega 45
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:02:18 PM | message detail
So what does a bracket look like with the winners switched around?---


Yellow.

Trust me on that. >_>
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/3/2007 9:02:28 PM | message detail
All Diablo needs to do is not let KOS-MOS run away with it. His day vote is pretty fierce.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
Gaddswell | Posted 9/3/2007 9:02:31 PM | message detail
Arthas Menethil 10.26% 8
Diablo 19.23% 15
KOS-MOS 43.59% 34
Mega Man 26.92% 21
TOTAL VOTES 78

Go KOS-MOS!
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Finally a damn bracket!
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:02:46 PM | message detail
So can we lol at the people who thought Arthas would do something yet? <_<
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/3/2007 9:02:58 PM | message detail
That ol' Mega Man just ain't what he used to be, ain't what he used to be...
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
bloodhawks return | Posted 9/3/2007 9:03:34 PM | message detail
Through 1000 votes, KOS-MOS had a solid hold on 2nd place, yay!
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Come visit my board, Hektik, In the C-64 today!
Not changing this until Casey Mears wins his 2nd Nascar Cup race. Started 7/7/07
charmander6000 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:03:34 PM | message detail
No stats yet :(
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 2: Mega Man > KOS-MOS Points: 4/4
Tediz247 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:03:35 PM | message detail
Still no results... I guess Bacon's still configuring his script or something.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
xp1337 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:03:44 PM | message detail
And the appeal to Blizz and WoW has already begun.

http://forums.worldofwarcraft.com/thread.html?topicId=1371541890&sid=1

Quicker than I thought. I fully expect this to backfire and benefit Diablo. >_>
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
wavedash101 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:03:50 PM | message detail
It's obviously Namco/Capcom SFF pulling mega man down...or something
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Our shields cannot withstand wavedashing of this magnitude!
Annoying posters! I am the great wavedash! [no u cru]
transience | Posted 9/3/2007 9:03:57 PM | message detail
hmm, two minute-in thoughts:

Mega Man, he with the fantastic board vote, is sucking in my eyes. KOS has a good night vote and a poor day vote; Diablo, the other way around. KOS probably goes up from here while Diablo will drop a little.

and after I typed that, it looks like Mega Man's bouncing back. I expected 50%, and he looks like he may get that still. I think obvious favourites are going to get anti-voted in this format early, by people who are well-aware of the contest. think of it as bracket voting, I guess.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
ZFS | Posted 9/3/2007 9:04:03 PM | message detail
Gah. I have a feeling this is setting up perfectly for Diablo to win.

Mega Man's sucking it up right now, though.


(SAMUS > MEGA MAN CONFIRMED)

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Eggplant Lord | Posted 9/3/2007 9:04:31 PM | message detail
From KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:02:46 PM | #178
So can we lol at the people who thought Arthas would do something yet? <_<

Well, he's certainly doing better than I expected.

___
*watches*
o_o
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:04:48 PM | message detail
Does anyone remember the contest where we were stat-less for over half of it? Character Battle III, was it?
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
RPGuy96 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:04:49 PM | message detail
The stats were up momentarily (proof: JaySolano was #1 on the leaderboard), but the percentiles were all wrong, and it got taken down.
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Mustache...and green...
http://www.rit.edu/~zmb0386/Brawl.jpg
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:04:50 PM | message detail
(SAMUS > MEGA MAN CONFIRMED)


GASP! GIVE THIS MAN A PRIZE!!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
FFDragon | Posted 9/3/2007 9:05:00 PM | message detail
Samus > MM was confirmed ages ago Aitch Em.
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Married to PepsiPlunge June 01, 2005: HERO'S PLUNGE!
The revenge was swift and sweet (Metal Gear Solid 2)
transience | Posted 9/3/2007 9:05:02 PM | message detail
heh, 6267 perfects left, eh?
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
KleenexTissue50 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:05:12 PM | message detail
Hmmm...perhaps I spoke too soon.
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Kleenex - Now with an invigorating blast of citrus cherry flavor.
Keno316 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:05:42 PM | message detail
0% got it right!
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"Opinions are like butts, little girl. Everyone's got one and nobody thinks their's stink." -Lunar 2:EB
*Claims KG's Eclair, C.C. & Tear Grants*
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/3/2007 9:05:48 PM | message detail
Diablo is not looking good at the freeze as far as I'm concerned. ****ing Arthas is too near him.
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
KamikazePotato | Posted 9/3/2007 9:05:51 PM | message detail
This is going to get really epic really fast.
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doo doo doo I got no sig
ZFS | Posted 9/3/2007 9:06:09 PM | message detail
Samus > MM was confirmed ages ago Aitch Em.

Yeah, to most of us. But that was for Black Turtle!

Tryin' to bring down Samus with his Mega Man hype machine.

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
xp1337 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:06:27 PM | message detail
Diablo is not looking good at the freeze as far as I'm concerned. ****ing Arthas is too near him.

Aww yeah...

I don't look as stupid if Arthas pulls 3rd place. =)
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
Tediz247 | Posted 9/3/2007 9:06:39 PM | message detail
Arthas Menethil 13.89%

273
Diablo 17.86%

351
KOS-MOS 20.87%

410
Mega Man 47.38%

931
TOTAL VOTES 1965

First freeze.
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Dilated Chemist | Posted 9/3/2007 9:06:51 PM | message detail
I still think Mega Man will pull in second over Samus.

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DC
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