GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 449
| swirIdude | Posted 8/15/2007 1:38:45 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man vs. Diablo/KOS-MOS/Arthas - A Tuesday match with a Warcraft character is my only concern. Mario vs. Big Boss/Pac-Man/Wander - I wouldn't be shocked if Pac hits last place. Magus vs. Bomberman/Crash/Phoenix Wright - XBL is enough recency and exposure to get him in. Link vs. Agent J/Bidoof/Edgeworth - Though I have no clue. Zero vs. HK-47/Jak/Lloyd Irving - Predominantly Nintendo RPG should win out. Luigi vs. Mudkip/Pit/Tingle - Nightmare of a choice, but I think he has the most positive exposure. Ganondorf vs. Ratchet/Thrall/Vergil - Well we have seen him before, and we know he's better than Ratchet. Not confident in Thrall. Dante vs. Amaterasu/Little Mac/Matt - Hard to say, but some might know him. Kirby vs. L-Block/Laharl/Nathan Hale - Has a cult fanbase, should prevail. Solid Snake vs. Nightmare/Vyse/Rayman - See above, though I am worried about Nightmare's badass pic, whichever it is. --- Pokemon FC: 0129 8285 9148 Jump Ultimate Stars FC: 1504 2045 7334 |
| GyratingGrandma | Posted 8/15/2007 1:39:01 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man vs. Diablo/KOS-MOS/Arthas Mario vs. Big Boss/Pac-Man/Wander Magus vs. Bomberman/Crash/Phoenix Wright Link vs. Agent J/Bidoof/Edgeworth Zero vs. HK-47/Jak/Lloyd Irving Luigi vs. Mudkip/Pit/Tingle Ganondorf vs. Ratchet/Thrall/Vergil Dante vs. Amaterasu/Little Mac/Matt Kirby vs. L-Block/Laharl/Nathan Hale Solid Snake vs. Nightmare/Vyse/Rayman --- mmm feel the vibration baby |
| yoshifan823 | Posted 8/15/2007 1:39:12 PM | message detail |
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Master Chief because of Halo 3. --- Quis custodiet ipsos custodes... |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 8/15/2007 1:41:07 PM | message detail |
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I still wish to discuss Thrall's chances. It's likely he'll get a big
Warcraft Orc picture which will immediately make everyone go "oh, he's
from WoW" and perhaps vote. This is a bit different from everyone
saying "people will recognize Vivi as a Black Mage and vote" because
this is WoW we're talking about. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 8/15/2007 1:45:22 PM | message detail |
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I'm curious to see the prediction percentages in these matches. Is he
going to show how many picked the character to advance overall, who
picked them in the right place, or both? If it's just who picked them
in the right place, it would technically be possible for a later round match to have a higher prediction percentage than the one before it. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 1:47:54 PM | message detail |
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Speaking of which, there was an interesting topic earlier: which
matches will get more than 80% prediction percentage? The only one I
can think of that really stands a chance is Sephiroth/Peach. Are there
any others? --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 8/15/2007 1:48:50 PM | message detail |
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Link himself will probably manage something like that through the whole contest, heh, but for overall matches, I dunno. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 8/15/2007 1:49:11 PM | message detail |
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Leon, I hope we get as much detail as possible. Good reading. --- He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 8/15/2007 1:50:17 PM | message detail |
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Link will get probably over 90% in his four-pack alone, he has nothing but Tanner-level fodder around him there. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| smitelf | Posted 8/15/2007 1:51:58 PM | message detail |
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From Mac Arrowny Speaking of which, there was an interesting topic earlier: which matches will get more than 80% prediction percentage? The only one I can think of that really stands a chance is Sephiroth/Peach. Are there any others? How about Balthier/Ada? Sonic/Sub-Zero? --- Official Queen ***** of the Universe! Political Compass: -0.38, -4.21 |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 1:52:01 PM | message detail |
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That's true...but I can't see any of the other three having more than
50%. I was talking about people getting both correct, and in order.
Hell, even just getting both correct will reduce the percentage
drastically. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Tediz247 | Posted 8/15/2007 1:52:11 PM | message detail |
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Question: to get points, we have to get both characters right, correct?
For instance, if we have Yoshi first and Rikku second (not that I do)
in the first fourpack, but it goes Yoshi/Knuckles, would we get a point
for having Yoshi finish in the right place? --- That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end. ZSB [aX] |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 8/15/2007 1:52:57 PM | message detail |
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Eh, I don't think Balthier/Ada will get 80%+. Sonic/Sub-Zero should be
pretty high, but 80% will be difficult for any match, really. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 8/15/2007 1:53:36 PM | message detail |
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Anyone trying for a zero bracket this time around? --- He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 8/15/2007 1:53:42 PM | message detail |
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I'm pretty sure you have to have BOTH characters to get any points. If
you have them in the right order, you get full credit. If you have the
right two but wrong order, you get half the points, I think. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 1:54:37 PM | message detail |
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How about Balthier/Ada? Sonic/Sub-Zero? Among casuals, I'm betting Frank West gets more support than Ada. Sonic/Sub-Zero might do it, but I think PoP will get enough support to prevent that. It's the best I've heard so far though. Question: to get points, we have to get both characters right, correct? For instance, if we have Yoshi first and Rikku second (not that I do) in the first fourpack, but it goes Yoshi/Knuckles, would we get a point for having Yoshi finish in the right place? I'm...not sure. From what I can tell, you get one point for each character you choose that's in the top 2, plus another point if you have the character in the correct position. So, you'd get 2 points for Yoshi, and 0 for Rikku. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| furryjenny | Posted 8/15/2007 1:55:09 PM | message detail |
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For the first round of 32 polls, picking each one of the correct
characters to move on from day's poll will score two points each for
the correct order, and one point for the wrong order (i.e. picking the
first place character to finish second or vice versa). For each
successive round, picking the winners will earn double the points of
the round before (Round 2: 4/2 points, Division Final: 8/4 points,
Quarter-Finals: 16/8 points, Semi-final: 32/16 points, Final: 64/32
points). The sum of all points earned is your final score. So: 4 pts for both in order, 2 pts for both out of order, 1 pt for one out of order. --- I never said I was any good at this game... |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/15/2007 1:56:17 PM | message detail |
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Among casuals, I'm betting Frank West gets more support than Ada. Uh, not with RE4Wii being recently released. And Separate Ways is actually on that one, revealing even more of Ada to the Nintendo fanbase. --- Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 8/15/2007 1:56:19 PM | message detail |
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You get 2 points for each correct order in the first round, the score doubles in subsequent rounds as usual. For example, let's say Link and Bidoof win their 4-pack in respective order. 4 Points --- 1. Link 2. Bidoof 2 Points --- 1. Link 2. Miles E 1. Miles E 2. Bidoof 0 Points --- 1. Miles E 2. Agent J --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/15/2007 1:56:24 PM | message detail |
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1.) Yoshi/Knuckles, who'll be below Mega Man? Knuckles. It's my opinion that whatever Mega Man did to Yoshi in 2k5 will repeat itself again, and Yoshi's match against Snake was him taking away some of that Nintendo boost. We all see how Yoshi did in those Mario polls. Which makes me wonder why Mega Man of all people managed to SFF him worse than Link. 2.) Midna/Scorpion, who'll be below Samus? Frog 3.) Fox/Falcon, who'll be below Wario? Fox > Wario 4.) Can Bomberman get second under Magus? I see it being pretty likely. It's probably the best draw Bomberman could get, since he doesn't have any iconic characters against him to take the "Who the hell is Magus?" votes. 5.) For the love of God, will Bidoof actually get second under Link? It's very possible considering the other choices. 6.) Can Simon beat Raiden? Not likely 7.) HK-47/Lloyd, WHO WILL WIN!? Jak for same reason as Bomberman 8.) Can Master Chief use the Halo 3 boost to actually beat Yuna to Ganondorf? Who gets first between Chief and Yuna in the first round is debateable, but everything after that match occurs after Halo 3. We'll be seeing a juiced Master Chief this year. 9.) Will Ada get second past Frank West? I can see it happening. Frank West has a popular game, but he doesn't seem like the kind of character that could draw from that 10.) L-Block v. Laharl...Epic. L-block takes this based solely on the joke factor 11.) Kirby beating out DK = Lock? Yes 12.) Will Duke Nukem actually make it below Sonic...? Gordon > Duke TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/15/2007 1:56:25 PM | message detail |
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Remember like Peach Wario isn't a fan favorite. Are you ****ing kidding me? ~*ST*~ --- Petition for a system notification when a contribution is removed: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=37308859 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 8/15/2007 2:01:34 PM | message detail |
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Read the rules, guys. You can get 1 point if you get one character in the wrong order. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/15/2007 2:01:48 PM | message detail |
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Mega Man vs. Diablo/KOS-MOS/Arthas- I have KOS-MOS simply because of Blizzard SFF splitting any Warcraft rallying Mario vs. Big Boss/Pac-Man/Wander- I had Pac Man, but today I changed to Big Boss. My reasoning is Pac-Man's susceptability to "icon SFF". Magus vs. Bomberman/Crash/Phoenix Wright- Bomberman because he's the most recognizable, and Crash hasn't been relevant since 1995 Link vs. Agent J/Bidoof/Edgeworth- Bidoof based solely on the fact that Nidoran F broke 20% on Samus. Although I can see Link taking 85%+ in this match Zero vs. HK-47/Jak/Lloyd Irving- I have Jak because he's more recognizable than the other 2, but they all suck enough that its anyone's ballgame Luigi vs. Mudkip/Pit/Tingle- Mudkip. Never underestimate the mindless drones at 4chan Ganondorf vs. Ratchet/Thrall/Vergil- Warcraft rallying got me one upset, let's see if it can do it again in a much more favourable situation Dante vs. Amaterasu/Little Mac/Matt- Matt is where my money is. He's basically the Wii representative of the contest Kirby vs. L-Block/Laharl/Nathan Hale- L-block FTW! Solid Snake vs. Nightmare/Vyse/Rayman- My money's on Nightmare, but Snake will likely break 80% in this one TuRtLe ~~~ "Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1 BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/15/2007 2:01:52 PM | message detail |
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It's the stats topic. Peach will never
get any credibility here. I've given up on trying to argue for her in
this topic. We're getting the same "nobody cares about Peach lolz!"
argument that we had last year. --- Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 8/15/2007 2:03:49 PM | message detail |
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If Snake breaks 80% in that match, I'll be impressed. I don't think
he'd break 80% on Vyse or Nightmare straight up. Rayman, maybe. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:05:50 PM | message detail |
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I just don't see Peach beating Meta Knight out. Sure she can take care of Jill barely, big whoop that is. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| LeonhartFour | Posted 8/15/2007 2:06:34 PM | message detail |
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Jill would beat Meta-Knight, no sweat. ...Can't wait to see the banner for this contest. --- "I'm no hero...Never was. I'm just an old killer...hired to do some wet work." |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 2:07:10 PM | message detail |
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Meta Knight would have trouble with Tom Nook, let alone someone of Peach's caliber. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| Kratos_42 | Posted 8/15/2007 2:07:37 PM | message detail |
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Huh, I had a vague wonder myself about whether Peach v. Meta is a lock or not, but Peach still has my vote. --- He wields the blade of a fallen hero, but now he is the hero, and it is the others who fall. He is rising. |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 2:08:26 PM | message detail |
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Read the rules, guys. You can get 1 point if you get one character in the wrong order. But can you get two points if you have one character in the right order? I'm thinking so, but it's not stated explicitly. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:08:30 PM | message detail |
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You guys are ****ing nuts. Assuming Kirby could DESTROY Jill at this
point in his career, Meta Knight should be able to at least edge out
Peach. If you don't think that's at least a possibility your crazy. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| SonicRaptor | Posted 8/15/2007 2:08:39 PM | message detail |
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Yeah, Peach I am giving the edge over Meta Knight though we won't know of Meta's true strength until the match actually happens. --- Today's Subliminal Thought Is: |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:10:09 PM | message detail |
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Also, that Tom Nook comment is ridiculous. Tom Nook is COMPLETE fodder. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 2:10:14 PM | message detail |
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You guys are ****ing nuts. Assuming Kirby could DESTROY Jill at
this point in his career, Meta Knight should be able to at least edge
out Peach. If you don't think that's at least a possibility your crazy. Kirby could do as well on Meta Knight as Peach did on Daisy. Meta Knight is going to be worth absolutely NOTHING in this contest. I don't know how anyone could believe otherwise, especially after Kirby's performance in the series contest. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| voltch | Posted 8/15/2007 2:10:54 PM | message detail |
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is nightmare above the vyse fodder line? --- Rufus shinra destroyed my bracket in the sc2k6 contest. |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/15/2007 2:11:01 PM | message detail |
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You guys are ****ing nuts. Assuming Kirby could DESTROY Jill at this
point in his career, Meta Knight should be able to at least edge out
Peach. If you don't think that's at least a possibility your crazy. Are we back on this hero-villain ratio argument this year? WTF? --- Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge |
| NominateSerge | Posted 8/15/2007 2:11:05 PM | message detail |
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I'll be voting for Meta-Knight in his match, but you're crazy if you think he breaks the fodder line before Brawl. --- Nominate Serge. |
| ExThaNemesis | Posted 8/15/2007 2:12:31 PM | message detail |
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We're getting the same "nobody cares about Peach lolz!" argument that we had last year. I remember being the first one to argue AGAINST this, when everyone was like "lulz, who cares" Granted, I was the most upset when she beat Jill, but heh... that's the way the contest goes.... --- ~*~ExThaNemesis~*~ I've got balls of steel. Badges: 6 The bell tolls for you. This bold part is here until the New York Yankees are in first place in the AL East again. 7/2/07 |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:12:37 PM | message detail |
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Are we back on this hero-villain ratio argument this year? WTF? No, I compare the Kirby/Meta-Knight relationship to MM/Zero. I know that's probably completely rash, but damnit it makes sense in my mind. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/15/2007 2:13:13 PM | message detail |
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You guys all called Peach joke fodder last year. Just sayin'. ~*ST*~ --- Petition for a system notification when a contribution is removed: http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/genmessage.php?board=7&topic=37308859 |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 2:13:41 PM | message detail |
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No, I compare the Kirby/Meta-Knight relationship to MM/Zero. I know
that's probably completely rash, but damnit it makes sense in my mind. No, it doesn't, because a huge amount of Kirby's strength comes from Smash Bros. --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| therealmnm | Posted 8/15/2007 2:13:46 PM | message detail |
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villain, sidekick, whatever. The point is that you're absolutely insane if you try to tag Kirby's popularity onto Metaknight. --- Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge |
| Mac Arrowny | Posted 8/15/2007 2:14:19 PM | message detail |
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You guys all called Peach joke fodder last year. Just sayin'. Peach had the advantage in the Guru contest and the BOP, didn't she? --- Rapid analysis, accurate judgment, and superb powers of concentration. That is all we need. |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:14:25 PM | message detail |
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You guys all called Peach joke fodder last year. Just sayin'. She's not joke fodder, but neither is Meta-Knight. Neither one of them will be beating Ryu Hayubusa anytime soon or anything, but I have faith that M Knight can edge her out. Simple as that. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| NominateSerge | Posted 8/15/2007 2:15:40 PM | message detail |
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...Peach beat Jill by the exact same margin that Hayabusa beat her, and you're saying Peach won't be beating him anytime soon? --- Nominate Serge. |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:15:42 PM | message detail |
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villain, sidekick, whatever. The point is that you're absolutely insane if you try to tag Kirby's popularity onto Metaknight. Wasn't Meta Knight one of the most requested people to be in SSBB? Cause I know I heard that somewhere. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| Osfan | Posted 8/15/2007 2:16:03 PM | message detail |
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I have to say one fo my biggest concerns is Ridley. Its just hard witgh
a new game with him in it to imagine him not doing a helleva lot better
this time around... but he did so horribly. Plus theres the brawl
possibility for him. If he were to go places, him and dorf could really
blow things for each other in the quarters. The problem is who knows
where he will drop out. Tidus could do it round one but Tidus is as
reliable as no one at all... Leon maybe round 2 if him and Ada dont
kill each other... Right now I have him and Dorf killing each other
with Dante and Yuna moving on to the quarters and it looks crazy even
to me. I just cant wrap my mind around Ridley being that bad and then
with that round its hard to imagine him or Dorf pulling a major SFF
with Yuna getting the Square and Dante has his loyalists. So yeah where
does everyone think the Ridley boost will stop or is this bracket just
a complete crapshoot... --- "I'll do it with my magic!" - Tellah FF4 |
| Haste_2 | Posted 8/15/2007 2:16:33 PM | message detail |
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Easy choices for me: Mega Man vs. Diablo/KOS-MOS/Arthas...Blizzard characters SFF each other, and I guarantee KOS-MOS does relatively better than Diablo in a mult-option poll. Mario vs. Big Boss/Pac-Man/Wander - most of you know why by now. Moderately tough choices for me: Link vs. Agent J/Bidoof/Edgeworth- Edgeworth might have a slight shot, maybe... I will cry with joy if Edgeworth beats Bidoof. Zero vs. HK-47/Jak/Lloyd Irving - I think Jak has a distinct enough fanbase from Zero's to rely on his own strength, which is clearly better than Lloyd's or HK47's. Kirby vs. L-Block/Laharl/Nathan Hale- I don't see why L-Block won't pull out second place... he's gonna be the ultimate joke vote drawer of the contest, I think. Toss-ups: Magus vs. Bomberman/Crash/Phoenix Wright - I really wouldn't be surprised to see Phoenix pull out in second place, honestly, as he'll surely get some benefit in a multi-option thing, and Bomberman and Crash could split the casual votes. Luigi vs.Mudkip/Pit/Tingle - I'm, skeptical Mudkip will get enough joke votes to pull it off, but Tingle is a joke, and so will Pit when Luigi is stealing his SSBB votes. Ganondorf vs. Ratchet/Thrall/Vergil- either Thrall or Vergil, but I have no idea. Dante vs. Amaterasu/Little Mac/Matt- it really depends on if "Wii Sports" gets included by his name in the poll, I think. I'm worried here. Solid Snake vs. Nightmare/Vyse/Rayman- Nightmare has more than a shot, of course, especially if Vyse has dropped in popularity... but Vyse is the only guy to get the RPG votes and has dilligent voters (which I think will have a noticeable effect, due to Solid Snake taking the majority of the votes), so I get the feeling he'll get the win. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. It could be fun! So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
| HeroicTronBonne | Posted 8/15/2007 2:16:54 PM | message detail |
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...Peach beat Jill by the exact same margin that Hayabusa beat her, and you're saying Peach won't be beating him anytime soon? Ryu H is just a little bit stronger than both of them, that's all I was trying to get across. --- Pokemon Pearl Code: 2663-9266-2709 WWEGSB Hardcore Legend and Board 8er Masa/Hiko |
| Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 8/15/2007 2:17:01 PM | message detail |
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Oh for christ sake.. Are people calling Peach Fodder AGIAN? --- Hi |
