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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 452

swirIdude | Posted 8/23/2007 12:58:31 PM | message detail
What seems to be ignored here is that Master Chief was extremely hated in 2003 and that boosted Felix's strength immensely.

IMHO <_<
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MadGamer_11 | Posted 8/23/2007 1:05:15 PM | message detail
Fox>Peach
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charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2007 1:17:15 PM | message detail
Of course Felix benefits from MC's anti votes unless someone thinks Felix would beat Isaac 62/38 before SFF.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/23/2007 1:30:44 PM | message detail
Samus SFF'd Isaac, duh. And Felix is more popular with GS fans, isn't he?

Big fad? The only place that objection site was popular was right here on Board 8. I don't believe I've ever seen Phoenix even mentioned outside of this board.

The GameFAQs boards aren't even one of the top ten sites linking to Objection!, according to Alexa.
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charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2007 1:39:16 PM | message detail
Samus SFF'd Isaac, duh. And Felix is more popular with GS fans, isn't he?

Ever since Samus failed to SFF characters like Ganondorf and Nidoran F I don't believe that she could SFF anyone. Link may have SFF her since she boosted for no reason in 2k4.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/23/2007 1:40:15 PM | message detail
Ever since Samus failed to SFF characters like Ganondorf

Then why'd she do so much better on Ganondorf than she did on Zelda?
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/23/2007 1:40:34 PM | message detail
and it makes Squall being at 35% in 2005 make more sense.
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charmander6000 | Posted 8/23/2007 1:44:56 PM | message detail
Then why'd she do so much better on Ganondorf than she did on Zelda?

Same reason Bowser and Ganondorf did so much better on Sephiroth, the female half is crazy.

Also if anyone is wondering using 2k4 Samus to find Isaac's number still has him losing to Felix 57.5/42.5.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/23/2007 2:48:29 PM | message detail
you should also count in the fact that Felix is probably overrated due to anti-votes a bit.
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cyko | Posted 8/23/2007 2:53:21 PM | message detail
y'know, when it comes to the figuring out which fodder will take second place in the super-fodder matches (Luigi's, Dante's, Kirby's, Link's, etc.) I'm just looking at which option is the funniest option because it's the stupidest character to vote for. do you honestly think that many people voted for Nidoran F or Tingle because they genuinely liked the character? no - they vote for Tingle or Nidoran F because it's funny. how else do you explain Duke Milk'em's surprisingly high performance?

that's why i'm going with Tingle; that's why i'm going with Matt; that's why i'm going with L-Block; and that's why i'm going with Bidoof - because they are all the funny options for people to vote for. and when you have three characters that very few people care deeply about, i feel that the funniest option will get the most votes.

and btw - isn't it painful that Mewtwo could possibly be the only Pokemon in the contest that doesn't make it to the second round?

>_>

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dot dot dor | Posted 8/23/2007 2:56:13 PM | message detail
I'm not even wasting my time thinking about garbage like the Jakpack of Suck or the Mudkip Trio. I'm with mnm here: I'm not really worried about winning, I'm more or less waiting to watch how this plays out. the only thing I'm straining my brain over is that whole division 5 nightmare, and what happens when it pairs up with the Dante group.
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SonicRaptor | Posted 8/23/2007 3:47:47 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
cyko | Posted 8/23/2007 3:54:25 PM | message detail
ok, i am also FINALLY caught up on the stats topics. and this is the post that caught my eye:


Buzzup
Posted 8/22/2007 12:06:10 PM
message detail I recently had a strange thought. What if Sonic was announced in Brawl on the Tokyo Game Show? I distinctly remember Reggie saying that they still had something in store for Brawl, and the TGS seems like the best place for some big announcement. The TGS takes place early contest, so the trailer would have time to sink in.
So if Sonic was announced, would any of you take him over Snake?


that's an interesting thought, although Sonic doesn't really have a whole lot of room to improve. however, what about other games that could be announced at TGS? what if the next Kingdom Hearts game is announced and it's a video showing that it's Sora and Riku picking up from the *ending* of Kingdom Hearts 2? that would be sweet.

Kingdom Hearts 3 ftw!!!

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I support the following SC2K6 characters:
L-Block, Phoenix Wright, Magus, Agent J, Vincent Valentine, Miles Edgeworth, HK-47, Zero, Kefka
redrocket | Posted 8/23/2007 4:01:30 PM | message detail
that's why i'm going with Tingle; that's why i'm going with Matt; that's why i'm going with L-Block; and that's why i'm going with Bidoof - because they are all the funny options for people to vote for.

Is that really funny? I'm not laughing.
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__Mega64__ | Posted 8/23/2007 4:04:40 PM | message detail
Samus SFF'd Isaac, duh. And Felix is more popular with GS fans, isn't he?

Well, Isaac did make this year's contest while Felix didn't...
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creativename | Posted 8/23/2007 4:20:08 PM | message detail
The GameFAQs boards aren't even one of the top ten sites linking to Objection!, according to Alexa.

Just to comment on this, GameFAQs messsage board links aren't hyperlinks, and so Alexa can't track the referrer. So even if gamefaqs was #1 by a lot it would still probably not show up. Not trying to counter your argument though.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/23/2007 5:26:36 PM | message detail
If Sonic is announced, I would still take Snake over him.

The reason Snake increased so damn much from just a trailer is because he's been absent from Nintendo systems for the most part since the original Metal Gear (I don't think Twin Snakes sold well, but correct me if I'm wrong) as opposed to Sonic who's had a good share of games on the Gamecube/Wii. Putting Sonic in Smash doesn't really expand his fanbase like it did Snake's.

TuRtLe
~~~
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BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
PortugalTheMann | Posted 8/23/2007 7:04:10 PM | message detail
whoo back from turning stone lets break it down

first night cash game earnings: $312
second day tournament earnings: -$70
second day cash game earnings: -$232 (i was slightly high, but i got suckered twice augh, so that doesnt matter)
third game cash earnings: $280

total earnings: $290, so not bad but god damn me should it have been higher, only thing i deserved to lose was my tournament buy-in.


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KleenexTissue50 | Posted 8/23/2007 7:07:08 PM | message detail
EC's pokers skills get 15.7% on BL.
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 8/23/2007 7:10:15 PM | message detail
wwjd
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I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/23/2007 7:29:46 PM | message detail
EC's mom gets 69% on BL

TuRtLe
~~~
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PortugalTheMann | Posted 8/23/2007 7:30:47 PM | message detail
tranny gets 100% on her

iykwim

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I wish Lei Fang were my mom. I'd like drug her and feel her up and stuff. - Ken
cyko | Posted 8/23/2007 7:32:58 PM | message detail
i only got 8.64% on EC's mom.

-_-

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I support the following SC2K6 characters:
L-Block, Phoenix Wright, Magus, Agent J, Vincent Valentine, Miles Edgeworth, HK-47, Zero, Kefka
swirIdude | Posted 8/23/2007 8:55:37 PM | message detail
Ratchet and Clank got 8.65% on EC's mom.
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/23/2007 8:58:13 PM | message detail
my nuts got 599.99% on EC's mom
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MadGamer_11 | Posted 8/23/2007 9:34:50 PM | message detail
Shadow>Auron>Bowser>Ryu
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ZFS | Posted 8/23/2007 9:55:23 PM | message detail
If Sonic is announced, I would still take Snake over him.

whoa I'm agreeing with BT.

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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/23/2007 9:58:40 PM | message detail
That hurts upsets over Sonic though. I hope it doesn't happen. >_<
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transience | Posted 8/23/2007 10:04:08 PM | message detail
Sonic is already so aligned with Nintendo.. Snake was probably the one character that could get the maximum out of that announcement.
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SaveTheDesert | Posted 8/23/2007 10:11:46 PM | message detail
That considered, how well do you see the other five MGS characters doing this year? I know Ocelot lost to pac-man right after MGS3 came out...
Haste_2 | Posted 8/23/2007 10:44:02 PM | message detail
You know what I miss in this topic? Random stats that have (next to) no application to actually predicting results. I'll do some right now. =D

Number of new characters: 35
Number of new characters that didn't exist since before SC2K6 (i.e. Midna, Vaan): 10
Number of characters only from SC2K2: 4 (Simon Belmont, PaRappa, Little Mac, Spyro the Dragon)
Number of characters only from SC2K3: 4 (Wario, Tom Nook, Raiden, Isaac)
Number of characters only from Sp2K5 villain contest: 3 (Pyramid Head, Vergil, Ridley)
Number of SC2K6 females that didn't return: 20...yes, that's right. Biggest snubs include Chun Li, Joanna Dark, and Kairi, oh, and Tifa.
Number of SC2K6 males that didn't return: 1... and that is Soma Cruz.

Maybe I'll do some more later.

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XIII_rocks | Posted 8/24/2007 7:23:29 AM | message detail
Hang on. In that Snake vs. Kratos vs. Kirby vs. Ryu/Riku/Nightmare division final...if Nightmare was to get there, is it foolish to assume that Kirby takes second? Nightmare might get the violent juices flowing more than Kratos for people who have played both games (so would Ryu H, to be fair), and Snake will always be on hand to suck away some Playstation votes from Kratos. I don't know about that match.

And taking the L-block over Laharl is still bugging me, as well.
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HaRRicH | Posted 8/24/2007 10:50:42 AM | message detail
L-Block's bothering me too lately, but it's hard for me to turn my back on a familiar shape from a game 98% of the site has played against Laharl, ya know? Laharl should be the favorite given the format, but it's still Laharl...against one of the seven shapes of Tetris. I can't turn my back on this potential upset, ha.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/24/2007 10:52:44 AM | message detail
After taking Tetris over LoZ back in Sp2k4, I don't think I'll ever support anything Tetris again.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 8/24/2007 11:05:36 AM | message detail
Wait... I've just thought of this.
If Link, Cloud and Seph are back in the main bracket, does it mean Slowflake will come back? Not that I care that much ,but
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/24/2007 11:06:40 AM | message detail
98% of the site has at least played Tetris? whoa. not to mention, after seeing Yoshi beat Dante, I think Laharl is probably around high end fodder by now.

though, it's a tough call for me still.
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Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/24/2007 11:08:20 AM | message detail
I'm pretty sure Laharl won't have gone down since the last time we saw him, given the reprints and continued popularity of Disgaea. I suppose he might even have gone up since then.
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redrocket | Posted 8/24/2007 11:12:22 AM | message detail
Laharl should be the favorite given the format, but it's still Laharl...against one of the seven shapes of Tetris. I can't turn my back on this potential upset, ha.

L-block is the favorite according to the BOP, by a comfortable margin.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/24/2007 11:14:02 AM | message detail
I think he meant favorite as in, logically thinking about it.

the only thing that keeps me on my toes about that match is just if L-Block will suffer because Kirby's in it.
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charmander6000 | Posted 8/24/2007 11:14:42 AM | message detail
This is directly from Slow himself.

I don't know what's worse, the ToC or the fact that you don't need to be a real character to enter these things anymore. So if anyone on board 8 asks, no, I'm not going back there.

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redrocket | Posted 8/24/2007 11:19:23 AM | message detail
When was that post from, charmander?
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GTM | Posted 8/24/2007 11:36:05 AM | message detail
lolx at random facts
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ZFS | Posted 8/24/2007 11:37:57 AM | message detail
I suppose he might even have gone up since then.

I would really doubt it.

But supposing he did, it's still not going to be to any noticeable degree. And without it being noticeable, the L-Block is going to take this thing. aww yeah

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 8/24/2007 11:39:19 AM | message detail
where would you all peg L-Block? also, do you think Kirby would SFF him hard?
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HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/24/2007 11:39:51 AM | message detail
L-Block is gonna be the biggest anomaly of this contest.
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charmander6000 | Posted 8/24/2007 11:55:43 AM | message detail
Yesterday.

Posted 8/23/2007 9:51:02 AM
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smitelf | Posted 8/24/2007 12:36:49 PM | message detail
Why would Kirby SFF L-block?! I'm not seeing the logic.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/24/2007 12:38:52 PM | message detail
From charmander6000 Posted 8/24/2007 2:14:42 PM #490
This is directly from Slow himself.

I don't know what's worse, the ToC or the fact that you don't need to be a real character to enter these things anymore. So if anyone on board 8 asks, no, I'm not going back there.


That a recent post or an old stat topic post?

~*ST*~
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swirIdude | Posted 8/24/2007 12:39:31 PM | message detail
Ouch, the L-Block is hurt.
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swirIdude | Posted 8/24/2007 12:39:52 PM | message detail
But Zolom is real!
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