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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 448

UltimaterializerX | Posted 8/14/2007 3:50:28 PM | message detail
BRACKET UP AW YEAH, I'm loving the Baconator.



*Creativename's websites*

Everything you could ever imagine:
http://www.GameFAQsContests.com
http://www.sc2k5.com
http://www.sc2k4.com

Sortable Table for Every Contest Match:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/19


*Extrapolated Standings*

Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
http://sc2k5.com/drupal/node/11

Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings:
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

Extrapolated Standings for All Contests (links to all brackets are on the left):
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/


*Solarshadow's Sites*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/2003/index.html

Spring 2004 Contest: (not currently updating)
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/sp2004/index.html


*Old Stats topics*

Summer 2002 Contest:
http://solarshadow2002.tripod.com/page1.html

Summer 2003 Contest:
http://solarshadow-stats.tripod.com/archive/topic1p1.html
http://www.angelfire.com/games5/sum_contest/Page1.htm (See note)

2003-2004 Off-Season:
http://membres.lycos.fr/shindohikaru/stats1.htm (See note)
Note: Don't use the links in the topic to browse through the pages, change the page number in the URL.

Spring 2004 Pre-Season (Chance the number after "Season" to view other pages; there are three of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringPreSeason1.htm

Spring 2004 Contest (Change the number after "Stats" to view other pages; there are eight of them):
http://sc2k4.com/archive/04SpringStats1.htm


*Match Pictures*

All the match pics, and thanks to RockMFR for finding the missing ones!
http://sc2k5.com/gallery/index.php


*Miscellaneous*

Creativename's Page of Links:
http://sc2k4.com/links.php

UltimaterializerX's Contest Sites (some offensive language):
http://prophetchallenge.hyperboards2.com/index.cgi
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/

NGamer64's Archive Site and (lol) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language):
http://thengamer.com/gamefaqs/
http://thengamer.com/xstats
http://thengamer.com/stats

A List of Acronyms, A Lesson on Percentages, and Some Odd Matches:
http://freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/acronymspercentsanomalies.htm

All Time Top 10 Lists:
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2002stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2003stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2004stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/spring2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2005stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/july2006stats.htm
http://www.freewebs.com/mmxcalibur/summer2006stats.htm

HaRRicH's Fourpack of Fun Board:
http://boards.gamefaqs.com/gfaqs/gentopic.php?board=585007

TRE's poll listing (every poll!):
http://members.shaw.ca/teamrocketelite/Polls.html

Aprosenf's Poll Script:
http://www.geocities.com/aprosenf/allpolls.txt

GameFAQs' Top 100 Games
http://www.gamefaqs.com/features/contest/top10

Manual Poll Updater:
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/pollupdate.php



~*ST*~
Draco1214 | Posted 8/14/2007 3:52:35 PM | message detail
4-way matches. Jesus, trying to predict the SFF will be brutal.

And the Alucard 4 pack is really killing me now.
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Currently Playing: Half-Life 2, Super Castlevania 4, Dragon Quest VIII
KamikazePotato | Posted 8/14/2007 3:53:06 PM | message detail
I love this.
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...You know what would make this fight even better? If it had the Beetleborgs. And Godzilla.- SEP
Darkash | Posted 8/14/2007 3:54:21 PM | message detail
Wow.....4-way brackets.....this is gonna make the Oracle Contest nearly imposible.....my head hurts already.
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1st place in scientist pg's TLoZ MM riddle contest!
12th in the SpC2k4 Oracle Challenge!
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 3:54:27 PM | message detail
Aeris > Tifa confirmed?

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
MegatokyoEd | Posted 8/14/2007 3:55:09 PM | message detail
Does it matter who you put as #1 and #2? Like does who you pick as #1 have to come in #1 in the poll?
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Demyx is better than Axel.
Pokemon Diamond Name: Haruhi FC: 0859 9890 8167
jonthomson | Posted 8/14/2007 3:55:23 PM | message detail
L-Block > Jigglypuff confirmed
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Jon Thomson - Nominate Jigglypuff LDO
Applekidjosh | Posted 8/14/2007 3:56:32 PM | message detail
LAHARL IS WINNING A MATCH

REJOICE FOR THE KING OF OVERLORDS

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Applekidjosh is super awesome at work
AKJ. The Cream of Super Robot Wars fanboyism.
Tediz247 | Posted 8/14/2007 3:57:27 PM | message detail
Hmm... will there be dual champions, or one final match?
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That... was her final mission. And like a true soldier, she saw it through the end.
ZSB [aX]
Draco1214 | Posted 8/14/2007 3:57:49 PM | message detail
Riku/Roxas SFF. Where will it go?
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Currently Playing: Half-Life 2, Super Castlevania 4, Dragon Quest VIII
Ludwig Von 2 | Posted 8/14/2007 3:59:03 PM | message detail
Dude, the other topics at like 300. Someone's a little overzealous.
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My luck works best when things are... random. Mat Cauthon from The Dragon Reborn
jonthomson | Posted 8/14/2007 4:01:12 PM | message detail
It's over 400 already, also posted now for obvious reasons
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Jon Thomson - 0/0, next picks: Yoshi beats Knuckles
Giggsalot | Posted 8/14/2007 4:01:39 PM | message detail
just watch

we'll be using this one in like an hour
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The nature of Monkey was... irrepressible!
http://www.last.fm/user/giggsalot/
ZFS | Posted 8/14/2007 4:01:53 PM | message detail
Master Chief to the Semifinals!

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Believe
Master Moltar | Posted 8/14/2007 5:09:41 PM | message detail
For the Crew members (tran-man, HM, KH, Lopen, Yo): How does this sound?

Write the analysis, then predict what place each character will get and percentages.
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Moltar Status: Eagerly awaiting the bracket!
The Analysis Crew...believe
lettuce Kefka | Posted 8/14/2007 5:10:12 PM | message detail
GO GO THE MIDGAR ZOLOM!!!!!111
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Midgar Zolom for SC2K7
ZFS | Posted 8/14/2007 5:10:36 PM | message detail
Sounds fine to me.

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Believe
Starion | Posted 8/14/2007 5:11:23 PM | message detail
Just saw the bracket. Ouch. The SFF massively complicates this. I expect the person who finishes first will have a pretty terrible score on his or her bracket.
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100% Frog Log Quest: Current Progress- 400 of 627 Completed: Jaster, Kisala, Deego
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:11:53 PM | message detail
Sounds fine to me as well <_<

=(

And I bet you're excited LK, Kefka will make it to round 2, and may even win his match if Fenix is a dud.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:12:46 PM | message detail
Okay, discussion time

Zero beating out Crono/Vincent to finish second to Link's 1.

Realistic shot? Or BT's pipe dream?

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
Master Moltar | Posted 8/14/2007 5:13:09 PM | message detail
Don't worry, I'll start the Guest sign-ups in a few days (too hectic right now).
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Moltar Status: Eagerly awaiting the bracket!
The Analysis Crew...believe
YoAriel33 | Posted 8/14/2007 5:13:38 PM | message detail
Sounds good, Moltar. Weeeee I'm excited!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
therealmnm | Posted 8/14/2007 5:14:39 PM | message detail
Zero gets REDEMPTION!
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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
trannyscience | Posted 8/14/2007 5:16:07 PM | message detail
okay, one division at a time!

Division 1

Knuckles the Echidna
Rikku
Vaan
Yoshi

Yoshi and Knuckles probably take this.. but don't count Rikku out. being the lone Square character when your main competition are platforming characters is a definite advantage for her. I could see her sneaking in and taking second, but it's an upset pick.

Arthas Menethil
Diablo
KOS-MOS
Mega Man

two Warcraft characters. Diablo probably beats KOS straight-up, but does KOS have enough to hold them off in this format? plus, she's a hot chick. can't hurt!

Axel
Frog
Samus Aran
Sarah Kerrigan

Axel and Frog competing for second here. Frog probably takes it since his game dominates Axel's. WHY IS KERRIGAN IN HER THIRD CONTEST

Agent 47
Kratos Aurion
Midna
Scorpion

Midna and Scorpion seem obvious to me here, though I think Kratos Aurion can make a run at second because of the format. Tales has a nice little niche here, and a format like this can only help characters like that.

Knuckles
Yoshi (Rikku?)
Mega Man
KOS-MOS (Diablo?)

this is a battle between Yoshi and Knuckles. MM clearly takes first, but does he SFF Yoshi enough to let Knuckles slip by?

Frog
Samus
Midna
Scorpion

this looks like Midna's division to lose, as far as second goes. will Samus steal her votes away? if so, Scorpion could sneak in and take second.. or maybe Frog can. second place is really up in the air here.

Samus
Mega Man
two characters that don't matter

..yeah. this is a pretty cool setup, with MM and Samus finally doing battle. (WHAT'S UP KAY AITCH). don't forget that MP3 will be out.
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xexyz
YoAriel33 | Posted 8/14/2007 5:17:02 PM | message detail
I'm like... 10% done looking through the bracket. Savor the moment, boys! This is our element!
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yoblazer33: NO LIMITZ
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be... part of your world!
lettuce Kefka | Posted 8/14/2007 5:17:59 PM | message detail
I have Kefka winning and had no idea who Fenix was. So he isn't coming second in my bracket. But I'm not going to change that as I'm not changing my bracket now!
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Ahem! There's LETTUCE on my boots!
Midgar Zolom for SC2K7
X_Yoshi_X | Posted 8/14/2007 5:18:08 PM | message detail
the lone Square character

lol
Lady Ashe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:18:59 PM | message detail
Vaan is not from Final Fantasy. What the hell are you 'lol'ing about? D:
~~~
Ashe. The Cream of Final Fantasy Fanboyism.
http://www.board8wiki.com/Lady_Ashe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:19:12 PM | message detail
Diablo's a Warcraft character now?

And good to see Frog getting another fair shake. This set-up is golden for another epic match (Scorpion/Frog race for second?)

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
trannyscience | Posted 8/14/2007 5:19:21 PM | message detail
oh, ha. I read Vaan as Vyse.

...why the hell is Vaan here?
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xexyz
xp1337 | Posted 8/14/2007 5:19:40 PM | message detail
No idea if you guys realized this yet.

If the contest starts on the 3rd, Arthas has his four-pack on a Tuesday.

Everyone is so screwed
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xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out?
SC2k6 (190/240) 99.4958 Percentile
trannyscience | Posted 8/14/2007 5:19:42 PM | message detail
blizzard warcraft what ever
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xexyz
ZFS | Posted 8/14/2007 5:20:24 PM | message detail
I went with Scorpion over Midna in that little batch due to Samus.

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Believe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:20:25 PM | message detail
Dude, Marcus is the lead character from Gears of War.

You know, the GotY for last year, and probably the best selling game of the year.

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
hitz30000 | Posted 8/14/2007 5:20:57 PM | message detail
Anyone know where I can find the bracket for CB 2k6? Gamefaqscontests.com doesn't have it.
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¬_¬
RPGuy96 | Posted 8/14/2007 5:21:29 PM | message detail
I just realized that Tifa didn't get in. I find this intensely amusing.
Heroic Viktor | Posted 8/14/2007 5:21:42 PM | message detail
This contest is going to be so much fun, my head is already throbbing.

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Trivia: Two Comps and a Tnote
RIP: Tnote827 - 4/4/05
therealmnm | Posted 8/14/2007 5:21:52 PM | message detail
Division 1

Group 1 - Knuckles and Yoshi are definitely too strong for Rikku to be a threat to either one. Maybe if there were a midcarder like Donkey Kong or Fox who Yoshi would SFF, then Rikku would be a threat... Vaan has no chance.

Group 2 - Mega Man ruins this division. It would have been cool for a 4th character in the same range to be in there instead to have a complete free-for-all. But now there are 3 spots for 2, and Diablo is probably the favorite there. Although, then again, with Mega Man there to take the casual vote, Diablo doesn't get automatic votes just for looking cool or anything. With Mega Man taking so many votes, it probably will be the one with the most hardcore fans taking it. Gotta go with KOS-MOS. I definitely don't believe in "Blizzard SFF"... I just think KOS-MOS has more hardcore fans than either of those two.

Group 3 - This division is pretty much a battle for 2nd between Axel and Frog. I say that because Samus is taking the majority of the votes, especially with MP3 on the way. That means there will be few votes to split between everyone else. Who has more hardcore fans? I think the Chrono Trigger fanbase pulls Frog through though.

Group 4 - Shouldn't be too difficult. Midna pulls the Nintendo vote out of there. Scorpion is probably the strongest character there, although he won't necessarily win since Agent 47 and Kratos probably would pull a lot of the votes that he would have had against Midna solo. Midna definitely doesn't lose as many votes to those guys since she has the Zelda fanbase backing her. But yeah, those two easily take this.

Later rounds - Knuckles and Yoshi battle for the slot alongside Mega Man. Or do they have enough hardcore fans between them to take down Mega Man????? (Doubt it) Midna gets a chance to prove herself in the second round. Being against Samus won't hurt since she will suck some SFF from her <_<; The final is a dud unless something wonky happens in the trio of Yoshi/Knux, Samus, and Mega Man trio...
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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
Paris | Posted 8/14/2007 5:22:26 PM | message detail
Oh, I'm gonna have to start tagging these topics again. Fun.
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Questions concerning my username and/or identity will be ignored.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 8/14/2007 5:24:14 PM | message detail
The thing about Axel/Frog is that, even though CT is by far bigger, Kingdom Hearts is no slouch and has pretty strong unilateral support for its characters. Remember Kairi doing okay last year? Kingdom Hearts fans might support their characters over anyone, who knows?

I don't think Mega will be able to SFF Yoshi into the floor. That sff was harsh, but it wasn't that brutal, was it? I don't really remember.
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One of the most troublesome things in life is that what you do or do not want has little to do with what does or does not happen. ~ Lemony Snicket
trannyscience | Posted 8/14/2007 5:24:56 PM | message detail
68/32 is pretty brutal. imagine him beating Dante 68/32.
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xexyz
trannyscience | Posted 8/14/2007 5:25:38 PM | message detail
then again, look at the Mario poll. Yoshi has some devoted fans on this site.
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xexyz
King Morgoth | Posted 8/14/2007 5:26:24 PM | message detail
I can't even keep up with these topics, but this is the craziest contest we'll ever have.

And since tranny asked, we have no idea how we'll pull it off yet, but the Oracle's going to be just fine! >_>
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Kaxon is a figurehead. Morgoth has all the real power. - Janus5000
SpC2k4 Triple Crown WINNER (Oracle, Betting, Spread Betting)
ZFS | Posted 8/14/2007 5:26:51 PM | message detail
That sorta thing is what makes these matches hard. Yoshi still wins in that Mario character poll because of those hardcore fans he's got.

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Believe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:26:52 PM | message detail
I'd take Frog over Claire

I'd also expect frog to score better than 30% on Mega Man

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
therealmnm | Posted 8/14/2007 5:27:03 PM | message detail
The Mario poll is what's making me wonder about how Yoshi will perform.
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Currently playing: Guitar Hero 2, Gears of War, Saint's Row, SotN (XBLA), Burnout Revenge
Master Moltar | Posted 8/14/2007 5:27:23 PM | message detail
Toughest parts of Div 1 for me are KOS-MOS/Diablo for #2 and Midna/Scorp in the first round. Not really sure where to lean in the first match. I think Diablo is stronger 1v1, but KOS-MOS could pull it out in this kind of format. As for Midna/Scorp, I'm mostly banking on TP strength for Midna to take #1.

Poor Yoshi gets SFFed by Mega Man in the next round, that makes me sad. Frog/Midna/Scorp should be interesting for #2 as well.

MM/Samus own Round 3.
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Moltar Status: Eagerly awaiting the bracket!
The Analysis Crew...believe
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:27:52 PM | message detail
I believe MM came just short of the doubling on Yoshi.

Yeah, it was that bad

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 8/14/2007 5:28:50 PM | message detail
Lost to (1) Mega Man, 29719 [31.92%] - 63395 [68.08%]

I stand corrected.

Ouchies

TuRtLe
~~~
"Like Darth Maul, the bastard child of Michael Flatley and Hellboy" -trancer1
BlAcK TuRtLe. The cream of Zero fanboyism
The n00b Avenger | Posted 8/14/2007 5:29:20 PM | message detail
Luigi
Mudkip
Pit
Tingle


I have no idea who to put 2nd here
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This story is not an end yet.
Because only you are in the infinity loop.
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