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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 455

UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/2/2007 5:38:43 PM | message detail
Only three more hours to go!!



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php


!yawa tsoP
SonicTheLegend | Posted 9/2/2007 5:39:20 PM | message detail
first
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Moo
I don't like Haley Scarnato.
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/2/2007 6:41:37 PM | message detail
second.
swirIdude | Posted 9/2/2007 6:42:05 PM | message detail
Actually you were second and third.
---
Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
Janus5000 | Posted 9/2/2007 6:42:29 PM | message detail
Nightmare > Snake
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"Those who cast the vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything." - Joseph Stalin
Lady Ashe | Posted 9/2/2007 6:42:59 PM | message detail
Vaan with 90% of the vote.
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.board8wiki.com/Lady_Ashe
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 7:43:18 PM | message detail
Division 1: Round 1 - Match 1 – Knuckles vs. Rikku vs. Vaan vs. Yoshi

Moltar’s Analysis

Knuckles
Game/Series Known From: Sonic
Seed in 2002: 7
Seed in 2003: 8
Seed in 2004: 10
Seed in 2005: 6
Lost in 2002 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2003 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Snake in Round 2
Lost in 2005 to Squall in Round 2

Knuckles makes his glorious return to the Contest scene.

Rikku
Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy X
Seed in 2005: 7
Seed in 2006: 3
Lost in 2005 to Ryu in Round 1
Lost in 2006 to Samus in Round 3

She looked pretty good last year. Can she keep it up?

Vaan
Game/Series Known From: Final Fantasy XII

A fellow female from the FF series joins Rikku…….wait, what?

Yoshi
Game/Series Known From: Super Mario
Seed in 2003: 4
Seed in 2004: 5
Seed in 2005: 3
Seed in 2006: 6
Lost in 2003 to Bowser in Round 2
Lost in 2004 to Link in Round 3
Lost in 2005 to Mega Man in Round 3
Lost in 2006 to Solid Snake in Round 3

The Mario fan-favorite hopes he can continue his streak of Contest luck.

Finally, a return to Contest season. I’m not going to lie; I’ve missed the dumb arguments, angry rants and overall craziness of the board during Contest time. This time, we have something we’ve never seen before. I mean, usually I, along with the rest of the Crew and other analysts, can make a pretty good guess on the result of a match by using past data and current trends. However, a four-way poll format throws a wrench in just about everything. Expect the unexpected for something like this. I also apologize in advance to our readers, who may notice that we might be a bit more wrong than usual this time around.

So anyway, the first match isn’t really the toughest to predict. It’s not as obvious as a Noble Nine 1-seed vs. Why are you even here fodder 16-seed, but still nothing compared to some of the later matches.

Returning from last year are Yoshi and Rikku. Yoshi looked a bit off in Round 1, when he allowed Riku to get 45% on him, but turned everything around when he beat Dante and performed almost too well against Solid Snake. Rikku also did decently last year. She looked a bit shaky in her match with Kairi, but performed as expected against Samus.

Knuckles, who we last saw in 2005 when he ultimately destroyed Magus, should be just as strong, if not stronger, as he was then. Vaan, being the sole newcomer here, may have stood a chance somewhere else, but here? He’s done for.

So basically, we have Yoshi and Knuckles, who are not only two fan-favorites from their respective series, but also the two strongest characters in this match stats-wise, against two weaker Final Fantasy characters. There should be a split there, with Rikku taking a better portion of Vaan’s vote. It’s not too important though, as Yoshi and Knuckles should be the runaway favorites here. Yoshi is stronger than Knuckles, so that should give him the #1 spot. But as I said before, anything could happen with this format.

Moltar’s Bracket Says: Yoshi > Knuckles > Rikku > Vaan

Moltar’s Prediction is: Yoshi: 35% - Knuckles: 32% - Rikku: 22% - Vaan: 11%


Ultimaterializer’s Analysis

Took a little bit for me to decide, but Ulti is back and on board for another Crew! I'm glad I changed my mind too, as this bracket kicks ass. I'll try to make my writeups a lot better this contest, as I don't want to let Moltar down.
For the first time ever, we don't have an overall #1 seed or a dominant Nintendo entity in the first match. And the entire contest being fourpacks just kicks all *kinds* of ass. Four-way matches open up all kinds of weird-ass SFF possibilities and odd results, and this contest should be the best we've had since the Spring of 2004.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 7:44:04 PM | message detail
It's also the first opening match that isn't painfully obvious. Well, not as obvious as in years past. Yoshi and Knuckles are fairly easy choices, though Rikku might have an outside chance to spoil the party if she's as strong as she was in the Summer 2006 Contest. Vaan is somewhat of a wild card in this match, as he'll either suck votes away from Rikku or boost her to hell via SFF. The latter is more likely, as Vaan is one of the most hated Square characters ever. I doubt this will help Rikku a whole lot, but who knows.

The other thing worth noting is that picking order in these matches matters, though I'm not 100% sure how the scoring works. If you pick Yoshi > Knuckles and it ends up Knuckles > Yoshi, do you get no points? Either way, it's difficult to pick who will come in first between Yoshi and Knuckles. They're very close in the stats, and there has never, EVER been a reasonable read on Yoshi. He was behind SFF from 2003-2005, and then he was overrated in 2006 due to facing Sprite Snake.

The other interesting thing to note here is that both characters do well in multi-poll matches because of being fan favorites. Yoshi won not one, but two favorite Mario character polls (over Mario, no less), and Knuckles did win a favorite Sonic character poll back in the day.

That said, I hereby dub the Golden Rule of this contest: "When in doubt, go with Nintendo". I've got Yoshi just barely edging out Knuckles for first place.

Ulti's Prediction:

Yoshi [31.85%]

Knuckles [30.56%]

Rikku [21.21%]

Vaan [16.38%]



Heroic Mario’s Analysis

Yoshi -- 41%
Knuckles -- 30%
Rikku -- 22%
Vaan -- 7%

Pretty obvious choices on this one -- Yoshi and Knuckles. The only interesting bit that will come out of this one is seeing who wins, and by what margin.
After last year’s impressive showing, I’d confidently say that Yoshi has this one without too much problem. He managed to pull a close one out against a post-DMC3 Dante, and then went on to put up a respectable showing against Snake (I think he wasn’t too far away from Squall’s percentage). To add to that, his contest history as a whole has been better, beating and facing stronger opponents. He also has reason to keep getting stronger, which makes him the clear choice for me.
Rikku and Vaan... I can’t see them doing very much here. They’re going to eat into the other’s votes by both being Square. Without Vaan, I’d say Rikku could have the potential to surprise, but even though he’s going to be weak, he should steal enough away from her to make her a non-factor in this one, insofar as advancing.
But yeah, with the continued Nintendo dominance here, Yoshi shouldn’t have much of a problem taking this one without trouble. He’s a huge fan favorite from the Mario series and has the more impressive track record. Pretty easy. If he can really dominate here, things will look good for him heading into round 2, too.
Bracket: Yoshi > Knuckles
Vote: Yoshi



Yoblazer’s Analysis

New contest? First time in seemingly ages? Yes, oh yes! Few things in life bring such joy to this nerd's pitiful life, so suffice it to say, I'm going to cherish every moment. My fellow stats junkies and kind readers, for the first time in over a year, let us, together clothed in the finest silks, jewelries, and breast plates of gamerdom, do the dance of the Character Battle!

Before I dive into this first match, I'd like to give a hearty hello to the man in charge, Master Moltar, along my fellow returning analysts, and a fond welcome to the new analysts and guests. Let's have a good one!
HeroicTronBonne | Posted 9/2/2007 7:45:07 PM | message detail
our brackets are so screwed
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Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709
WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 7:45:23 PM | message detail
OK, first match. Knuckles vs. Rikku. Rikku may be a bit wasted here, but for Knuckles's sake, he once again finds himself far, far away from the bane of his existence, Solid Sn... wait. There are more letters here! More letters, words, choices... entrants? Vaan? Yoshi? What is this new devilry? That's right, folks! It's the biggest twist in the history of these contests - for the first time ever, each match will be fought between FOUR entrants! Fortunately for us, this opens doors to new worlds of strategies and theories, and I just hope most of mine don't fall flat on their face.

Our first match is between Knuckles, Rikku, Vaan, and Yoshi. While Rikku has shown promise in the past and Vaan is one of the stars of Square's newest Final Fantasy, this battle is clearly one between two of this site's absolute fan favorites. Knuckles and Yoshi should do a semi-decent job cleaning house, and they'll be helped by the fact that Rikku and Vaan (who somehow manages to make Tidus look more masculine than the entire cast of 300) will be splitting the Square vote. So, this becomes a question of who'll eek out more votes and come away with the top spot: the echidna or the dino. It could very well be close, but I feel Yoshi's strong performances last year, his status as a bigtime fan favorite in the Mario series, and his being the lone Nintendo representative in the poll, should give him first place. Let's hope that these two can get this contest off to an exciting start.

Yoshi (32%)
Knuckles (29%)
Rikku (24%)
Vaan (15%)



Lopen’s Analysis

MIA =(



Karma Hunter’s Analysis

Hey, KH here, ready for an inaugural analysis on what is surely the most controversial contest we've ever had. Four characters a day, 128 characters, two move on. I'm not sure how any of this is going to work out, percentages are a crapshoot, and only Link winning appears to be anything resembling a lock.

Fortunately, the first match seems to be clear enough on the two winners - Yoshi and Knuckles, both powerful upper midcarders at least in their own right. However, for the first time in contest history our first match has debate: Who comes in first? That's nearly as important as the first conclusion.

Most signs point to Yoshi though... he's Nintendo, Knuckles isn't. He made it in last contest, Knuckles didn't. With his quality win over Dante and great performance on Snake (regardless of the INSANE dubiousness), he's just got more going for him than Knux. Next round the echidna might stand a bit of a chance, but as it is? Love to, but I can't take him.

Karma Hunter's Vote: Knuckles the Echidna
Karma Hunter's Krazy Prediction: Yoshi with 34% of the vote, Knuckles with 29%, Rikku with 21%, Vaan with 16%

Wow, what a crapshoot... I would totally expect to bomb this thing if I thought anyone else had any idea what I was doing.

Upset Prediction: 50%

A pretty damn high upset prediction? Yeah, with four characters in the poll (and two that I've just ignored, Rikku actually having something of a chance), that's gonna be the norm this contest. Knuckles beat Magus, and we really don't have the best of reads on him since then. I doubt Yoshi would get 47% on Squall... but was Knuckles' 47% legit? The Devil Division's debate of overratedness looms still, and while I don't trust Knuckles, it makes him the wildcard here.

Let's not forget fanbase overlap either. Yoshi and Knuckles are gonna be pretty similar in voter appeal, and we haven't seen much Mario/Sonic interaction - when we do, weird stuff happens. If Yoshi were to say, SFF Knuckles to any extent, Rikku could propel herself to victory on the back of the Square fanbase and the much weaker Vaan.

And maybe people even like Vaan a lot of something! ...okay, never mind.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 7:45:56 PM | message detail
Transience’s Analysis

aww yeah, new contest. it's about time! it's going to be tricky to know exactly what's going to happen until we've seen a couple days of this contest. I'm fairly certain that a *ton* of Weird Stuff is going to happen throughout this contest, stuff nobody is going to see coming. trying to guess percentages for this monstrosity is going to be hilarious. I can't wait.

anyway, our first match is interesting. Yoshi and Knuckles are basically the same character type, only from rival series'. both are fan-favourites that should do great in multi-option polls. both of them have won their "favourite character" polls in the past, beating out Mario and Sonic respectively. does it mean much when talking about a four-way poll with characters of different series'? probably not, but you have to respect someone who can beat stronger characters convincingly like that.

I actually think that Yoshi and Knuckles might split votes here due to their fan-favourite side character status. Mario and Sonic has shown to have some form of overlap before, and they're both characters from platformers. Rikku would have a good chance to sneak into second place here.. if not for Vaan. I don't expect Vaan to have much strength here - who the hell would vote friggin' Vaan over two classic characters and a character from a more popular FF game? - but he'll steal enough votes to make sure Yoshi and Knuckles aren't threatened. the end percentage is unpredictable, but I feel confident with Yoshi and Knuckles finishing 1-2.

rikku had a chance
too bad vaan made the bracket
yoshi beats knuckles

transience's prediction: Yoshi - 33.45%, Knuckles - 31.41%, Rikku - 25.35%, Vaan - 9.79%



Guest’s Analysis - Luis_Sera89

We waited a long time for it but I guess the bracket didn’t disappoint, eh? It wasn’t unheard of that some quarters on Board 8 felt the Character Battle was getting a little stale, so Bacons provided us with 4 way matches with the best 2 progressing! Great! Then I realised I had to come of with percentage predictions for them… Crap! And so it’s with some relief that the great crapshoot of 2007 begins with what looks to be a mercifully straightforward selection.

Only few would argue against Yoshi and Knuckles progressing ahead of the two Final Fantasy characters in this opening match-up. For starters they’re the statistically stronger characters, certainly ahead of Rikku at least. Vaan is an unknown quantity, but as I’ll elaborate later, he isn’t seen as much of a threat to the dino and echidna, especially with his Square buddy also in the mixer. Also helping is the fact that there is no obvious overlap between Yoshi and Knuckles, a factor that will probably reign supreme in a handful of upcoming matches, and it’s unlikely that the Nintendo and Sega fan bases respectively will abandon them. And so, onto the characters themselves.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 7:46:42 PM | message detail
After many years of solid, if unspectacular participation in the contest, Yoshi is entering this year off the back of his best performance yet. Always seemingly lumbered with a predictable path, crushing all below him but usually falling equally painfully to the elite above him, Yoshi faced off with Dante, and although close, he never really looked in danger of losing. Although he started as the slight bracket favourite, despite never being shown to be stronger than the DMC lead, it was Dante who was expected to triumph based on their 1st round showings – Dante *****-slapping Ryu H whilst Yoshi worryingly bled percentage points against Riku. Yoshi, however, held the slight lead overnight, and the day vote comfortably put him out of reach of a late Dante surge. In the divisional final he was granted the blessing of a match with sprite Snake, and although it wasn’t close he didn’t look too shabby at all, and he ended up an impressive 9th in the (borked) 2006 X-stats. Which obviously didn’t hurt Dante much either. Overrated? Obviously. But to suggest Yoshi is anything other than a high midcarder, or even near-elite would very silly indeed.

Knuckles was almost certainly the most apparent and downright despicable absentee last year, thanks to the infamous female half of the bracket. He falls into the category of characters who are unquestionably strong in the Character Battle, but nevertheless struggle to receive enough nominations to achieve a fair seed, or in this case, entry. So we delve back to 2005 for Knuckle’s last appearance, and it wasn’t half unforgettable, was it? :P Being on the right side of possibly the biggest Board upset ever does that to you. Perhaps appropriately, his victim of that day, Magus, was also snubbed last year. Another one who’s absence was impossible to avoid. As for Knuckles, like I’ve already said, his reward for that monumental upset was a one way ticket to Snubville. Such is the fate of one of the unluckier characters in contest history. However this year, things may be looking up! Knuckles will be moving into the 2nd round this year as ever, and said round has not a Snake or a Squall anywhere to be seen!

Rikku’s debut in 2005 was greeted with much trepidation for a multitude of reasons. Firstly she was a 7th seed facing Ryu in the 1st round, a match she would surely lose, and secondly, well, it was Rikku. A character whose appeal is described as mixed at the best of times, distinctly questionable at the worst. We’d already seen Tidus, Yuna and Auron is these settings, making Rikku the 4th FFX character, and seemingly obviously, the weakest. Not many were expecting anything less than an easy doubling from Ryu, a contest mainstay, en-route to a tasty 2nd round meeting with Bowser. And sure enough, ultimately, Ryu beat Rikku, but not without taking a certain portion of his dignity with him. Rikku did a lot better than expected, a whole 6% better than 2003 Yuna was projected to get, and a sure-fire sign that FFX-2 was helping some. 2006 rolled around and Rikku once again proved she was no scrub, a very good midcarder in fact, by beating on Lenneth Valkyrie in a tripling, getting 58% on Kairi, and getting a very respectable 31% on Samus, who was cruising to the title (perhaps using ‘cruising’ in the loosest possible terms…). So after her 2 appearances, and that of Yuna and Auron, could Tidus really be the weakest FFX character?
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 7:47:52 PM | message detail
And finally, from one modern Final Fantasy lead, to the latest. Two FFXII characters are in the fray this year, perhaps thanks to its doubling in size. One is fan favourite Balthier, one is the traditional effeminate male lead, Vaan. Any parallels at all? Many expect that not to be the only similarity to the world of Spira, with Vaan’s contest strength in comparison to Balthier perhaps being similar to Tidus’ deficit to Auron. Which leaves Vaan where then? Is he comparable in strength to any other FF leads? Tidus may not be the most liked of characters, but he’s a solid midcarder nonetheless, and shares a fair bit in common with Vaan. Zidane on the other hand fared poorly against Crono in his only previous match, and is a lot closer to the fodder line. Vann is also certainly no Squall or Cloud. Most stabs in the dark have him somewhere between Tidus and Zidane, which crucially, should have him some way behind Rikku. Question is, who SFFs who? I highly doubt their fan bases are independent enough to not have a majority favouring one over the other.

Which leaves us with the ultimate prediction. Yoshi and Knuckles should be ahead of Rikku and Vaan, but in what order? I agree with the majority when I say it’ll be Yoshi > Knuckles > Rikku > Vaan. Yoshi and Knuckles each already have their own fan bases propelling them through, and it would take one of the other two’s support to completely desert them in favour of the other to give them a chance of nicking 2nd. If anyone, it would have to be Rikku. Already she’s likely stronger than Vaan, and I’d sooner buy her SFFing Vaan then Vaan rSFFing Rikku. Yoshi seems the safe pick for the top, although Knuckles has a fair shout of that too. He’ll probably be getting his revenge in the 2nd round thanks to “I’m-Nintendo-somehow” Man anyway. As for now I’ve got Nintendo’s guy on top. I can see both Yoshi and Knuckles gaining near enough a third of the vote each, with Rikku and Vaan sharing the remaining spoils. A few percent either way and I end up with this…

Luis’ Final Prediction

Knuckles the Echidna - 31.40%
Rikku - 19.25%
Vaan - 12.61%
Yoshi - 36.74%



Crew Consensus: Yoshi > Knuckles is the unanimous choice. If you don't have it, you should feel bad!
PrestonStarry | Posted 9/2/2007 7:55:59 PM | message detail
I picked Yoshi and Knuckles to win. Vaan is fresh of the newest FF game and I see have her popularity is too low for her to win.
transience | Posted 9/2/2007 7:56:46 PM | message detail
archiving this in the stats topic -- the results of my fourpack topics during the bracket period.

Previous Results:

Day 1: Ganondorf/Luigi/Master Chief/Yuna
Consensus: all over the place, but Ganondorf > Master Chief seemed pretty popular.

Day 2: Leon/Pikachu/Tidus/Vivi
Consensus: most people agreed on Leon being on top, but Tidus, Vivi and Pikachu all split votes for second. the most popular was Leon > Vivi.

Day 3: Auron/Bowser/Ryu/Shadow
Consensus: four strong characters, but an almost universal consensus - Auron and Bowser are advancing. as for who's taking first, it's almost a perfect 50/50 split.

Day 4: Frog/Midna/Samus/Scorpion
Consensus: one of the most even splits we'll ever see. all three characters got over 10 votes apiece, but Frog edged out Midna and Scorpion to be the one expected to join Samus in round three.

Day 5: Balthier/Dante/Leon/Vivi
Consensus: Dante and Leon were the majority picks, with like 80% of the votes having Dante finishing first. Balthier the Unknown got a few votes, both for first and second. not much love for Vivi.

Day 6: Dante/Ganondorf/Leon/Master Chief
Consensus: Ganondorf > Master Chief was very popular. Dante got a few picks here and there. Leon got next to none.

Day 7: Aeris/Lara/Sora/Squall
Consensus: Squall takes first, while people are split on Sora or Aeris for second. Sora edges out Aeris in predictions.

Day 8: Alucard/Liquid Snake/Ness/Zidane
Consensus: Alucard seems to be moving from a favourite to a lock, as just about everybody has him advancing. but who's going to join him? well, Ness has the majority of the brackets, but Liquid Snake is looking like more and more of an upset pick as time goes on. not many picks for Zidane.

Day 9: Amaterasu/Dante/Little Mac/Matt
Consensus: a bit surprising. Matt had very little support while Amaterasu edged out Little Mac for second in the Dantepack.

Day 10: Crono/Link/Vincent/Zero
Consensus: Crono got the majority, of course, but Vincent did pretty respectably. this won't be an unexpected upset if it happens.

Day 11: HK-47/Jak/Lloyd/Zero
Consensus: Lloyd and HK-47 were dead even in predictions to come second to Zero. Jak lagged behind by quite a bit.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
transience | Posted 9/2/2007 8:00:15 PM | message detail
as for the analyses, I'm surprised we're a complete consensus on this one. it's far from a lock! I guess Yoshi's the 'safe' one though.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
ZFS | Posted 9/2/2007 8:01:30 PM | message detail
I like how it looks like I don't have an enter button in my analysis!

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Experiment status report update: Metroid project 'Dread' is nearing the final stages of completion.
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 8:02:42 PM | message detail
Yeah, that's Bill Gate's and Microsoft's fault. I fixed it in the other topic, but forgot to here.
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Knuckles/Rikku/Vaan/Yoshi - Bracket: Yoshi > Knuckles - Vote: Yoshi (0/0)
Aprosenf | Posted 9/2/2007 8:14:11 PM | message detail
<ATTENTION ULTI>

New link for my poll listing (which itself is not a script, but was generated by a script):
http://adamrose.mit.edu/allpolls.txt

Reason being that Geocities sucks hard, and I was only using it because I was trying to remain as anonymous as possible on Board 8.

</ATTENTION ULTI>
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If life gives you lemons, make lemonade. Then try to find someone whose life has given them vodka.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:16:26 PM | message detail
Just wondering how many votes are we expecting, I'm guessing that we'll get over 100k in every match.
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Topic - http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=8&topic=37528396
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:27:23 PM | message detail
30 mins more, go go go.
LinkLegend27 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:30:40 PM | message detail
More votes are gonna get pulled in due to the Labor Day Effect
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Sig goes here.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/2/2007 8:31:43 PM | message detail
that means no afterschool vote.
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Network Premiere of: "GA All The Way." Watch one black kid's desperate search for his Wii.
Gaddswell | Posted 9/2/2007 8:32:21 PM | message detail
Contest time!
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Finally a damn bracket!
transience | Posted 9/2/2007 8:32:44 PM | message detail
predicting the match trends!

Yoshi - does best at the very beginning of the poll and during the daytime; does the worst overnight
Knuckles - does the best in the morning and the daytime; also does the worst at night.
Rikku - does great overnight and decent in the daytime. probably won't do so hot at the beginning.
Vaan - ? probably similar to Rikku, only with less of a "day vote".
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
transience | Posted 9/2/2007 8:34:46 PM | message detail
looks like stats are ready to go, too:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/cb6_stats
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/2/2007 8:37:51 PM | message detail
Bah, my predictions

Yoshi - Shoots to a huge lead, Knux chops it down a few percentage points
Knuckles - Gets second, cuts into Yoshi's lead a little bit but nothing special
Rikku - Gets the SE vote, finishes a little far behind Knux
Vaan - Fourth place finish, loses some votes to Rikku
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/2/2007 8:38:45 PM | message detail
Oh man, I forgot to make my last minute changes to my bracket...

*checks*

well I lose
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
Big Bob | Posted 9/2/2007 8:40:50 PM | message detail
If Knuckles comes out on top I might have two accounts on the leaderboard. >_>
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Okay, I promise I won't put any more TOS-bypassing words in my sig.
SonicRaptor | Posted 9/2/2007 8:41:00 PM | message detail
I'm happy the stats are ready to go as well, it looks like everything is in place and hopefully no hiccups occur.
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Today's Subliminal Thought Is:
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/2/2007 8:42:17 PM | message detail
I'm pretty confident with all of my changes since day one.
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Network Premiere of: "GA All The Way." Watch one black kid's desperate search for his Wii.
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:43:34 PM | message detail
15 mins more, go go go.
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/2/2007 8:44:04 PM | message detail
And that has just given me an idea for what will probably be a semi-daily thing as far as this goes... my Mistakes of the Bracket!

Karma Hunter's Mistake of the Bracket for Today's Match: ...Knuckles over Yoshi. Apparently I forgot to change my fanboyism pick to my logical one. *sigh*
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
transience | Posted 9/2/2007 8:46:18 PM | message detail
watch him win.

"see, *I* picked Knuckles."
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Karma Hunter | Posted 9/2/2007 8:47:12 PM | message detail
aww yeah
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delicious cats
Commit it to memory.
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/2/2007 8:50:12 PM | message detail
Karma Hunter's Mistake of the Bracket for Today's Match: ...Knuckles over Yoshi. Apparently I forgot to change my fanboyism pick to my logical one. *sigh*

Knux > Magus > Yoshi > Dante

Just remember that.
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Owner of TWO sticky topics!
Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488
MarioSuperstar | Posted 9/2/2007 8:51:38 PM | message detail
I'm actually torn on who to vote for.
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Network Premiere of: "GA All The Way." Watch one black kid's desperate search for his Wii.
charmander6000 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:53:21 PM | message detail
Vote Yoshi!
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The Board 8 BOP - http://www.freewebs.com/charmander6000/CB6%20BOP.xls
Match 1: Yoshi > Knuckles Points: 0/0
swirIdude | Posted 9/2/2007 8:53:50 PM | message detail
IS EVERYONE PUMPED UP??!?!
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Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148
Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/2/2007 8:57:26 PM | message detail
Voting Yoshi for sure

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
XxSoulxX | Posted 9/2/2007 8:57:56 PM | message detail
Vote for Knux! Red > Green. We all know this.
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Owner of TWO sticky topics!
Pearl Code: 3952 3520 2488
JustForFun1988 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:57:57 PM | message detail
2 mins more, go go go.
transience | Posted 9/2/2007 8:58:35 PM | message detail
aw yeah, stats topic goin' back to spam topic

speaking of which, do we know if the updater will be working? I think RPGuy's got it handled, but if not we might need some five minute updates.
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"where the heck does diablo get his votes from on weekends? He should be losing because christians are fresh from the church and voting against evil" -voltch
Undeniable | Posted 9/2/2007 8:58:52 PM | message detail
Vote Knuckles
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"Blacker then a moonless night, hotter and more bitter than hell itself.. That is coffee." - Godot, Phoenix Wright 3
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 9/2/2007 8:59:11 PM | message detail
Soul, outta curiosity what were your oracle numbers?

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/2/2007 8:59:12 PM | message detail
I love these last few seconds. Will spam shortly.
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
Master Moltar | Posted 9/2/2007 9:00:14 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna 20%

3
Rikku 13.33%

2
Vaan 13.33%

2
Yoshi 53.33%

8
TOTAL VOTES 15

YYYEEESSSSS
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Moltar Status: The Analysis Crew...believe
Knuckles/Rikku/Vaan/Yoshi - Bracket: Yoshi > Knuckles - Vote: Yoshi (0/0)
YoAriel33 | Posted 9/2/2007 9:00:19 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna 26.32%

5
Rikku 10.53%

2
Vaan 10.53%

2
Yoshi 52.63%

10
TOTAL VOTES 19
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
GyratingGrandma | Posted 9/2/2007 9:00:21 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna 35.19%

19
Rikku 11.11%

6
Vaan 9.26%

5
Yoshi 44.44%

24
TOTAL VOTES 54
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mmm feel the vibration baby
MegatokyoEd | Posted 9/2/2007 9:00:31 PM | message detail
Knuckles the Echidna 29.03%

9
Rikku 6.45%

2
Vaan 9.68%

3
Yoshi 54.84%

17
TOTAL VOTES 31

lol at Vaan ahead of Rikku.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
I don't like Haley Scarnato
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